Saturday, November 03, 2012

Cool and then snow?

I need to really kick it back into high gear on posting! I have been very active at http://www.facebook.com/midatlanticweather and at http://twitter.com/midatlanticwx

In general we have a couple of camps next week - a model that phases (joins) 2 systems and causes a sizable Nor'easter and then models that come close to doing the same, and then others that let the system go out to sea!

What do I think?
I am seeing a phase, but not sure it is as aggressive as the European says. Also, I am skeptical of lower elevations seeing snow! You get to 1000 feet or above, I am more confident. That being said, if the storm system (happening some time between Tuesday Night and Thursday) does occur at night and does have heavy precipitation, elevations west of I-95 may see some snow and others a mix! 

As of this AM - posted by Henry Margusity of Accuweather - the European snow map shows this!


I remain reserved for this region seeing snow, but further North I am pretty convinced as long as we see the phasing! That being said there are elements there that would lead me to believe snow could fly. If I sound unsure, well I am! 

In the near term:

Cool conditions in general persist with highs in the 50s and lows in the 30s for most.

Cool and sunny day today and a bit of clouds tomorrow!

More later!


1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Thanks for the posting, and for the Twitter updates.

It would be very helpful to turn OFF the paper.li daily posts.

Many thanks, Jimmy.

Tim
12,935 days

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