Saturday, February 28, 2009

I am very impressed with the moisture - I suspect areas along and just east of I-95 could be seeing their fist 12" snows on a long time. Baltimore and east over to Delaware - 12 -16"!

This is a big storm. Some of the latest models are coming in and are showing the storm lasting into Monday!

Right now, I am expectin areas from Roanoke to Charlottesville to Leesburg to Eastern Frederick county and east to see storm totals 3- 6"

Areas 15 -20 miles west of 95 up to 95 and about 15 to to miles east - 4- 8"

Areas east of this up to 30 miles inland from the coast.. Jackpot! 6 -12" with some areas easily 12 - 14"  (Isolated even higher!)

I suspect that the western edge of heavy snow COULD shift eastward and that would mean the whole area shifts east.. it is also very possible the jackpots could go westward!

This WILL be a high impact event!

Get ready!


most models are now coming together on a solution for a possible major snowstorm from nc up to maine. more to come, and this would be the second storm, there are 2, the first on sat- sunday morn, and the biggie sunday night to teusday.. stay tuned!!!

*** luke ***

Friday, February 27, 2009

Wednesday, February 11, 2009

Severe Storms on the march

A line of very strong showers with embedded thunderstorms will cross the region overnight! Expect very strong winds and brief heavy rains. We will then have a very gusty wind situation through tomorrow evening! Winds will gust over 60 miles per hour in the mountains and up to 60 in most areas!

All for now!
Mid Atlantic Weather:
Mid atlantic Weather Forum:

Tuesday, February 03, 2009

Snow will wind down today. Cold for the next few days and then a warmer trend

The storm system behaved fairly close to model predictions that started about 24 hours ago. Before then, I pretty much was unsure of what would happen. In Northern Virginia we had a dusting. Areas up against the mountains had 1 - 2" and higher elevations actually had  3 to five inches of snow!

Today, snow showers will be present, especially this morning. Some instability could cause more this afternoon. As the storm gets wound up, winds will be gusty today making it cold! We will be about 10 degrees below normal.

Tomorrow and Thursday we will continue cold, with highs around 30 and in the 30s in the north, 30 to low 40s in the south.

A much milder trend begins to show up Friday into the weekend with temps reaching the 50s and even 60s in the south again by Monday.

Longer term, it does appear a shift back to cold may occur about the middle of February. Seasonal temperatures will occur next week.

All for now!

Monday, February 02, 2009

Now I am ready today - Not much snow!

Not saying i will not be watching radars today and tonight to see if the models missed the actual forecast, but it appears safe to say that after some rain today and starting tonight, a period of light snow looks likely tomorrow morning that will not accumulate to much, and only really accumulate on grassy and elevated surfaces!

Sorry for the wishy washy forecasts, but the models really did flip-flop on the solution several times!

All for now!

Sunday, February 01, 2009

Verdict is still out! Some snow appears likely - accumulations????? I dunno!

I am growing more confident now that I am not going to really know much until we get the storm to form. There are chances that 2 low pressure systems could form and which one becomes the primary could mean the difference in snow and how much. Last night's late runs really put us in a lot of snow. We are back to a smaller amount on the latest runs.