Major bust

Huge dry slot over much of the region. Most will see just a dusting to an inch. More to come on the bust.

Final Call for 12-29-2012

This may be a bit underdone for a few but about right from what I can see. Again this outlook is brought to you by my Friend Dave at Lawn Design. You may see white tomorrow, but you want green in the Spring. Check out http://lawndesignva.com and schedule a winterization! Mention Mid Atlantic Weather for a Discount!

 

Quick notes:

·         The storm looks healthy and a little separated in the precipitation field now. This could consolidate

·         Heaviest for our region starts around sunrise

·         The rain snow line will be pushing Northwestward.

·         As the coastal explodes more snow will occur North and East

·         Mountains get their west slope enhancement.

·         If the storm gets its act together sooner more snow will fall!

 

All for now!

 

First Call Map for 12-29-2012 snow event!

This map is brought to you by Lawn Design! If you want to see green in the Spring, NOW is the time to winterize. Call on Lawn Design and they can get your lawn treated! Mention Mid Atlantic Weather and you will get a deal!

 

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This MAY be a bit low in the Northeastern part of the map.

 

 

Test

Forecast map posting soon!

Snow on the way for many Western Half of VA/MD- light to moderate event!

This Saturday looks like a general 1-3 inch system with the possibility of some places seeing 3 - 6". I-95 looks like the battle line again, but more snow this time than last system there! There are hints it COULD be the higher side. I like a 1-3" general outlook with a few 3 - 5 " locations. More to come! WINDY and cold today!

Nice and sunny tomorrow.

 

Sunday looks nice and chilly as well as New Year’s eve. New Year’s day and into Wednesday of next week may be anotrhert wintry system!

 

We also have signs that January may be a SERIOUS cold one!

 

All for now!

 

 

QUICK UPDATE

Merry Christmas to All!

Snow and sleet look to break out by early morning and the QUICKLY turn to rain along I - 95 and east. A slower transition West of there! I would be most worried most about is right along the foothills NORTH of Charlottesville area and into Western Maryland. I could see 3 - 6 inches of snow Northern VA Mountains and up into Western Maryland. Ice in these same areas seems likely to be an issue. Then we have HEAVY rain tomorrow with even some flooding possibilities and thunderstorms in SE VA and down into NC where Severe could break out! To follow winds. Then another system Saturday which again may be a Mountain and Western VA and Western MD issue. COULD easily be some snow east of there. And then we watch next week for ANOTHER chance of wintry weather!

Winter is here! MERRY CHRISTMAS AGAIN! Updates later!

Winter Weather Advisory

Sugarland Run, VA, U.S.
From: Dec.24,Mon 11:18 am
To: Dec.24,Mon 8:00 pm
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HAS
ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND SLEET... WHICH IS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING.
* PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW AND SLEET.
* PRECIPITATION TYPE AND TIMING...SNOW WILL BEGIN EARLY THIS
  AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL MIX WITH SLEET AND RAIN AT TIMES BEFORE
  TAPERING OFF THIS EVENING.
* ACCUMULATIONS...AROUND ONE INCH.
* TEMPERATURES...LOWER TO MIDDLE 30S.
* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 5 MPH OR LESS.
* IMPACTS...UNTREATED ROADS MAY BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY
  IN SPOTS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THIS WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND SLEET
WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS
AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.
&&
* ISSUED AT: 1118 AM EST MON DEC 24
* ISSUED FOR:
FREDERICK MD-CARROLL-LOUDOUN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FREDERICK...WESTMINSTER...LEESBURG

Sent from: http://market.android.com/details?id=com.Elecont.WeatherClock - eWeather HD




From my Android phone on T-Mobile. The first nationwide 4G network.

I AM NOT DREAMING! SNOW FOR CHRISTMAS EVE! WHITE CHRISTMAS~!

1 -2 inches. Some places down towards Hot Springs could see 2 -4 “! WOW!

 

Woo Hoo! I would love to do a Snow map – but no time!

 

Winter storm not looking as likely

At least on the models today. I will keep watching.

Snow and ice looking way far west!

Snow possible Christmas Eve - More likely Day after Christmas

Can you feel it? Well if you can't you have not been outside!!! Windy - I MEAN - Super windy - And cold!

Christmas Eve? Tough to call! Looks like snow a possibility, especially Northern Maryland and higher elevations. Areas west of 95 and north of Fredericksburg. This is wild. Many areas may have a little snow on the ground Christmas morning.

AND THEN - Well - a winter storm is a coming! How it pans out is still up in the air, but as of now, west of 95 to the mountains may have some icing and the further north the longer it will last. I will try and break it down better as we approach the event, but will have to make a map and guess Monday, outline areas, and then make calls as I will be busy that day!

Mountains look like a 6"+ snow, areas of the Piedmont 2-4" with ice. Ice will be an issue all the way down to Roanoke, but how long things are one way or the other is too risky to call.

PLEASE STAY WELL INFORMED!

All for now!

WINDY AND COLDER! Snow Christmas? Wintry Weather Wednesday/Thursday

How about a green spring?! Well you need to get the yard treated with a great winter fertilization for that to happen. My good Friend at Lawn Design (http://lawndesignva.com ) can definitely help! Please reach out to him today and mention Mid Atlantic Weather for a deal!

THE WEATHER:

First off: Next 36 hours! Easy to figure out. Go outside and it is cold and windy. The concern will be the strength of the winds starting tonight and into tomorrow. Gusts could exceed 60 mph at times and this may cause some power issues! Again, may need some alternate places to go to stay warm if the power is out for a long while.

Sunday - EASY - Cold and typical December day. 40s for the most part.

Monday - First set of question marks! A smaller system looks like it will approach and cause a bit of precipitation Christmas Eve or Christmas day! I would see that areas of the Mountains and definitely north of the Maryland border could get some snow! White Christmas!

Tuesday - Looks cold and maybe some light snow/sleet/ rain.

Wednesday is when all things go crazy. I am suspecting we will will see ice and sleet a real possibility along the Appalachians and Piedmont, west of I - 95. There may be some snow as well. This being so early, it may be all snow for some. IT COULD be rain - maybe a bit of a mix to start. I am convinced some frozen precipitation will fall Wednesday/Thursday but the exact type, how long, on who exactly gets what is still up in the air!

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ALL for now!

Unsettled!| Colder for Christmas| Snow? Rain?

This week will be a bit busy and stormier than we have seen. The region is very dry and we need the rain! Today rain will be intermittent showers. Still quite mild in the 50s. The heavier rains look like they will come in tomorrow. There could even be some thunder in areas! Rain will end Tuesday, but mild weather will continue. Showers look to return Thursday and this will be the front that ushers in much cooler air. Temps Thursday in the 50s, but Friday in the lower 40s north and still upper 40s to low 50s South. Then the weekend looks really chilly with 30s and 40s for all.

What about Christmas? I will say, long term forecasting is at an all time low in confidence that I would even have an idea! There LOOKS like a storm right after Christmas that could bring some white to the region. I wish I had more confidence there! There is at least a signal of an approaching system. The exact fate is too far away for me to be certain of types!

All for now!

Much colder today - Milding up and then some rain! Colder air?

We have to realize there will be colder shots in this milder pattern. Today we feel it! Cold start with lows in the 20s and 30s. Temps will rebound to just the 40s today. Tomorrow they head back to normal, and then 60 is again in sights this weekend. The only issues this weekend will be the rain chances starting Sunday and into Monday. We were super dry in November so this is a welcome sight. 

As of now the chances I can see for more sustained colder and possible snowy pattern would be towards the end of the month! This month turned out much milder than I expected!

All for now!

Nice and mild next few days - Pattern change, maybe not as fast as hoped!

Very mild today and tomorrow We see a step down to cooler weather by Wednesday and then much cooler Thursday. Highs 60s and 70s today, tomorrow, and Tuesday!
Showers are possible tonight and Tuesday night.

Weather will stay seasonably cool into the next weekend with the chance of showers Friday night and also Sunday night into Monday!

If the pattern does turn the real chances of wintry weather will come after next Sunday.

All for now.

Updates on the snow threat! Rest of week.

SORRY for the duplicate! Had to fix something!

 

First off, this is NO BIG DEAL, except that it is early in the season!

 

I do think areas above 500 feet in NW VA and into Western MD could see enough to coat a cars, and grass. You get up into southern PA and NJ you could see snow to 1 to 3 inches! Even in these areas it would be on grass and cars for the most part.

 

Cool weather continues the rest of the week, but not cold. Highs in the upper 40s and lower 50s. Looks dry too!

 

Instead of what I was thinking with much colder conditions to usher in the December calendar the area could be in a mild flow of 50s and 60s by the first week of December!

 

There are signs that after the week of warmth we would see a cool to cold pattern re-establish itself or even get very cold. So far away!

 

MAY do a video with some explanation on why it may be that way soon!

 

All for now!

 

 

Updates on the snow threat! Rest of week.

First off, this is NO BIG DEAL, except that it is early in the season!

 

I do think areas above 500 feet in NW VA and into Western MD could see enough to coat a cars, and grass. You get up into southern PA and NJ you could see snow to 1 to 3 inches! Even in these areas it would be on grass and cars for the most part.

 

Cool weather continues the rest of the week, but not cold. Highs in the upper 40s and lower 50s. Looks dry too!

 

Instead of what I was thinking with much colder conditions to usher in the December calendar the area could be in a mild flow of 50s and 60s by the first week of December!

 

There are signs that after the week of warmth we would see a cool to cold pattern re-establish itself or even get very cold. So far away!

 

MAY do a video with some explanation on why it may be that way soon!

 

All for now!

 

Less wind and sunny cold|Milder tomorrow|Rain?Snow?Nothing?

Unlike yesterday, today we will have calm winds and sunny skies to help offset the cold temps. Highs again only in the 40s. Tomorrow looks a bit milder with highs reaching the lower 50s for many.

Tuesday is a big question mark! Why? Well we have a system that may not be all that energized coming to the region. There could be some showers. Rain may mix with snow in the North and western Suburbs of teh DC/ Baltimore area and even in the DC and Baltimore later in the day depending on how much precipitation falls, and the track of this system and energy. This is not much of a system at this point, but models are having a hard time with exact set up. I will watch, but it does not look too impressive no matter what falls!

We look cool with highs remaining in the upper 40s to lower 50s the rest of the week. The cold air that is building in Canada is remaining stuck as the pattern is also stuck up in the Bering straights (ya near Alaska!) and that is keeping us from the stormy and cold pattern that I had believed would come. Will watch for that to change!

The Web Site will be a slow process to get back to all working! Please be patient!

All for now!

Colder today & Possible snow Tuesday Night!

The weather has changed as a modified arctic front came through bringing much colder air and winds! We could see a flurry today. Temps will struggle into the 40s today and 30s for the mountains!

Nicer tomorrow with no winds. A little warmer Monday. We will see some clouds.

What about the snow?
Best chances in MD, and PA in the higher elevations. There may be some flakes to talk about down into the city but we are talking Northern VA and MD not further south, at least at this time.

OLD STYLE WEB SITE RETURNING!
I wanted a lot of my old links back. The main forecast page will likely go to WordPress from the Blogger site, but the skin will be back, to the old style! I am excited about it! Look for a lot of new weather sites as well over the next weeks as we get State specific and even location specific!

More to come!

Cold End of November coming! How cold, will there be Snow? Do not know!

Just a heads up to enjoy this week as the cold air looks like it is coming a week from Monday. Cold air after the first of December. It may take some time, so we will need to watch. Something should break dam of cold air that is going to flood the US. I suspect it within the first week of December. Timing of the arctic air mass looks tough to call!

We will see!

Winter this year looks big!

All for now!

Warm today - much cooler tomorrow! Rain and maybe thunder?

It will be another very nice and warm day for this time of year! 71 for a high at Reagan International Airport yesterday! Highs will again be in the mid and upper 60s! Tomorrow highs may struggle to the lower 50s! 50s will be the rule the rest of the week. We do have a good chance of rain tonight and early tomorrow. 

The 50s will continue to rule through the weekend with dry conditions.

Next week there appears to be a chance of a coastal system that COULD cause rain and winds again in time for Thanksgiving. This is so far off, I would just make a note of it at this time!

All for now!

Nice and warm today and tomorrow! Cooler weather returns after Tuesday rains

First off, than you Veterans for your service to this Country! We are thankful to live in a free country and the Best one in the World!

Wow, it was gorgeous yesterday and it will be the same today! Highs will be in the 60s and low 70s! A strong cold front with rain, and maybe even thunder, will pass through Tuesday. Much cooler air with highs of 50s Tuesday and only 40s to mid 50s Wednesday and then 50s the rest of the week! Sunny skies look to visit Wednesday through Friday.

Next weekend into the following week looks like it COULD pose another storm system threat! Way to early to say how that one would play out, but some hints at a coastal low!

All for now!

Very nice weekend. 70s possible Sunday and Monday

The weather will turn warmer as sunny skies warm up things as well as a change in the wind direction. A few gusts of wind this morning, but a nice day with highs a little below normal. Tomorrow we will see highs in the 60s and then upper 60s to mid-70s Sunday and Monday. A pretty strong front will come through on Monday so that Tuesday we will see highs in the 50s for the most part and a chance of showers and even some thunderstorms cannot be ruled out. Cooler weather for Wednesday and Thursday, but we could see warmer temps again for a few days. Cooler air could visit the following week.

 

All for now!

 

 

 

Cool and breezy today, warming over the weekend -5 days of dry weather!

Some absolute amazing numbers for the snow in the Northeast! Some areas in NJ seeing 15 inches of snow! The Nor’easter will still provide some breezes today and many in east MD and Delaware did see some flurry/wet snow flakes mixed in with some showers last evening. Definitely NOT the storm that I was thinking for the area a few days back. Now that we are in a Positive NAO state (North Atlantic Oscillation – Read more here: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/North_atlantic_oscillation) we will see milder conditions! Temps by Sunday and Monday will approach the 70s for southern areas and the 60s for many!

 

The next rain chances look to be Tuesday – There are signs this will be a very strong cold front and cause the chance for severe weather and gusty winds. Wednesday will feature a real cool down, but more mild weather looks to follow briefly. As of now, Thanksgiving week looks to be the transition back to colder weather and there are hints at possibly more storms as the NAO may go back to negative. That is too far out to be a sure thing at this time.

 

All for now!

 

 

 

Snow flurries northern VA&Eastern MD EAST of I95

I see I have failed to update from the snow threat! Models took a high shift to the right and the snow threat is up in Philadelphia and NJ as well as Eastern PA. There could be some light accumulations in Northeastern MD and DE.

Cold weather next 3 days will turn much milder this weekend. The cold air looks to come back somewhere late next week into Thanksgiving time frame based on what I see.

All I have time for - sorry!

Jimmy

Snow is likely in parts of the area!

I cannot deny 12 runs of the European model showing a snow storm for parts of the region! We are early, and if it were December we would all be going crazy with the snow talk. It is November, and that still could mean snow will fly for parts of the region.

When? Wednesday rain will likely overspread the region from the south and cool the atmosphere so that snow starts falling in the higher (above 1000 feet area)

Where? The rain will need to cool the atmosphere a bit, and areas above 1000 feet will see snow after some initial rain. This is mainly a Northern VA event, into Maryland, and Central and Eastern PA. The snow levels could drop throughout the event and snow could start in the western suburbs overnight.

How much? Beats me! Climate says lower elevations would just see some dusting. The European and some models show much more! If I were to give an idea of how much I would say 3 to 6 inches above 1000 feet with the higher elevations seeing closer to the 6 inches. But as the colder air filters in, the western suburbs, at lower elevations, may see 1 - 3 inches! Yes - crazy!

What about the rest of the forecast?
Well Colder than normal temps will continue through Thursday and a milding up pattern after that with temps reaching the 60s and 70s by next Monday! The longer range outlook sees a chance of a significant front around the 15th and then a colder pattern with more possibilities of east coast storms!

Busy times ahead!

Confidence index on storm Wednesday

- Low pressure will affect the region: High

- Rain as precipitation: Very confident

Accumulating snow:

- VA/MD - Above 1000 Feet - Medium/high

- PA - Above 1000 Feet - High

- Rt West along Rt 15 North of Charlottesville - Medium

Snow Flakes:

- I-95 to Rt 15 north of Frederiksburg - Medium

- Western MD - West of 95 - Medium

- West-Central - PA  - high

A cold Nor'easter - If it were a month later - wow!

First we get through this weekend. It was a lot cloudier than I thought yesterday and then we have a system close enough by to the south that is causing some showers especially in NC. We get better clearing in the north. A cold night is in store for the area with freeze and frosts to hit the area and make sure that the growing season ends for some more of the area! 

Our attention the turns to the Wednesday system. This one is so classic, but just early for all to see a big snow. You get above 1000 feet and that would likely be a different story! Snow, and maybe a pretty significant snow amount, appears likely. This would be NW VA, Western MD, Western PA - 

The reality for lower elevations will be very cold rains and some mixing with snow, especially west of I-95 north of Fredericksburg and down to Charlottesville. This will be a cold and windy rain for the coastal plains and then we have to worry about the shore and the heavy winds causing some floods.

We will see this system move out slowly. Then we will mild up for next weekend and may even see some 60s and 70s! 

A lot more to come as details work out! I will again attempt to do a two times a day and more often likely at http://www.facebook.com/midatlanticweather and twitter at http://twitter.com/midatlanticwx

Will likely post a few thoughts after noon model runs.

All for now!

Cool and then snow?

I need to really kick it back into high gear on posting! I have been very active at http://www.facebook.com/midatlanticweather and at http://twitter.com/midatlanticwx

In general we have a couple of camps next week - a model that phases (joins) 2 systems and causes a sizable Nor'easter and then models that come close to doing the same, and then others that let the system go out to sea!

What do I think?

I am seeing a phase, but not sure it is as aggressive as the European says. Also, I am skeptical of lower elevations seeing snow! You get to 1000 feet or above, I am more confident. That being said, if the storm system (happening some time between Tuesday Night and Thursday) does occur at night and does have heavy precipitation, elevations west of I-95 may see some snow and others a mix! 

As of this AM - posted by Henry Margusity of Accuweather - the European snow map shows this!

https://sphotos-b.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-snc7/381885_545165465497167_1026626952_n.png

I remain reserved for this region seeing snow, but further North I am pretty convinced as long as we see the phasing! That being said there are elements there that would lead me to believe snow could fly. If I sound unsure, well I am! 

In the near term:

Cool conditions in general persist with highs in the 50s and lows in the 30s for most.

Cool and sunny day today and a bit of clouds tomorrow!

More later!

For coastal zones - time to make preparations

This storm will be very strong. You will have to deal with it like in a Hurricane, but this wind field will expand and will be felt from NC/VA to Maine! Do not focus on the exact landfall as the affects will be over a huge area! The Mountains of West MD, Northern WV, And west PA could have a devastating snow storm! Flurries and snow showers could reach DC and Richmond by Wednesday! This will be an incredible storm! Stay tuned, prepare, and stay tuned in to weather and news outlets!

All for now!

Update on Storm for Sunday - Tuesday!

Due to extenuating circumstances I have not been able to update!

What I know:

1. Sandy is a Hurricane and is strengthening steadily! The strength of her is an important ingredient in this situation.
2. We are still days away! Models are shifting around but are converging on an East coast system/ hybrid Hurricane - exact details are tough, but it looks significant
3. If things materialized this system will be a multi-punch system!
1. Winds along coast and inland
2. Very heavy rains, especially along coastal plains
3. Storm surge and coastal flooding
4. Heavy mountain snows - 12"+ amounts in higher elevations
4. Where???? Based on model projection and, NOT YET a forecast -
   
1. East of I-95 for areas of NC, VA, MD, Central PA, look bad
2. DE, NJ, Eastern PA, NY, and MA look Severe!
   
5. SO MANY variables so do not get locked in on details, but be prepared! Stay tuned for future updates!

All for now!

Clearing day and then Great week of weather ahead!

The storms and needed rains of last night are departing and there is some residual cloudiness and fog burning off, but the day looks to get better and better as it goes along with many in the 70s today.

Weekend looks great! Awesome site seeing time with so many trees in color! Highs will be in the seasonal 60s and nights in the 40s (cooler mountains)

Next week is as good of a forecast as you can get! Highs daily in the 70s and nights 40s and 50s. I am not seeing a rain chance until a week from Sunday!

Enjoy the weather. A strong front and cooler weather look likely the following week.

Awesome stuff!

Of note, a lot of model runs point to a Tropical system in the gulf next week. We will see!

All for now!

Warm with a chance of Severe today!! Beautiful weekend! Very warm next year!

Risk of severe continues into the night. Again, the biggest risk is winds, but an isolated tornado could occur. The severe does not look widespread. Rain is more likely this afternoon and could last into the evening! Temps in the 70s and breezy conditions. Showers could linger into tomorrow morning and highs again tomorrow will reach the 70s.

This weekend looks great with highs in the 60s and clear skies!

Next week looks warm! A large storm will be advancing across the country and strong southerly winds should pump up the temps. That storm will arrive, probably next weekend and we should watch for another severe threat then, That will set the stage to a cool/cold spell for the following week. Long term I see this being a temporary cool down!

All for now!

Jimmy

Slight Risk of Severe Thursday! Seasonal Weekend! Warm next week!

The system that will be coming through could bring gusty winds in showers and storms!

The SPC has highlighted good amount of the area with a slight risk. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk_1730.gif

The weekend looks really nice! Fall like with colors at peak or close to it in the mountains! Go take a look and some photos!

Next week we look to really warm up. 70s will be widespread. A colder shot should visit after that, but it looks transient!

My winter forecast will be out by the end of the weekend!

All for now!

Slight risk of severe! Warmer next week!

The system that will be coming through could bring gusty winds in showers and storms!

The SPC has highlighted good amount of the area with a slight risk. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk_1730.gif

The weekend looks really nice! Fall like with colors at peak or close to it in the mountains! Go take a look and some photos!

Next week we look to really warm up. 70s will be widespread. A colder shot should visit after that, but it looks transient!

My winter forecast will be out by the end of the weekend!

All for now!

Slight risk of Severe tomorrow! Seasonal weekend! Warm next week!

The system that will be coming through could bring gusty winds in showers and storms!

The SPC has highlighted good amount of the area with a slight risk. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk_1730.gif

The weekend looks really nice! Fall like with colors at peak or close to it in the mountains! Go take a look and some photos!

Next week we look to really warm up. 70s will be widespread. A colder shot should visit after that, but it looks transient!

My winter forecast will be out by the end of the weekend!

All for now!

test

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test

Slight severe risk tomorrow! Nice Weekend! Warmer next week!

The system that will be coming through could bring gusty winds in showers and storms!

The SPC has highlighted good amount of the area with a slight risk. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk_1730.gif

The weekend looks really nice! Fall like with colors at peak or close to it in the mountains! Go take a look and some photos!

Next week we look to really warm up. 70s will be widespread. A colder shot should visit after that, but it looks transient!

My winter forecast will be out by the end of the weekend!

All for now!

Brilliant fall weather has some interruptions of rain!

Today temps will be in the 70s and some showers are possible. Another cool night ahead with lows in the 40s and the 50s. Monday will see increasing clouds and rain overspreading from the south to the north. Highs will again be in the 70s. Showers will be light tomorrow and then some stronger rains Monday night and Tuesday. there is a risk for thunderstorms Tuesday.

By Wednesday things look to dry out and a continuation of temps in the 70s to near 80!

Next Weekend we may see a serious cool down with 30s even possible in the region! We will have to see!

All for now!

Hot end to summer - rains Sunday and Monday (and beyond)

Today it will be hot, but not too humid. The forecast has highs topping in the middle 90s. A good end to Meteorological Summer which was very hot and finally turned towards the end of July! Tomorrow looks pretty hot too with highs getting close to 90 and some humidity creeping its way in. Sunday into Monday moisture from Isaac will enhance a front that will stall somewhere in VA. Some areas into early next week will get 1 to 2 inches of rain from the system. As of now that looks like the Piedmont and mountain regions of NC and VA. Northern VA, MD and PA look more like a half inch to inch of rains set up. Areas overall could get more in thunderstorms. That front is going to linger around next week and provide at least a chance of showers through Wednesday when another front comes in and could enhance the rain threat. Some sunny days may follow. 80s seem to dominate the forecast highs starting Sunday and all next week. Towards the end of next week or next weekend, areas in Northern VA, DC, MD, PA could see highs staying in the 70s. Fall is coming!

All for now!

Severe Possible today - Watch possible noted by SPC - Northern VA, MD, NJ, DE

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1630.html

Muggy again today and we need to watch for possible severe.

Jimmy

HOT today with Severe Threat! Slightly cooler for some tomorrow - More storms later this week

I do think that overall we are in a slow cool down trend and think the worst heat waves are pretty much done this year. That being said, a day or 2 of 90+ temps with high humidity is not unlikely for Northern VA, MD, and PA. Central VA will still have 90+ days as it is just climatology. But, in general, I think we head for cooler temps as a mean. Today is a hot one though! Temps will peak in the mid and upper 90s! Heat indexes will also be in the 100 - 105 degree range. We also have a threat of severe today. Some models had a derecho look to it and caused some alarm yesterday. I am concerned of a line of severe especially South of Fredericksburg down in to NC, or even a Meso Convective Complex (already see this heading to this area on national Radar) . Isolated to scattered strong storms do look possible throughout the region as a front comes through the north areas and and gets hung up in NC. That front will come back up north Thursday and Friday and continue chances for storms after a drier Wednesday for areas of Northern VA, MD, and PA. 

Today - we already have a line of racing storms that could come through later this morning in MD and North VA! Quick strong winds and heavy rains could accompany them. As mentioned - HOT!

SPC Severe Wind Outlook - http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1probotlk_1200_wind.gif

Tomorrow, for the north will be less humid and a cooler day. Southern half could see some storms. 

Thursday, an increase in humidity and storm chances come back. Highs 90s area wide

Friday will feature a better chance of storms across all the region. Highs again around 90 north and low 90s south.

Saturday - More showers and storms possible. Highs 80s to low 90s.

Sunday - Drying up some - highs in the upper 80s to low 90s.

All for now!

Concerns rising over possible derecho tomorrow

Will watch!

It's Back! Heat, Humidity, chance of severe! Hello Monday!

So, we had a huge break from the heat this weekend, but it was not too far away and the winds shift today to make it come back! Humidity is also really high today. So the summer of 2012 continues its relentless grip. By now, I had thought El Nino would have kicked in to help quell the heat some. I do think the worst of summer may be over, but even the not so hot stuff of summer remains uncomfortable!

 

90s today and tomorrow. Temps will feel around 100 to 105. Over the next 24 hours there is a chance that some severe weather could affect us. Today this is especially true for MD and PA, but possibly even northern VA. Tomorrow it is region wide as a front comes through.

 

Temps and humidity back off some Wednesday but 90s and a chance of storms returns Thursday, Friday, and Saturday with highs in the 90s, maybe upper 80s north Saturday. There are also some meteorologists and models showing a chance of a more widespread severe event Thursday, Friday, or even Saturday. Will see if that pans out.

 

Tropics are pretty much calm, except a disturbance that drenched Florida yesterday which has dissipated today.

 

All for now!

Sumertime pattern to return

The crazy thing of yesterday was that we were well below normal with temps after such a hot week. Yesterday DC and Baltimore had record low High temps! Last Wednesday, 100+ temps!

 

After today a warmer/hotter pattern returns with highs around 90 each day. Thunderstorm chances seem possible each day and there is concern that sometime between Thursday and Saturday there could be a real severe weather outbreak in the northeast and mid Atlantic.

 

So a typical summer week with a chance of late week severe!

 

I cannot rule out some severe tomorrow either based on some parameters in the set up.

 

All for now!

 

 

Another day around 100| Nicer weather Friday through the weekend

We see a day of clear but hazy skies and temps nearing the century mark again! It has been a rough summer and the drought is not looking good for food prices! Not much of  risk of any storms today, except maybe the mountains as they seem to be able to eek out a few storms on days like today. Along and east of I-95, temps of nearly 100 will cause more records to tie or fall!

 

Wednesday is a bit tricky. PA and N MD could be seeing some storms towards daybreak and these storms could become more scattered through the area as a front slowly sinks southward. Depending on cloud cover areas will likely again see highs into the mid and upper 90s, but this time with a bit more moisture which could mean some heat advisory (105 feels like temps). The convection that does fire tomorrow could become severe in spots and definitely could contain very heavy rains. All should be monitored.

 

Thursday looks cloudy north with scattered showers and storms as the front slowly sinks south. Southern VA and NC look most primed for severe, but heavy local rains still looks possible.

 

Storminess will exit the North, but southern VA and NC should still have some showers and storms Friday and even Saturday in NC. Temps north of the front will have dropped to the mid and upper 80s and lower dew points which look to last through the weekend! NC will remain a bit of a battle zone so Northern NC could be nice and dry why southern areas see some storminess and warmer temps, and even the chance for really heavy rains.

 

Temps return to the 90s most regions by Monday!

 

All for now!

 

 

 

Wild storms yesterday|Clearing but HOT skies ahead! Cooler late in week

Yesterday featured quite a few storms and some produced some awesome shelf clouds. Check out WTVR 6 picture round up http://wtvr.com/2012/07/15/storm-pics-from-sunday-july-15/

 

Today starts several days of uncomfortable highs in the 90s and high humidity. Storm chances look best along ridges and along the coastal areas, and more towards the NC area.

 

Highs Tuesday look down right HOT with temps nearing 100 and heat indexes again climbing to 105 or higher in cities. Heat advisories yet again will be issued.

 

Wednesday a front will make its way through the area. This will bring down the temps in the north, but the humidity may be able to offset the cooler temps. Showers and storms will become more numerous with the chance of some severe. That front will continue pushing to the south but make slower progression across the southern half of VA and for NC. So that means a good chance of more showers and storms Thursday for these regions. Then the Front moves further south, giving NC one more day of stormy weather, but VA will be sitting cooler with less humidity Friday.

 

The whole region looks nice and seasonal temperature wise this weekend with lower humidity. I have a feeling we will see the return of the warmth next week, so do not get too used to it!

 

All for now!

 

 

Soupy! Hot and Humid with Local downpours!

The hazy hot and humid weather is here at least through Wednesday. With weaknesses in the Bermuda high some chances exist each day for rain and some could be very heavy. Please do not drive through water! Your life and property are too valuable.

Temps will be in the low and mid 90s today, then mid and upper 90s through Wednesday. Storms will be scattered about today and less likely Monday and Tuesday. A better chance returns Wednesday.

Later in the week the temps will come down a bit and a little less humidity.

Temps around 90 will be the common rule after Wednesday, but before then, temps will be around 100 degrees!

Jimmy

Just so hot - then a break - severe potential Sunday

With subsiding (sinking) air we will see temps really soar today and tomorrow. Isolated locations could see crazy high temps tomorrow of even 105 or higher as sinking air can warm localities even higher than what we think in the forecast and can be isolated hot pockets (queue Jim Gaffigan) around. Does it matter - NO - it is gonna be downright super hot!

Sunday will see the approach of a cold front with cooler air on the other side. The clash of the air masses will definitely mean a chance for severe weather and so we need to stay alert.

Next week looks like a break! Temps will go back to seasonal norms of the mid and upper 80s and then by later in the week even some low and mid 80s. Due to instability a chance of afternoon thunderstorms occurs across the region Monday and across the southern ha;f of the region straight through the end of the week.

Enjoy the break as it does look brief! Temps will rise again before too long as the global weather pattern seems to favor a hotter forecast. This is quite different than I had first thought for summer as it appeared El Nino would be showing up by now, but it has not established itself yet!

All for now!

Th heat is on and I am back - Hot today & tomorrow - storms - cooling trend coming

If you have not noticed, it is hot! Temps today will again soar to a few degrees around 90. With the heat and humidity heat values will make it to the mid 90s. The National Weather Service has decided to issues a heat advisory due to it being so early in the year.

Yesterday's Meso Convective System was quite the system and was a fun one to watch. We MAY see some storms today and tomorrow especially along the Mountain Ridges that seem to get the storms from the lift.

Tomorrow will see a better chance of storms as the front moves across the area. That front will have issues clearing too far to the south and east and will absorb Beryl into it providing good rains for the Carolinas. The weakness will also become a focus later in the week for a storm to ride up the east coast. that looks to happen Friday into Saturday. Temps will be cool this weekend with highs only in the 60s and low 70s. Warmer temps should return next week.

Temps will be around 90 today and tomorrow, 70s to low 80s Wednesday through Friday.

Rare Cold Nor'easter with #rain and #snow

Rain will start to intensify for the region this afternoon as a low pressure along the SE coastline intensifies and begins moving north and starts to phase with northern stream energy. 

Impacts:

SNOW:

The system will continue to get stronger and wrap in cold air so that mountains deal with a serious snow storm with many seeing in excess of 6" of snow and even 1 to 2 feet in some of the highest elevations from Northern WV, Far western MD, Western PA, and SW NY. As the system continues wrapping colder air in, the DC, Baltimore, and Philadelphia areas could see a rain/snow mix tomorrow morning and even tomorrow evening.

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/pwpf_24hr/prb_24hsnow_ge01_2012042212f048.gif

RAIN:

Rain amounts could be 2 to 3" along the coastal plains with 1 to 3" along i-95 and around an inch on the immediate Piedmont of the Appalachians. This is welcome news and other than localized flooding due to poor drainage, the water table is in need of some water input.

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/d13_fill.gif

WIND:

With such and intensifying low pressure the winds will be a factor! This could mean serious beach erosion for some, coastal flooding, and a lot of downed trees in the wet snow areas. Winds along the coast could gust to 50 mph and many will see 30 to 40 mph winds. Inland areas will see mainly 15 - 25 mph wind gusts. Prepare now with generators, flashlights, and whatever other needs you would have if power goes out.

http://www.intellicast.com/WxImages/WINDcast/usa_018.jpg?t=148

Should be a wild ride. 

Earth Day Note: This last week ice levels on the planet are now above normal! Yes! ABOVE normal. As a matter of fact we have seen some of the highest ice levels ever recorded on satellites in the last several weeks! Crazy! Global warming.... where are you?

Clearing Today|Sunny Friday|Heavy rains in Showers and Storms this weekend!

After getting rain yesterday 9isolated folks had quite a bit with showers and storms) we see a drier day with sunny skies. The temps will rebound from the 50s and 60s yesterday to the 60s and lower 70s today. Cool night and then a very nice Friday with highs reaching the mid an upper 70s.

Rain for the Weekend. Totals 2 - 4" ....

Saturday will see temps again in the 70s but showers and storms will become common from west to east as the day progresses. temps will struggle out if the 50s and
lower 60s

Sunday with rain being a good bet all day, and quite a bit too! See HPC's outlook - http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/95e12p48iwbg_fill.gif

Cool air will start to get entrained into the system and Snows in the higher elevations could definitely be falling Sunday night into Monday morning above 2500 feet, but higher elevations of PA and NY look to get the most amounts.

Cool conditions settle in Monday and Tuesday with highs struggling into the 50s Monday and 50s to low 60s Tuesday. A warming trend looks possible later next week with highs possibly again approaching the 80 degree mark or higher.

All for now!

Hot day - Cooler week but still mild - Rain?

Temp will be very warm today and be close to 90 for many. A front will come through overnight and drop temps, but no rain and we need the rains! Temps will be much cooler tomorrow in the 70s for most. Cooler still Wednesday with highs in the Upper 60s to mid 70s which should be repeated Thursday. A bit warmer Friday with later day increasing clouds. I am hoping we see some rain Friday night and Saturday as the region is getting very below normal on rainfall and we will start to see the affects very soon without a turnaround.

All in all, a nice dry forecast for the week. Also, of note, pollen counts are about as high as you can get today! Pollen.com has the Northern VA, MD area at an 11.8 out of 12 for pollen! Accumulating pollen for sure!

Interesting article out from Justin Berk, a Baltimore area Met. http://www.examiner.com/weather-in-baltimore/baltimore-temperature-is-too-high-at-bwi-runway-asphalt-impacts-climate-record?cid=db_articles

All for now!

Are you ready for Summer Green? Your Lawn needs some attention now! Check http://lawndesignva.com/ and set up an appointment for an estimate!

Also, with this heat, there is a need to get your AC working. Try http://rhjohnsonhvac.com/ and get service. He helped me a lot last year and I will be replacing my whole AC unit with him this year! Helped a friend this winter too! Trusted, honest, and super nice guy!

Windy day signifies colder air|Freeze & Frost | Cooler but still above normal

Temps will likely peak this AM across the North and then fall under gusty winds. Temps will struggle to the he low and mid 60s north, but manage the 70 to 75 degree mark south.

A cold night will bring Frost and Freeze concerns to the mountains and valleys and even lower elevations of Northern VA, MD, PA, NJ. Temps in PA and some valley and mountains could hit the 20s and low 30s elsewhere in these regions. 30s elsewhere with low 40s south. Tomorrow will be the first seasonable day in weeks with highs in the 50s for the most part - closer to 50 north and upper 50s south.

We bounce back strongly Wednesday with highs soaring again to the 70s, to close to 80 south.  A fairly strong front will cross the region Wednesday with the threat of severe possible based on some dynamics that will have to be watched. This will front will bring slightly cooler air again but temps will remain 5 to 10 degrees above normal.

Dry conditions after Wednesday may last through next Monday. Then we have something odd to watch Early next week - there could be a New England inland snow and a cold few days to content with.

All for now.

Get that Crabgrass preventer down. Do it yourself or get my friend at Lawn Design to do it. http://www.lawndesignva.com

Warm Friday will turn to a cooler rainy weekend

Today,after morning fog, a warm and sunny day will mark the end of the truly warmer weather. Highs in the 80s.

Rain and quite a bit of it for the weekend. Highs will cool to the 60s and steady to occasionally heavy rain will fall with
1 to 3 inches fairly common. Some severe also seems possible tomorrow for most of Southern VA and NC. Rain will continue Sunday.

More later concerning severe and flood threats.

Isolated Showers and #Thunderstorms today| 70s all week|Saturday rain

Today will feature scattered to isolated showers and some Thunderstorms. Highs will be in the 70s.

Showers and storms will continue to be a threat across the southern half of Virginia and North Carolina tomorrow, and across the VA/NC border into North Carolina all week.

High will be low and mid 70s north and mid 70s to around 80 south.

Another chance of widespread showers and storms hits Saturday.

If in the DC area the Cherry Blossoms will peak within the next 2 days (probably tomorrow). 

Tomorrow at 1:14 AM ET, Astronomical Spring begins!

All for now!

Did not ever Share, how this #winter compared to others in DC Area!

...AVG TEMPS THIS METEOROLOGICAL WINTER...

DCA...43.4F RANKS 3RD WARMEST WINTER ON RECORD /BEHIND 44.6F IN
1931-32 AND 44.3F IN 1889-90.

BWI...40.7F RANKS 7TH WARMEST WINTER ON RECORD /45.3F IN 1931-32 IS
THE WARMEST/...AND THE WARMEST WINTER SINCE 1949-50.

IAD...40.1F RANKS WARMEST ON RECORD...WHICH BREAKS THE PREVIOUS
WARMEST WINTER OF 39.8F SET IN 2001-02 

#fog to start|Hazy sunshine possible later| Storms possible South and West|Storms tomorrow

Anyone that is getting the easterly winds from the backdoor front is seeing a foggy start this AM. Temps have cooled to the low and mid 50s for most, but 40s showing up for areas near the ocean or bay. Highs today could be a bit cooler for folks due to the haze and fog today, but still at least 10 to 15 degrees above normal. There could be some showers over SW Virginia and western NC. 

Scattered showers and storms will visit the whole region tomorrow with highs pretty close to today's but maybe a few degrees warmer due to southerly winds. Tuesday looks to continue a chance for showers and storms to the south (southern half of VA and NC) Temps again in the 70s. 

Rest of the week looks to stay in the 70s and fairly dry until Friday Night and Saturday when the next set of showers and storms could enter the area.

For the fun fact in weather today, Anchorage, AK is 3.3" short of establishing the snowiest season on record.  http://articles.boston.com/2012-03-17/news/31205384_1_snow-disposal-sites-city-crews-arctic-oscillation 

All for now!

Regional Weather today - Sun North - chance of showers and storms south!

Northern VA, Central VA, MD, PA-
Today and tomorrow will be pleasantly warm in the north areas with sun and highs in the upper 60s to low and mid 70s.

Southwestern VA, and areas along the NC/VA border and into NC-
Highs mid 70s with a chance of shower and storms straight through tomorrow.

Showers and storms look to be area wide Monday.

Storm chance will continue over southern VA and NC Tuesday. All areas look dry then through Friday with temps ranging from about 70 north to the upper 70s south!

All still looking about 20 degrees above normal!

All for now!

Get that Lawn some St Patrick's Day Green! reach out to http://www.lawndesignva.com today!

Record heat - thunderstorms for Friday - Bit cooler for weekend - Heat comes back next week!

Today we will see a record setting day of high temperatures! So far in the last few days 835 record High Temperatures have been recorded. We will see many more today in the Mid Atlantic as temps spike to around 30 degrees above normal. Later this afternoon showers and storms could get going in the western areas especially west of the mountains. Overnight that spreads east and scattered showers and storms will be firing throughout Friday and into Friday evening. Temps will likely be about 10 to 15 degrees tomorrow and then maybe a few degrees cooler Saturday. Still WAY above normal. Temps will be in the low and mid 70s Saturday and in the Mid an upper 60s Sunday. Do not fret as the heat wave will continue next week as temps again soar into the 70s!

Seriously, get your Crabgrass preventer ASAP. Get in touch with my friend Dave at Lawn Design. I am doing this as a favor to him. http://www.lawndesign.com

All for now!

Jimmy

#record #warmth to remind us of Summer

The temps are going to soar to the low and mid 80s for many the next 2 days! Amazing warmth and many records will likely topple! We have an increasing chance of Showers and storms, starting tomorrow and then again Friday. This will cool us down to the 70s for the weekend (almost 20+ degrees above normal)

Did Spring sneak up on you? Well, if you are not careful the Crabgrass will too! Please reach out to my friend Dave at Lawn Design and get your pre-emergent crabgrass preventer down TODAY!

http://lawndesignva.com 

All for now!

Spring has sprung this week!

What a pleasant stretch of weather! Highs will be in the upper 60s to low 70s today, and then 70s the rest of the week! Highs may approach 80 Thursday and Friday. Showers tonight and then a chance of showers and thunderstorms tomorrow! Another rain chance Friday night into Saturday!

Spring for sure!

Jimmy

On the cusp of #Spring

First off the huge snow today! WOW! Guys, that was A HUGE miss by me.. I had downplayed the event in my mind so much that I was just not on top of it at all! I was then in meeting most of the day, and, since weather cannot make me money, I could not neglect the job!

Amazing reports from Orange County of 8 to 10 inch snows. A heavy band set up and just snowed and snowed! Awesome for them, although I heard driving was a nightmare and many kids were at school! http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/lwx/events/snowmaps/

So we get really cold tonight with lows around 20 in the suburbs, even teens, especially if you have any snow pack! Colder than normal one more day and then a jump in temps! Highs in the 40s tomorrow to around 60 Wednesday, to 65 to 75 Thursday!

Temps cool to the 50 Friday and Saturday, but rebound again Sunday!

Looking at the long term maps, warmth is shown to overspread, not just the US, but into Canada! That is a good sign for Spring!


For the greenest lawns in the world, check out Lawn Design in Central and Eastern Loudoun County VA! http://www.lawndesignva.com

All for now!

#snow impacting most of VA!

Snow has made it over most of Virginia - Heaviest bande along the Charlottesville - Frericksburg area as this seems to be the are just north of teh main low - 4 - ^' of snow there! 1-4" elsewhere south down to Richmond - Winter's last grasp!

60s and 70s expected Thursday and Friday!

#Snow in the forecast - especially central VA

We will have a cooler day with highs in the 40s to close to 50 in the south. It will be cloudy. Some areas along the coast are seeing rain showers as well.  

Tonight we start to see a clipper's influence and areas from Roanoke to Charlottesville and across the central part of VA could see 1 to 2" of snow with some local amounts near 3" in higher elevations. Areas across the southern half of VA may see some flakes and maybe up to 1/2" of snow on the grassy areas! Pinpointing the highest snow band has been a bit of a challenge. Highs tomorrow will only be in the low and mid 40s for many. Areas up to the MD/VA border MAY see a few flakes, but not much precipitation north of teh Fredericksburg area. May be able to put out a map later today. In general, higher elevations to see the higher 1-2" and on grass. Also, areas where snow starts before sunrise. Also,  snow is not forecast to shift northward up into the MD and DC areas at this point.

After the cold Monday, some warming Tuesday by about 10 degrees, another 10 for Wednesday, and then 5 degrees of so for Thursday and Friday as temps soar to the mid 60s and mid 70s.

Rain and a bit cooler for the weekend.

Jimmy

Rains ends - cooler - #snow showers and then back to Spring!

Thoughts and prayers to the hundreds that were affected by yesterday's major outbreak. 95 Tornado reports and at least 31 deaths so far. A serious day and it is amazing to have had so many so early.

The Mid Atlantic will see rain slowly winding down. Eastern NC and SC still seeing serious amounts of rain and the chance for severe. Please be careful down there.

The weather dries out and temps will fall this afternoon in the west and breezy conditions increase. Cooler days tomorrow with highs in the 50 to 55 degree range. The odd issue is that we will see a chance of snow showers Sunday Night into Monday morning for most of Virginia and Maryland. Temps in the 40s to low 50s Monday, 50 to 55 Tuesday, Mid 50s to mid 60s Wednesday, and then mid 60s to mid 70s by Thursday and Friday. After Monday we will see dry conditions!

All for now! 

Rain has quickly overspread area!

Look for rain and embedded thunderstorms rest of the day, tonight, and first half of tomorrow!

All for now!

Rain and Thunder & Severe Chances next 24 hours - Brief cool down to follow!

Cloudy skies will spread over the region today with showers and storms on the increase from the west. Some storms have already fired in SC and NC and that will continue on that line as it moves north and east.

SPC has highlighted the western half of VA, MD, NC, and SC for a slight risk of severe. Be alert to radio and news outlets for potential watches and/or warnings. - Of Note, a moderate risk is there for the far SW part of the state of VA and a stripe of Western WV -  http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_1200.gif

Showers and storms will blow through overnight with breezy conditions. Lows will not be much colder than today's highs of 50s and 60s.

Breezy conditions continue tomorrow with improving conditions in the afternoon after morning showers and storms, especially in the east. Temps will climb some and then fall again as the day progresses. Sunday will be about 5 to 10 degrees cooler. Then another cooler day Monday with highs only to the mid 40s north and mid 50s south.

Temps will then step up Tuesday by 5 degrees and Wednesday by another 5 to 10 degrees until Thursday when highs in the 60s and even low 70s visit with dry conditions expected!

All for now!

Very nice day! Rains Wednesday and Saturday!

It is going to be a beautiful day! Highs in the upper 50s to low 60s and sun! Tomorrow will not be as warm with highs low 50s north and upper 50s south. Then Wednesday there will be a potent system to our north with plenty of gulf moisture feeding it and causing widespread rain. There is a slight chance that as the precip starts a bit of sleet is mixed in, but rain will be the deal that day and colder temps of 40s and low 50s.

Thursday and Friday look seasonal with highs in the 50s. Friday night and Saturday more rain, maybe even some thunderstorms in the southern areas, will be possible. Temps will remain the same, but a chance of showers through the weekend.

All for now!

Comb over Advisory in effect! Cold winds today - snow showers - Mild ALL next week!

The cold winds will persist today, but not quite as strong as yesterday. The winds will make it feel like it is in the 30s and low 40s most of the day though highs should make it to the mid and upper 40s north and around 50 south! With dry air and windy conditions the fire danger, especially in NC, is higher than normal and Red Flag Warnings are posted due to this. Please be careful.

I should mention that there is some instability today so a brief snow shower cannot be ruled out. This will be a bit more common on the upslope snow areas.

Winds subside overnight  with lows in the 20s and low 30s.

Temps will come up a few degrees tomorrow with sunny skies.
 
Temps will jump upwards 10 degrees Monday to the mid and upper 50s to lower 60s! That temperature set up will last ALL WEEK! We will have rain chances Wednesday to deal with, but, otherwise, temps mid 50s to mid 60s area wide!

All for now!

Moderate Risk for Severe VA, NC, SC - High Winds

With Spring Like temps and a serious contract in temps and a strong cold front, the ingredients have come together to lift the severe threat to moderate for SE VA, NC, and SC. (http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_1300.gif)While there is a risk for high winds, quick hitting tornadoes could also occur in these areas. In general, a very windy day looks to occur with winds along the higher terrain going to 60 mph or higher at times. Elsewhere, winds in the 40s to around 50 mph could occur. This is a day that you will need to pay attention to the weather and not take it for granted. The Weather Channel has even upped their Tornado index to 4 in the SE VA, Eastern NC, the DELMARVA, and Eastern SC areas.
Delmarva Peninsula - 4
Southeast VA - 4
Eastern & central NC - 4
Eastern & central SC -
Eastern & southern GA -3
Other red areas - 2

Tornado watches already up in GA, and SC... just saw a tornado warning for Russel County, VA. Busy severe day ahead!

See http://www.weather.com/outlook/weather-news/news/articles/daily-torcon-forecast_2011-07-11 for more details!

Temps today will soar into the 70s before the front crashed through this afternoon with severe storms and very gusty winds.

After today, a much cooler weekend is in store with highs in the 40s to low 50s Winds will also be an issue for Saturday.

I will leave next week open as the next 12 to 15 hours will keep me plenty busy!

Stay tuned to news and weather outlets for watches and warnings today!

All for now!

The Mild up continues - Few showers - NC/SC Severe threat!

Remember that a few days ago we were dealing with a Snow storm in parts of the region! Today widespread 50s and 60s! Some places this morning for low temps were nearly 20 degrees warmer! You ain't seen nothing yet! Forecasts for places like Raleigh, NC will see 75 degrees tomorrow! They had SNOW Sunday! Or Lynchburg, VA that had 7" of snow will see 71 tomorrow! CRAZY!

Due to the moist air mass a few showers cannot be ruled out later today. Shoot SPC shows a Thunderstorm risk for parts of VA, NC, and SC and even a severe risk in Western NC and SC! Showers are more likely and especially this evening up north. Tomorrow is the "Warm" day will mid 60s to mid 70s possible area wide.

A convoluted set up occurs Friday into Saturday with a cold front that will knock temps back down and also provide some good rains! We will need to watch again for a severe threat Friday, but, as of now, it appears and Eastern NC and SC risk.

HPC has the following 5 day Precipitation map:
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p120i12.gif

This is lighter than their earlier prediction.

SPC is highlighting the possibility of severe in western NC and SC:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_1300.gif

It is like Spring.

MUCH cooler this weekend with highs back into the 40s and 50s.

All for now!

Going to get "warm" Thursday!

Real quick updates.

Few Showers possible later today and overnight. Temps 50s
mild and 50s tomorrow.
Almost WARM Wednesday and Thursday as high soar into the 60s ans some 70s possible! Mid 70s Central and Southern VA down into NC!

Then we have a chance for Showers and Thunderstorms Friday with cooler temps for the weekend.

All for now!

What a challenge! MILD TEMPS - EVEN a 70 degrees in locations!

If I were to grade my forecast I would have to give it a D - It was close to a failure everywhere, but a few folks had enough to make it not a total bust - unless you live in Northern VA and MD! Then we have the other side where more snow hit NW NC a bit further south than I thought!

That may be it too folks! Snow looks almost impossible in the long range as a return to milder conditions with above or much above normal temps are forecast!

Here is the NWS long range:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/610temp.new.gif

And it continues in the real long term.
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/814temp.new.gif

So we have a mild week and it gets really mild! Highs today are in the mid and upper 40s. Tomorrow - upper 40s to low and even mid 50s. Then Mid 50s to mid 60s Wednesday! 60s to mid a possible 70 in the south Thursday and Friday. Then the temps cool to the 40s to mid 50s for the weekend.

FOR REAL - If you live in the Leesburg, Ashburn, or Sterling area it is time to get the grab grass preventer out! Let my friend at Lawn Design help get you started on a very green summer lawn!
Email ld@midatlanticweather.com for details. He has kept his same prices 3 years in a row and is very reasonable!

All for now!

SNOW MAP Posted - FIRST GUESS

I went more extreme!

May have jumped the gun, we will see!

All for now!
 

Snow map LATE tonight

Will post on WEB SITE only but reference it everywhere!

Significant snow for quite a few. I-95 and east will struggle to go to snow!

Jimmy

Sprinkles and a few showers|Thursday rain|#Snow threat increases for weekend

After a delightful warm up on Monday, today we see some showers, maybe a few flakes mountains, today. Then we have another beautiful day tomorrow with highs in the 50s. Thursday will be cloudy with rain. Then Friday we will see slightly cooler temps and sunny skies.

My eyes on the weekend system which is more and more increasing the threat for a Mid Atlantic snow. How far north will it come? I am not certain if it is coming yet, but this will be something to feed the snow starved!

That is the easy look at things!

More to come!

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Milder air| A little mix| A close call or snow?

First off, thanks to all the new joins at http://www.facebook.com/midatlanticweather and http://twitter.com/midatlanticwx. Welcome.

The winter of non-sticking cold continues. We will see moderation today to 40s and 50s. Milder tomorrow to upper 40s and 50s. Even so, a little snow and rain shower action could occur tonight into tomorrow morning for north and higher elevations. Some rain showers tomorrow. Mild 50s Wednesday. Slightly cooler Thursday with rain showers a better bet than snow showers based on pattern and temps.

(Remember that Mountains are usually 10 degrees colder)

Next weekend has me wondering about a big Southeastern US storm that could bring snow to Southern and Central Virginia and even North Carolina. It is possible it come further north as well. Forecast models give me some thoughts that this may be the case and we need to watch as they are kind of trending that way. Stay tuned.

Honestly though, if that does not happen, I think the snow storm window will shut as a return to the winter pattern we have seen so far appears to re-emerge and temps in the 60s next week would not be too far fetched!

All for now!


Special thanks to @midatlanticturf for the multiple retweets. And also a special thanks to Hotrods 2 Hybrids (http://www.hotrods2hybrids.com/) for all their work on my cars recently!

Weather for the Week|Cold start|Few winter threats|Maybe a big one next weekend?

I will be doing less blogs, more videos, and a lot of one off posts to Mid Atlantic Weather.

Forecast looks cold today with teens and 20s for many today and some 30s eastern and south regions. Sunny with winds kicking up as the sun comes out and mixes the atmosphere.

The cold night tonight may be the coldest of the season with some snow on the ground and clear temps. Temps will moderate some.

There is a threat of some wintry weather Tuesday but a mix type scenario and maybe elevated areas seeing the mix.

Later this week the situation looks interesting. Thursday and into the weekend a storm may ride up west of us and start as snow and go to rain. That Low could become a cold block mechanism for a true winter storm next weekend.

Beyond that, the pattern looks to return to milder conditions.

So, I am back!

Where you can find me:

http://www.midatlanticweather.com

http://youtube.com/midatlanticweather

http://twitter.com/midatlanticwx

http://facebook.com/midatlanticweather

All for now!