Sunday, November 30, 2008

some sleet last night, then rain still watching dec 9th-10th

hey all, i got some sleet last night with the onset of the precip, but it didnt take long for temps to rise and it turn to rain, looks like about .5 to 1.00 inches of rain today. dec 9th-10th still looking like a possible winter storm for mid atlantic.. but remember it still 9 days away, so im sure models will flip flop.

thats all for now, GO RAVENS!!!

luke

Saturday, November 29, 2008

winter forecast

hey all this is luke,

i took a look at the latest ACFS forecast, and let me tell you, its gonna be a cold snowy winter ill post a link here so you all can see the forecast for dec, jan and feb,. im thinking could finally see some accumulating snows here in the mid atlantic by the 6th , and then mqybe by the 9th. but either way temps will still be below normal here is the link...


http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/wwang/cfs_fcst/images/usT2mMon.gif

Some sleet likely tonight for many, but a cold rain on the way!

Many will see some sleet at the start of tonight's precipitation, but a quick turnover to rain most everywhere as warmer air will be in place above teh surface and make this a cold rain. Immediate deeper valleys of the Piedmont north of Charlottesville and in Western Maryland could see some sleet and even some freezing rain. The warmth will squash my first thoughts of snow west of teh mountains as well, though wrap around snow is possible for the western facing Mountains Monday into Tuesday.

Colder air will settle into the region for a few days and then some warming Thursday to the 50s and even a few 60s! We will have colder air again by next weekend as temps remain in the 40s and low 50s at most for highs. The colder air could lead to another wintry threat later next weekend.

So we have a very cold rain for most areas with some colder pockets causing sleet. Then a cold and breezy aftermath Monday into Tuesday. A slight warming Wednesday into Thursday with some colder air again by next weekend.

Jimmy

Friday, November 28, 2008

Frozen Mix on the way! Cold rain the outcome!

There will be some interesting weather Starting tomorrow night and continuing into Sunday! It looks like now we will see some sleet and even freezing rain west of I-95 as a southern storm heads towards the area. Warmer air will come in quickly, and many may see some flakes for a little bit, and then a quick changeover. I could see sleet being at the start of most areas of the middle part of Virginia with a quick turnover to rain, but, the temps will drop to freezing or below west of the I-95 corridor. Areas further north in Western Maryland, east of the moutains, could see some accumulations. West of the mountains, could see a 6"+ snow!

Although the exact scenario is hard to tell. The valleys North of Charlottesville and along teh spine of the Appalachians of Virginia up into Maryland COULD see enough ice to meet minimum Warning criteria. Most likely areas North of Charlottesville up to Maryland and about 35 miles west if I-p5 will see winter weather advisory criteria!

Quick map likely soon!

All for now!

Thursday, November 27, 2008

Cold air to be a little less the next few days! Could see some snow Sunday!

Happy Thanksgiving!

We will see somewhat warmer conditions today and tomorrow as temperatures rebound to the 50s and maybe some 60s in the South.

Temperatures will come down some tomorrow. This COULD set conditions for a somewhat wintry event for Sunday as Snow and Rain could overspread the Immediate Piedmont and Northern regions. The precip will turn to rain for most the area but areas along and west of the mountains. This could be quite the rain event as it turns into a true Nor'easter. The issue with this not being snow is the lack of cold air being locked in the area. So as the storm pulls warmer air in off the ocean it will change things over for anyone seeing snow or a mix. All that being said, we still should watch this storm as things could evolve differently and that COULD mean more snow for some.

After this we stay below normal next week. As of now, the brutal cold air does not look to unlock yet, but it could by late week.
All for now!

Saturday, November 22, 2008

Colder than normal temps are sticking around! Still see Brutal Cold possible first week of December!

More snow showers and even a period of light snow fell yesterday in Southeastern Virginia! The low that was forming has gone up to New England and Canada and will be the cause for winds today and a continued cold day with highs not out of the 30s for most and low to mid 40 for the southern areas. Another chilly day tomorrow and then a front comes through Moonday into Tuesday Morning. rain showers will be the precip types as warmer air is pulled up in front of the system. A changeover to some snow and rain showers mixed is possible Later Monday Night into Tuesday morning, and all snow by that time in the mountains where they will again see accumulating snows on Tuesday, but not like we had. I had believed next week we could warm up some, but a large upper level low over northern New England will kee the cold air flowing in to the region. Thanksgiving looks quite chilly with highs generally in the 40s.

Next weekend is showing the first sign of a more organized chance of wintry weather. It also may be the point where we see a flip from cold to frigid for teh following week!

All for now!

Jimmy

Thursday, November 20, 2008

Cold to continue. Long term looks brutal

Not a lot of time to write. I see cold air sticking around through next week, with a reprieve for next weekend. A chance at some snow showers the next 24 hours, especially overnight and early tomorrow as we get a reinforced cold shot of air from a clipper like system. Mountains will see another blast of snow, but not as much as last time. Temps will struggle to make it out of 20s in mountains and 30s east. 40s will be for the southern area. Next week we stay on the colder side of things with highs pretty much remaining the 40s. Some rain and snow showers Monday into Tuesday, with mountains seeing some more accumulations. It looks like we could see some milder air next weekend and then a return of real cold, with RECORD COLD not out of the question based on latest model trends!

All for now!


Monday, November 17, 2008

Many could see first flakes of the season next 24 hours

A disturbance and cold front will cross the area the next 24 hours and bring even colder air into the region tomorrow!

For today, the cold air aloft will cause clouds to increase as the day goes as the sun will cause some convective precip to form. Mountain areas should see rain/snow mix, higher elevations, just snow. Showers elsewhere. As the energy from the front approached there could be just enough moisture to allow snow showers for most areas tonight. This would be more up north. The reinforcing shot of cold air will bring plenty of wind as a system develops off the coast. Areas along the eastern shore up through Delaware, YOU MAY see a period of light snow tomorrow morning! That low and the building cold high to the west will bring winds in the 20 and 30 mph range with higher gusts to the Piedmont and coast, and even higher winds to the higher elevations. Westward facing slopes will see an increase in snow! The ski resorts are happy!

Temps will remain in the 30s to as much as upper 40s in the south tomorrow, but it will be the coldest day we have had this season thus far!

The rest of the week looks cold too. Wednesday's highs will almost match tomorrow, but have less wind. Highs will rebound to upper 40s and low to mid 50s south Thursday, but cold air again will be reinforced for Friday and in to the weekend!

How we looking longer term? First, I do not want to fail to mention a Model showing a potential Snowstorm possible for New England that we could see a little touch from. That would be later this week, and, as of now looks improbable. About 8 days from now we "COULD" see a real shot at a storm system along the east coast which "COULD" spell some accumulating snows for the region. After that, models show some changes and a milder pattern for several days. This is way far out and I just am not sure at this time.

All for now!

Sunday, November 16, 2008

Windy! West facing Mountains to get some snows. maybe a flurry east. COLD week!

Quite a powerful front yesterday. We had a Tornado watch out and, although many were spared, North Carolina had an EF-3 tornado that killed at least 2 people! SPC was right in issuing the Tornado watch as the dynamics were there!

Now the first front has passed and many who say 70+ will only see the 50s and 40s today! Another front will pass through tomorrow and drop most places into the 40's the rest of the week! yes! 40s! There could be some snow showers Monday Night east of the mountains, but western facing slopes will have enough snow for winter storm warning and advisories! being a snow lover, just makes me want to go see it!

As the week progresses temps will fluctuate from lower to higher 40s north, upper 40s to mid 50s south. In the Mountains temps will never really rise to 40 or above. A system will come through Monday night and could cause some flurries east of the mountains, but it does not look widespread. another such episode could occur Thursday evening. Overall, east of the mountains, it should be dry!

It will be windy today and tomorrow and likely Friday.

What does it look like Thanksgiving week? Likely, a cool week. It looks like we could have a break and then maybe more colder air, and possibly stormier, to start off December!

All for now!

Saturday, November 15, 2008

Severe weather possible this afternoon!

With a strong cold front, warm weather and strong dynamics there is a possibility of severe storms this afternoon. High winds and heavy rains are the likely scenario with the chance of isolated tornadoes! This will be especially true east of I-95!

Colder air is on the way as well! More on that later!

 
Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid Atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3



Thursday, November 13, 2008

Good rains to break for 24 hours! Then rain and thunder. Then colder! Snow flurries possuble Monday morning north!

Good amount of rain has come through. Another round is on the way with a front tommorrw night into Saturday. Warm conditions and a strong front will mean a few storms could be severe! Colder Sunday. A cold front may have enough moisture and cold air to bring snow showers to the areas north of fredericksburg!
Cold and windy the rest of the day Monday! Cold temps (mainly 40s and even 30s)through Thursday!

Again, there are hints at some precipitation late next week.

All for now!
--------------------------
Sent from my BlackBerry Wireless Device

Wednesday, November 12, 2008

Wet, warm, then cold!

The storm system coming through over the next several days will bring quite a lot of wet weather. The first wave will come through in the next 24 hours. Showers will be possible friday and more rain friday night into saturday. Temps will warm friday into the 60s for most. Saturday near 60 north.

 We then begin sunny days but a steady decline in temoeratures. Next wednesday many could see highs only in the 30s.

The cold looks to hold for at least several days at this point. It looks dry, but there could be a shot at light precip next week. Some models hint at more than that, but it is just way too far out to tell.

All for now.
--------------------------
Sent from my BlackBerry Wireless Device

Monday, November 10, 2008

Better chance of rain as a coastal bring rains. Increasing signs of cold!

Looks like the area will continue a bit below average with a good chance of rain Thursday into Saturday. Warmer temps will be pumped up as a primary low up in Canada spawns a coastal storm.

After the storm finally clears this coming weekend, a very significant storm looks to form next week. I see a good chance of a real soaking rain and then the first Arctic outbreak of the season could come!

All for now!

Sunday, November 09, 2008

Just a heads up on possible cold outbreak next week!

Some data is now coming in to line that shows next week could REALLY turn colder. I had hinted at this in previous posts, but just seeing more signs!

50s pretty much the rule this week. Rain chances Thursday and Friday

Just a few degrees below average temperatures expected most of the week. Closer to 60 in the south. It will be coolest (Lower 50s north) on Tuesday. Rain chances will increase Thursday into Friday. It does not appear that the temperatures will cool down after this system moves through. Another larger storm may develop next week and drop the temperatures.
 
Not much more to Add. Hurricane Paloma has weakened to a tropical storm. No other tropical activity at this time.

All for now

Saturday, November 08, 2008

Paloma Strengthens more!

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 145 MPH...230
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  PALOMA IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS
CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.  LITTLE CHANGE
IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST UNTIL LANDFALL THEN STEADY WEAKENING SHOULD
OCCUR FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

Snow amounts in South Dakota

THIS TABLE LISTS THE REPORTS BY SNOW AMOUNT...AND MAY NOT
NECESSARILY BE THE FINAL STORM TOTALS.


SNOW REPORTS LISTED BY AMOUNT

INCHES LOCATION ST COUNTY TIME
------ ----------------------- -- -------------- -------
45.70 2 NE DEADWOOD SD LAWRENCE 0345 PM
STORM TOTAL. 35 INCHES ON THE GROUND. 4.25
INCHES LIQUID EQUIVALENT.
43.60 2 NE DEADWOOD SD LAWRENCE 1030 AM
SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT OF 4.04 INCHES.
24.00 7 E REDIG SD HARDING 0111 PM
VISIBILITY HAS BEEN 60-100 YDS SINCE 600 PM
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
24.00 8 S DEADWOOD SD LAWRENCE 0930 AM
DRIFTS 5 FEET DEEP.
20.00 3 SE DEERFIELD SD PENNINGTON 0933 AM
19.00 8 W DOWNTOWN SPEARFISH SD LAWRENCE 0935 AM
SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT 1.85 INCHES. VISIBILITY
BELOW 1/4 MILE.
18.00 RED OWL SD MEADE 0200 PM
6 TO 7 FOOT DRIFTS. VISIBILITY 100 FEET.
16.00 DOWNTOWN STURGIS SD MEADE 0955 AM
DRIFTS UP TO 6 FEET DEEP. VISIBILITY LESS
THAN 1/4 MILE.
13.00 DOWNTOWN SPEARFISH SD LAWRENCE 0933 AM
VISIBILITY LESS THAN 1/4 MILE.
12.50 DOWNTOWN SPEARFISH SD LAWRENCE 0750 AM
DRIFTS 6 FEET HIGH. 35-40 MPH WINDS.
VISIBILITY LESS THAN 1/4 MILE.
12.00 9 W JEWEL CAVE SD CUSTER 0245 PM
12+ INCHES OF SNOW WITH VISIBILITY LESS THAN
100 FEET. 71.9 MPH WIND GUST MEASURED
OVERNIGHT.
12.00 8 WNW USTA SD PERKINS 1230 PM
VISIBILITY WAS BELOW 1/4 THIS MORNING. NOW AT
1/2 MILE.
12.00 NEWELL SD BUTTE 0959 AM
VISIBILITY LESS THAN 1/4 MILE.
12.00 23 NE NEWELL SD BUTTE 0954 AM
DRIFTS 5 TO 6 FEET. VISIBILITY LESS THAN 1/4
MILE.
10.00 4 SE FOLSOM SD CUSTER 0230 PM
8 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOW. VISIBILITY HAS BEEN
BETWEEN ZERO AND 1/8 MILE ALL DAY.
10.00 6 W WANBLEE SD JACKSON 0222 PM
VISIBILITY HAS BEEN GENERALLY UNDER 1/4 MILE
SINCE THIS MORNING.
10.00 13 W LODGEPOLE SD PERKINS 1000 AM
VISIBILITY LESS THAN 1/4 MILE.
10.00 1 E RALPH SD HARDING 0939 AM
DRIFTS 8 TO 10 FEET HIGH. VISIBILITY LESS
THAN 1/4 MILE.
10.00 13 WSW LEMMON SD PERKINS 0800 AM
COCORAHS
8.00 15 NNW ALVA WY CROOK 0212 PM
8.00 2 SE COLONY WY CROOK 0205 PM
VISIBILITY IS NOW AT 1 MILE. VISIBILITY
DIPPED BELOW 1/4 MILE AROUND 500 PM
WEDNESDAY...AND WAS STILL AT 1/4 MILE AT 800
AM THIS MORNING.
8.00 9 N BOX ELDER SD MEADE 1200 PM
ESTIMATED BETWEEN 6 TO 10 INCHES. ZERO
VISIBILITY.
8.00 5 ESE DOWNTOWN RAPID CI SD PENNINGTON 0830 AM
7.00 19 SSE REVA SD PERKINS 0945 AM
DRIFTS 6 TO 7 FEET. VISIBILITY LESS THAN 1/4
MILE.
7.00 OPAL SD MEADE 0916 AM
DRIFTS 3 FEET HIGH. VISIBILITY LESS THAN 1/4
MILE.
3.00 3 SSE MOORCROFT WY CROOK 0925 AM
1.50 7 SE ROZET WY CAMPBELL 1045 AM
SNOW HAS STOPPED AND VISIBILITY IS GOOD.

$$

Totals in North Dakota Blizzard

000
NWUS53 KFGF 071954
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
154 PM CST FRI NOV 07 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0118 PM HEAVY SNOW ESMOND 48.03N 99.76W
11/07/2008 E12.0 INCH BENSON ND PUBLIC

STORM TOTAL

0118 PM HEAVY SNOW 8 S KNOX 48.23N 99.69W
11/07/2008 E12.0 INCH BENSON ND PUBLIC

STORM TOTAL

0118 PM HEAVY SNOW MADDOCK 47.96N 99.53W
11/07/2008 E6.0 INCH BENSON ND PUBLIC

STORM TOTAL

0118 PM HEAVY SNOW 4 E LEEDS 48.29N 99.35W
11/07/2008 E6.0 INCH BENSON ND PUBLIC

STORM TOTAL

0118 PM HEAVY SNOW 3 N MUNICH 48.71N 98.83W
11/07/2008 E8.0 INCH CAVALIER ND PUBLIC

STORM TOTAL

0118 PM HEAVY SNOW LANGDON 48.76N 98.37W
11/07/2008 M8.0 INCH CAVALIER ND CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0118 PM HEAVY SNOW 2 S DEVILS LAKE 48.08N 98.87W
11/07/2008 M2.0 INCH RAMSEY ND CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL. COMBINATION OF SNOW AND SLEET.

0118 PM HEAVY SNOW CANDO 48.49N 99.20W
11/07/2008 E5.0 INCH TOWNER ND COUNTY OFFICIAL

STORM TOTAL. COMBINATION OF SNOW AND SLEET. POWER OUTAGES
IN THE EGELAND AND ROCKLAKE AREAS.

0118 PM HEAVY SNOW HANSBORO 48.95N 99.38W
11/07/2008 M4.0 INCH TOWNER ND CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL. COMBINATION OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING
RAIN.

0118 PM HEAVY SNOW WALHALLA 48.92N 97.92W
11/07/2008 E5.0 INCH PEMBINA ND PUBLIC

STORM TOTAL

0118 PM SNOW CAVALIER 48.80N 97.62W
11/07/2008 M1.0 INCH PEMBINA ND CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL. COMBINATION OF SNOW AND SLEET.

0118 PM SNOW 2 S LEROY 48.89N 97.75W
11/07/2008 E2.0 INCH PEMBINA ND PUBLIC

STORM TOTAL

0118 PM SLEET PEKIN 47.79N 98.33W
11/07/2008 E0.25 INCH NELSON ND LAW ENFORCEMENT

ONE QUARTER INCH OF SLEET ACCUMULATION

0118 PM SNOW LAKOTA 48.04N 98.35W
11/07/2008 E1.0 INCH NELSON ND LAW ENFORCEMENT

STORM TOTAL. COMBINATION OF SNOW AND SLEET.

0118 PM HEAVY SNOW DEVILS LAKE 48.11N 98.87W
11/07/2008 E5.0 INCH RAMSEY ND PUBLIC

0118 PM SNOW LANKIN 48.31N 97.92W
11/07/2008 E1.0 INCH WALSH ND CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL. COMBINATION OF SNOW AND SLEET.

0118 PM SNOW 4 N PARK RIVER 48.45N 97.74W
11/07/2008 E1.0 INCH WALSH ND TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL. COMBINATION OF SNOW AND SLEET.

0118 PM HEAVY SNOW MINNEWAUKAN 48.07N 99.25W
11/07/2008 E5.0 INCH BENSON ND PUBLIC

STORM TOTAL. COMBINATION OF SNOW AND SLEET.

0118 PM HEAVY SNOW 5 NE SARLES 49.00N 98.92W
11/07/2008 E6.0 INCH CAVALIER ND CO-OP OBSERVER

0118 PM HEAVY SNOW STARKWEATHER 48.45N 98.88W
11/07/2008 E5.0 INCH RAMSEY ND CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0118 PM HEAVY SNOW NEW ROCKFORD 47.68N 99.14W
11/07/2008 E5.0 INCH EDDY ND PUBLIC

0118 PM SNOW 2 W SUTTON 47.40N 98.48W
11/07/2008 E1.0 INCH GRIGGS ND PUBLIC

STORM TOTAL. COMBINATION OF SNOW AND SLEET.

0118 PM SNOW WIMBLEDON 47.17N 98.46W
11/07/2008 E1.0 INCH BARNES ND PUBLIC

STORM TOTAL. COMBINATION OF SNOW AND SLEET

0118 PM SNOW CHURCHS FERRY 48.27N 99.19W
11/07/2008 E3.0 INCH RAMSEY ND CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL. COMBINATION OF SNOW AND SLEET

0118 PM SNOW 7 N GRAFTON 48.52N 97.40W
11/07/2008 E2.0 INCH WALSH ND TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL.

0118 PM SLEET 5 N NIAGARA 48.07N 97.87W
11/07/2008 E0.25 INCH GRAND FORKS ND PUBLIC

TRACE OF SNOW.

0118 PM SNOW PEMBINA 48.97N 97.25W
11/07/2008 M1.0 INCH PEMBINA ND CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0118 PM HEAVY SNOW NEKOMA 48.58N 98.38W
11/07/2008 E4.0 INCH CAVALIER ND PUBLIC

STORM TOTAL. COMBINATION OF SNOW AND ICE. ICE COVERING
TREES WITH BRANCHES DOWN.

0118 PM HEAVY SNOW BISBEE 48.63N 99.38W
11/07/2008 E12.0 INCH TOWNER ND PUBLIC

STORM TOTAL

0118 PM SNOW HAVANA 45.95N 97.62W
11/07/2008 E0.0 INCH SARGENT ND CO-OP OBSERVER

TRACE OF SNOW

0118 PM SNOW VALLEY CITY 46.92N 98.01W
11/07/2008 M0.0 INCH BARNES ND CO-OP OBSERVER

TRACE OF SNOW

HURR PALOMA Public Advisory 13

Latest on Paloma



000
WTNT32 KNHC 081455
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE PALOMA ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL172008
1000 AM EST SAT NOV 08 2008

...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS PALOMA TURNS TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST AND
TAKES AIM AT CUBA...NEW WARNINGS ISSUED...

AT 10 AM EST...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF GRANMA AND HOLGUIN AND
DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR SANCTI SPIRITUS. A HURRICANE
WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE
AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA AND HOLGUIN. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE
OF SANTIAGO DE CUBA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...
INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN
SALVADOR.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CUBA AND THE BAHAMAS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF PALOMA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1000 AM EST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PALOMA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.3 WEST OR ABOUT 130 MILES...
210 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF GRAND CAYMAN AND ABOUT 140 MILES...220 KM
...SOUTHWEST OF CAMAGUEY CUBA.

PALOMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY WITH SOME
DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AFTER LANDFALL.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...
THE CENTER OF PALOMA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE AWAY FROM CAYMAN BRAC THIS
MORNING...AND BE APPROACHING THE COAST OF SOUTH-CENTRAL CUBA LATE
TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 140 MPH...220 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  PALOMA IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.  SOME SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BUT PALOMA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A MAJOR
HURRICANE UP UNTIL LANDFALL IN CUBA.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 943 MB...27.85 INCHES.

LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 17 TO 23 FEET...ACCOMPANIED
BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS EXPECTED NEAR AND TO
THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF PALOMA MAKES LANDFALL ALONG THE
SOUTH COAST OF CUBA.  STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS
WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TODAY.

PALOMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES OVER LITTLE CAYMAN...CAYMAN BRAC...AND CENTRAL AND EASTERN
CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 20 INCHES POSSIBLE.  THESE
RAINS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS JAMAICA
AND ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
GRAND CAYMAN.

REPEATING THE 1000 AM EST POSITION...19.9 N...79.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...943 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 100 PM EST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400
PM EST.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE



I am back. And working on doing this daily again! Cooler air on the way- Rain - and then maybe really colder!

First: I am back. I want to make this a part of my life for me! I need something to break teh monotony of the day to day and I like Weather.

Second: The Forecast:
The front that extended from the Low that dumped the serious snow in ND and SD is swinging through. Showers have ended for areas west of the immediate coastal areas. It is headed through now.

The system will usher in some cooler air for the first part of the week! Then the models are all over the place. It looks like late in the week could become wuite wet with a low headed up the Appalachians. That could also bring much colder air down for the following week. So cool 40's and 50's through Wednesday.. some warming and then maybe some big rains. The next 24 hours should see clearing occur and temps pretty much in the 50s and night time getting back inti the 30 to 40 degree range, around 50 Southeast.

Longer Term: The colder air that may get unleashed next weekend may be REALLY cold. It bears some watching.

Tropics sould be done, but Paloma is turning at 140 mph winds! Amazing storm!

All for now!

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