First off, we are officially in Spring! Days are longer than night and we will warm up! When? Well the pattern is not looking that warm! We have at least 2 more weeks of a pattern that would favor colder than normal. On forecast models t has been noted that some signals are very extreme hitting at a major east cost low and possibly a heavy snow event even in more southern reaches. The models have disagreed on the exact scenario and set up. As of this morning, the system that could bring the precipitation does not look well organized in the Mid Atlantic, but could really get New England even more snow. Even more? Well they went from struggling with snow at the beginning of the season, to many places getting into the top 10 snowiest winters! So while we continue in the second year of snow drought in places in VA, DC, and MD (realize many places in the region have seen substantial snows) they are under a surplus!
Weather for the area: Today we will see much colder temps with highs in the 40s and low 50s. The breezes will not be nearly as strong, but will make it feel colder. A disturbance tonight could be interesting as it could cause some snow showers from GA all the way into VA and MD. This could be isolated showers that could be quite squally and be somewhat heavy briefly!
So that system will usher in a very cold air mass! Highs tomorrow with many highs in the 30s and lower 40s! That is impressive and 15 to 20 degrees below normal! Flurries could also accompany the breezy cold air!
Temps rebound to the 40s and low 50s through Saturday and then we will see what happens Sunday - Tuesday when we could see some kind of storm.
This time of year is hard to forecast, but I will tell ya, the models this year have done horrible! I mean, we know when it will be possibly bad weather, but amounts and what types of weather are tough! That being said, we get more and more picky on the details. When you think of what is trying to be forecasted and the amount of technology behind it, it is impressive. In the US, more money could be used on model upgrades, but we have other pressing items to attend to (and I want to make a snide political comment here!). The real fault of the US forecast industry is favoring the US model when we have other tools superior to it! Why not embrace the reality that the European model is better and use it!
All for now!
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