Where will Earl go - CLOSE to the coast, but I THINK he will miss it

It looks very likely we will see the First Category 5 storm since Ike in 2007. Earl looks beautiful on satellite images and he is just strengthening and strengthening. This is a serious storm and will cause an impact from the Carolina Coast up to New England. I do think that the coast of North Carolina COULD see Hurricane force conditions and may see a serious Storm Surge and wave action. Now he looks to come close and then curve to the right of the shore.

THIS IS A SERIOUS STORM. THE NHC WARNS OF A 200 TO 300 MILE MARGIN FOR ERROR ON A 5 DAY PREDICTION. HE IS ALREADY FURTHER WEST THAN FIRST THOUGHT. THIS SHOULD RAISE CONCERN BUT NOT PANIC. REVIEW YOUR HURRICANE PREPAREDNESS PLANS JUST A AS A PRECAUTION. ARRANGEMENTS SHOULD BEGIN IF YOU OWN PROPERTY ALONG THE OUTER BANKS. AGAIN, PRECAUTIONARY PLANS.

All for now.

Heat again and dry - watching Earl

This week will be hot again! Temps will be mid and upper 90s with a
chance at 100 Tuesday and Wednesday. Cooler air arrives for Labor day
weekend. Earl is strengthening and could be a very close call or a hit
for the East coast. I suspect a close call and not a hit. Watch out
though. Surf is going to be high again. Also, I am thinking he may
Peak at Cat 4 with the way he is starting to look. Now, on his heels
is what should be Fiona. She may make it to the US.

All for now! Stay cool!

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COOL! Wow! Locally heavy rains - showers and highs in the 70s!

Now we feel like Fall! Today will be cloudy and cool with showers and maybe isolated storms in the southern regions. Some storms and persistent rains have caused floods in southern VA and parts of NC. Be careful. Highs will be in the 70s for most with some lower 80s south. Such a relief after this summer. Clouds will slowly clear tomorrow with highs staying in the upper 70s to mid 80s for the most part. Then 80s rule until Sunday into Monday when temps will approach 90 for a while into next week. Rain chances diminish slowly the next 24 hours.

5 Years ago today TD12 strengthened into Katrina. What a crazy year that was! For now, Daniele has been very healthy looking out in the mid Atlantic, she kind of went through a restructuring cycle the last several hours, but still looks on track to make it to Major status by tomorrow. On her heals is another system that could become a Tropical Depression today and a storm in the next day or so. His name would be Earle.

Enjoy the cooler weather! After a summer of such heat, it is nice, even if cloudy, to get a break and give AC's a break too!

All for now!

Stage being set for a cooler week next week

The next 48 hours will be a time of unsettled conditions with
scattered showers and storms. Some could be severe Sunday afternoon.
Rain chances diminish after Monday and the rest of the week Highs will
be in the 80 to 85 range in the north and mid 80s south! So much nicer
than it has been!

Tropics will likely see a new storm by Monday but it looks like a fish
storm to me!

All for now!

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Rains are here and some are soaking and flooding!

Please be careful and expect a long commute in the Washington and Northern VA areas due to flooded roads and heavy rainfall.

The rain will likely let up for a while later this morning and another round for the Northern VA and Maryland area later this afternoon. Areas of heavy rain and showers and storms will be common area wide today, especially east of the Mountains. Localized flooding is an obvious issue.

Rain chances will end starting overnight and end last along the coast tomorrow mid day.

Friday looks dry.

Another set of showers and storms are possible this weekend.

All for now!

Another Hot day - Rains in the South moving North for tomorrow! Some heavy!

We will see hot conditions continue with highs around 90 north and in the low and mid 90s south. Humidity north will be much better, but south will still have a sauna with high humidity values. Rain chances will remain for the southern VA, NC folks today and then rain chances pick up state wide as a low pressure moves towards the region. There will be an area of heavy rains and rain totals have the potential to be 2 to 3 inches in parts of the region. Today into tomorrow rain amounts could be as much as an inch in the south central part of Virginia (http://bit.ly/c71SnM). This is the potential for tomorrow:http://bit.ly/dxWFyO - There could be some localized flooding with these amounts.Temps tomorrow will be the the upper 70s to mid 80s with so much moisture.

Unsettled conditions will last into Thursday, and then again this weekend. Temps will stay hot with highs around 90 north and in the mid 90s south.

A cooler and dry Monday does look possible.

The remnants of TD5 were not really able to regenerate. The tropics have a few other flare ups, but not much more at this time.

All for now!

A hot and steamy day in store with the potential of Severe!

So we will be hot today! I had said it would be cooler, and, in some ways, yes it is! But for today we have very humid conditions and a front approaching. This should set the stage for an afternoon of heavy showers and storms some of which could be Severe. The Severe Prediction Center has outlined the area for the possibility of Severe storms with high winds the real threat. Rain chances will continue over southern VA and NC tomorrow and then a good chance of some soaking rains Wednesday as the cold front coming through moves back north. See the current day 3 precipitation potential here http://bit.ly/9L7Lp2 .

The week will remain warm to hot with highs upper 80s to low 90s area wide, except Wednesday with the rain. Rain chances return by Friday and highs come down to 85 to 90 degrees by then.

The tropics look interesting as the remnants of Tropical Depression 5 return to the Gulf and are already coming to life. The Hurricane center already has it at a medium risk of developing into a cyclone and it does look like it will. How strong before it poses the threat to the Louisiana coast is hard to say. The Gulf waters are around 90 degrees so it is pulling from a majorly Hot and humid area which makes it very explosive in possibilities

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Correction on tropics

I was not thinking clearly! The remnants of Tropical Depression 5 is
the one that could re-emerge and re-strengthen.

Sorry about that!

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MUCH cooler! Some Coastal flooding possible! Weather will remain the the mid and upper 80s!

It feels so much better. The winds are easterly and much cooler. Some showers are possible and a chance of thunderstorms most every day as the air remains moist.

The tropics, despite being busier, have failed to produce another storm since Colin. Colin is a bit interesting as it COULD re-emerge into the Gulf and could re-strengthen! We will see. Nothing else is really out there at this time.

Not much else to talk about! After a week of severe storms and heavy localized rains, this is much calmer.

Jimmy

Here is comes again! HOT! HOT! HOT!!!

Yes, we are heading into another week of 90s. The summer of heat and humidity is returning! We will see 90s - with temps again feeling like 100 to 105!
Also, there is a chance again of 100 degrees Tuesday!
I want to say, I LOVE winter and hate hot weather. This weather stinks to me!

There are some showers and storms possible starting Thursday.

The Tropics are very active, and fortunate that no system has gotten too strong. There is a disturbance off of Florida, Tropical Depression Colin almost on top of Bermuda and could restrengthen, and then a strong wave half way between Africa and the Caribbean that may become a tropical depression in the next few days.

What does the winter look like. According to Accu weather it should be close to normal. Nothing like last year!

All for now!