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A Real Break in the wet and humid weather today as the dewpoints drop! Temperatures rebound tomorrow to 90 or higher and stay that way through next Tuesday when a front could usher in cooler air. Afternoon and evening Storm Chances also increase starting Sunday but these are not the widespread kind.

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Summary: Pretty easy outlook for the short term. NICE today for summer. Highs should stay in the mid and upper 80s for VA, maybe a bit warmer far southern areas. We creep to 90 or above tomorrow and humidity comes back. Sunday re-introduces a threat for isolated thunderstorms. That threat seem a bit stronger Tuesday as a front comes through. Temps may then drop to below normal for a little bit from with highs in the lower and mid 80s from Wednesday into next weekend.

I am holding off on the long term tropical thoughts fro now. I am not seeing overwhelming evidence of the tropical system in the gulf.

Please note that many rivers and larger streams will approach flood stage or crest above them. Check with the Mid Atlantic River forecast center here http://www.erh.noaa.gov/marfc for updates on stages and when crests are expected. Also I like the NWS site for River information page found on their main site here: http://www.weather.gov/ahps/

By the way.. check out http://www.midatlanticweather.com if you have not in a while. Many updated links have improved speed and information available. The menu alone has over 250 links in it! Just added fire weather forecasts!

Tropics: A disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico and in the Caribbean are being watched, but really do not look like anything to worry about currently! See the Atlantic Outlook

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum. The community has grown to 45 members. Please come and add flooding stories and pictures to the new Floods of 2006 topic: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

Did You Know? I send this update out semi regularly via email! To get it send and email to midatlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I also send a Severe Weather Alert when we need it. To get it mid-atlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I am considering a tropical only list as well.

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Forecast text and graphics from National Weather Service. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.

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A Real Break in the wet and humid weather today as the dewpoints drop! Temperatures rebound tomorrow to 90 or higher and stay that way through next Wednesday. Afternoon and evening Storm Chances also increase starting Sunday but these are not the widespread kind.

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Summary: Pretty easy outlook for the short term. NICE today for summer. Highs should stay in the mid and upper 80s for VA, maybe a bit warmer far southern areas. We creep to 90 or above tomorrow and humidity comes back. Sunday re-introduces a threat for isolated thunderstorms. That threat seem a bit stronger Tuesday.

I am holding off on the long term tropical thoughts fro now. I am not seeing overwhelming evidence of the tropical system in the gulf.

Please note that many rivers and larger streams will approach flood stage or crest above them. Check with the Mid Atlantic River forecast center here http://www.erh.noaa.gov/marfc for updates on stages and when crests are expected. Also I like the NWS site for River information page found on their main site here: http://www.weather.gov/ahps/

By the way.. check out http://www.midatlanticweather.com if you have not in a while. Many updated links have improved speed and information available. The menu alone has over 250 links in it! Just added fire weather forecasts!

Tropics: A disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico and in the Caribbean are being watched, but really do not look like anything to worry about currently! See the Atlantic Outlook

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum. The community has grown to 45 members. Please come and add flooding stories and pictures to the new Floods of 2006 topic: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

Did You Know? I send this update out semi regularly via email! To get it send and email to midatlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I also send a Severe Weather Alert when we need it. To get it mid-atlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I am considering a tropical only list as well.

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Forecast text and graphics from National Weather Service. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.

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Quite a few scattered storms did occur overnight! We must watch as severe Storms seem likely for areas this afternoon and evening. A dry weekend appears on tap. Will see a return to summer like afternoon and evening storms Monday straight through Wednesday of next week. That may change IF a tropical wave makes it to the Gulf of Mexico!

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Summary: Flooding at the river and stream levels continues today and will likely start getting better by Saturday time frame. Please stay tuned to local news and weather outlets for specific stream information. We are under the gun again with the possibility of Severe Storms this afternoon. The NWS has outlined our region under a slight risk for severe! See Day 1 outlook here: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/severe/day1severe.htm This could mean isolated flood situations and the biggest risk of hail and high winds. There is a chance however of isolated tornadoes, especially east of I-95.

High pressure comes in for the weekend and we stay dry and seasonable.

Next Week poses some interesting scenarios in the Long term. For now, Monday through Wednesday seem warm with highs in the upper 80s for the most part and afternoon and evening thunderstorms possible. There is a RISK of a tropical system in the Gulf that COULD end up coming up into the region and providing us another flooding risk. It is all speculation now, but something we will watch!

Please note that many rivers and larger streams will approach flood stage or crest above them. Check with the Mid Atlantic River forecast center here http://www.erh.noaa.gov/marfc for updates on stages and when crests are expected.

By the way.. check out http://www.midatlanticweather.com if you have not in a while. Many updated links have improved speed and information available. The menu alone has over 250 links in it! Just added fire weather forecasts!

Tropics:A Strong Tropical Wave is entering the Caribbean. IF it survives the turbulent times in its immediate future, a long term development could occur in the Gulf. See the Atlantic Outlook

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum. The community has grown to 45 members. Please come and add flooding stories and pictures to the new Floods of 2006 topic: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

Did You Know? I send this update out semi regularly via email! To get it send and email to midatlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I also send a Severe Weather Alert when we need it. To get it mid-atlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I am considering a tropical only list as well.

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Forecast text and graphics from National Weather Service. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.

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Finally a break. Possible afternoon thunderstorms, but rain rates will be lower. River Flooding still an issue.

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Summary: The Floods of 2006 are definitely historical. The amount of rains that fell topped Agnes in areas in Pennsylvania and were on par with it here in Virginia. The tropical low that enhanced rain last evening pulled Northeast and we are enjoying the first real break in potential for flooding rains in days. Here in DC area the totals can be found here http://www.erh.noaa.gov/lwx/products/?prod=PNS . I hope to get some other totals posted and maybe even a flood page up soon. We do have a relatively unstable atmosphere today and tomorrow so scattered storms could erupt this afternoon and there is even a chance a few could be strong. I will monitor this. Friday through the weekend look dry at this time!

Please note that many rivers and larger streams will approach flood stage or crest above them. Check with the Mid Atlantic River forecast center here http://www.erh.noaa.gov/marfc for updates on stages and when crests are expected.

By the way.. check out http://www.midatlanticweather.com if you have not in a while. Many updated links have improved speed and information available. The menu alone has over 250 links in it! Just added fire weather forecasts!

Tropics:They have settled down for the time being. See the Atlantic Outlook

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum. The community has grown to 45 members. http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

Did You Know? I send this update out semi regularly via email! To get it send and email to midatlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I also send a Severe Weather Alert when we need it. To get it mid-atlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I am considering a tropical only list as well.

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Forecast text and graphics from National Weather Service. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.

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Wet conditions will persist today with some added chances of thunderstorms, some of which may be severe. Tomorrow afternoon, some dying will occur, but we must stay alert until then.

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Summary: We remain in the very moist atmosphere today, so flooding concerns will persist. The situation could be aided by some afternoon heating which could also trigger thunderstorms. This could lead to some severe storms as the outflows from the very heavy rains could produce strong winds. Shear seems also present and thus isolated tornadoes are a real possibility. The reason for enhancement today will be teh remnants of a tropical system off the Southeast coast which could make it to depression status before hitting teh coast. Please stay alert today. As of this morning, the eastern shore and Deleware continue to get hammered as well as areas in West Virginia and Pennsylvania! Areas out on teh Eatern Shore and Deleware have seen totals in the upper teens for rains! Releif efforts are under way in amny areas. This has been the wettest June on record for many areas and DC has not seen this much rain since Agnes which was a devastating storm for the area.

Please note that many rivers and larger streams will approach flood stage or crest above them. Check with the Mid Atlantic River forecast ceneter here http://www.erh.noaa.gov/marfc for updates on stages and when crests are expected.

By the way.. check out http://www.midatlanticweather.com if you have not in a while. Many updated links have improved speed and information available. The menu alone has over 250 links in it! Just added fire weather forecasts!

Tropics:They have settled down for the time being. See the Atlantic Outlook

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum. The community has grown to 45 members. http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

Did You Know? I send this update out semi regularly via email! To get it send and email to midatlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I also send a Severe Weather Alert when we need it. To get it mid-atlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I am considering a tropical only list as well.

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Forecast text and graphics from National Weather Service. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.

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Where the rains have fallen, they have really fallen hard! Widespread areas reporting anywhere from 3-8" of rain yesterday! The situation continues to look bad for flooding rains will be likely today in parts as tropical moisture entrains into the stalled front. Be careful!

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Summary: I was out in the midst of the storm last night coming back from Richmond. It was interesting to me to see the contrast in precipitation totals as on my way down yesterday, the rains stopped about in Stafford. On the way back, I hot the storms in Fairfax, VA. Power was out until about 11pm for me and this morning I looked at the impressive 4-8 inches in my region. We are under the gun for much more rain the next 2 hours as inflow from a tropical systems combines with an already very moist atmosphere! Areas may again to 3-6" in the next 24 hours. Please, do not play around with flooding roads! Also, be mindful that travel will take extra time. We look like we will break free of the rainy pattern about Friday, but today and tomorrow will remain the worst from what I can see.

By the way.. check out http://www.midatlanticweather.com if you have not in a while. Many updated links have improved speed and information available. The menu alone has over 250 links in it! Just added fire weather forecasts!

Tropics: As the tropical system we were watching gets entrained into teh east coast trough, all looks like it will calm down in the tropics. See the Atlantic Outlook

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum. The community has grown to 45 members. http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

Did You Know? I send this update out semi regularly via email! To get it send and email to midatlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I also send a Severe Weather Alert when we need it. To get it mid-atlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I am considering a tropical only list as well.

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Forecast text and graphics from National Weather Service. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.

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I would have expected more rain by now, but situation needs to be monitored. Tropical development or entraining into east coast trough leaves us vulnerable for more heavy rains this week!

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Summary: Widespread rainfall has not been the rule everywher, but where it rained last night it was very heavy! Many counties in Virginia were under flash flood warnings and there are sme out in Maryland now. More of teh same tonight and into tomorrow! Some slackening east of teh mountains, but west of teh mountains could see quite a bit more. Next week may see more heavy rains as a tropical system gets entrained into the east coast troughiness. Much to watch.

By the way.. check out http://www.midatlanticweather.com if you have not in a while. Many updated links have improved speed and information available. The menu alone has over 250 links in it! Just added fire weather forecasts!

Tropics: 2 waves off the Southeast coast shows some interest, and latest observations are showing some development is possible. Whetehr th close in system forms or not, it appears to be headed up teh east coast. See the latest model track here: http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/plots/storm_91.gif See the Atlantic Outlook

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum. The community has grown to 45 members. http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

Did You Know? I send this update out semi regularly via email! To get it send and email to midatlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I also send a Severe Weather Alert when we need it. To get it mid-atlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I am considering a tropical only list as well.

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Forecast text and graphics from National Weather Service. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.

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Wet Pattern is coming to fruition as some areas received as much as 3 and 4 inches of rain last night alone. Severe Threat continues today and Flood Watches have been posted for many areas.

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Summary:As I have been sharing strongly since Tuesday evening the rain threat this weeekend is great. I was up late last night with my kids as the storms in northern Virginia were accompanied by some serious amounts of lightning! The soupy and moist atmosphere is still expected to yeild as much as another 6 inches or more of rain for areas. Since some regions already have expereienced 3-4 inches of rain it is possible there could be areas receiving in excess of 10 inches if storms train over the same areas. The Severe weather threat remains as well due to the proximity of the stalled front, impulses caused by areas of low pressure that will ride along the stationary front, and any warming that may occur today. All I can say is stay alert! Do not drive through any standing water, listen to news and radio outlets fo watches and or warnings!

Latest HPC Outlooks:

By the way.. check out http://www.midatlanticweather.com if you have not in a while. Many updated links have improved speed and information available. The menu alone has over 250 links in it! Just added fire weather forecasts!

Tropics: 1 wave off the Southeast coast shows some interest, and latest observations are showing some developments.

Atlantic Outlook

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum. The community has grown to 45 members. http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

Did You Know? I send this update out semi regularly via email! To get it send and email to midatlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I also send a Severe Weather Alert when we need it. To get it mid-atlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I am considering a tropical only list as well.

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Forecast text and graphics from National Weather Service. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.

Updated Forecast for Rain this Morning

Rain this morning!

 

This is a brief update! A dying MCS (Meso Convective System) is heading into Northern areas. This may save areas on the heat potential which is high today and will cause some rain and thunderstorms this morning in the Maryland and Northern Virginia!

All for Now

 

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Weekend is now looking very, very wet.. Inflow from the Gulf and 2 from the Atlantic could mean flooding rain, especially in the Northeast! Temps should back off some!

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Summary: (This is expanded from this morning) VERY HOT TOMORROW! Highs will reach in the mid 90s with heat indexes up to 100 in many areas. Later afternoon thunderstoms will develop and some will be severe! More widespread convection Friday which will likely cause very heavy rains and seveer weather as well! Starting to see the flood threat this weekend growing. Concerned about Mountain enhancement! The front delivering the thunder will stall out and become a focus mechanism for several days of unsettled weather. As the inflow from the Gulf, and 2 from the Atlantic get cranking, we could see several inches of rain, especially Friday and Saturday.

Here is the current 2 & 3 day analysis of rain:

By the way.. check out http://www.midatlanticweather.com if you have not in a while. Many updated links have improved speed and information available. The menu alone has over 250 links in it! Just added fire weather forecasts!

Tropics: 1 wave off the Southeast coast shows some interest, but upper winds do not seem favorable at this time!

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum. The community has grown to 45 members. http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

Did You Know? I send this update out semi regularly via email! To get it send and email to midatlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I also send a Severe Weather Alert when we need it. To get it mid-atlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I am considering a tropical only list as well.

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Forecast text and graphics from National Weather Service. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.

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Temps come down SLIGHTLY.. with more rough weather possible Thursday. Scattered storms will great the weekend, but there ius a signal of back to normal temps by next week

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Summary: Thunderstorms today did prompt a severe weather alert. Areas in Northern Virginia and some of Maryland did see some high winds and hail. See the new storm reports page at http://www.midatlanticweather.com/cgi-bin/weather/hw3.cgi?config=&forecast=spcstormreport&when=today&usemap=

Pretty hot temps tomorrow and the next day.. even hotter Thursday but an increase in thunderstorm activity, some of which could turn severe! There will be a continued unsettled pattern until Sunday and a gradual cool down in temps. Normal to maybe even slightly below normal temps may stick for a while after this! Also, there are some signs of increased rain chances!

\ By the way.. check out http://www.midatlanticweather.com if you have not in a while. Many updated links have improved speed and information available. The menu alone has over 250 links in it! Just added fire weather forecasts!

Tropics: 2 waves show some interest, but upper winds do not seem favorable at this time!

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum. The community has grown to 45 members. http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

Did You Know? I send this update out semi regularly via email! To get it send and email to midatlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I also send a Severe Weather Alert when we need it. To get it mid-atlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I am considering a tropical only list as well.

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Forecast text and graphics from National Weather Service. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.

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Heat is returning! Long term we COULD see a pull back in temperatures as the heat ridge pulls westward!

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Summary: The heat is back and humidity too! It had to eventually show up. As the Ridging in the east holds strong, so will dry weather. The good news for the plains states is that this will pump a lot of moisture to the drought areas of the Middle of the country! See Precip outlook by Clicking Here

Heat ridging makes the forecast in our neck of the woods easy. Temps in the 90s with lows 70s.. Real summer time weather! Check out the heat index forecast by Clicking Here

By the way.. check out http://www.midatlanticweather.com if you have not in a while. Many updated links have improved speed and information available. The menu alone has over 250 links in it!

Tropics: They have quieted down a bit. Check out the updated Tropical weather center off the main page! There will be a new site releasing soon devoted to as much tropical information as I possibly can fit into a page!

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum. The community has grown to 45 members. http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

Did You Know? I send this update out semi regularly via email! To get it send and email to midatlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I also send a Severe Weather Alert when we need it. To get it mid-atlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I am considering a tropical only list as well.

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Forecast text and graphics from National Weather Service. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.