Mid Atlantic Weather Discussions: September 2005

Tuesday, September 27, 2005

9/27 DC/MD/VA Weather Outlook

Still really dry. Last evening's rain did not do anything to our drought. Another chance of rain showers Early Thursday and then a cold shot before a warm up! Tropics grow quiet, but for how long?

Summary: dry conditions continue. I have updated the drought page a bit: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/drought . Another chance of rain possibly early Thursday and then a really cool day Friday. This will be brief but temps in the 30’s for the mountains and 40’s west of the I-95 corridor is significant. Do not get used to it as we climb in temps and have 90 degrees within range next week for many areas. Concern for the drought continuing.

Tropics: Finally a bit calmer. I only say a bit as the Caribbean has a disturbance that poses some threat of strengthening.

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum. Our community has grown to 23 members. Please join those who have so we can get good feedback and regional coverage. http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

Did you know? I send this update out semi regularly via email! To get it send and email to midatlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I also send a Severe Weather Alert when we need it. To get it mid-atlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com

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Forecast text and graphics from National Weather Service. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.

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Thursday, September 22, 2005

9/22 DC/MD/VA Weather Outlook

Still really dry. Slight chance of storms tomorrow, cooler Saturday, then warming back up. Rita is truly Historic! May see first true cold intrusion next week.

Summary: dry conditions continue. This is getting rough as it is the time of year to plant grass! The deficit link: http://cirrus.dnr.state.sc.us/images/30dPDeptSERCC.png A cooler Saturday is on tap, but then warming back to above normal. Areas could see 90 degrees tomorrow! There are hints at the first real cool intrusion of air next week!

Tropics: Rita reached her Historical Status last night as she became the 3^rd strongest Atlantic hurricane on record. She is a massive storm and her track on models has really shifted north this morning. I am concerned that this may be a bit, if not a lot, overdone. The good news is that a storm rarely can stay Category 5 long so HOPEFULLY the system will weaken some before a landfall, but she will still be a Cat 3 or 4 at landfall. There are also signs that she will have some shearing that could weaken her a bit. No need to belabor the point, this will do devastating things where she hits. http://hurricane.methaz.org/hurapak/AAL182005_impact.png . Also, she could potentially stall after moving a bit inland. Needless to say there is a lot of uncertainty on her track: Latest models http://hurricane.methaz.org/hurapak/AAL182005_perf.html Just start praying for her victims. She is beautiful though: A high resolution Satellite from yesterday: http://rapidfire.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/gallery/?2005264-0921/Rita.A2005264.1610.1km.jpg A log through the advisories and pictures can be found here. Interesting: http://www.usawx.com/thejourney134.htm

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum. Our community has grown to 22 members. Please join those who have so we can get good feedback and regional coverage. http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

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Wednesday, September 21, 2005

Rita will likely be the strongest Atlantic Storm in History!

Rita is the 3rd strongest Hurricane! I think it may make it to #1.. This is truly Historic!

7 PM CDT WED SEP 21 2005

CORRECTED PRESSURE CONVERSION TO 26.52 INCHES

...CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE RITA CONTINUING TO DEEPEN...
...NOW THE THIRD MOST INTENSE HURRICANE IN THE ATLANTIC BASIN
ON RECORD...

A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR GULF OF MEXICO COAST FROM PORT
MANSFIELD TEXAS TO CAMERON LOUISIANA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR EAST OF CAMERON TO GRAND
ISLE LOUISIANA AND FROM SOUTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BROWNSVILLE.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
NORTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE
WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF DANGEROUS HURRICANE RITA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 7 PM CDT...0000Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.8 WEST OR ABOUT 580 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS AND ABOUT 680 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST
OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS.

RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 165 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RITA
IS A POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES.

THE PRESSURE HAS BEEN FALLING RAPIDLY DURING THE DAY AND THE LATEST
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 898 MB...26.52 INCHES. THIS MAKES
RITA THE THIRD MOST INTENSE HURRICANE IN TERMS OF PRESSURE IN THE
ATLANTIC BASIN.

TIDES ARE CURRENTLY RUNNING NEAR NORMAL ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI AND
LOUISIANA COASTS IN THE AREAS AFFECTED BY KATRINA. TIDES IN THOSE
AREAS WILL INCREASE UP TO 3 TO 4 FEET OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH
LARGE WAVES ON TOP AND RESIDENTS THERE COULD EXPERIENCE FLOODING.

REPEATING THE 7 PM CDT POSITION...24.5 N... 86.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...165 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...898 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 10 PM CDT.

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9/21 DC/MD/VA Weather Outlook

Dry weather and beautiful days continue, but we are now really in need of rain. Rita hits Category 4 status this morning. May see first true cold intrusion next week.

Summary: Now we are really in need of rain as many areas are 3”+ deficits. Last 30 days deficit can be found here: http://cirrus.dnr.state.sc.us/images/30dPDeptSERCC.png Warm weather continues though Friday and then a slight cool down. There are hints at the first real cool intrusion of air next week!

Tropics: Rita will be yet another historic storm as she heads towards category 5 status. The good news is that a storm rarely can stay Category 5 long so HOPEFULLY the system will weaken some before a landfall, but she will still be a Cat 3 or 4 at landfall. No need to belabor the point, this will do devastating things where she hits. http://hurricane.methaz.org/hurapak/AAL182005_impact.png . Needless to say there is a lot of uncertainty on her track: Latest models http://hurricane.methaz.org/hurapak/AAL182005_perf.html Just start praying for her victims

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Been working on http://www.ambleside.org web site so I have been a bit inconsistent on posts. Hope to get better here!

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Tuesday, September 20, 2005

DC/MD/VA Severe Weather Alert

Severe Weather Possible this Afternoon

With A cold front swinging through this afternoon isolated strong to severe storms could accompany the front. The biggest threat would be strong winds.

Stay tuned to News and weather outlets for watches and or warnings.

All for now.

And by K&H Lawn Service. Lawn care and Landscaping with excellence. Serving No.VA http://www.kandhlawnservice.com/ or call (703) 849 - 0713

Yahoo! for Good
Click here to donate to the Hurricane Katrina relief effort.

Wednesday, September 07, 2005

9/7 Dc/MD/VA Weather Outlook

Dry weather and beautiful days continues. Triple Tropical Storms are out in the Atlantic.. Can you tell we are near peak of the season? Concern on Track of Tropical Storm Ophelia and a Gulf Threat.. but still too early to tell. Still see a chance of a return to warm weather next week.

Summary: I consider this the most beautiful time of year! I love fall and the change towards winter and snow is not too far away. We are really dry out there! Here is our 30 day departure from normal if you were wondering: http://cirrus.dnr.state.sc.us/images/30dPDeptSERCC.png There is a Chance of a shower MAYBE Friday.. but not likely

Tropics: This continues to be the Busiest tropical Storm seasons on record. Ophelia was named last night. The earliest “O” storm to date was September 16^th. Great history on early storms can be found here: http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=50190 . Concern is there that Ophelia will go across Florida and then pose a threat to the Gulf states again as at least a minimal hurricane. Still time to watch this one as she will be slow to move for a while. The question I have is will be start borrowing from next year’s storm list? Only 6 more storms to go and, and at this rate, I think we will do it! Historic season indeed!

And by K&H Lawn Service. Lawn care and Landscaping with excellence. Serving No.VA http://www.kandhlawnservice.com/ or call (703) 849 - 0713

Click here to donate to the Hurricane Katrina relief effort.

Sunday, September 04, 2005

9/5 DC/MD/VA Weather Outlook

Beautiful weather will be the rule the next 7 days. Unfortunately a turn to warmer air may be on the horizon. Concerns of a FL and then a Gulf Coast threat from what may become Nate.

Summary: I am enjoying going outside and having refreshing air after such a HOT summer. We could use some rains up here. Not seeing that chance this week. Long term it appears likely that the hotter weather will return. Nothing as bad as this summer, but still pretty hot for this time of year

Tropics: Concerns arise as a tropical disturbance is getting its act together east of Florida. This could turn into a depression and then a storm. It is moving very slow and forming slow so we have some time to watch it. I also have concerns over a Caribbean wave that is low enough in latitude to again cause concerns for the gulf. This has been a very rough year!

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum. Our community has grown to 22 members! Please join those who have so we can get good feedback and regional coverage. http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb/

Relief Agencies:

American Red Cross, http://www.redcross.org 800-HELP NOW (435-7669) English, 800-257-7575 Spanish.

Operation Blessing, http://www.ob.org 800-436-6348.

Salvation Army, http://www.salvationarmyusa.org 800-SAL-ARMY (725-2769).

America's Second Harvest, http://www.secondblessing.org 800-344-8070.

Adventist Community Services, http://www.adventist.communityservices.org 800-381-7171.

Christian Disaster Response, http://www.cdresponse.org 941-956-5183 or 941-551-9554.

Christian Reformed World Relief Committee, http://www.crwrc.org 800-848-5818.

Church World Service, http://www.churchworldservice.org 800-297-1516.

Convoy of Hope, http://www.convoyofhope.org 417-823-8998.

Lutheran Disaster Response, http://www.elca.org/disaster 800-638-3522.

Presbyterian Disaster Assistance, http://www.pcusa.org/pda/ 800-872-3283.

Southern Baptist Convention Disaster Relief, http://www.namb.net/site/c.9qKILUOzEpH/b.224451/k.7BDB/Disaster_Relief_Homepage.htm 800-462-8657, ext. 6440.

United Methodist Committee on Relief. http://gbgm-umc.org/umcor/ 800-554-8583

And by K&H Lawn Service. Lawn care and Landscaping with excellence. Serving No.VA http://www.kandhlawnservice.com/ or call (703) 849 - 0713

Click here to donate to the Hurricane Katrina relief effort.

Tuesday, September 27, 2005

Thursday, September 22, 2005

Wednesday, September 21, 2005

Tuesday, September 20, 2005

Wednesday, September 07, 2005

Sunday, September 04, 2005

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