1/24 DC/MD/VA Weather Outlook

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yes, I have been bored by the weather! Sorry, as I have remained busy in life too! Weather takes a more normal turn the next couple of days, followed by a milder trend. Signs point to possibilities of wintry weather next week, but will it be cold enough?

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Summary:  I am going to TRY and do better! I must admit the weather dictates a lot of the way I post. I am sorry as I am not as often to be a Fair Weather poster! The weather remains milder than normal for the most part, with January ready to finish 4 or more degrees above normal for a lot of people! That being said, some heavy snows will fall in the higher elevations of Western Virginia as an upslope snow event takes place. This would be western facing mountains, but a few flurries could make it over. This would be tonight into tomorrow. The culprit is a clipper system that will usher in normal temps and breezy conditions for the region.  As noted, we start to mild up this weekend and another system may affect us around Saturday with more rain. Just to be mentioned, there is a **POSSIBILITY** of a storm next week that could be wintry for parts of the region. The concern will be getting cold air here, but it is nice to see real potential on the models again!

 

   

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum. The community has grown to 41 members. http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

 

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Forecast text and graphics from National Weather Service. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.

 

Great School in Northern Virginia. http://www.ambleside.org

1/17 DC/MD/VA Weather Outlook

WINDY RAINS,  COOLER BRIEFLY. WHEN WILL COLD COME BACK?

I have been busy again and thus the lack of writing here. Life seems to go faster when you get older and then things that bring you enjoy do not get the time they need to do it well. I will probably only post during bigger events, but boy did I miss last weekend. Looks like a repeat is about to happen, though the ending as snow is unlikely this time, thunderstorms will be a big player.

 

The chance does exist for gusty winds and even isolated tornadoes again as the dynamics will be strong, though maybe not as much thunder.

 

Winds will usher in colder temperatures again, but they are likely to head to normal in less than 24 hours!

 

What is the deal? Well, the NAO has gone positive (strongly), the Sea Surface Temperatures are not favorable for negative turns. The Arctic Oscillation showed signs of potential colder pattern flip near the end of the month… I think it will, but it is hard to tell. The warmer temps look to remain until the last few days. The storms every couple of days will likely continue, but there may be a chance of something next week… Tuesday time frame.. that may be worth watching!

 

Hopefully things will get interesting for snow lovers soon!

 

All for now!

 

 

 

 

Great School in Northern Virginia. http://www.ambleside.org

1/10 DC/MD/VA Weather Outlook

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Signs of a La Nina year really have been apparent in pattern, and now realized by the Climate Prediction Center. The winter could have some really cold snaps left in it, but dry.. more likely, not much weather for snow and usually paints to a dry lower plains! A big rain and winds storm on tap this weekend but milder temps will likely return next week.

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Summary:  Wow is it warm. Kind of reminds me of last January which was warmer than this if you can believe it! The pattern is not showing signs of change, but a large wind and rain maker appears on its way for this weekend. I had real hopes this would be the pattern changer! It does not appear it will be! Canada gets colder and a strong Pacific jet just hinder our chances of a good colder weather pattern. Some encouragement is a Negative NAO possible in February based on the Climatology of La Nina patterns.

 

See this PPT on current La Nina conditions: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/anal...s-fcsts-web.ppt

 

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum. Our community has grown to 40 members and surpassed 8400 posts!. We have even added a Meteorologist (a friend of mine). Please join those who have so we can get good feedback and regional coverage. http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

 

Did you know? I send this update out semi regularly via email! To get it send and email to midatlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I also send a Severe Weather Alert when we need it. To get it mid-atlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com

 

Need a Hosting Solution? My host is incredible. Now offering 60 GB of storage and 300 GB of transfer a month, unlimited email addresses, ftp accounts, and unlimited number of domain names pointing to the same server,  I have found nothing better! Also, reliable as ever! http://www.vodahost.com?a_aid=0048a41a

 

Forecast thoughts are those of Mid Atlantic Weather and should never e used for official forecasts. Please rely on official forecasts by the National Weather Service or other agencies for life and property decisions. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.

 

 

Great School in Northern Virginia. http://www.ambleside.org

1/10 DC/MD/VA Weather Outlook

Signs of a La Nina year really have been apparent in pattern, and now realized by the Climate Prediction Center. The winter could have some really cold snaps left in it, but dry.. more likely, not much weather for snow and usually paints to a dry lower plains! A big rain and winds storm on tap this weekend but milder temps will likely return next week.

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Summary:  Wow is it warm. Kind of reminds me of last January which was warmer than this if you can believe it! The pattern is not showing signs of change, but a large wind and rain maker appears on its way for this weekend. I had real hopes this would be the pattern changer! It does not appear it will be! Canada gets colder and a strong Pacific jet just hinder our chances of a good colder weather pattern. Some encouragement is a Negative NAO possible in February based on the Climatology of La Nina patterns.

 

See this PPT on current La Nina conditions: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/anal...s-fcsts-web.ppt

 

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum. Our community has grown to 40 members and surpassed 8400 posts!. We have even added a Meteorologist (a friend of mine). Please join those who have so we can get good feedback and regional coverage. http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

 

Did you know? I send this update out semi regularly via email! To get it send and email to midatlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I also send a Severe Weather Alert when we need it. To get it mid-atlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com

 

Need a Hosting Solution? My host is incredible. Now offering 60 GB of storage and 300 GB of transfer a month, unlimited email addresses, ftp accounts, and unlimited number of domain names pointing to the same server,  I have found nothing better! Also, reliable as ever! http://www.vodahost.com?a_aid=0048a41a

 

Forecast thoughts are those of Mid Atlantic Weather and should never e used for official forecasts. Please rely on official forecasts by the National Weather Service or other agencies for life and property decisions. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.

 

 

 

Great School in Northern Virginia. http://www.ambleside.org

1/10/2006 DC/MD/VA Weather Outlook

Signs of a La Nina year really have been apparent in pattern, and now realized by the Climate Prediction Center. The winter could have some really cold snaps left in it, but dry.. more likely, not much weather for snow and usually paints to a dry lower plains! A big rain and winds storm on tap this weekend but milder temps will likely return next week.

---

Summary: Wow is it warm. Kind of reminds me of last January which was warmer than this if you can believe it! The pattern is not showing signs of change, but a large wind and rain maker appears on its way for this weekend. I had real hopes this would be the pattern changer! It does not appear it will be! Canada gets colder and a strong Pacific jet just hinder our chances of a good colder weather pattern. Some encouragement is a Negative NAO possible in February based on the Climatology of La Nina patterns.

See this PPT on current La Nina conditions: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/anal...s-fcsts-web.ppt

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum. Our community has grown to 40 members and surpassed 8400 posts!. We have even added a Meteorologist (a friend of mine). Please join those who have so we can get good feedback and regional coverage. http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

Did you know? I send this update out semi regularly via email! To get it send and email to midatlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I also send a Severe Weather Alert when we need it. To get it mid-atlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com

Need a Hosting Solution? My host is incredible. Now offering 60 GB of storage and 300 GB of transfer a month, unlimited email addresses, ftp accounts, and unlimited number of domain names pointing to the same server, I have found nothing better! Also, reliable as ever! http://www.vodahost.com?a_aid=0048a41a

Forecast thoughts are those of Mid Atlantic Weather and should never e used for official forecasts. Please rely on official forecasts by the National Weather Service or other agencies for life and property decisions. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.

1/4 DC/MD/VA Weather Outlook

 

Mild weather will give way to colder temps this weekend. Things look to warm up again next week. A few weather memories and the Tropics too!

 

 

Outlook: Weather remains on the warmer than normal side until Friday when a polar front does make it through the area and send our readings to about or just below normal. Looking. This system bears some watching, as it will have the possibility of spinning some moisture towards the coast. It is ** Possible ** that the system could become more intense and cause some snow for the region, but, the models have been persistent in bringing the feature off shore. It does appear that the temps will moderate again next week with another chance of rain next Thursday timeframe.

 

Some interesting things weather wise: Tropical Storm Zeta is out in the Atlantic and is maintaining a strong Tropical Storm Status at 65 mph. The system will likely maintain strength and it could even strengthen. The system has defied forecasters as it was believed to fall apart very quickly, but has strengthened when it was believed it would weaken. If it becomes a Hurricane it will be the firstly ever to have formed in the Atlantic in January!

 

The reason for our mild weather has been the Pacific Jet that threatens to be a big player the rest of winter. In such a pattern it is hard to buck the jet stream dramatically for big storms. That being said, the storms that do show up can be very moist…and if the right combo occurs, good snows can occur. December was anomalous in its cold, but now I feel my winter forecast is in line with the pattern. December was a bust for me, but I think a milder than normal winter with short intrusions of cold air and a chance for above normal snows because of the moisture will be in the cards the rest of winter.. but I am no meteorologist.. and I hope it is colder than I think.

 

Remembering 1996 (10 years ago!), a warm week is suddenly plummeted to cold and a strong storm, forecast by many models on the Polar Jet, suddenly jumps to the Arctic Jet on American models about 36 hours before the event (The EURO was on it earlier) and we had a big snow! I lived in Oakton, VA and my roommate bet me it would not snow 18 inches or he would clean my car off the rest of the winter! He made good on the bet as we shoveled the 18 inches form my car! What an awesome event!

 

Well that is all for now!

 

 

Great School in Northern Virginia. http://www.ambleside.org/

 

 

 

Great School in Northern Virginia. http://www.ambleside.org