Monday, February 27, 2012

Very nice day! Rains Wednesday and Saturday!

It is going to be a beautiful day! Highs in the upper 50s to low 60s and sun! Tomorrow will not be as warm with highs low 50s north and upper 50s south. Then Wednesday there will be a potent system to our north with plenty of gulf moisture feeding it and causing widespread rain. There is a slight chance that as the precip starts a bit of sleet is mixed in, but rain will be the deal that day and colder temps of 40s and low 50s.

Thursday and Friday look seasonal with highs in the 50s. Friday night and Saturday more rain, maybe even some thunderstorms in the southern areas, will be possible. Temps will remain the same, but a chance of showers through the weekend.

All for now!


Saturday, February 25, 2012

Comb over Advisory in effect! Cold winds today - snow showers - Mild ALL next week!

The cold winds will persist today, but not quite as strong as yesterday. The winds will make it feel like it is in the 30s and low 40s most of the day though highs should make it to the mid and upper 40s north and around 50 south! With dry air and windy conditions the fire danger, especially in NC, is higher than normal and Red Flag Warnings are posted due to this. Please be careful.

I should mention that there is some instability today so a brief snow shower cannot be ruled out. This will be a bit more common on the upslope snow areas.

Winds subside overnight  with lows in the 20s and low 30s.

Temps will come up a few degrees tomorrow with sunny skies.
 
Temps will jump upwards 10 degrees Monday to the mid and upper 50s to lower 60s! That temperature set up will last ALL WEEK! We will have rain chances Wednesday to deal with, but, otherwise, temps mid 50s to mid 60s area wide!

All for now!


Friday, February 24, 2012

Moderate Risk for Severe VA, NC, SC - High Winds

With Spring Like temps and a serious contract in temps and a strong cold front, the ingredients have come together to lift the severe threat to moderate for SE VA, NC, and SC. (http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_1300.gif)While there is a risk for high winds, quick hitting tornadoes could also occur in these areas. In general, a very windy day looks to occur with winds along the higher terrain going to 60 mph or higher at times. Elsewhere, winds in the 40s to around 50 mph could occur. This is a day that you will need to pay attention to the weather and not take it for granted. The Weather Channel has even upped their Tornado index to 4 in the SE VA, Eastern NC, the DELMARVA, and Eastern SC areas.
Delmarva Peninsula - 4
Southeast VA - 4
Eastern & central NC - 4
Eastern & central SC -
Eastern & southern GA -3
Other red areas - 2

Tornado watches already up in GA, and SC... just saw a tornado warning for Russel County, VA. Busy severe day ahead!

See http://www.weather.com/outlook/weather-news/news/articles/daily-torcon-forecast_2011-07-11 for more details!

Temps today will soar into the 70s before the front crashed through this afternoon with severe storms and very gusty winds.

After today, a much cooler weekend is in store with highs in the 40s to low 50s Winds will also be an issue for Saturday.

I will leave next week open as the next 12 to 15 hours will keep me plenty busy!

Stay tuned to news and weather outlets for watches and warnings today!

All for now!




Wednesday, February 22, 2012

The Mild up continues - Few showers - NC/SC Severe threat!

Remember that a few days ago we were dealing with a Snow storm in parts of the region! Today widespread 50s and 60s! Some places this morning for low temps were nearly 20 degrees warmer! You ain't seen nothing yet! Forecasts for places like Raleigh, NC will see 75 degrees tomorrow! They had SNOW Sunday! Or Lynchburg, VA that had 7" of snow will see 71 tomorrow! CRAZY!

Due to the moist air mass a few showers cannot be ruled out later today. Shoot SPC shows a Thunderstorm risk for parts of VA, NC, and SC and even a severe risk in Western NC and SC! Showers are more likely and especially this evening up north. Tomorrow is the "Warm" day will mid 60s to mid 70s possible area wide.

A convoluted set up occurs Friday into Saturday with a cold front that will knock temps back down and also provide some good rains! We will need to watch again for a severe threat Friday, but, as of now, it appears and Eastern NC and SC risk.

HPC has the following 5 day Precipitation map:
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p120i12.gif

This is lighter than their earlier prediction.

SPC is highlighting the possibility of severe in western NC and SC:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_1300.gif

It is like Spring.

MUCH cooler this weekend with highs back into the 40s and 50s.

All for now!

Tuesday, February 21, 2012

Going to get "warm" Thursday!

Real quick updates.

Few Showers possible later today and overnight. Temps 50s
mild and 50s tomorrow.
Almost WARM Wednesday and Thursday as high soar into the 60s ans some 70s possible! Mid 70s Central and Southern VA down into NC!

Then we have a chance for Showers and Thunderstorms Friday with cooler temps for the weekend.

All for now!


Monday, February 20, 2012

What a challenge! MILD TEMPS - EVEN a 70 degrees in locations!

If I were to grade my forecast I would have to give it a D - It was close to a failure everywhere, but a few folks had enough to make it not a total bust - unless you live in Northern VA and MD! Then we have the other side where more snow hit NW NC a bit further south than I thought!

That may be it too folks! Snow looks almost impossible in the long range as a return to milder conditions with above or much above normal temps are forecast!

Here is the NWS long range:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/610temp.new.gif

And it continues in the real long term.
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/814temp.new.gif

So we have a mild week and it gets really mild! Highs today are in the mid and upper 40s. Tomorrow - upper 40s to low and even mid 50s. Then Mid 50s to mid 60s Wednesday! 60s to mid a possible 70 in the south Thursday and Friday. Then the temps cool to the 40s to mid 50s for the weekend.

FOR REAL - If you live in the Leesburg, Ashburn, or Sterling area it is time to get the grab grass preventer out! Let my friend at Lawn Design help get you started on a very green summer lawn!
Email ld@midatlanticweather.com for details. He has kept his same prices 3 years in a row and is very reasonable!

All for now!


Friday, February 17, 2012

Thursday, February 16, 2012

Snow map LATE tonight

Will post on WEB SITE only but reference it everywhere!

Significant snow for quite a few. I-95 and east will struggle to go to snow!

Jimmy



Tuesday, February 14, 2012

Sprinkles and a few showers|Thursday rain|#Snow threat increases for weekend

After a delightful warm up on Monday, today we see some showers, maybe a few flakes mountains, today. Then we have another beautiful day tomorrow with highs in the 50s. Thursday will be cloudy with rain. Then Friday we will see slightly cooler temps and sunny skies.

My eyes on the weekend system which is more and more increasing the threat for a Mid Atlantic snow. How far north will it come? I am not certain if it is coming yet, but this will be something to feed the snow starved!

That is the easy look at things!

More to come!

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Web at http://www.midatlanticweather.com

Monday, February 13, 2012

Milder air| A little mix| A close call or snow?

First off, thanks to all the new joins at http://www.facebook.com/midatlanticweather and http://twitter.com/midatlanticwx. Welcome.

The winter of non-sticking cold continues. We will see moderation today to 40s and 50s. Milder tomorrow to upper 40s and 50s. Even so, a little snow and rain shower action could occur tonight into tomorrow morning for north and higher elevations. Some rain showers tomorrow. Mild 50s Wednesday. Slightly cooler Thursday with rain showers a better bet than snow showers based on pattern and temps.

(Remember that Mountains are usually 10 degrees colder)

Next weekend has me wondering about a big Southeastern US storm that could bring snow to Southern and Central Virginia and even North Carolina. It is possible it come further north as well. Forecast models give me some thoughts that this may be the case and we need to watch as they are kind of trending that way. Stay tuned.

Honestly though, if that does not happen, I think the snow storm window will shut as a return to the winter pattern we have seen so far appears to re-emerge and temps in the 60s next week would not be too far fetched!

All for now!


Special thanks to @midatlanticturf for the multiple retweets. And also a special thanks to Hotrods 2 Hybrids (http://www.hotrods2hybrids.com/) for all their work on my cars recently!

Sunday, February 12, 2012

Weather for the Week|Cold start|Few winter threats|Maybe a big one next weekend?

I will be doing less blogs, more videos, and a lot of one off posts to Mid Atlantic Weather.
Forecast looks cold today with teens and 20s for many today and some 30s eastern and south regions. Sunny with winds kicking up as the sun comes out and mixes the atmosphere.
The cold night tonight may be the coldest of the season with some snow on the ground and clear temps. Temps will moderate some.
There is a threat of some wintry weather Tuesday but a mix type scenario and maybe elevated areas seeing the mix.
Later this week the situation looks interesting. Thursday and into the weekend a storm may ride up west of us and start as snow and go to rain. That Low could become a cold block mechanism for a true winter storm next weekend.
Beyond that, the pattern looks to return to milder conditions.
So, I am back!
Where you can find me:
All for now!

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