Thursday, December 11, 2008

RAIN is the headline with a little mix to make things interesting at the end

The good news at this point is that I did not over hype the chance of snow or winter weather too much on my Snow and winter weather forecast. The issue is that it will not do to much at all and what we see will not be likely to accumulate, at least in teh form of wintry weather!

We have a lot of rain that is going to fall today! In the neighborhood of 2 to 3 inches. Some areas could see 4 inches. The NWS has issues a Flood watch and I have to agree with that.

The Far Northwestern areas will see some ice late in the day and a turnover to snow is likely at some point overnight from west to east. The areas to see accumulations will be mountain areas, and some immediate valleys and piedmont could see 1 - 2 slushy inches on grassy areas. Areas east (East of I-81) will likely see just a dusting at best and then areas further east just some snow showers and not much of anything as the precipitation winds down late tonight and tomorrow morning. All that being said, it is possible some regions could see more snow west and Northwest and especially more on the west facing mountains and areas where colder air can start funneling in easier.

All in all, this is a complicated set up. There could still be some more wintry weather than what I am thinking, but, many factors are working against that so I would think a raw an very rainy day is in store!

We look to be more seasonal in temps as we go past a cold Saturday and temps could end up in the upper 40s and mid and upper 50s in parts of the region next week. We may also see more rain chances starting Monday night and lasting through Wednesday!

Summing it up.
Mountains and Immediate piedmont - lots of rain - ending with some snow 1-2 " east of mountains, 2-isolated 4" in mountains.
Immediate Piedmont up to I-95 - lots of rain, some snow at the end, likely mixed with rain - no accumulations
Mountains and west - solid 2-4" after a changeover with some ice potential as temperatures fall today and the transition time occurs
East of I-95- lots of rain - brief mix with snow at the end. Better chances further north you are

After a colder Saturday, moderation is on the way!

All for now!

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