3/26/2006 DC/MD/VA Weather Discusssion

Cool conditions may meet an end! It looks like warmer air arrives starting Thursday. A chance that the storm next weekend may bring some storminess. Questions on whether cooler air returns.

 

Summary: A blocking pattern will continue the cooler air for a while longer, and then a strong Pacific origin Low will traverse the country and warm us up (like they did all winter). This may break us down and keep us warmer or may be brief. If it is brief, the warm air should still come back by then end of the following week. Meanwhile, we have a chance of a few showers this morning followed by a sunnier day for most. Temps a bit below normal. Tuesday could hold some shower activity, which is desperately needed! This looks to be the driest March on record unless we get some serious reversals. See some of the drought issues by clicking on drought on the main site or seeing the new board over at the forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3

 

Looking at the long term for April.. if you compare to previous similar Aprils, after a similar March and a small La Nina type of pattern we should warm up!

 

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum. The community has grown to 44 members. http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

 

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3/26/2006 DC/MD/VA Weather Outlook

Cool conditions may meet an end! It looks like warmer air arrives starting Thursday. A chance that the storm next weekend may bring some storminess. Questions on whether cooler air returns.

 

Summary: A blocking pattern will continue the cooler air for a while longer, and then a strong Pacific origin Low will traverse the country and warm us up (like they did all winter). This may break us down and keep us warmer or may be brief. If it is brief, the warm air should still come back by then end of the following week. Meanwhile, we have a chance of a few showers this morning followed by a sunnier day for most. Temps a bit below normal. Tuesday could hold some shower activity, which is desperately needed! This looks to be the driest March on record unless we get some serious reversals. See some of the drought issues by clicking on drought on the main site or seeing the new board over at the forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3

 

Looking at the long term for April.. if you compare to previous similar Aprils, after a similar March and a small La Nina type of pattern we should warm up!

 

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum. The community has grown to 44 members. http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

 

Did you know? I send this update out semi regularly via email! To get it send and email to midatlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I also send a Severe Weather Alert when we need it. To get it mid-atlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I am considering a tropical only list as well.

 

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A little snow. Not much!

Many north of a Fredericksburg to Charlottesville line up to Baltimore will see a little snow tomorrow. Ground temps will be warm. Expecting nothing more than a dusting to an inch or so.

 

There could be slightly more near Charlottesville and in the higher elevations.

 

2" would be the max for low elevations and not much will fall in Northern Maryland.

 

Hey.. it is Late March!

 

There is a slight possibility of another storm this weekend that could cause snow.. but I am not very confident in the idea and again higher elevations would see the real threat.

 

We need rain in the region as we are very, very dry!

 
 

Great School in Northern Virginia. http://www.ambleside.org

Colder than normal temps + a southern storm= SNOWSTORM POSSIBLE!

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Colder than normal temps + a southern storm= SNOWSTORM POSSIBLE!

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Summary:  Wow! Here we go with another chance of snow! Anyone remember temps last weekend?  That is right! Give the weather a week and things can chage. The Combining features. A strong 1040MB High (Impressive this time of year) in Canada and a southern storm. So many things work against accumulating snow in areas east of the mountains this time of year!

1. Warm ground
2. Warm sun
3. Long daylight hours
4. Climatology

 

BUT.. there are exceptions to every situation! And this may be the exception! Right now, the most favored areas are higher elevations, especially north of Charlottesville. Higher elevations could see 3-6” and lower elevations 1-3”. Areas west of I-95 north of Fredericksburg to Charlottesville seem more likely to me than anywhere else to see snow (other than the mountains of course)

 

Longer term appears to remain below normal to near normal temps and continued dry.

 

   

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum. The community has grown to 44 members. http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

 

Did you know? I send this update out semi regularly via email! To get it send and email to midatlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I also send a Severe Weather Alert when we need it. To get it mid-atlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I am considering a tropical only list as well.

 

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Forecast text and graphics from National Weather Service. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.

 

Great School in Northern Virginia. http://www.ambleside.org

A little snow after 85 degree weather! Wow!

Later tonight in areas mainly North of Fredericksburg to Charlottesville and west of I-95 may see a bit of snow! Snow could set up in a narrow band and cause heavier accumulations (up to 3" on grassy areas in higher elevations), but mainly a dusting for most who see it.. Road and ground temperatures are pretty warm so this will not cause major issues except maybe some of the higher elevations.

 

Temperatures will remain cool through the weekend and another rain/snow mixing type scenario may unfold next week. That is iffy as of now.

 

85 degree temps to snow in 4 days! Wow!

 

All for now!

 
 

Great School in Northern Virginia. http://www.ambleside.org

3/3/2006 VA/DC/MD Weather Outlook

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It has been a long while when I have done a general update. Nothing too exciting out there. Something to watch and then a real warm up possible as long as we do not get the dreaded Back Door cold front!

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Summary:  This winter is destined to end above normal temperatures overall and below normal on snow, unless Monday’s system comes to rescue this. At this point I am not too bullish on snow hopes. The system will need to dig a bit more and form closer to the coast. There are factors pointing against a good accumulation. First it is during the day. Second we are marginal on temps, and third we are not super cold before it comes. All that being said, it is the last chance and it could surprise me! If it is going to it needs to really start showing on models today. As far as longer term, it appears the West Coast will have a deep trough a a big storm will affect the Front Range. This should mean a warm up in our area.. The only caveat would be a remnant high to the north that would cause an ocean front to cool us down. Not planning on it, but the pattern kind of reminds me of the scenario!  All for now!

 

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum. Our community has grown to 43 members and surpassed 10800 posts!.  Please join those who have so we can get good feedback and regional coverage. http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

 

Did you know? I send this update out somewhat regularly via email! To get it send and email to midatlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I also send a Severe Weather Alert when we need it. To get it mid-atlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com

 

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Forecast thoughts are those of Mid Atlantic Weather and should never e used for official forecasts. Please rely on official forecasts by the National Weather Service or other agencies for life and property decisions. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.

 

 

Great School in Northern Virginia. http://www.ambleside.org