Gaston Tropical Storm Again!

Sorry to areas of lower southern Maryland and SE VA as this storm went further south and east than I thought. Spoke with my folks in Richmond who received around 8 inches of rain. They said this was devastating. Of note, Gaston never really lost its tropical look or feel. Strong circulation has even given it a Tropical Storm ranking again and that was almost before it hit the coast! (Hurricane Danny did the same thing in 1997) After this leaves, we will have a nice week. OK one more note on Frances. Looking like Florida will be the target. Sorry for my flip flopping, but I am almost certain Florida will be its landfall state. It will then ride up towards us so we will possibly see indirect effects of it around Labor Day. ===== Jimmy Chaplin of Mid Atlantic Weather. http://www.midatlanticweather.com * Get the Washington DC Weatherbook! Beautiful photos, great weather history! http://www.weatherbook.com *Live near Purcellville in Loudoun, VA? Need catering?Want great deli food and ICE CREAM?Call on my good friend Ian at Sweet T's! New Store just opened! http://www.sweetts.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New and Improved Yahoo! Mail - Send 10MB messages! http://promotions.yahoo.com/new_mail

Gaston Rains & isolated Severe! Frances Thoughts shift North!

First of all we still have the remnants of Gaston Today which will traverse the state causing a path of very heavy rains. It appears that Gaston will take the heavy rain swath east of a line from Danville to to Washington DC to Wilmington Delaware. Ironically, the heavier rains look to go west of a line from Norfolk to Salisbury.. BUT.. Tropical systems can easily make a small shower a very heavy rainstorm, so anywhere east of the Mountains may see heavy rain storms this afternoon. There is the risk for brief tornadoes, especially east of the track. Now Frances! I am more concerned that the Southeastern US may be struck after all. Latest models have turned the storm to NC/SC/GA threat! IF SC/NC get hit again this would be the 5th tropical system to hit there this year! So my Florida thoughts are changing! It is important because its remnants would threaten here if the northerly tack verifies! This will be the last I discuss it until (and if) it poses a threat to our weather. So today, heavy rain across the piedmont and coastal areas with hit or miss heavier rainstorms elsewhere. As I also said, brief tornadoes will also be possible east of the actual track of Gaston. All for now! ===== Jimmy Chaplin of Mid Atlantic Weather. http://www.midatlanticweather.com * Get the Washington DC Weatherbook! Beautiful photos, great weather history! http://www.weatherbook.com *Live near Purcellville in Loudoun, VA? Need catering?Want great deli food and ICE CREAM?Call on my good friend Ian at Sweet T's! New Store just opened! http://www.sweetts.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New and Improved Yahoo! Mail - 100MB free storage! http://promotions.yahoo.com/new_mail

Topical Storm Gaston to cause Rains

Right now, Gaston is in the eastern part of SC and barely moving, but a front to the west should provide a kicker to move the storm north and east. One unique thing I am noticing that the rain is actually west of the storm. I expect this to change, but, if not, we are in for a rainy Monday Night/Tuesday for all the region and not just the Southeastern and eastern parts of the area. Right now, SE Virginia should prepare for heavy, flooding rains Monday into Monday night. Severe storms will likely accompany the system east of the storm track. Every time I hear Gaston, I think of Beauty and the Beast and the Macho Gaston who tries to kill the Beast!! And the Beast, is Frances! As far as hurricane Frances goes, I am thinking we may have a Category 5 storm on our hands at some point. Frances is in the very same region of the tropics that Isabel was last year, BUT, The ridge to the north of Frances will keep the storm on a far south track. I am betting Florida, and maybe southern Florida. Frances is definitely in a similar location as Andrew as well. This is my concern. Florida is going to get hit by another Major to severe Hurricane. I am then concerned that another part of the gulf could be hit again. IF SO, this could very well be the costliest hurricane ever! Before you relax for our region, it is very possible another tropical system is forming SW of Bermuda. I think this one may be pulled NE by the troughiness in the Northeast, but it could miss, and slowly move westward towards the east coast! It is a busy tropical season. With Frances becoming the third Major Hurricane for the Atlantic which is the earliest this has ever happened! (at least that there are records for!) All for now! ===== Jimmy Chaplin of Mid Atlantic Weather. http://www.midatlanticweather.com * Get the Washington DC Weatherbook! Beautiful photos, great weather history! http://www.weatherbook.com *Live near Purcellville in Loudoun, VA? Need catering?Want great deli food and ICE CREAM?Call on my good friend Ian at Sweet T's! New Store just opened! http://www.sweetts.com _______________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Win 1 of 4,000 free domain names from Yahoo! Enter now. http://promotions.yahoo.com/goldrush

8/27 Tropical Systems to watch

Concern is growing that a slow moving tropical system will come through the region starting early next week. A new tropical depression has formed off the Southeastern US and will possibly strengthen to a tropical storm. It is nearly stationary, but the interaction of Frances (a very healthy looking hurricane east of the Lesser Antilles) may actually push it Northwestward over the next several days. This is just a heads up that we may see tropical rains, and a lot of it, Monday to Wednesday time frame next week. The next concern is the eventual track of Frances. Frances will likely hit the US east coast later next week. The best bet (and boy is this a far off forecast) is that she will come ashore anywhere from Florida to the NC/SC border. My gut is FL/GA border at this time, but it is a far ways off. The threat will be that a Major (Category 3 or higher storm) or even possible Severe (Winds above 155mph) hurricane will be devastate communities that are hit. Its longer term projection could bring its remnants up in our region, and this far out, everyone is urged to stay alert! All for now! http://www.nhc.noaa.gov http://www.midatlanticweather.com/tropical ===== Jimmy Chaplin of Mid Atlantic Weather. http://www.midatlanticweather.com * Get the Washington DC Weatherbook! Beautiful photos, great weather history! http://www.weatherbook.com *Live near Purcellville in Loudoun, VA? Need catering?Want great deli food and ICE CREAM?Call on my good friend Ian at Sweet T's! New Store just opened! http://www.sweetts.com _______________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Win 1 of 4,000 free domain names from Yahoo! Enter now. http://promotions.yahoo.com/goldrush

8/20 - 8/21 Severe Weather Possible

Heavy thunderstorms are crossing into Maryland from Maryland and West Virginia at the present time. Isolated severe weather will be possible this evening in northern areas but the threat should be less during the overnight. Saturday should be quite stormy, and even downright rainy in the southeastern part of the area. Severe storms are possible during these storms. This will make a great transition into a very pleasant Sunday! All for now! FYI. My web site is going through changes that I hope everyone will be checking out. Consider it an evolving process, but check back. The site is now formated for people whose browsers support iFrames! Take a look and enjoy! ===== Jimmy Chaplin of Mid Atlantic Weather. http://www.midatlanticweather.com * Get the Washington DC Weatherbook! Beautiful photos, great weather history! http://www.weatherbook.com *Live near Purcellville in Loudoun, VA? Need catering?Want great deli food and ICE CREAM?Call on my good friend Ian at Sweet T's! New Store just opened! http://www.sweetts.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New and Improved Yahoo! Mail - 100MB free storage! http://promotions.yahoo.com/new_mail

8/19 Severe Threat this afternoon

Hot and humid conditions will play a role in possible isolated severe thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. Northern areas have a bit better of a shot of severe as there is a front that will be traversing the area with some dynamics available for winds, hail, and even isolated tornadoes due to some shear that is available. Please stay tuned to media and weather outlets for Watches and/or warnings. All for now! ===== Jimmy Chaplin of Mid Atlantic Weather. http://www.midatlanticweather.com * Get the Washington DC Weatherbook! Beautiful photos, great weather history! http://www.weatherbook.com *Live near Purcellville in Loudoun, VA? Need catering?Want great deli food and ICE CREAM?Call on my good friend Ian at Sweet T's! New Store just opened! http://www.sweetts.com _______________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Win 1 of 4,000 free domain names from Yahoo! Enter now. http://promotions.yahoo.com/goldrush

8/18 Severe Weather Possible

Severe weather is possible this afternoon and evening. The largest threat will be hail and high winds. Please stay tuned to weather and media outlets for watches and or warnings. All for now. ===== Jimmy Chaplin of Mid Atlantic Weather. http://www.midatlanticweather.com * Get the Washington DC Weatherbook! Beautiful photos, great weather history! http://www.weatherbook.com *Live near Purcellville in Loudoun, VA? Need catering?Want great deli food and ICE CREAM?Call on my good friend Ian at Sweet T's! New Store just opened! http://www.sweetts.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Yahoo! Mail is new and improved - Check it out! http://promotions.yahoo.com/new_mail

8/17 Weather Outlook

Working to get back to issuing these daily as the new blogging interface allows an email to update my site. I hope these outlooks will become a more regular occurrence! The weather starts off great today. Temps will be in the mid 80s with some humidity beginning to be felt as winds will begin their shift to the south. Can't rule out isolated, bay/ocean induced convection or even highland induced convection, but isolated will be the case! Tomorrow there is a chance that parts of the region will see severe weather ( http://www.midatlanticweather.com/severe )so please take note of this and an alert may be issued concerning this. Highs will be in the mid to upper 80's and the humidity will be back! Thursday and Friday will be similar to tomorrow,with afternoon and evening thunderstorms possible. The weekend could be really stormy as we have three factors to deal with. 1. A strong front from Canada which on the other side is extremely, and unseasonably cool (There could be frost in parts of the Northeastern US this weekend!) 2. That front will stall in our region (actually there are 2 fronts. One to the north holding up the really chilly air, and the secondary which will get stuck on us) 3. The remnants of Earl which may have a chance to get entrained into the stalled front. Much uncertainty remains as to how much precip we get this weekend, but the factors above will need to be monitored as severe weather and flooding rains may need to be forecasted. All for now! ===== Jimmy Chaplin of Mid Atlantic Weather. http://www.midatlanticweather.com * Get the Washington DC Weatherbook! Beautiful photos, great weather history! http://www.weatherbook.com *Live near Purcellville in Loudoun, VA? Need catering?Want great deli food and ICE CREAM?Call on my good friend Ian at Sweet T's! New Store just opened! http://www.sweetts.com

Charley and the old front

Severe weather already firing the Southeastern part of the area! The old stalled front is providing a focus for overrunning rain which has already been heavy and severe tonight! Please stay alert. Tomorrow, the official track still takes the storm close to us. Winds will be on the increase, tidal flooding, and heavy rains! At 11:00 pm Charley was packing winds of 85mph and about to go into the Atlantic. It will strengthen and is forecasted to come onshore again near the NC/SC border. I am not sure of this and feel it may be further east.. but models diverge on this. Despite this, with the fronts involvement it looks like heavy rains and some severe weather will still be likely tomorrow! All for now! Please note! I am possibly on the road tomorrow and may not be able to update again! Please stay tuned to news and weather outlets for updates! ===== Jimmy Chaplin of Mid Atlantic Weather. http://www.midatlanticweather.com * Get the Washington DC Weatherbook! Beautiful photos, great weather history! http://www.weatherbook.com *Live near Purcellville in Loudoun, VA? Need catering?Want great deli food and ICE CREAM?Call on my good friend Ian at Sweet T's! New Store just opened! http://www.sweetts.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Yahoo! Mail - 50x more storage than other providers! http://promotions.yahoo.com/new_mail