Friday, September 24, 2010

HOT - The beginning of the drought reversal coming!

Record heat today with highs soaring the mid and even upper 90s! This is the 66th 90+ degree day for the DC Metro area! It will be breezy as well making the fire danger elevated this afternoon. A dry front crosses the region tonight and cooler air begins filtering into the region. The front will hang up and a low pressure system will develop in the south and ride up and west of the Appalachians early next week. With tropical moisture and good inflow from the Atlantic and the Gulf, this looks like a good bet for some heavier rain totals in the inches (preliminary thoughts of 1.5 to 4 inches) for parts of the region.

Of note, with such a hot ocean off the east coast and in the Gulf, and it becoming fall, this usually spells a reversal to the drought. I have seen it before as the contrast between the cooler air from Canada and the warmth of the ocean spells many east coast soaking rains as things try to meet equilibrium. So expect the drought to be erased in the next few months based on what I know. The next system is a foretelling of what we will likely see.

Temps tomorrow will be in the 80s and in the low and middle 70s starting Sunday and continuing Monday and Tuesday. Rain chances increase from south to north during Sunday and could hit the Northern areas by early Sunday night whereas rains will begin Sunday morning in the southern regions.

Matthew was born yesterday and is headed for the Central American coast. He will curve and could re-emerge and restrengthen and ultimately be the fuel for next weeks soakers in the east coast. Lisa continues a weak storm way out in the Atlantic.

Weather is getting a bit more interesting! Expect more frequent updates.

Stay cool! All for now!

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