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Very heavy rains with some thunder! Some flooding possible!

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Summary: Spring storms will blanket the middle of the country and the south while a triple point low rains like crazy washing winter snow and ice away! Tomorrow rain will overspread the area and tomorrow night be heavy at times with thunder in the mix!

Current amounts range from 1-2" but i feel there may be 3-4" totals in parts of the region. No snow this time! Temperatures Friday will be "warmish" with many 60s and upper 50s. Colder air will come back for several days and then maybe a true warm up towards next weekend!

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum. http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

Did You Know? I send this update out semi regularly via email! To get it send and email to midatlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I also send a Severe Weather Alert when we need it. To get it mid-atlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I am considering a tropical only list as well.

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Forecast text and graphics from National Weather Service. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.

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MILDER WEATHER THIS WEEK WITH A GOOD CHANCE OF RAIN. SIGNS OF A COLDER PERIOD AND EVEN MORE SNOW CHANCES NEXT WEEK.

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Summary: Milder air this week with even a severe thereat NC and Southern VA. Temps in the 50s with 60s in NC. Next weeke could turn colder according to some models or really get mild. Which Model will win?

http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

Did You Know? I send this update out semi regularly via email! To get it send and email to midatlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I also send a Severe Weather Alert when we need it. To get it mid-atlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I am considering a tropical only list as well.

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Forecast text and graphics from National Weather Service. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.

Snowfall ended and now just rain..some freezing rain. Quite the Surprise! Sorry I did not update today, but, quite honestly, I went out and played! Exciting winter event with the most snow in the region this winter! I mentioned in a post in the forum that there could be heavier snow up Maryland, well, it came south and many in Virginia saw some good snow! I measured a little over 5" on the deck before the rain. Reports up to 10" in higher elevations! Exciting! So it was a miss, but an enjoyable one for me and beats Ice any day! There is the "Potential" for more mixture later this week, but right now, I would not bet on it!

DC/MD/VA Icy Mess on Sunday

DC/MD/VA Icy Mess on Sunday

Sleet and Freezing Rain event for the areas of Harrisonburg to just west of Leesburg up to north of Baltimore. Northern Maryland west of 95 closer to the Frederick Maryland area could see a burst of heavy snow before a mix. 1-3" of slop 20 miles either side of the line discussed, but the heavy snow areas could see 2-4" with isolated 6"

A mix is possible all the way down to Richmond and west to Roanoke with areas just east of teh Mountains seeing the most whereas most areas will see a switch to plain rain along the I-95 corridor . Draw a line from Roanoke up to Charlottesville and straight up to Dulles Airport to BWI and areas east of this should see a change over early enough to be a nuisance. The Immediate valleys of the Apps up to Charlottesville will see enough for storm warning criteria.

All I have for now!

 

Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3

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SLEETY/ICY MESS for Northern VA up through Marylyand and PA snows

Sorry I have been delayed on posting.. it does appear that a Moderate Icing event will unfold Early Sunday morning. A mixture of first snow, then sleet and freezing rain will visit the region again. There is a possibility of moderate icing! Much about this storm could change and there are hints at some colder air at start which could mean some real snow, but right now, sleet and freezing rain look to be the main precip type. The main locations again will be 20 miles either side of a line from just north of Charlottesville to just west of Leesburg, northeast up to Baltimore County in Maryland stretching up to Philadelphia. Snow is possible North of these areas in Maryland, but especially Pennsylvania. 

 

Much more to be considered and more details tomorrow!

 

Again, this is for Sunday, though freezing drizzle could be occurring Sunday night into Monday morning.

 

All for now!

 

Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3

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SERIOUS COLD DAYS ARE ALMOST A MEMORY AS WE HEAD TOWARDS WHAT APPEARS TO BE MILDER PATTERN BY THE MIDDLE AND LATE PART OF THE WEEK. SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE COMMON TODAY. THE MOUNTAINS COULD SEE A GOOD SHOT OF SNOW WEDNESDAY. THEN MILDER 50S MAYBE EVEN A 60 DEGREE READING TOWARDS THE END OF THE WEEK.

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Summary: The serious cold days look limited now. we have made it through the deepest part of winter when we usually get our biggest snow. We missed teh big snows from the last storm, but New England was hammered with as much as 30" of snow! A dying clipper will traverse the area and re-establish slightly colder conditions through Monday and then a then upwards on temperatures. There COULD be a mix of rain and snow Wednesday Night and/or Thursday, but odds favor rain except in the Mountains. After this, teh pattern changes set up up for milder, above normal temperatures!

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum (up to 122 members!). http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

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Forecast text and graphics from National Weather Service. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.

Final call: I HOPE I AM WRONG AND THERE IS MORE SNOW! At this point radar watching and Nowcasting

2/12 ICY MESS ON TAP! SNOW AMOUNTS REDUCED

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SIGNIFICANT ICE STORM POSSIBLE

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Well, with models and an imperfect science it is hard to get forecasting right! Here we go with what appears to be a major Icing Event the majority of which looks like it will be Tuesday Night into Wednesday. For tonight into tomorrow light snow with a general 1-4" accumulation could occur from a Roanoke to Charlttesville to Fredericksburg to Baltimore line and areas 20 miles south and east of that line. Some mixing with rain is likely at onset. Tuesday would be a light snow changing to sleet and even rain for Roanoke to Fredericksburg to south and east of Baltimore. Areas from Charlottesville to Washington DC to Baltimore will see a changeover to sleet and then Freezing rain Tuesday evening as heavier precipitation takes hold. Right now the distinct possibility exists for as much as 3/4" to even 1" of ice! The issue will be.. is it sleet or freezing rain. The further north and west may split totals between sleet and freezing rain, but 20 miles either side of and north of the Charlottesville to Washington DC to Baltimore areas could see a significant Ice Storm!

Please stay tuned to Media and Weather Outlets.

Sorry, no time to draw out thoughts this morning on a map.

BTW.. thing ** COULD ** change as we are still a ways away from the main storm system. I will be watching trends and reporting on them especially in the Forum.

All for now!

 

Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid Atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3

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OK. My First Guess. What I would say.. VERY concerned about a major ice storm in the Piedmont of Virginia and Maryland and SE PA. MUCH UNCERTAINTY except I do think the mix will cut down on snow totals in many areas. If it stays snow.. 12" would b possible in areas N and W of the big cities

2/11 HEAVY WINTER STORM TUESDAY

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HEAVY SNOW STORM WITH POSSIBLE ICING

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Things are lining up for a major Winter Storm. Especially  north of Fredericksburg . Areas could see up to a foot and some places more especially in Maryland. MANY factors could change who get the biggest snows and even ice storm possibilities. Best Chances seem to be Washington, DC to Charlottesville and north as well as up to Baltimore and North. Ice could really become an issue in the transition area.

This one is a serious one. Please stay tuned to radio and news outlets.

More to come!

Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid Atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3

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LARGE SNOWSTORM FOR MOST OF THE AREA TUESDAY! WE ARE IN STORM ALERT MODE! Places COULD see 10 - 20" and near blizzard condition!! Ice probable in many areas near southern piedmont! This is not clear yet.. Much more to come!

2/6 Light Snow event tonight will ALL stick!

Light Snow Tonight!

 

A light snow event tonight will drop a 1-3" swath of snow mainly cutting across the central part of Virginia. Light snow will quickly stick to all surfaces though as the ground and roads are so cold. Areas draw a line horizontal from Roanoke to Richmond and then from Charlottesville to Fredericksburg and the areas between and along those lines have the best chance of the 3" totals. Areas north of that line will see totals back off to 1" in Northern VA and a dusting in Maryland, and south will quickly drop to just a dusting.

 

Despite this, the very cold ground could make tomorrow morning the worst winter weather commute we have had this winter! Be careful!

 

 

Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid Atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3

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2/1 Winter Weather Threat: Canceled!

MAYBE some pockets in SW Va and western Piedmont south of Charottesville but by and large just spotty showers, some snow, some sleet. This one was not too big (at least up in VA) but was for western NC and SC!

 

Sorry all! Yes, there is another storm possible in about 1 week! we will see! The real story, VERY COLD next week!

 

Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3

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2/1 DC/MD/VA Winter Weather Alert

2 waves of precipitation, Snow to a mix, but maybe a good amount of snow for Higher elevations in SW VA

 

North of Roanoke in the Mountains towards SW VA and Northeast up to just SW of Charlottesville could see the most snow with 3-6" shot.

 

Areas along I-95 to 30 miles east, 1-2" then a mix. Precip amounts could approach Winter Storm warning of .25" along I-95 and west up to about Ashland.

 

1-3" of Snow north of here along I-95 up to Baltimore and ares 20 miles either side of I-95. Again, a mix tomorrow night.

 

1-4" west of the I-95 area from Western Loudoun and Frederick Count MD above down to Charlottesville. Closer to 4" in the southern areas of that region, less towards the MD/VA Border.

 

Models are split tonight! Thus the larger ranges. This one has some surprise potential especially looking at the large snow sheild on Radar.

 

Tweaking likely tomorrow, but light snow may overspread most of the area by morning in the south and by noon, Nortehrn VA and by 3pm in Maryland.

 

All for now!

 

 
 

Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid Atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3

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