Sunday, March 29, 2009

Quite the blizzard out west! High waters! Probably some...

It has been a very active spring already this year! many tornadoes reported. Blizzards in Texas and Oklahoma! Another taking shape over South Dakota today. It is pretty wild!

For us, as the storm wraps up and pushes a warm front north of the area, we will see some warmer temps today. that will be followed by a pretty wild afternoon as thunderstorms should break out and cause some higher winds. We "Cool" down tomorrow to the 50s again, and then see some warmer temps later this weke. A coastal low may form and cause another bout of rain wednesday into Thursday will some cooler air.

Blizzard video coverage:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RXzool-s0xU&feature=player_embedded

Poor people up in ND under so much water!
http://www.boston.com/bigpicture/2009/03/red_river_flooding.html

From NWS:

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
1054 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA...

THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE
RED RIVER AT FARGO AFFECTING CLAY AND CASS COUNTIES

.CONDITIONS ON THE RED RIVER AT FARGO AND MOORHEAD REMAIN DANGEROUS.
THE RIVER IS CURRENTLY ABOVE RECORD LEVELS...AND AT THIS TIME THE
LEVEL IS EXPECTED TO VERY SLOWLY DECREASE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
HOWEVER...REPORTS INDICATE THAT THERE IS STILL SIGNIFICANT OVERLAND
FLOODING SOUTH OF FARGO...AND THIS WATER IS EXPECTED TO STILL FLOW
INTO THE RED RIVER BETWEEN HICKSON AND FARGO. DUE TO RECENT COLD
WEATHER...OVERLAND FLOW INTO THE RED RIVER HAS SLOWED
DRAMATICALLY...BUT IT IS EXPECTED TO RESUME AS TEMPERATURES WARM
BACK ABOVE FREEZING LATER NEXT WEEK. AS A RESULT...RIVER LEVELS MAY
FLUCTUATE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

RIVER LEVELS ARE STILL EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW 41.0 FEET AND SLOWLY
DECREASE OVER THE NEXT 3 TO 7 DAYS. WITH THE RIVER EXCEEDING THE
PREVIOUS RECORD LEVEL...THE RELATIVE UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST MODELS
REMAIN AND THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO BEHAVE IN WAYS NEVER BEFORE
SEEN. A STORM SYSTEM WILL INFLUENCE THE AREA MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
EASTERLY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS STORM MAY CAUSE WAVES OF UP TO
2 FEET...ON TOP OF THE CREST VALUE...TO IMPACT THE WESTERN DIKES
ALONG THE RED RIVER. THUS...THERE IS STILL A POSSIBILITY THAT THE
RIVER COULD RISE AGAIN.

AT 1030 AM CDT...THE RIVER STAGE AT FARGO IS 40.69 FEET. THIS LEVEL
EXCEEDS THE MAXIMUM HEIGHT OBSERVED IN THE 1997 FLOOD...WHICH WAS
39.57 FEET. THIS LEVEL ALSO EXCEEDS THE RECORD HEIGHT OBSERVED IN
1897...WHICH WAS 40.10 FEET.

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST INCLUDES ANY
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGES...TURN AROUND, DON`T DROWN...

- DON`T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

- CONTACT LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT TO REPORT FLOODING.

- PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER
LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT: WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

THE FOLLOWING SEGMENTS CONTAIN RIVER INFORMATION FOR
THE SELECTED LOCATIONS INCLUDED IN THIS MESSAGE.

THIS FORECAST DOES NOT ACCOUNT FOR ICE JAMS THAT CAN
QUICKLY RAISE LOCAL RIVER LEVELS WITH LITTLE OR NO NOTICE.

&&

MNC027-NDC017-300354-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FGON8.3.SM.090321T0150Z.090328T0515Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1054 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE RED RIVER AT FARGO.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 1030 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 40.69 FEET.
* RECORD FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RIVER LEVELS ARE STILL EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW 41.0
FEET AND SLOWLY DECREASE OVER THE NEXT 3 TO 7 DAYS. WITH THE
RIVER EXCEEDING THE PREVIOUS RECORD LEVEL...THE RELATIVE
UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST MODELS REMAIN AND THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE
TO BEHAVE IN WAYS NEVER BEFORE SEEN. A STORM SYSTEM WILL INFLUENCE
THE AREA MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. EASTERLY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS STORM MAY CAUSE WAVES OF UP TO 2 FEET...ON TOP OF THE CREST
VALUE...TO IMPACT THE WESTERN DIKES ALONG THE RED RIVER.
THUS...THERE IS STILL A POSSIBILITY THAT THE RIVER COULD RISE AGAIN.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 40.2 FEET, FARGO...TOP ELEVATION OF THE
EMERGENCY LEVEES.

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

DATE SUN MON TUE WED THU FRI SAT
(MONTH/DAY) 03/29 03/30 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04

RED RIVER
FARGO 40.6 40.4 40.2 39.8 39.4 39.1 38.7



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Posted By midatlanticweather to Forecast Discussion at 3/29/2009 10:24:00 AM

Sunday, March 01, 2009

On target

Only thing I want to say is that amounts could be 1 to 3 inches more
west of i-95. Expect snow to be very heavy starting between 4 an 8 pm
central to northern va and 6 to 10 pm in Maryland. Some places in pink
will see 14"+ amounts!

There is likely to be a dry slotting lull in action setting up west of
i-95 which will keep that in lower amounts!

All for now!

--
Sent from my mobile device

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