Wednesday, August 31, 2005

8/31 DC/MD/VA Weather Outlook


Severe weather is possible today, but not as high of a threat as yesterday. Warm and dry conditions will be the rule for a while after today. A brief cool down and then more summer like weather possible next week.


Summary:  First and foremost, Katrina will be the costliest hurricane for the United States ever. The tragedies unfolding in Louisiana and other Gulf Facing states is still just being realized and its true toll will take months to determine. Heartfelt condolences for anyone with family and friends down there. The systems did spawn some severe weather here in Northern Virginia and a tornado was reported in Faquier county which caused damage to homes. See http://www.midatlanticweather.com/cgi-bin/weather/hw3.cgi?forecast=stormreports&use_state=md&maplinks= for reported wind and weather damage. Today is a tough one to call. The criteria needed to produce more severe weather is very strong in the atmosphere but the trajectory of winds causes downsloping winds off the mountains and subsidence around the Tropical system should limit the overall convection That being said, a single thunderstorm cell would likely become a super cell (rotate) and could drop a tornado. With that RISK I will not drop my severe weather alert, but will emphasize ISOLATED. After the front moves through later today a drier period will ensue and temps will remain in the 80 to even as high as 90 through Saturday. A Brief cool down will follow but I see a chance of pretty warm summer like pattern developing again next week.

 

Tropics: There are a few systems in the Tropical Atlantic that could become tropical depressions and/or storms in the next day or so, but until next week when the Atlantic will have some changes to its upper level wind flow, the systems should be steered northward.  We are 2 weeks from the usual peak of the tropical season for the Atlantic so we will likely have more to come. Unfortunately, this year seems to point to continued threats to the Gulf Coast and Florida with the trajectory of upper level features. We can all hope Katrina is the last of any big storms for this year.

 

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum. Our community has grown to 22 members. Please join those who have so we can get good feedback and regional coverage. http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

 

Did you know? I send this update out semi regularly via email! To get it send and email to midatlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I also send a Severe Weather Alert when we need it. To get it mid-atlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com

 

Site News:  A lot of new and updated links are now on the web site. I have a lot of new Tropical links to add and I will likely re-organize pages in the next few weeks. Look forward to expanding on the design. Ther could be some slight menu changing, but I find the site effective in communicating what I want so it will be more to make the site cleaner than to have radical changes!

 

All for now!

 

Relief Agencies:

American Red Cross,
http://www.redcross.org 800-HELP NOW (435-7669) English, 800-257-7575 Spanish.

Operation Blessing,
http://www.ob.org 800-436-6348.

Salvation Army,
http://www.salvationarmyusa.org 800-SAL-ARMY (725-2769).

America's Second Harvest,
http://www.secondblessing.org 800-344-8070.

Adventist Community Services,
http://www.adventist.communityservices.org 800-381-7171.

Christian Disaster Response,
http://www.cdresponse.org 941-956-5183 or 941-551-9554.

Christian Reformed World Relief Committee,
http://www.crwrc.org 800-848-5818.

Church World Service,
http://www.churchworldservice.org 800-297-1516.

Convoy of Hope,
http://www.convoyofhope.org 417-823-8998.

Lutheran Disaster Response,
http://www.elca.org/disaster 800-638-3522.

Presbyterian Disaster Assistance,
http://www.pcusa.org/pda/ 800-872-3283.

Southern Baptist Convention Disaster Relief,
http://www.namb.net/site/c.9qKILUOzEpH/b.224451/k.7BDB/Disaster_Relief_Homepage.htm 800-462-8657, ext. 6440.

United Methodist Committee on Relief.
http://gbgm-umc.org/umcor/ 800-554-8583

 

 

Forecast text and graphics from National Weather Service. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.



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Tuesday, August 30, 2005

8/30 DC/MD/VA Severe Weather Alert!

Severe Threat today from Katrina Remnants

 

Though our severe weather today may bring isolated tornadoes which can devastate smaller scale areas, yesterday’s destruction is only beginning to be realized. This storm will go down in the record books and has the potential to top Andrew in her final damage assessments. Prayers and thoughts go out to the families that have lost loved ones and property as well as memories that were washed away or destroyed. I find weather fascinating but I know it can devastate a family and community. Please consider volunteering at local Red Cross or other agencies helping take in donations.

 

For us, we are under the threat for severe storms today. It is very likely that thunderstorms will bring down some rotation from the upper levels and cause tornadoes. Also, winds aloft are moving very fast and high winds in storms are a good bet. The Storm Prediction Center has wisely put us under a Moderate Risk for Severe weather later today as the remnants of the storm moves to our west. I have been hinting of this for days so hopefully people are aware of the threat. Another threat, with such abundant moisture, will be localized flash flooding. Storms will likely be moving fast enough to prevent a widespread outbreak of flash floods, but tropical systems seem to be able to drop 2 to 3 times the amount of rain in a short period of time than most storms.

 

PLEASE stay tuned to local weather and media outlets for watches and warnings that will be posted later today.

 

Relief Agencies:

American Red Cross, 800-HELP NOW (435-7669) English, 800-257-7575 Spanish.

Operation Blessing, 800-436-6348.

Salvation Army, 800-SAL-ARMY (725-2769).

America's Second Harvest, 800-344-8070.

Adventist Community Services, 800-381-7171.

Christian Disaster Response, 941-956-5183 or 941-551-9554.

Christian Reformed World Relief Committee, 800-848-5818.

Church World Service, 800-297-1516.

Convoy of Hope, 417-823-8998.

Lutheran Disaster Response, 800-638-3522.

Presbyterian Disaster Assistance, 800-872-3283.

Southern Baptist Convention Disaster Relief, 800-462-8657, ext. 6440.

United Methodist Committee on Relief. 800-554-8583.



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Monday, August 29, 2005

8/29 Katrina and Forecast Discussion info

Amazing day in Weather History

 

First off, devastation has already occurred in New Orleans and Mississippi! Please pray for many who are trapped and have lost homes. We will not know the full detaisl until the storm is over.

 

Some amazing things I have heard today!

  1. It LOOKS like Downtown New Orleans MAY have missed the worst and will recover
  2. A tanker Broke free in mobile bay and is being pulled by tug boats to prevent catastrophe!
  3. the Weather Channel’s team.. 27 feet above sea level, is fighting for life preservation as the surge was 25 to 30 feet! Read more here http://www.weather.com/blog/weather/?from=wxcenter_news

 

Currently reporting 125mph winds and moving North.

 

Where we she go next. North and then northeastward. She is huge and many areas even here will see 3-5 inches of rain in storms, gusty winds and tornadoes. We will really start to feel the affects tomorrow afternoon and overnight into Wednesday!

 

I will issue an official alert tonight, but we are in alert mode here now and I would just say stay vigilant in watching the track of the system and its track!

 

Please continue to pray for those in Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and Georgia on north as death and destruction will be a part of this historic storm!

 

Stay tuned to weather and news outlets as well as we start feeling her affects tomorrow.



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Sunday, August 28, 2005

8/28 Katrina update: Category 5> 160mph winds!

Katrina update and weather update!
 
It is pretty rare to get a storm to Category 5 status! Katrina has made it and I wonder how strong she gets! As of 8am EDT she is still moving west-northwest. This storm will devastate areas to her east when she makes landfall. She will likely start to to turn to the northwest and eventually north northwest today. There is a chance she may start a bend to the northeast and that will spare New Orleans.
 
What will she do after this? Despite the models keeping her west of our region I am still concerned we will see affects of her. Now she is as strong as Camille at this time and if she comes in this direction she will likely still be a tropical storm when she traverses the area. Heavy rains and severe weather will be her hallmark once up to this region. Because of her slowness in a turn to the north she will not affect us until Tuesday late or Wednesday.
 
In the meantime, the front that has stalled to our west (and the helping factor in providing a path for Katrina) will be close enough to provide continued chances of showers and even thunderstorms today through Tuesday.
 
Highs will remain in the upper 70s and lower 80s and climb to the mid and upper 80s Tuesday.
 
Please stay tuned to the weather and pray for those in Katrina's path as she will devastate the areas she affects!
 
All for now.
 


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Saturday, August 27, 2005

8/27 DC/VA/MD Katrina Update

8/27 Katrina Update:
 
I STILL THINK WE WILL SEE AFFECTS OF THIS STORM!
 
I just want people to watch this system and not get caught up in the models per se (though I myself look at them a lot) until Katrina starts moving north. When she does, expect a potential shift in the track a bit if not quite a bit east of her current forecast. that being said, she has grown in size today and taken on cat 3 status. She can do a lot things now that make here even harder to predict. This could be a Category 5 blow to the gulf coast!


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Friday, August 26, 2005

8/26: Alert: Katrina to impact region

Katrina Update:
 
It appears our region will see the affects of hurricane Katrina Monday into Tuesday. Models have come to somewhat of a consensus of tracking her near or along the Appalachian mountains.
 
As much as 5-10 inches of rain may affect the region. Severe weather will be likely if the current path verifies!
 
I will try and do a full assessment this evening. This appears that it will be a catastrophic hurricane for someone on the Gulf Coast.
 
Current Damage Assessment:
 
 
 
 


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Tuesday, August 16, 2005

8/16 DC/MD/VA Severe Weather Alert

8/16 DC/MD/VA Severe Weather Alert
 
Conditions have become unstable enough to cause isolated severe storms this afternoon. The best chances will be the southern 2/3rds of the region. The Biggest threat will be high winds and heavy rains.
 
Stay tuned to radio and news outlets for watches and/or warnings.
 
All for Now


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8/16 DC/MD/VA Weather Outlook


Much needed rain is on the way! Expect showers and isolated thunderstorms today. Rain may be heavy at times in some locations! Nice few days on tap after the rain today in the north, southern areas may still deal with more rain tomorrow. Temps will be somewhat warm again this weekend, but another cool down after that! Canada is starting to cool down and that cooler Polar origin air will pass the border next week!


Summary:  Rainy chances today and in the south tomorrow with temps struggling into the low 80s! We need the rain! After the rain chances in the south tomorrow, we will have some warmer weather this weekend and then another chance of cooler weather next week. The signs are starting to appear that fall is on our horizon. Next week a very cool air mass will spill into the Midwest and then the northeast! It is just a matter of time now!

 

Tropics: Irene is out to sea and the remnants of Tropical Depression 10 show signs of regeneration. He may become Jose in the next few days!

 

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum. Our community has grown to 23 members. Please join those who have so we can get good feedback and regional coverage. http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

 

Did you know? I send this update out semi regularly via email! To get it send and email to midatlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I also send a Severe Weather Alert when we need it. To get it mid-atlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com

 

Site News: The website should slowly take on a new organization. I want to make a fresh start on the look and feel and will be doing so in order to gear up for winter. Expect changes to being in the next few weeks as I start working on the design. Also, I hope the email alerts and warnings software will come soon as well as plugins for Earthquakes and UV (though that is not as important now). The new forum is buzzing with activity and I strongly recommend you checking it out!

 

 

Forecast text and graphics from National Weather Service. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.



This outlook was brought to you by A Cleaner Carpet Co! Water Damage? Entertaining? Pet issues? Allergy problems? Check out what makes their carpet cleaning, cleaner than others!
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And by K&H Lawn Service. Lawn care and Landscaping with excellence. Serving No.VA http://www.kandhlawnservice.com/ or call (703) 849 - 0713   


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Sunday, August 14, 2005

8/14 DC/MD/VA Weather Outlook


“Triple H” weather continues for Today and then a BREAK!!! Please stay alert as storms could be severe today and maybe tomorrow. Much cooler Temps come for Tuesday and Wednesday! Temps will climb warmer to hot again by the end of the week!


Summary:  Hot! Please stay cool. A front will come through Slowly during the next 36 hours and much cooler temps will visit until Thursday.

 

Tropics: Irene is on her way out! TD 10 is now already gone! Not seeing much out there right now to get too excited about

 

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum. Our community has grown to 21 members. Hoping to keep it hopping with Emily! Please join those who have so we can get good feedback and regional coverage. http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

 

Did you know? I send this update out semi regularly via email! To get it send and email to midatlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I also send a Severe Weather Alert when we need it. To get it mid-atlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I am considering a tropical only list as well.



This outlook was brought to you by A Cleaner Carpet Co! Water Damage? Entertaining? Pet issues? Allergy problems? Check out what makes their carpet cleaning, cleaner than others!
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And by K&H Lawn Service. Lawn care and Landscaping with excellence. Serving No.VA http://www.kandhlawnservice.com/ or call (703) 849 - 0713   

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Thursday, August 11, 2005

8/11 Dc/MD/VA Weather Outlook


Sorry it has been so long! TS Irene likely a threat to our Weather and the Southeast US. Hot conditions with isolated storms possible. Pretty typical Summer weather!


Summary:  Sorry again for the long time since I last posted! I have been making some changes to my Web Site and there is always active talk out on the forum which I am excited to say has been updated and I love the new software! Tropical Storm Irene is a serious threat to the Southeast US. I am thinking SC/NC now which is a change from what I had been thinking. I believe she will cause us some weather issues as well next week! Please stay alert to that

 

Tropics: As noted. Irene is on the mind! See her thread in the Forum here: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/index.php?topic=213.0

 

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum. Our community has grown to 21 members. Please join those who have so we can get good feedback and regional coverage. http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

 

Did you know? I send this update out semi regularly via email! To get it send and email to midatlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I also send a Severe Weather Alert when we need it. To get it mid-atlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com

 

Site News: The new Forum Software is so much fun! I have many new tropical links I hope to add and I still have hope for the ability to email Warnings from my site soon! Also, for time sake I am removing my forecast from this email!  I am loving my new host as well! http://www.vodahost.com/?a_aid=0048a41a

 

 

Forecast text and graphics from National Weather Service. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be
held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products
for their area provided by the National Weather Service.



This outlook was brought to you by A Cleaner Carpet Co! Water Damage? Entertaining? Pet issues? Allergy problems? Check out what makes their carpet cleaning, cleaner than others!
http://www.acleanercarpetco.com Residential and Commercial! (Oriental Rug Cleaning also available) (703) 772 - 5157

 

And by K&H Lawn Service. Lawn care and Landscaping with excellence. Serving No.VA http://www.kandhlawnservice.com/ or call (703) 849 - 0713   


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