Sunny today, rain tomorrow and Wednesday

Today will feature sunny skies for most, although some high clouds
will be present along the southeast VA and East NC regions. In NC
along the coastal areas rain is also likely today. Highs will be in
the mid 60s.

Rain will gradually push up the coast and spread inland. Another storm
system will also push into the region so that a better chance of rain
will also push in by late tomorrow. Highs tomorrow will be mid and
upper 50s with some low 60s.

Rainy skies to continue Wednesday with highs in the mid and upper 50s
to around 60.

Thursday will be a nicer day with sun returning and temps back in the
60s to around 70. Friday will still be sunny with highs upper 60s to
even mid 70s.

Halloween looks a bit tricky with a front that could spoil some
treats! A front will be passing through but highs will be in the 60s
to lowe 70s. More details as we get closer!

All for now!

--
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Starting the week of Sunny - Rain chances return Tuesday into Wednesday - Sunny day - more Saturday

This will be a fairly typical and nice fall week. Yes, Tuesday into Wednesday presents the chance of rain, but that is normal!
Temps in the 60s and even pushing 70 to 75 Thursday and Friday. Saturday could see a return to showers.

Of note, there are are some model connections showing a very rainy set up for next weekend. I am hoping this is not the case!

The Forum has grown but no one is posting! I am working on coordinating all the winter outlooks. I will work on posting mine next weekend!

The Tropics have become very quiet.

All for now!

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Warm, windy, and Storms - Sunny Sunday

Today will feature strong southerly winds with scattered showers and storms. Temps will be in the upper 70s t vn the 80 degree mark in a few places. Showers and strong storms could come through this afternoon accompanied mainly with a lot of wind. These will clear overnight and be a nice sunny day tomorrow!

Temps in the 60ds with Sunny skies will continue through Tuesday when more showers may visit.

All for now.

Jimmy

Much warmer! Warmth into the weekend! Rain for Friday into Saturday!

What a difference a week makes! It was so cold last week and now it is warm! We will see warmer air continue into Thursday. Highs in areas will be in the low to mid 80s. Friday a front will be coming through Friday. Moisture will be present on Saturday and cause more rain. Temps will be generally in the 60s and 70s. The idea now is that Sunday will be dry with temps remaining in the 60s. More clouds and possible rain on Monday.

Winter Outlook will be posted next weekend!

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Cold night - Sun returns! Warmer weather! Then more rain by weekend =(

There were some rain and snow mix reports around this morning in Maryland and the mountains, but precipitation quickly subsided and the day slowly saw some clearing. With clear skies and colder temps, Freeze and Frost warnings are now posted for many.

Sunny skies with highs in the 50s and low and mid 60s Monday, Mid 60s and 70s Tuesday, upper 60s to upper 70s Wednesdy and Thursday. A cold front approaches Friday and that should bring rains.

Of interest, super Hurricane Rick in the eastern Pacific had winds to 180 MPH last night! Pretty awesome! Not s great for the Baja of California which will see a visit from him the next several days. He will have a weakening trend with him. His moisture could aid more rains for us in the longer term!

All for now!

Rain continues for Most areas east of Mountains -less west - cool and cold SNOW?

As a coastal low forms today continued disturbances will cause rain to fall. Heaviest rains will be east of the mountains and more northern VA and MD than Southern VA and NC. As the coastal low finally gets going colder air will try and wrap into the system and higher elevations could see some snow. Amounts will be light with maybe 1 to 1.5 inches. As lower dewpoints and cooler air wraps in a quick little mix of snow could make it to the DC and BWI suburbs tomorrow morning. The cool wet weather will slowly exit tomorrow. Finally some sun and cool conditions return Monday with highs 50s and low 60s.

This has been a very wild weather event. Very cold with record cold maximum temperatures in many areas! Sleet reported at the onset in northern VA as well as snow in the mountains.

We will see a much drier week until at least Thursday into Friday when a front will cross the area. Temps will generally be the in the 60s and low 70s with lows 30s early in the week rising to 40s later in the week in the north and 40s and 50s in the south.

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Rain increasing again - will it snow?!

Snow will mainly be a possibility above 1500 feet and mainly when it
gets dark. That being said, as the coastal low wraps up a bit tomorrow
night, colder air could start filtering east of the mountains. Many
areas west of the DC and BWI area MAY see some snow flakes saturday
night into Sunday. Saturday night may also feature all snow for the
mountains with 1 to naybe 3 inches.

That is my thinking now. More in the morning!

--
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Cool to cold for many - Rain a plenty - some snow!

Again, this winter like pattern is going to be interesting and bring some mountain snows above 2000 feet as well as even a rain/snow mixed close to the DC Metro suburbs.

Storm Highlights:

Cold Air Damming:
We have a cold air damming situation which is making the Piedmont very cool (40s) while the coastal plains today could see highs near 60 in SE Va and NC

Snow threats:
The Nor'easter that is forming off the Carolina coast will wrap some colder air in it over time and so higher elevations of Virginia (will say north of Harrisonburg) will see a chance of rain and snow tonight and tomorrow night.

Another system appears to get its act together Saturday and this could have even colder air which cold mean snow may accumulate higher elevations and some accumulations could occur. This should be monitored
As colder air gets more entrained into the system, snow and rain mixed could start to spread eastward and even affect the Piedmont areas up to areas west of I-95 from Fredericksburg northward to the DC and Baltimore suburbs Saturday Night.

Copious rain:
Rain from these storm systems could drop 1 to 3 inches of rain with highest amounts along the coastal plains.

Winds:
Winds along the coast will be at gale force and even Storm force so Coastal storm warnings and gale warnings are posted. Areas from the Delmarva and north could see coastal flooding as well. All areas should see winds increase as the coastal storm gets wrapped up.

Pennsylvania and Northwards have many Winter storm watches and warnings are now flying due to heavy wet snows. This is especially true of areas above 1500 to 2000 feet. With trees having many leaves left on them this could be a serious situation.Forecasts are calling for 4 to as much as 12 inches in higher elevations and mainly on trees.

Longer term:
60s and 70s will make a come back next week with sunnier skies.

This will be a wild weather event the next 60 hours!

All for now!

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Almost like Winter next several days

The first cold Nor'easter will come up the coast the next few days and cause a damp raw forecast to take shape! Areas could see HIGHS in the upper 30s, especially higher elevations and immediate Piedmont! Due to the colder air and the configuration areas above 1000 feet could see SNOW! Yes SNOW! Likely it would be too wet and too warm for much to stick, but it will be interesting nonetheless!

So today will be a thickening clouds day with temps barely into the lower 50s and some just upper 40s. Late in the day a few showers could break out in the far West and south. Tonight will be cold with many mountains and immediate northern Piedmont seeing 30s. Rain and even higher elevation snow should break out as the night wears on. Areas look to be just rainy and raw tomorrow! Many will see upper 30s and low and mid 40s for high temps! The further not and higher in elevation the colder. A switch back to snow in the higher elevations looks likely tomorrow night with maybe some light accumulations. Cold rain elsewhere! T]Friday will again see rain, a mix in the higher elevations, early. It will be a bit more showery Friday and then more rain areas east of the mountains, and snow possible for the mountains Friday night! Rain showers and higher elevation snow showers Saturday, and again more rain Saturday night, but the snow line will likely lower in elevation and spread eastward! Areas in the immediate Piedmont and even a bit eastward could see their first flakes of the season as well!

A forecast of crazy cold and even wintry weather will be a bit challenging the next could of days. There could be changes, and even some advisories. Please note a 1 to 3 inch rainfall is likely with breezy conditions! Soup and winter coats weather for sure!

All for now!

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COLD COMING !!! AND SNOW IN HIGHER ELEVATIONS

COLD COMING !!! AND SNOW IN HIGHER ELEVATIONS ANY TIME FROM THURSDAY NIGHT THRU THE WEEKEND, 2 SYSTEMS WILL BRING RAIN TO I 95 CORRIDOR, AND SOME HEAVY WET SNOW IN THE MOUNTAINS OF MARYLAND , PA, NY, ON NORTH, TEMPS ALL AROUND WILL RUN 10 - 20 DEGFREES BELOW NORMAL. HIGHS MAY NOE GET OUT OF THE 40S IN MOST SPOTS, MORE TO COME

***LUKE***

Wednesday - Friday rains. Cool/colder week

A cool day with many areas not breaking out of the 50s. A little warmer tomorrow(like yesterday's weather) and then a much cooler Wednesday with highs in the low 50s north and upper 50s south.Rain chances increase on Thursday and this will be a true soaking rain for northern areas with 1 to as much as 3 inches of rain possible between Wednesday Night and Saturday. Temps will be very cool with highs not even 50 for many places Thursday and 50 to 55 Friday and Saturday. Saturday could end dry and sunny.

Today and tomorrow look the best of the week!

All for now!

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Wednesday - Friday rains. Cool/colder week

A cool day with many areas not breaking out of the 50s.
A little warmer tomorrow(like yesterday's weather) and then a much
cooler Wednesday with highs in the low 50s north and upper 50s south.
Rain chances increase on Thursday and this will be a true soaking rain
for northern areas with 1 to as much as 3 inches of rain possible
between Wednesday Night and Saturday.
Temps will be very cool with highs not even 50 for many places
Thursday and 50 to 55 Friday and Saturday. Saturday could end dry and
sunny.

Today and tomorrow look the best of the week!

All for now!

--
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Cool week -lookd Very wet Thursday

The week looks to turn very wet Thursday. More to come. Very cool fall
weather ahead!

--
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Sunny skies and a cool pattern!

We went from a very warm Friday to a transition to a cool day Saturday and now Sunday! We are not too cool today with highs in the 60s and low 70s.
This week will say several cooler days!
Tomorrow will be cool with many seeing highs mainly in the 50s and low 60s. Showers will affect the west and southwest later in the day and the same showers will move across the region tomorrow night.
Tuesday looks very similar to today with highs in the 60s and lower and mid 70s.
Wednesday looks cool like Monday with highs 50s and low and mid 60s with sun
The cool weather will stick around. through the end of the week with showers possible next Thursday, Friday, and into Saturday.
Friday could be the coldest day with highs on the mid 50s to about 60 for most with showers possible.

The tropics will not see much activity.

I see a few encouraging signs for colder winter if we can lock this pattern all winter! At least 1 meteorologist thinks this will be a common pattern this winter.

All for now!

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Windy day in store - Morning Showers - Sunny Thurs-Clouds Friday but warmer!

A front is crossing the region this morning and after it passes strong winds will follow. Winds pretty much will be in the 15 to 25 mph range, but gusts up to 50 mph are possible. The NWS posted a wind advisory because of this. Temps will start of relatively mild and raise to the upper 60s and mid 70s through the region. Thursday looks dry and nice with temps again in the upper 60s to mid 70s. Friday will see clouds increasing and maybe a shower in the afternoon in the far west. Temps will climb as much as 10 degrees warmer with highs upper 70s to mid 80s. Showers look possible overnight Friday into Saturday and then Saturday is another breezy day with temps back to the upper 60s to mid 70s. Cooler air with highs mid 60s to around 70 Sunday and another chance of showers Monday with temps even cooler as highs may not reach 60 north and be in the mid and upper 60s south Monday. Cool 50s north and low and mid 60s south will continue for Tuesday. It is possible that nigh time temps could mean frosts and freezes for the mountains and Piedmont Tuesday into Wednesday of next week for northern areas.

Henri is looking healthy in the Northeast Caribbean. He will likely get sheared to pieces in the next 24 hours or so, but there are some indications that this could have a long term affect on the east coast. We will see.

Winter weather insight: Another possible linkage to winter weather is the Solar activity. I think this year will NOT be majorly impacted by the solar activity as it is very low.

If I were to say the players in winter at this point I would say El Nino is the strongest factor. All other factors at this point are too early or to volatile to be helpful.

All for now!

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Windy day ahead

Wind Advisories are up for a large part of the region Morning showers
will give way to increasing winds and decreasing clouds. Temps in the
upper 60s up to nid 70s.

Cooler temps for the weekend and beyond much cooler!

Tropics have Henri ( pronounced ahn-ree) this MAY play a role in the
longer term.

All for now!

--
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Coldest air of the season this weekend into Monday

Cold air will pay us a visit. Could see 50s for highs in many places!

More to come

--
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Cool evening - Bit of rain NC and SW VA - Little tropical storm Grace? - Bigger rain?- Long Term Cold - Winter?

Temps will cool down into the 40s and 50s tonight for most. Clouds and an increase in a chance for rain looks likely in SW VA and North Carolina. Virginia will mainly see clouds but some rain will be possible in Southern Virginia. This will be especially true tomorrow.

Temps will be in the 70 to 80 degree range. More widespread rain chances will occur Tuesday night into Wednesday and then again Friday night into Saturday. As noted before, much cooler air looks to follow the system this Friday and highs for many may be the 50s next week with frosts and freezes possible.

On a similar note, there could be quite a bit more rain than what is indicated if certain events pan out the way they could. I will update if that occurs, but will leave this alone for now!


Tropics: A wild very small system north of the Azores looks very tropical and was named as I was typing this up. Tropical storm grace with winds estimated at 65 MPH. She is likely at her peak already and is REALLY small!

Another bloc of tropical convection will also need some monitoring the next few days.

So more winter outlooks:

First off in my last discussion I mentioned that the El Nino would not be as much of a factor this year for a favorable colder winter scenario. It ill be present mind you, which I think I misspoke on last time.

Second factor.. Cold water off Pacific NW Coast. I do not like it, but I would be wrong thinking it is a lock all winter. these things can change and I would not put stock in it for another month or so. But, if it hangs around, I also would not expect as cold of a winter as the Pacific Jet Stream would be in an unfavorable position. WAY too early to tell how this will play out.

Snow cover I will continue to watch and will definitely expand this week!

All for now!

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Somewhat cool-Rain Wed-Rain Poss Saturday - Long Term COLD?

First off, today will be one of the best weather days of the fall so far! Temps will be generally in the 70 to 75 degree range! Always a lot to do in fall with Fall festivals and the like (we love Cox Farms here in Northern Virginia http://www.coxfarms.com/ ) and I am sure many others know of places to visit! Cool nights will continue with daytime highs 70 to 80 for most of the region (70 north, near 80 south) through the week! Wednesday looks like the next best day to see some rain showers and we will have to see what takes shape exactly here. A strong front will cross the country and may set the stage for some severe weather as well. 70 to 80 degree temps will continue to next Saturday when yet another cold front will cross the region. Behind this front we may see the coldest intrusion we have seen this year! Highs may be in the 50s for some and the first frosts and freezes could hit the mountains and up near the PA/MD border northward.

Around the country, the Rockies will see their first true snow storm of the season, and the far south could see another bout of extremely heavy rains (not good for them).

Tropics look pretty quite right now. Will have to watch for a system about mid way through the Atlantic Basin, but not sure it will amount to much as of now.

All for now.

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Rain chances have decreased - Some clouds - Foggy start

Looks like the rain chances have ended and we should see a variably cloudy day with highs in the 70s. With so much humidity we start off with some fog and an isolated afternoon storm cannot be ruled out. Sunday should be very sunny with highs in the mid and upper 70s. Temps will stay about the same through Tuesday. We should see some more rain chances starting Tuesday Night into Wednesday but temps remain the same.

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All for now.

Jimmy

Another cold night. Warmer Friday. Rainy Saturday

It will be another very cool to cold night with temps in the 30s in
the mountains, low to mid 40s north, and upper 40s and low 50s south.
Winds turn southerly tomorrow and temps will range from the low 70s
south to low 80s south. Clouds will increase. More clouds Saturday
with showers possible and thunderstorms. Some storms could be severe
Saturday, especially if sun can heat things up. 70s and maybe some 80s
Saturday too.

Temps fall back to low and mid 70s north and upper 70s south starting
Sunday with sunny skies. Tuesday will see more clouds and rain chances
again by Wednesday.

Tropics now have an interesting tropical low being watched by HPC.

All for now.

--
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