Cooler weather is slowly filtering in. The Front that came through parts of the area is slowing down, so southern Virginia and NC are still a bit warm today, while Northern Virginia will see drier and nicer weather. The questions for the early part of the week is how far north and west the rain will be able to make it from the front that will be stalled along the coast. Overall, much cooler air will be here during the time with highs in the low and mid 70s through Tuesday. It starts to warm some Wednesday to near 80 in the south and then 80s most areas the rest of the week. Rain chances will be off and on for the southern half of Virginia and most of North Carolina.
Tropics again look interesting. Invest 94L has really become well organized overnight and will now likely become the next tropical depression of the season. This one is east of the Lesser Antilles and heading West Northwestward. If this continues to organize with its current position, it could end up being the next Hurricane as well due to its location and favorable conditions.
All for now.
Jimmy
Sunday, August 30, 2009
Saturday, August 29, 2009
Steamy days to be replaced by cooler weather - Some rain to contend with
Danny was absorbed into the upper low that was responsible for much rainfall in many parts of the area yesterday. Today has been very warm and still very steamy! We will see a front make it through part of the area but stall along teh coast and Southeastern Virginia. This will mean much cooler temps, but, unfortunately we will see chances of rain from it.
It may be a dry Sunday and Monday for the northern third of the region, while most of Southeastern VA and eastern NC will see an ongoing chance of rain.Rain chances will increase overnight Monday through Wednesday as waves of low pressure ride up and along the front. Towards Thursday drier conditions will return. Cool 70s, even some 60s will dominate this week after Sunday! Temps slowly warm towards next weekend!
Although many did not see too much flooding, Manchester Maryland saw nearly 6 and 7 inches of rain. I believed more was on the way, but the consolidation of the low and Danny helped concentrate rains along the coast.
The next potential system is Invest 94L. I will watch. We also cannot help but remember Katrina coming ashore in the Gulf 4 years ago. Someone posted the NWS discusssion on this and I thought I would share again.
Here it was:
URGENT – WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1011 AM CDT SUN AUG 28 2005
…DEVASTATING DAMAGE EXPECTED…
.HURRICANE KATRINA…A MOST POWERFUL HURRICANE WITH UNPRECEDENTED
STRENGTH…RIVALING THE INTENSITY OF HURRICANE CAMILLE OF 1969.
MOST OF THE AREA WILL BE UNINHABITABLE FOR WEEKS…PERHAPS LONGER. AT
LEAST ONE HALF OF WELL CONSTRUCTED HOMES WILL HAVE ROOF AND WALL
FAILURE. ALL GABLED ROOFS WILL FAIL…LEAVING THOSE HOMES SEVERELY
DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
THE MAJORITY OF INDUSTRIAL BUILDINGS WILL BECOME NON FUNCTIONAL.
PARTIAL TO COMPLETE WALL AND ROOF FAILURE IS EXPECTED. ALL WOOD
FRAMED LOW RISING APARTMENT BUILDINGS WILL BE DESTROYED. CONCRETE
BLOCK LOW RISE APARTMENTS WILL SUSTAIN MAJOR DAMAGE…INCLUDING SOME
WALL AND ROOF FAILURE.
HIGH RISE OFFICE AND APARTMENT BUILDINGS WILL SWAY DANGEROUSLY…A
FEW TO THE POINT OF TOTAL COLLAPSE. ALL WINDOWS WILL BLOW OUT.
AIRBORNE DEBRIS WILL BE WIDESPREAD…AND MAY INCLUDE HEAVY ITEMS SUCH
AS HOUSEHOLD APPLIANCES AND EVEN LIGHT VEHICLES. SPORT UTILITY
VEHICLES AND LIGHT TRUCKS WILL BE MOVED. THE BLOWN DEBRIS WILL CREATE
ADDITIONAL DESTRUCTION. PERSONS…PETS…AND LIVESTOCK EXPOSED TO THE
WINDS WILL FACE CERTAIN DEATH IF STRUCK.
POWER OUTAGES WILL LAST FOR WEEKS…AS MOST POWER POLES WILL BE DOWN
AND TRANSFORMERS DESTROYED. WATER SHORTAGES WILL MAKE HUMAN SUFFERING
INCREDIBLE BY MODERN STANDARDS.
THE VAST MAJORITY OF NATIVE TREES WILL BE SNAPPED OR UPROOTED. ONLY
THE HEARTIEST WILL REMAIN STANDING…BUT BE TOTALLY DEFOLIATED. FEW
CROPS WILL REMAIN. LIVESTOCK LEFT EXPOSED TO THE WINDS WILL BE
KILLED.
AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
HURRICANE FORCE…OR FREQUENT GUSTS AT OR ABOVE HURRICANE FORCE…ARE
CERTAIN WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
ONCE TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ONSET…DO NOT VENTURE
OUTSIDE!
All for now!
It may be a dry Sunday and Monday for the northern third of the region, while most of Southeastern VA and eastern NC will see an ongoing chance of rain.Rain chances will increase overnight Monday through Wednesday as waves of low pressure ride up and along the front. Towards Thursday drier conditions will return. Cool 70s, even some 60s will dominate this week after Sunday! Temps slowly warm towards next weekend!
Although many did not see too much flooding, Manchester Maryland saw nearly 6 and 7 inches of rain. I believed more was on the way, but the consolidation of the low and Danny helped concentrate rains along the coast.
The next potential system is Invest 94L. I will watch. We also cannot help but remember Katrina coming ashore in the Gulf 4 years ago. Someone posted the NWS discusssion on this and I thought I would share again.
Here it was:
URGENT – WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1011 AM CDT SUN AUG 28 2005
…DEVASTATING DAMAGE EXPECTED…
.HURRICANE KATRINA…A MOST POWERFUL HURRICANE WITH UNPRECEDENTED
STRENGTH…RIVALING THE INTENSITY OF HURRICANE CAMILLE OF 1969.
MOST OF THE AREA WILL BE UNINHABITABLE FOR WEEKS…PERHAPS LONGER. AT
LEAST ONE HALF OF WELL CONSTRUCTED HOMES WILL HAVE ROOF AND WALL
FAILURE. ALL GABLED ROOFS WILL FAIL…LEAVING THOSE HOMES SEVERELY
DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
THE MAJORITY OF INDUSTRIAL BUILDINGS WILL BECOME NON FUNCTIONAL.
PARTIAL TO COMPLETE WALL AND ROOF FAILURE IS EXPECTED. ALL WOOD
FRAMED LOW RISING APARTMENT BUILDINGS WILL BE DESTROYED. CONCRETE
BLOCK LOW RISE APARTMENTS WILL SUSTAIN MAJOR DAMAGE…INCLUDING SOME
WALL AND ROOF FAILURE.
HIGH RISE OFFICE AND APARTMENT BUILDINGS WILL SWAY DANGEROUSLY…A
FEW TO THE POINT OF TOTAL COLLAPSE. ALL WINDOWS WILL BLOW OUT.
AIRBORNE DEBRIS WILL BE WIDESPREAD…AND MAY INCLUDE HEAVY ITEMS SUCH
AS HOUSEHOLD APPLIANCES AND EVEN LIGHT VEHICLES. SPORT UTILITY
VEHICLES AND LIGHT TRUCKS WILL BE MOVED. THE BLOWN DEBRIS WILL CREATE
ADDITIONAL DESTRUCTION. PERSONS…PETS…AND LIVESTOCK EXPOSED TO THE
WINDS WILL FACE CERTAIN DEATH IF STRUCK.
POWER OUTAGES WILL LAST FOR WEEKS…AS MOST POWER POLES WILL BE DOWN
AND TRANSFORMERS DESTROYED. WATER SHORTAGES WILL MAKE HUMAN SUFFERING
INCREDIBLE BY MODERN STANDARDS.
THE VAST MAJORITY OF NATIVE TREES WILL BE SNAPPED OR UPROOTED. ONLY
THE HEARTIEST WILL REMAIN STANDING…BUT BE TOTALLY DEFOLIATED. FEW
CROPS WILL REMAIN. LIVESTOCK LEFT EXPOSED TO THE WINDS WILL BE
KILLED.
AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
HURRICANE FORCE…OR FREQUENT GUSTS AT OR ABOVE HURRICANE FORCE…ARE
CERTAIN WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
ONCE TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ONSET…DO NOT VENTURE
OUTSIDE!
All for now!
Friday, August 28, 2009
FLOODING CONCERNS GROWING
A very large swath of rain is moving towards the Virginia piedmont from the NC area. This looks potentially very bad based on the soaked grounds!
I am getting very concerned!
I am getting very concerned!
Brief - Flood watches - cooler next week- Danny falling apart
We will see on and off chance of rain today. Due to locally heavy rains a flood watch is up for a few counties in Northern VA and Central Maryland where some flood warnings have been issued! Rain chances increase this afternoon. More showery weather will persist tonight through Sunday. A cold front sweeps a stalled front along the east coast out Sunday night and cooler and drier air follows.
Danny is not doing well and could be downgraded if he does not get his act together. He will have a small opportunity to strengthen and may just turn into a regular low within the next day or so.
I am sick so updates will be less often unless I see it necessary!
All for now!
Danny is not doing well and could be downgraded if he does not get his act together. He will have a small opportunity to strengthen and may just turn into a regular low within the next day or so.
I am sick so updates will be less often unless I see it necessary!
All for now!
Thursday, August 27, 2009
One more hot day- Unsettled weekend - Cooler next week
Th front that cam through the area was too weak to dislodge the warm air so we have another hot day with temps again near 90 or in the lower 90s south. As a reinforcement of moisture from the ocean occurs due to a push of cooler air down the east coast, temps will settle the next several days in the upper 70s to mid 80s.
Rain! We will have a lot of chances of rain over the next several days. Showers could be locally heavy with a large amount of moisture pushing up from the south and off the ocean as part of the squeeze of the approaching Danny and frontal/storm system to the west. Although storms will be possible, local soaking rain showers seem more likely. With that in mind some localized flooding is not out of the question. Rain will be influenced by Danny, but how much is hard to determine. Best scenario now shows the system staying off shore and tightening the flow off the ocean which will provide some breezes, but nothing too substantial. The ocean will be rough so beach goers will not be too happy!
As the storm from the west makes it eastward it will be moved along by a front that should pass later Sunday into early Monday. And then temps go unseasonably cool with highs staying the 70s to low 80s. Some mountains could see 40s for lows next week. The drier and cooler air looks to stay present all week, though the coolest air looks Tuesday into Wednesday!
Danny has been forming and re-forming its center the last 24 hours. He may be able to strengthen to Hurricane status and then become a formidable gale center as he moves up the east coast.
I expect a few smaller updates possible as more information on Danny becomes available.
All for now!
Rain! We will have a lot of chances of rain over the next several days. Showers could be locally heavy with a large amount of moisture pushing up from the south and off the ocean as part of the squeeze of the approaching Danny and frontal/storm system to the west. Although storms will be possible, local soaking rain showers seem more likely. With that in mind some localized flooding is not out of the question. Rain will be influenced by Danny, but how much is hard to determine. Best scenario now shows the system staying off shore and tightening the flow off the ocean which will provide some breezes, but nothing too substantial. The ocean will be rough so beach goers will not be too happy!
As the storm from the west makes it eastward it will be moved along by a front that should pass later Sunday into early Monday. And then temps go unseasonably cool with highs staying the 70s to low 80s. Some mountains could see 40s for lows next week. The drier and cooler air looks to stay present all week, though the coolest air looks Tuesday into Wednesday!
Danny has been forming and re-forming its center the last 24 hours. He may be able to strengthen to Hurricane status and then become a formidable gale center as he moves up the east coast.
I expect a few smaller updates possible as more information on Danny becomes available.
All for now!
Wednesday, August 26, 2009
Hot day - Cooling down - A bit wet this weekend
90s today, cooling to 80s north and still low 90s south tomorrow, and then low to mid 80s north to about 90 South Friday. The forecast is pretty straight forward today and tomorrow.A front will slowly progress southward to the region and begin to cool things a bit tomorrow. By late in the Day, with winds off the ocean, showers and storms could occur especially towards evening and into the night.
Friday looks to get increasingly humid and rain chances will be higher. Then we have the amplifying trough to the west and potentially tropical storm Danny to the east putting the squeeze on the area. I would suspect we see rain chances on and off through Sunday. This could include heavy rains east of 95 with the tropical system, and other pockets of heavy rains elsewhere. Temps will be fairly cool with highs around 80 in the north to the mid and possibly upper 80s south.
When a front makes it through Sunday night into Monday, the rain chances will decrease and a cool autumn like air mass will push temps to eh 70s.
I am going to do more analysis on the systems this weekend and try and get a better handle on rain chances. We definitely need to watch the tropics and we could see more heavy rains where we do not need them.
All for now!
Friday looks to get increasingly humid and rain chances will be higher. Then we have the amplifying trough to the west and potentially tropical storm Danny to the east putting the squeeze on the area. I would suspect we see rain chances on and off through Sunday. This could include heavy rains east of 95 with the tropical system, and other pockets of heavy rains elsewhere. Temps will be fairly cool with highs around 80 in the north to the mid and possibly upper 80s south.
When a front makes it through Sunday night into Monday, the rain chances will decrease and a cool autumn like air mass will push temps to eh 70s.
I am going to do more analysis on the systems this weekend and try and get a better handle on rain chances. We definitely need to watch the tropics and we could see more heavy rains where we do not need them.
All for now!
Tuesday, August 25, 2009
Tropical Storm Danny Looking more likely
The National Hurricane Center has increased the likelihood of the system off the east coast being upgraded to a tropical storm in the next 48 hours! This is Currently Invest 92L http://bit.ly/3cnZw
Tropical Site: http://bit.ly/5FOcq
Tropical Site: http://bit.ly/5FOcq
Warm to Hot - Then cooler and may be very wet!
Though the humidity will be lower today we will see temps go to the upper 80s to around 90 today. Temps will be comfortable again tonight and then hot tomorrow with highs in the low to mid 90s!
Thursday will see a cold front pass through the region and start to cool the north, and then the southern areas Friday.
This weekend still looks like it could be rainy! It is hard to get the details now but the interaction of a frontal system and a possible tropical development could mean quite a bit of rain, especially along and east of I-95.
The weekend could also see temps in the upper 70s in the north and low and mid 80s south.
More to come, but all for now!
Thursday will see a cold front pass through the region and start to cool the north, and then the southern areas Friday.
This weekend still looks like it could be rainy! It is hard to get the details now but the interaction of a frontal system and a possible tropical development could mean quite a bit of rain, especially along and east of I-95.
The weekend could also see temps in the upper 70s in the north and low and mid 80s south.
More to come, but all for now!
Monday, August 24, 2009
Hot tomorrow and Wed - wet weekend looking possible
After the humidity and summer pattern the last 2 weeks we got a break yesterday, today, and will, to an extent, tomorrow. That being said, the temps do rise tomorrow and especially Wednesday before a front come though Thursday morning and send temperatures down.
The unfortunate news is a multi-faceted set up this weekend that could mean more heavy rains.i
The players:
1. Trough that comes through Thursday leaves a "weakness" along the Eastern Seaboard.
2. Trough digging further west of the East coast will bring warmer and moist air north to the region.
3. A Tropical Low near the Bahamas looks to move towards the region and couple with this. Will it be a Tropical Storm or Hurricane? Hard to tell.
4. Impulses of energy riding through the trough!
1+2+3+4= a chance of a lot of rain!
We will need to watch the evolution of this for the next several days!
All for now!
The unfortunate news is a multi-faceted set up this weekend that could mean more heavy rains.i
The players:
1. Trough that comes through Thursday leaves a "weakness" along the Eastern Seaboard.
2. Trough digging further west of the East coast will bring warmer and moist air north to the region.
3. A Tropical Low near the Bahamas looks to move towards the region and couple with this. Will it be a Tropical Storm or Hurricane? Hard to tell.
4. Impulses of energy riding through the trough!
1+2+3+4= a chance of a lot of rain!
We will need to watch the evolution of this for the next several days!
All for now!
Storms Southern 2/3rds of region! Otherwise a cooler day
Overnight a swath of showers and storms dumped a lot of rain across North Carolina and the Southeastern half of Virginia. That storm complex is pushing across the eastern shore. Other scattered storms remain across the southern half of Virginia.This activity could persist today with scattered to isolated storminess as the old frontal boundary is having a hard time departing the region. Temps will generally be in the mid 80s.
The weather turns drier until later this week towards the weekend. Temps will warm to the upper 80s and low 90s Wednesday and then fall off. Friday may see some areas only in the 70s.
Rain chances appear to come back next weekend . There even appears to be a chance of a tropical system forming that could affect the weather with increased rain chances. This is just preliminary as it is showing on some models.
Bill has become extra tropical this morning. He has had a long life and wild one at that. The tropics appear quiet now, but as I said we may need to watch later this week.
All for now!
The weather turns drier until later this week towards the weekend. Temps will warm to the upper 80s and low 90s Wednesday and then fall off. Friday may see some areas only in the 70s.
Rain chances appear to come back next weekend . There even appears to be a chance of a tropical system forming that could affect the weather with increased rain chances. This is just preliminary as it is showing on some models.
Bill has become extra tropical this morning. He has had a long life and wild one at that. The tropics appear quiet now, but as I said we may need to watch later this week.
All for now!
Saturday, August 22, 2009
Heavy rains leaving coast - More storms possible tomorrow!
Heavy rains have pushed to the coast and will be exiting in the next few hours. Unfortunately the front will move through so slow that it will not clear the area until tomorrow night. This means more chances of rain and storms tomorrow, though the coverage will not be quite as large!
The weather settles and 80s will dominate the week. I am a bit concerned of more storms mid week, but all for now.
The weather settles and 80s will dominate the week. I am a bit concerned of more storms mid week, but all for now.
Heavy Rain Showers and storms but cooler - Nicer weather coming!
Some regions had quite a bit of rain the last 24 hours with 2.26 measured for yesterday at Dulles Airport, and more fell overnight in the same area. North central Virginia and up into Maryland has a flood watch posted due to the heavier rains that occurred. There will be more rain today, and then quite a nice stretch of weather looks to visit! As a matter of fact, many areas may not see another 90 degree day again this year! But for now, this afternoon could feature more storms, some will have heavy rainfall.
If you are a member on the forum you can visit http://forum.midatlanticweather.com/index.php?topic=1638.0 and see some of yesterday's mammatus from the storms that later caused tornado warnings in Maryland.
Tomorrow could still see an isolated storm, but chances are small! Temps will be feeling "cool" with highs in the lower and mid 80s and humidity levels falling.
Then we hit a nice dry stretch with highs in the low to mid 80s with upper 80s still likely in the southern areas. Temps turn even cooler with highs in the upper 70s in the north for Friday, continued mid and upper 80s across the south.
Also, High surf continues for the coast, and will slowly go down after today. Bill is much weaker and will cause some winds to New England and likely hit the Canadian maratimes!
Beyond that, the tropcs are calm!
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If you are a member on the forum you can visit http://forum.midatlanticweather.com/index.php?topic=1638.0 and see some of yesterday's mammatus from the storms that later caused tornado warnings in Maryland.
Tomorrow could still see an isolated storm, but chances are small! Temps will be feeling "cool" with highs in the lower and mid 80s and humidity levels falling.
Then we hit a nice dry stretch with highs in the low to mid 80s with upper 80s still likely in the southern areas. Temps turn even cooler with highs in the upper 70s in the north for Friday, continued mid and upper 80s across the south.
Also, High surf continues for the coast, and will slowly go down after today. Bill is much weaker and will cause some winds to New England and likely hit the Canadian maratimes!
Beyond that, the tropcs are calm!
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Friday, August 21, 2009
Severe Weather and Heavy Rains
There will be the risk of Severe storms and very heavy rainfall this afternoon and evening as a front slowly crosses the area and stalls along the I-95 corridor. Please stay tuned to radio and weather outlets for watches and or warnings.
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Steamy, heavy rains,some severe
Temps near 90 with a very moist atmosphere will mean conditions will
be favorable for heavy rain showers and storms today and tomorrow. The
heat will be on its way out starting tomorrow with many areas seeing
highs in the low to mid 80s verses the upper 80s and low 90s. Temps
will then stay in the low and mid 80s until at least Wednesday in the
north, some upper 80s in the south. The biggest difference will be the
lack of humidity which will be a welcome change.
be favorable for heavy rain showers and storms today and tomorrow. The
heat will be on its way out starting tomorrow with many areas seeing
highs in the low to mid 80s verses the upper 80s and low 90s. Temps
will then stay in the low and mid 80s until at least Wednesday in the
north, some upper 80s in the south. The biggest difference will be the
lack of humidity which will be a welcome change.
In the meantime, synoptic features may develop the next 24 hours to
bring heavy rains to the Northern VA, central MD, Eastern PA, Western
NJ, on up through Eastern New England. Rains may be as high as 3 to 6
inches in what is known as a PRE. This is a feature that happens far
away from a Hurricane, but definitely is tied to the Hurricane's
influence on the storm pattern. If this does occur it appears to favor
areas northeast of the Northern VA and MD area, but may begin there.
Bill will impact the coast starting later today with high waves. He is
expected to start moving more to the north later today and tonight.
There is a definite deteriation in Bill's appearance this morning and
he has likely peaked. It does concern me that the new England Coast
and especially the Canadian Maratimes could see direct impacts from
the storm. It will be watched closely the next 24 to 48 hours to see
if he behaves as models say he will.
As mentioned yesterday, Bill will clear the tropics and things settle
as much they were before last weekend's tropical onslaught!
All for now!
--
Sent from my mobile device
Thursday, August 20, 2009
Steamy with a good chance of rain!
The weather is almost a carbon copy forecast. Hot temps around 90 with
showers and storms a good bet this afternoon. Due to clouds many will
only see the upper 80s for temps tomorrow. Some variables will make it
possible for severe weather tomorrow. Saturday has a somewhat better
chance of severe storms with a front approaching. Highs will be in
the upper 80s. Then a break! Temps to cool by about 5 degrees, but the
bigger story will be the lower humidity! That will be the case until
Wednesday when more showers and storms are possible with the next
front.
showers and storms a good bet this afternoon. Due to clouds many will
only see the upper 80s for temps tomorrow. Some variables will make it
possible for severe weather tomorrow. Saturday has a somewhat better
chance of severe storms with a front approaching. Highs will be in
the upper 80s. Then a break! Temps to cool by about 5 degrees, but the
bigger story will be the lower humidity! That will be the case until
Wednesday when more showers and storms are possible with the next
front.
Bill lost a little of his punch as maximum winds came down to 125 mph,
but he is still a monster! His approach towards the east coast will
definitely have a high wave impact! Some interaction with the
approaching front could also enhance precipitation, but I will need to
take a closer look.
The tropics settle down for now after Bill.
All for now.
--
Sent from my mobile device
Tuesday, August 18, 2009
Hot and sticky! Rains from Claudette! Bill - Not looking like a threat
90s today with an increase in moisture and showers and storms this afternoon. With so much moisture, localized flooding rains are possible. This will be possible again tomorrow afternoon!
A front Friday will bring the possibility of severe weather Friday. Thursday looks fairly dry for now!
Bill will likely re-curve out to sea, but he bears some watching. High waves will definitely be an issue as he gets closer to the east coast.
Due to family matters I will not be posting until maybe tomorrow night! stay tuned to weather and news outlets as heavy rain storms could mean flooding!
All for now!
A front Friday will bring the possibility of severe weather Friday. Thursday looks fairly dry for now!
Bill will likely re-curve out to sea, but he bears some watching. High waves will definitely be an issue as he gets closer to the east coast.
Due to family matters I will not be posting until maybe tomorrow night! stay tuned to weather and news outlets as heavy rain storms could mean flooding!
All for now!
Monday, August 17, 2009
Hot 90s!Ana|Bill|Claudette!
Carbon Copy forecast of Sunday for today-90s and muggy! Storm threats will begin later tomorrow, especially along the Mountains and west. A better chance will come Wednesday through Friday. Temps will remain in the upper 80s and lower 90s!
Tropics:
Ana: Tropical depression and may not be able to hang on. Latest tracks from models now show it making it into the eastern Gulf, but it still may be nothing more than a tropical wave at that time. Not impressed at this time
Hurricane Bill: Bill became the first Hurricane of the season this morning. He looks impressive and will likely to continue to steadily strengthen. It is fairly likely that he will become a major storm (winds greater than 110 mph) in the next few days. He bears watching, but may become a system that curves back out to sea.. It is a bit tough to tell and the East coast needs to keep watch! If he misses the east coast, the effects of high winds and surf will be felt!
Tropical Storm Claudette (soon to be a Tropical Depression): She came on shore in the Florida panhandle (sorry for the miss there) She will be dying out the next few days and will eventually provide some moisture and energy to the front headed eastward to our region.
All for now!
Tropics:
Ana: Tropical depression and may not be able to hang on. Latest tracks from models now show it making it into the eastern Gulf, but it still may be nothing more than a tropical wave at that time. Not impressed at this time
Hurricane Bill: Bill became the first Hurricane of the season this morning. He looks impressive and will likely to continue to steadily strengthen. It is fairly likely that he will become a major storm (winds greater than 110 mph) in the next few days. He bears watching, but may become a system that curves back out to sea.. It is a bit tough to tell and the East coast needs to keep watch! If he misses the east coast, the effects of high winds and surf will be felt!
Tropical Storm Claudette (soon to be a Tropical Depression): She came on shore in the Florida panhandle (sorry for the miss there) She will be dying out the next few days and will eventually provide some moisture and energy to the front headed eastward to our region.
All for now!
Sunday, August 16, 2009
90s to continue! Bill to become Hurricane! Claudette comes on shore overnight!
90s will rule the next few days through Wednesday and then we have a LOT to watch.
A strong cold front will be marching towards the east coast and arrive Wednesday. The system will stall or move slowly eastward. Meanwhile it will have a lot of moisture from the Tropical Depression now in the Gulf Coast, possibly the leftovers of Tropical Storm Ana (although she is having a hard time holding together), and possibly of what happens with Bill. Bill is looking like he COULD become a major hurricane! He could get entrained into that front along the east coast and pose a threat from the Mid Atlantic up through New England!
This is an interesting week with a lot of interesting weather later in the week!
Expectations:
Ana: She has been downgraded to a Depression and could just a tropical wave by tomorrow. Will need to watch the Gulf at this point for a re-strengthening.It is possible then she could hit the western Gulf at this point. She will be tough to determine track and whether she is worth watching if she dissipates as she looks like she is doing!
Bill: Looks like the First Hurricane (Likely tonight) and likely a Major one (Category 3 or Higher!) in the next 3 days. Concern will be if he interacts with the strong front heading towards the east coast later this week! Could mean a hit on the east coast, or at least a serious rain threat!
Claudette: She is now up to 50 MPH winds. She is looking like she will now go WEST of the Florida Peninsula!. I see it strengthening now and she will likely have winds in the 60 to 65 MPH range. She will dissipate over land, but the moisture will energize the front moving across the country
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All for now!
A strong cold front will be marching towards the east coast and arrive Wednesday. The system will stall or move slowly eastward. Meanwhile it will have a lot of moisture from the Tropical Depression now in the Gulf Coast, possibly the leftovers of Tropical Storm Ana (although she is having a hard time holding together), and possibly of what happens with Bill. Bill is looking like he COULD become a major hurricane! He could get entrained into that front along the east coast and pose a threat from the Mid Atlantic up through New England!
This is an interesting week with a lot of interesting weather later in the week!
Expectations:
Ana: She has been downgraded to a Depression and could just a tropical wave by tomorrow. Will need to watch the Gulf at this point for a re-strengthening.It is possible then she could hit the western Gulf at this point. She will be tough to determine track and whether she is worth watching if she dissipates as she looks like she is doing!
Bill: Looks like the First Hurricane (Likely tonight) and likely a Major one (Category 3 or Higher!) in the next 3 days. Concern will be if he interacts with the strong front heading towards the east coast later this week! Could mean a hit on the east coast, or at least a serious rain threat!
Claudette: She is now up to 50 MPH winds. She is looking like she will now go WEST of the Florida Peninsula!. I see it strengthening now and she will likely have winds in the 60 to 65 MPH range. She will dissipate over land, but the moisture will energize the front moving across the country
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All for now!
Ana|Bill|&TD4|Hot 90s|Heavy Rain Threatens later this week
90s will rule the next few days. Tropical Depression 4 formed overnight in the eastern Gulf of Mexico. As it continues to organize we will likely have Claudette later today.
In the meantime, we have hot conditions through Wednesday and then we have a LOT to watch.
A strong cold front will be marching towards the east coast and arrive Wednesday. The system will stall or move slowly eastward. Meanwhile it will have a lot of moisture from the Tropical Depression now in the Gulf Coast, possibly the leftovers of Tropical Storm Ana (although she is having a hard time holding together), and possibly of what happens with Bill. Bill is looking like he COULD become a major hurricane! He could get entrained into that front along the east coast and pose a threat from the Mid Atlantic up through New England!
This is an interesting week with a lot of interesting weather later in the week!
Expectations:
Ana: She may be downgraded to a Depression later today, or even just a tropical Wave. Will need to watch the Gulf at this point for a re-strengthening.It is possible then she could hit the western Gulf at this point. She will be tough to determine track and whether she is worth watching if she dissipates as she looks like she is doing!
Bill: Looks like the First Hurricane and likely a Major one (Category 3 or Higher!). Concern will be if he interacts with the strong front heading towards the east coast later this week! Could mean a hit on the east coast, or at least a serious rain threat!
TD 4 (Claudette): Could be just storm strength when is comes inland over the Florida Penninsula. She will be a slow mover and also may be absorbed into the strong front coming towards the east coast.
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All for now!
In the meantime, we have hot conditions through Wednesday and then we have a LOT to watch.
A strong cold front will be marching towards the east coast and arrive Wednesday. The system will stall or move slowly eastward. Meanwhile it will have a lot of moisture from the Tropical Depression now in the Gulf Coast, possibly the leftovers of Tropical Storm Ana (although she is having a hard time holding together), and possibly of what happens with Bill. Bill is looking like he COULD become a major hurricane! He could get entrained into that front along the east coast and pose a threat from the Mid Atlantic up through New England!
This is an interesting week with a lot of interesting weather later in the week!
Expectations:
Ana: She may be downgraded to a Depression later today, or even just a tropical Wave. Will need to watch the Gulf at this point for a re-strengthening.It is possible then she could hit the western Gulf at this point. She will be tough to determine track and whether she is worth watching if she dissipates as she looks like she is doing!
Bill: Looks like the First Hurricane and likely a Major one (Category 3 or Higher!). Concern will be if he interacts with the strong front heading towards the east coast later this week! Could mean a hit on the east coast, or at least a serious rain threat!
TD 4 (Claudette): Could be just storm strength when is comes inland over the Florida Penninsula. She will be a slow mover and also may be absorbed into the strong front coming towards the east coast.
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All for now!
Saturday, August 15, 2009
3rd Tropical system now possible in the Gulf
Not only do I see the Threat of Ana for the FL area and Gulf, Bill for the East Coast, but a new threat for the Gulf with the tropical system forming over the southeast Gulf of Mexico.
This will need to be monitored.
Of note, Ana continues weak due to shear
Bill is still organizing and is slow to strengthen.
The low in the Gulf looks interesting!
All for now!
Sister Ana and Brother Bill!
Tropics have 2 storms now! Quick thoughts are Ana now a FL threat and
Gulf threat! Bill could end up absorbed as an eastern seaboard heavy
rain storm! That is after Bill becomes the first Hurricane as he seems
healthier than his fast moving sister.
Gulf threat! Bill could end up absorbed as an eastern seaboard heavy
rain storm! That is after Bill becomes the first Hurricane as he seems
healthier than his fast moving sister.
We just stay Hot and muggy with daytime temps around 90 or a little
higher. Storm threats start Wednesday and will potentially increase
based on Ana, Bill, another semi-tropical feature in the Gulf and a
strong front! Get ready for some busy weather ahead!
All for now!
--
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Warm & muggy-Upper 80s-Lower 90s|Tropical Storm Ana|&TD#3|
The hazy, warm, and humid conditions that are typical this time of year will continue through next week. A front will come close by and cause an increase in chance of rain and storm Wednesday through Friday.
The big stories next week will be Tropical Storm Ana and newly classified Tropical Depression 3.
Ana: As of this morning she is not as well organized as she was overnight. The storm looks to threaten Florida towards Thursday. She could make it to Hurricane strength, but, as of now she is forecast to be a strong Tropical Storm.
Tropical Depression 3 looks like it will become Tropical Storm within the next day. This one will track over favorable area for strengthening and also may make it to Hurricane strength and could be sizable at that. If named it will be called Bill.
To see the latest you can visit the tropical center at http://www.midatlanticweather.com/tropical/tropics.htm
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The big stories next week will be Tropical Storm Ana and newly classified Tropical Depression 3.
Ana: As of this morning she is not as well organized as she was overnight. The storm looks to threaten Florida towards Thursday. She could make it to Hurricane strength, but, as of now she is forecast to be a strong Tropical Storm.
Tropical Depression 3 looks like it will become Tropical Storm within the next day. This one will track over favorable area for strengthening and also may make it to Hurricane strength and could be sizable at that. If named it will be called Bill.
To see the latest you can visit the tropical center at http://www.midatlanticweather.com/tropical/tropics.htm
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Tropical storm Ana has arrived
The first tropic storm of the season. She is likely to threaten the SE US.
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...14.6N 46.8W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 16 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB
--
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Friday, August 14, 2009
Tropics heat up
Possibility of 2 tropical depressions or even storms in the next day
to day and a half!
to day and a half!
I will try and post more thohghts later but I can see these posing a
threat to the east coast later next week!
More info to come in the tropical forum post along with tracking information.
Summer like weekend ahead!
Jimmy
--
Sent from my mobile device
Muggy warm upper 80s lower 90s through Wednesday-Stormy SE Coast
Upper 80s and lower 90s will be the temps through next Wednesday when a front approaches and will likely knock temperatures back a few degrees.
For most it will be drier time, but today and tomorrow the coastal regions of SE VA and Eastern NC may see heavy rain showers and thunderstorms. The heavy rains could result in localized flooding.Isolated storms cannot be ruled out anywhere from I-95 eastward and in some elevated areas.
Tropics:
TD2 is a remnant low and continues to churn over the Central Atlantic.
The next system is looking likely now to become Ana. The evolution of the system is a classic growth and I expect a Tropical depression to form later today followed by storm classification tomorrow. Based on models alone, Ana could end up at Hurricane strength as she approaches the western Caribbean. That being said, this has not been a year where storms easily stay together and form into storms. We will see.
All for now!
For most it will be drier time, but today and tomorrow the coastal regions of SE VA and Eastern NC may see heavy rain showers and thunderstorms. The heavy rains could result in localized flooding.Isolated storms cannot be ruled out anywhere from I-95 eastward and in some elevated areas.
Tropics:
TD2 is a remnant low and continues to churn over the Central Atlantic.
The next system is looking likely now to become Ana. The evolution of the system is a classic growth and I expect a Tropical depression to form later today followed by storm classification tomorrow. Based on models alone, Ana could end up at Hurricane strength as she approaches the western Caribbean. That being said, this has not been a year where storms easily stay together and form into storms. We will see.
All for now!
Thursday, August 13, 2009
Mid 80s-Isolated Strom-TD2 has not made it to Storm strength
Rain chances are fairly low for most of VA, until you get to the NC/VA border. Some storms will occur today across the state, but more likely the further towards NC you are. NC looks fairly active wit showers and storms! Highs today will be in the mid 80s north and upper 80s south.
A repeat possible tomorrow of today's forecast and then a drier forecast starting Saturday and going through Tuesday. Temps will warm to the upper 80s and lower 90s by Sunday and stay there through Tuesday. Next chance of precip after Saturday will be Wednesday.
Tropics:
Tropical Depression 2 will need to hang on to whatever is has left to remain a possible storm.
Another system just off Africa looks like it may be able to strengthen and will need to be monitored.
All for now!
A repeat possible tomorrow of today's forecast and then a drier forecast starting Saturday and going through Tuesday. Temps will warm to the upper 80s and lower 90s by Sunday and stay there through Tuesday. Next chance of precip after Saturday will be Wednesday.
Tropics:
Tropical Depression 2 will need to hang on to whatever is has left to remain a possible storm.
Another system just off Africa looks like it may be able to strengthen and will need to be monitored.
All for now!
Wednesday, August 12, 2009
Humid 80s Today-Some rain for many-TD2 almost Ana
A disturbance will cross the area today into tomorrow with rain and embedded thunder for the southern 2/3rds of the area. Some locally heavy rains are definitely possible. Scattered showers with a few storms in the Northern regions.
The sticky air mass does not look like it will go anywhere anytime soon. Humid and warm conditions look like they will persist through Tuesday with highs generally in the mid and upper 80s. Afternoon and evening thunderstorms will be possible every day.
In the tropics, Tropical Depression 2 has shown a lot of persistence with its thunderstorm activity, but it has been east of the center of circulation. It is on the verge of tropical storm strength and I suspect will make it there today. Models show a possibility of it making it to just under Hurricane strength and then weakening.
Another tropical system has just emerged off the African coast. This system could also form into a tropical system in the next few days.
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All for now!
Tuesday, August 11, 2009
Storms on the increase
Parts of South central and southwest virginia are seeing heavy showers
and storms. Severe storms are possible as that rain marches eastward.
Other storms are possible and could produce heavy enough rains for
some localized flooding. A few flood warnings have been issued. Stay
tuned to Radio and news outlets for watches and/or warnings.
and storms. Severe storms are possible as that rain marches eastward.
Other storms are possible and could produce heavy enough rains for
some localized flooding. A few flood warnings have been issued. Stay
tuned to Radio and news outlets for watches and/or warnings.
Even cooler weather is likely tomorrow with more showers and storms.
All for now, more later.
Jimmy
--
Sent from my mobile device
Hot 90s-Some Storms-2nd Tropical Depression Forms
90s feeling close to 100 today. Scattered afternoon storms, some heavy rains producers and they could persist into the evening. Highs will be in the low to mid 90s north, mid and upper 90s south.
Temps 85 to 90 tomorrow with scattered showers and storms northern regions, and a good chance of rain across the southern half of VA and NC. Rain chances will continue across southern Virginia and North Carolina Thursday before becoming more scattered Through the weekend. The Northern half of Virginia will be dry for the most part except a possible shower or storm Saturday. Highs region wide will be in the low an mid 80s.
The tropics get active:
The second tropical depression of the Hurricane Season formed overnight from the wave that emerged a few days ago off the African coast. It appeared to have almost dies out and then flared up last night. As of now it looks like the first storm of the season may form out of this.Get more information at http://www.midatlanticweather.com/hw3.php?config=tropimap&forecast=tropsystems&year=2009®ion=NT&hwvstormid=2&alt=tropsystempage&hwvmetric=
A few more systems bear some watching, especially now in the Caribbean that appears to have also flared up. Another wave is just emerging off Africa as well.
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All for now!
Temps 85 to 90 tomorrow with scattered showers and storms northern regions, and a good chance of rain across the southern half of VA and NC. Rain chances will continue across southern Virginia and North Carolina Thursday before becoming more scattered Through the weekend. The Northern half of Virginia will be dry for the most part except a possible shower or storm Saturday. Highs region wide will be in the low an mid 80s.
The tropics get active:
The second tropical depression of the Hurricane Season formed overnight from the wave that emerged a few days ago off the African coast. It appeared to have almost dies out and then flared up last night. As of now it looks like the first storm of the season may form out of this.Get more information at http://www.midatlanticweather.com/hw3.php?config=tropimap&forecast=tropsystems&year=2009®ion=NT&hwvstormid=2&alt=tropsystempage&hwvmetric=
A few more systems bear some watching, especially now in the Caribbean that appears to have also flared up. Another wave is just emerging off Africa as well.
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All for now!
Monday, August 10, 2009
Scattered storms cap a hot day! More tomorrow - less heat
Today was by far the hottest day of the year for many! I saw heat index values in the 100 to 105 range as common with some as high as 110. Tomorrow we will continue hot weather with more scattered storms possible. Temps will be about 5 to 8 degrees cooler. Around 90 in the north, but still mid 90s and some upper 90s south.
Temps will come down further as the front comes through by about another 5 to 8 degrees. And then another 5 degrees or so on Thursday. Thursday will be a lot cooler as a front gets hung up over southern VA and NC and scattered storms will continue through the entire period. Temps will remain in the mid 80s.
The tropics are a "little" active. The wave off of Africa started losing a lot of its convection today, but the rotation remains. Another wave is poised to come off the coast. Of note, long term forecast models do show some threat of storminess off the East coast, but that is all model thought as of now. If things did come together as some models say, this could also be a big rain producer for the east coast.
Longer term there is also the likelihood of another surge in heat next week. We will have to watch and see!
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All for now!
Temps will come down further as the front comes through by about another 5 to 8 degrees. And then another 5 degrees or so on Thursday. Thursday will be a lot cooler as a front gets hung up over southern VA and NC and scattered storms will continue through the entire period. Temps will remain in the mid 80s.
The tropics are a "little" active. The wave off of Africa started losing a lot of its convection today, but the rotation remains. Another wave is poised to come off the coast. Of note, long term forecast models do show some threat of storminess off the East coast, but that is all model thought as of now. If things did come together as some models say, this could also be a big rain producer for the east coast.
Longer term there is also the likelihood of another surge in heat next week. We will have to watch and see!
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All for now!
HOT with 100 degree heat lasts 1 day north, 2 days south!!
Temps will be only around the low to mid 90s tomorrow in the north, after a very Hot Monday! Moisture and a chance of showers and storms will knock the heat back tomorrow for everyone, but, due to humidity it will still feel very hot. It now appears that a front will actually clear the northern part of the area and knock temp to the mid 80s by Wednesday. The slow movement of the front will mean showers and storms possible for the southern parts of the area the rest of the week and this will also knock temps back. Of note, for Northern regions temps will step from near 100 today, to around 90 tomorrow, mid 80s Wednesday, and MAYBE just 80 for Thursday!
The Southern regions will go from 100 to 105 today to 95 tomorrow, and then the upper 80s the rest of the week.
So get ready for the HEAT today, but it will start to get better tomorrow!
More to come!
The Southern regions will go from 100 to 105 today to 95 tomorrow, and then the upper 80s the rest of the week.
So get ready for the HEAT today, but it will start to get better tomorrow!
More to come!
Sunday, August 09, 2009
Heat has arrived and humidity! 100 degree Heat! Tropics?
If you cannot tell, the moisture in the air increased dramatically overnight! We will see Mid 90s (it will feel like at least 100) in the north and temps approaching 100 (it will feel like 105) in the southern half or the forecast area.
100 degrees likely for most areas away from the coast and east of the mountains tomorrow! I suspect we will see heat advisories for tomorrow and the air quality will be somewhat poor!
Tuesday will see a begin in the dip in the temps for northern half of the area (low to mid 90s) and then Wednesday 80s. Southern half will still be near 100 degrees and then 90s Wednesday.
Rain chances increase Tuesday in the north and then area wide Wednesday. We will see More chances of rain Thursday and Friday which will knock most temperatures back to the mid and upper 80s.
In weather news, Taiwan has seen as much as 100" of rain from now tropical storm Morakot! http://www.etaiwannews.com/etn/news_content.php?id=1026197&lang=eng_news
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/25750796
The tropical low off Africa is holding up for now, but many have not made it past 2 days! We will see, but it looks like a depression may be ready to form!
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/eatl-ir4-loop.html
From the NHC:
100 degrees likely for most areas away from the coast and east of the mountains tomorrow! I suspect we will see heat advisories for tomorrow and the air quality will be somewhat poor!
Tuesday will see a begin in the dip in the temps for northern half of the area (low to mid 90s) and then Wednesday 80s. Southern half will still be near 100 degrees and then 90s Wednesday.
Rain chances increase Tuesday in the north and then area wide Wednesday. We will see More chances of rain Thursday and Friday which will knock most temperatures back to the mid and upper 80s.
In weather news, Taiwan has seen as much as 100" of rain from now tropical storm Morakot! http://www.etaiwannews.com/etn/news_content.php?id=1026197&lang=eng_news
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/25750796
The tropical low off Africa is holding up for now, but many have not made it past 2 days! We will see, but it looks like a depression may be ready to form!
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/eatl-ir4-loop.html
From the NHC:
A LOW PRESSURE AREA ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IS PRODUCING AN
AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
AND THE COAST OF AFRICA. THIS SYSTEM IS SHOWING SOME SIGNS OF
ORGANIZATION AND COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THERE IS A
MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS
COULD AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.
http://www.midatlanticweather.com/hw3.php?forecast=tropinvesttrack&eventnum=99®ion=NT&year=2009
Saturday, August 08, 2009
Due to some showers flared up by the warm front the warmth that we will see will be a bit delayed. So today we will see a few showers and maybe a couple of storms. The showers and storms will scattered and not concentrated.
But, as I said, here comes the heat tomorrow with highs approaching 100 in many places. That continues Monday for all.
Tuesday, some slackening of the heat in the North (90s will still be prevalent)
Wednesday some storm possibilities increase and the temps push back to about 90 in the north, still 90s in the south.
Highs will then move to the mid and upper 80s Thursday and Friday with a chance of storms.
For the first time in a while a very strong and rotating tropical wave just emerged from Africa. It bears watching, but many systems have just died out after reaching the coast so I am not thinking it will become a tropical system, but it may! I attached it above.
In the near future I will be updating alerts and email options for these discussions and severe alerts! All part of the changes and expansion of Mid Atlantic Weather!
Friday, August 07, 2009
HOT weather starts today!
High Temps will reach 90s to as high as 100 Sunday and Monday - Isolated storms possible Saturday.
Hot air to continue until Wednesday.
Sorry, I am tired, so all for now!
Hot air to continue until Wednesday.
Sorry, I am tired, so all for now!
Pleasant 80s today|Heating up Tomorrow|Heat wave through Wed
80s with lower humidity today will be short lived. Temps from 90 to 95 tomorrow and the true Hazy, Hot, and Humid mid and upper 90s will be present starting Sunday and lasting until Wednesday for the Northern areas and until Thursday for the South, and Probably Friday for NC. Some storms may be present tomorrow late afternoon and overnight. The next chance of storms will accompany a front Wednesday and Thursday which will be the leading edge of more seasonable 80s.
Felicia is still a strong category 3 Hurricane in the Pacific. The Atlantic Hurricane season remains low!
Felicia is still a strong category 3 Hurricane in the Pacific. The Atlantic Hurricane season remains low!
Thursday, August 06, 2009
Cool evening&Friday|Hot Sat-Wed
Rains ending east if I-95 and a cool night. Temps low to mid 80s for
tommorrow, heating up to upper 80s and the low to mid 90s for most
starting Sunday and lasting until wednesday. A chance of a storm late
Saturday into Sunday early morning. Slightly cooler by Wednesday in
the north.
tommorrow, heating up to upper 80s and the low to mid 90s for most
starting Sunday and lasting until wednesday. A chance of a storm late
Saturday into Sunday early morning. Slightly cooler by Wednesday in
the north.
All for now.
--
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Wet&Cool day-Nice Friday-Heat wave early next week
Front passed&Stalled-a low formed on front- Rainy most the day-Highs 70s and low 80s today. The showers will continue today and slowly end from west to east this evening. Some heavier rain elements will be present so please stay tuned to local weather and news outlets concerning possible localized flooding.
Friday looks rather pleasant with most highs stay in the low and mid 80s. A resurgence of heat and humidity will arrive Saturday with some storms possible.
Sunday - Wednesday will be some of the hottest weather of the Summer. Areas in Southern Virginia and North Carolina will see highs hit triple digits. The northern areas will see mid to upper 90s. Tuesday into Wednesday the northern regions will see the heat subside a bit while the Southern half of VA and NC continue to bake!
Tropics - Still looking quiet in the Atlantic - The Pacific has a powerful Category 4 Hurricane that will weaken as its remnant move towards the Hawaiian Islands over the next several days. To see more on Hurricane Felicia check out http://bit.ly/5FOcq
All for now!
Friday looks rather pleasant with most highs stay in the low and mid 80s. A resurgence of heat and humidity will arrive Saturday with some storms possible.
Sunday - Wednesday will be some of the hottest weather of the Summer. Areas in Southern Virginia and North Carolina will see highs hit triple digits. The northern areas will see mid to upper 90s. Tuesday into Wednesday the northern regions will see the heat subside a bit while the Southern half of VA and NC continue to bake!
Tropics - Still looking quiet in the Atlantic - The Pacific has a powerful Category 4 Hurricane that will weaken as its remnant move towards the Hawaiian Islands over the next several days. To see more on Hurricane Felicia check out http://bit.ly/5FOcq
All for now!
Wednesday, August 05, 2009
So Far-no rain North-SW VA and VA/NC Border getting hit!
So Far-no rain North-SW VA and VA/NC Border getting hit! - Rain may pick up later in the north as a low pressure moves along a stalled front. I foresee some flood and heavy rain threat. Storms in the southern half of VA may go severe. Rain should persist tomorrow with another wave of Low pressure. The rain will concentrate to the south, but be prevalent most areas east of the mountains early tomorrow.
Cooler temps Thursday and Friday will be replaced by the hazy hot and humid conditions of summer this weekend! That hot pattern looks to persist through Tuesday. Afternoon showers and storms will be isolated and mainly in the higher elevations and along the coast.
Louisville Kentucky suffered a huge flash flood yesterday when 6 inches of rain fell in about an hour an 15 minutes! http://www.citizen-times.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20090805/NEWS/90805006
Unfortunately more rain moved through today.
All for now!
Cooler temps Thursday and Friday will be replaced by the hazy hot and humid conditions of summer this weekend! That hot pattern looks to persist through Tuesday. Afternoon showers and storms will be isolated and mainly in the higher elevations and along the coast.
Louisville Kentucky suffered a huge flash flood yesterday when 6 inches of rain fell in about an hour an 15 minutes! http://www.citizen-times.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20090805/NEWS/90805006
Unfortunately more rain moved through today.
All for now!
Hot day with Thunder-Cooler Tomorrow & Friday
Thunderstorms this afternoon into tonight. Rain may be heavy - Cooler Thursday with highs in the 80s and lower humidity. Nice for Friday and then a return to heat through Monday.
Rushed morning so all for now!
Rushed morning so all for now!
Tuesday, August 04, 2009
Summer heat with highs 90s for most through Monday- Storms Wed and Thurs - Hot weekend
Summer heat with highs 90s for most through Monday- Storms Wed and Thurs - Hot weekend
After a relatively cool summer (some areas north of the region rarely saw temps above 85) a much warmer set up has started and will persist through Monday. Highs, for most, will be in the 90 to 95 range, with somewhat cooler temps along the coast and the mountains. Heat indexes will be close to 100 for the southern regions and hitting 105 for parts of the Carolina's. Coastal induced storms are possible as well as elevation driven storms today. The Far Southwestern part of the region could see more numerous storms as leftovers from a mid western cluster of storms moves through the area. Most areas will stay dry east of the mountains.
A frontal system will introduce a better chance of showers and storms tomorrow and the threat stays somewhat possible Thursday and Friday but not as probable.
The weekend into Monday just look Hazy, Hot, and Humid with highs remaining the the low and mid 90s except the coast and the mountains where upper 80s will be prevalent.
The dog days of summer have truly arrived!
A fairly strong tropical wave is located between the Caribbean and African coasts. This is the first wave in a long while to have convection still present after leaving Africa and getting beyond the cooler waters just off the west coast of Africa. Bears some watching.
All for now!
After a relatively cool summer (some areas north of the region rarely saw temps above 85) a much warmer set up has started and will persist through Monday. Highs, for most, will be in the 90 to 95 range, with somewhat cooler temps along the coast and the mountains. Heat indexes will be close to 100 for the southern regions and hitting 105 for parts of the Carolina's. Coastal induced storms are possible as well as elevation driven storms today. The Far Southwestern part of the region could see more numerous storms as leftovers from a mid western cluster of storms moves through the area. Most areas will stay dry east of the mountains.
A frontal system will introduce a better chance of showers and storms tomorrow and the threat stays somewhat possible Thursday and Friday but not as probable.
The weekend into Monday just look Hazy, Hot, and Humid with highs remaining the the low and mid 90s except the coast and the mountains where upper 80s will be prevalent.
The dog days of summer have truly arrived!
A fairly strong tropical wave is located between the Caribbean and African coasts. This is the first wave in a long while to have convection still present after leaving Africa and getting beyond the cooler waters just off the west coast of Africa. Bears some watching.
All for now!
Monday, August 03, 2009
Summer like week-HOT weekend
Continued hazy hot and humid. Weekend could see temps in the mid and
upper 90s if models continue trends. Thunderstorm threat highest
Wednesday-storms possible Thursday and Friday but chances are not
high.
upper 90s if models continue trends. Thunderstorm threat highest
Wednesday-storms possible Thursday and Friday but chances are not
high.
More to come.
--
Sent from my mobile device
Week of Summer weather turning a little less hot toward...
Today starts out very humid with residual moisture out there. A sticky and hot day with highs climbing to the upper 80 up to the mid 90s across the southern areas. An isolated storm is not out of the question.
Tomorrow looks hotter, with highs in the low 90s north, and maybe some upper 90s across the southern region. It looks humid but a few storms are forecast, except maybe higher terrain.
Wednesday looks like a carbon copy of Tuesday.
Thursday will see an increase in storm possibilities and also a slightly cooler day. Highs will be more like today's, except across areas that have a lot of clouds. Friday will be similar to Thursday. Again where the clouds are thicker, lower temperatures will occur.
Next weekend, for now, looks seasonable with high in the mid 80s to low 90s.
Tropics have remained calm. the reason, from what I can tell, has been the presence of he El Nino and a colder than normal Canary current off the west coast of Africa. that colder current has been dissipating any storm complex that has emerged from Africa. Also, and increased amount of wind has been occurring off the deserts of Africa which temds to put more dust in teh atmosphere and thus reduces the number of storms.
All for now!
--
Posted By midatlanticweather to Forecast Discussion at 8/03/2009 06:54:00 AM
Tomorrow looks hotter, with highs in the low 90s north, and maybe some upper 90s across the southern region. It looks humid but a few storms are forecast, except maybe higher terrain.
Wednesday looks like a carbon copy of Tuesday.
Thursday will see an increase in storm possibilities and also a slightly cooler day. Highs will be more like today's, except across areas that have a lot of clouds. Friday will be similar to Thursday. Again where the clouds are thicker, lower temperatures will occur.
Next weekend, for now, looks seasonable with high in the mid 80s to low 90s.
Tropics have remained calm. the reason, from what I can tell, has been the presence of he El Nino and a colder than normal Canary current off the west coast of Africa. that colder current has been dissipating any storm complex that has emerged from Africa. Also, and increased amount of wind has been occurring off the deserts of Africa which temds to put more dust in teh atmosphere and thus reduces the number of storms.
All for now!
--
Posted By midatlanticweather to Forecast Discussion at 8/03/2009 06:54:00 AM
Week of Summer weather turning a little less hot towards Friday.
Today starts out very humid with residual moisture out there. A sticky and hot day with highs climbing to the upper 80 up to the mid 90s across the southern areas. An isolated storm is not out of the question.
Tomorrow looks hotter, with highs in the low 90s north, and maybe some upper 90s across the southern region. It looks humid but a few storms are forecast, except maybe higher terrain.
Wednesday looks like a carbon copy of Tuesday.
Thursday will see an increase in storm possibilities and also a slightly cooler day. Highs will be more like today's, except across areas that have a lot of clouds. Friday will be similar to Thursday. Again where the clouds are thicker, lower temperatures will occur.
Next weekend, for now, looks seasonable with high in the mid 80s to low 90s.
Tropics have remained calm. the reason, from what I can tell, has been the presence of he El Nino and a colder than normal Canary current off the west coast of Africa. that colder current has been dissipating any storm complex that has emerged from Africa. Also, and increased amount of wind has been occurring off the deserts of Africa which temds to put more dust in teh atmosphere and thus reduces the number of storms.
All for now!
Tomorrow looks hotter, with highs in the low 90s north, and maybe some upper 90s across the southern region. It looks humid but a few storms are forecast, except maybe higher terrain.
Wednesday looks like a carbon copy of Tuesday.
Thursday will see an increase in storm possibilities and also a slightly cooler day. Highs will be more like today's, except across areas that have a lot of clouds. Friday will be similar to Thursday. Again where the clouds are thicker, lower temperatures will occur.
Next weekend, for now, looks seasonable with high in the mid 80s to low 90s.
Tropics have remained calm. the reason, from what I can tell, has been the presence of he El Nino and a colder than normal Canary current off the west coast of Africa. that colder current has been dissipating any storm complex that has emerged from Africa. Also, and increased amount of wind has been occurring off the deserts of Africa which temds to put more dust in teh atmosphere and thus reduces the number of storms.
All for now!
Sunday, August 02, 2009
Rainy Sunday
Rain will be heavy at time. Most of Central Maryland and parts of SW Virginia are under flood watches. Later this afternoon the rain should end from west to east.
Some storms this morning did go severe and isolated severe is not out of the question.
Muggy conditions return Monday and most the week.
More to come.
Some storms this morning did go severe and isolated severe is not out of the question.
Muggy conditions return Monday and most the week.
More to come.
Saturday, August 01, 2009
summer
although weve had some warm days. it hasent been a hot summer... could that be a trend for upcoming winter? only time will tell :) now if we could only get the hurricanes going ;)
***luke***
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