Mid Atlantic Weather Discussions

Saturday, November 12, 2005

11/12 DC/MD/VA Weather Outlook!

My life has been so busy! Sorry I have been unable to post or even update the web site. I turned it to winter mode, but have no linked the winter outlooks or any of the other winter links I really want up there! As far as the weather.. Cold shots in the midst of a warm fall! Next Thursday looks like a serious cold shot but sticking cold s till beyond the horizon!

Summary: Cold this morning with lows hitting freezing in many locations that have not seen it. We warm to near normal temps today, but back 5-10 degrees warmer than normal tomorrow! Next week we look much colder after Tuesday and a front. There could be some showers and storms with the front but the real story will be the winds that usher in the colder . Thursday’s highs could be in the 40s for many, but night time lows could hit the low to mid 20s for some!

Tropics: Could see some development of a system in the Caribbean. But this will be the last tropical thing I put in there!

The look out for Winter: Canada’s snow cover has done some great advancing. The storm that causes our cold will be the upper plains first big snow storm.. well.. the one a few weeks back was not too shabby either. Sticking cold looks like it may hit after or around Thanksgiving. Next weeks cold shot is nothing too small though so it is good news!

Winter Outlook out in a few! I do not have the SST map analysis done though!

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum. Our community has grown to 25 members. http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

Did you know? I send this update out semi regularly via email! To get it send and email to midatlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I also send a Severe Weather Alert when we need it. To get it mid-atlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I am considering a tropical only list as well.

Forecast text and graphics from National Weather Service. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be
held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products
for their area provided by the National Weather Service.

This outlook was brought to you by A Cleaner Carpet Co! Water Damage? Entertaining? Pet issues? Allergy problems? Check out what makes their carpet cleaning, cleaner than others! http://www.acleanercarpetco.com Residential and Commercial! (Oriental Rug Cleaning also available) (703) 772 - 5157

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Sunday, October 23, 2005

10/23 DC/MD/VA Weather Outlook

WOW! A phasing system seems to be in the works after I was pretty certain we would not be in this scenario. The effects on us are definitely COOL and breezy to downright windy! Wilma and Tropical Storm (Now Depression) Alpha should team up to produce a pretty impressive wind event!

Summary: It is going to be downright chilly, if not COLD tomorrow! Highs in many areas will struggle to get out of the 40s! I am not banking on it, but the dynamics combining with Wilma as she become extratropical and merges with the frontal boundary off the east coast give me some deep down wondering if snow gets involved (though very wet) in the higher elevations! If you did not know, parts of New England did get their first elevation snows today. The Nor’easter tomorrow through Tuesday will likely be most known for its winds and not its heavy rains! There is a chance we could see about .5 to 1 inch of rain tomorrow into Early Tuesday.

Tropics: What can you say! Tropical storm Alpha (Now a depression) gave us number 23 of named storms? Are we done? Well, I am not totally sure, but the pattern moves away from favorable patern.

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum. Our community has grown to 23 members. http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

This outlook was brought to you by A Cleaner Carpet Co! Water Damage? Entertaining? Pet issues? Allergy problems? Check out what makes their carpet cleaning, cleaner than others! http://www.acleanercarpetco.com Residential and Commercial! (Oriental Rug Cleaning also available) (703) 772 - 5157

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Thursday, October 20, 2005

10/20 DC/MD/VA Weather Outlook

Wild Tropical Season continues as Wilma takes aim at Florida and eventually the northeast. Our pleasant weather is going to be replaced by rainy conditions, then windy, then pretty cool. Long term I see a return to milder conditions, but some promising signs for winter. (See disclaimer at the end)

Summary: Wilma’s historic pressure of 882mb yesterday will be her strongest. Though I can see she will likely come ashore as a Category three storm in the Southwestern part of Florida, her next act will be a linking or partial phasing with a digging upper air low through the Midwest. This could do several things for us next week. Of immediate concern, there is the chance that areas could see some Thunderstorms today, and isolated Hail and or high winds will be something to watch. Back to Wilma.. She will race across Florida and then off shore up the eastern Seaboard. Her Linkage will spill energy into the trough mentioned above and induce bombogenesis off the east coast. This could mean some heavy rains in the northeast again, and we will be the edge of some of this. Upper Maryland and northward could really get soaked, but 1-3” rains may also hit our region. High winds could accompany this system and that could mean some tree damage and power outages. This being said, we will miss the worst effects that will be felt in New England. Similar to Hurricane Lilli in 1996 (See Weather America for same thoughts at http://weatheramerica.blogspot.com ). So we will have a breezy start to the week and then a cool down that could cause frost in some areas. This is perfectly normal and should be expected this time of year. Long term, there will be a return to milder air as the cold in the east looks to be transient. That being said, there are signs that the Upper level pattern may change and actually provide a better chance of Snow and colder air in Canada. This is VERY important to our winter outlook. I will keep watching!

Tropics: Wilma could be the last storm for a while in the Atlantic as the tropics appear to be headed for turbulent times. That being said, another storm or two would not surprise me! The next would be called Alpha. Wilma also is historic in that this season is the first in history to have had 3 Category five systems! What an amazing year.

Looking Out for Winter: This will be my new area to start on the Winter Outlook trail! This years major factors for winter continue to be Warm Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico waters, the lack of build up of Snow in Canada, and cold water off the Pacific NW coast. Current Snow cover in Canada is really low http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/SNOW/DATA/cursnow_usa.gif . My hope is to see some real reversals of this in the next week and a half. If not, I see real signs of a warmer winter coming true. Next, the warm waters in the Atlantic SHOULD help fuel systems as the come up the east coast, so, though we may have fewer snow storms, some could be huge! Last, the Pacific NW water temps have a real cold pool. This offsets the warm Atlantic waters a bit as storms will not be riding a favorable jet when they hit the west coast that would allow digging in the east. So far, this has not been an issue based on the last drought buster and Wilma’s linkage. But the changes to new patterns could show us a lot.. Will keep watching!

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum. Our community has grown to 23 members. Please join those who have so we can get good feedback and regional coverage. http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

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Forecast thoughts are those of Mid Atlantic Weather and should never e used for official forecasts. Please rely on official forecasts by the National Weather Service or other agencies for life and property decisions. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.

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Wednesday, October 19, 2005

Quick Note! WILMA Strongest Atlantic Storm in History!

Only 9 Storms Stronger World Wide!

With the 884 reading! 175mph winds

Full list here http://philadelphiaweather.blogspot.com/2005/10/list-of-strongest-typhoons-and.html

1. Typhoon Tip - 870 mb, 1979
2. Typhoon Zeb - 872 mb, 1998
3. Typhoon Gay - 872 mb, 1992
4. Typhoon Keith - 872 mb, 1997
5. Typhoon Joan - 872 mb, 1997
6. Typhoon Ivan - 872 mb, 1997
7. Typhoon Forrest - 876 mb, 1983
8. Typhoon Faxai - 879 mb, 2001
9. Typhoon Chaba - 879 mb, 2004
10. Hurricane Wilma - 884mb, 2005

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Tuesday, October 18, 2005

10/18 DC/MD/VA Weather Outlook

Potential For a New England Hurricane may bring us serious winds and the first real cold snap with temps dipping below freezing. We have a great week ahead first before Wilma’s influence will send us into wild pattern. Exciting weather.. not great for Gulf coast areas and New England as wind damage and more rain appears to be on the way. MUCH COLDER Temperatures should come in her wake!

Summary: Well, we are in a nice stretch, but things are about to change. Yet again a hurricane (will be by noon today if not already) Wilma, is poised to do some real strengthening and will likely hit category 4 or even 5 standing at some point. Florida needs to be on the lookout for this storm and I hope they understand its potential. There are multiple scenarios being played out by the models for how they handle and ultimately phase Wilma with a trough. Similar scenarios of Hazel and even Hurricane Lilli from a while back. The results could be historic and will likely alter the pattern in the east to a very cold one for a little while as Air comes across the pole and into Canada and hen spills into the east. This could set up some Lake Effect Snows (especially at night) and could cause many places to end the growing season hard with a freeze. Windy conditions in the Mid Atlantic to New England could set the stage for massive power outages and there could be a swath of rain from the far eastern Carolinas to New England. The key thought here is STAY TUNED!

Tropics: Wilma will likely be the next Major Hurricane to affect the United States. Category 4 or even 5 status are not out of her reach. Florida needs to be on guard as this hurricane quickly intensifies.

Forecast text and graphics from National Weather Service. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.

This outlook was brought to you by A Cleaner Carpet Co! Water Damage? Entertaining? Pet issues? Allergy problems? Check out what makes their carpet cleaning, cleaner than others! http://www.acleanercarpetco.com Residential and Commercial! (Oriental Rug Cleaning also available) (703) 772 - 5157

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Saturday, October 08, 2005

10/8 DC/MD/VA Weather Outlook

Been very, very wet. A day respite,m another system, a cool week ahead.

Quick update on what has been amazing rain amounts in the regions. The 5-10 inches of rain predicted for the region was really a good estimate and we have essentially erased the water deficits. Pretty amazing. Due to persistent instability the next 24 hours or so we will continue a slight chance of rain. On Monday another disturbance will come through and another moderate rain event (1 inch plus amounts) could come through. We should continue cool and then will see the influence of the subtropical system off shore!

not much time to update, just stay safe. remember that water is heavy and if it is moving can move you or a car causing a drowning threat. DO NOT drive through water that is covering roads!

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Friday, October 07, 2005

10/7 DC/MD/VA Weather Outlook

HEAVY RAINS Are here and will be for the next 24 hours. There could be a brief respite, but showers and storms (especially mountains) could fire again Sunday adding to what, by then, will be Saturated grounds. Flood watch in effect! Tropics remain active and a pattern repeat could happen later next week as well which would mean more heavy rains! True shifty in pattern could keep us in line for more storminess and seasonal to slightly below normal temps for a while!

Summary: Wow.. It is famine to a feast when it comes to rain. Areas could, under the right circumstances, see rain totals in the 5-10” range by the end of weekend. Tropical systems and disturbances riding up a slow moving front has a tropical moisture fetch. This combined with a high off the new England coast which is bringing moisture off the Atlantic is combining for a great rain event to occur. Flooding threats will likely be small streams and not the main basins, but I am betting we get close to normal on river flows early next week! See the drought page (http://www.midatlanticweather.com/drought) I am not going to comment to much on next week except a another wet system (not likely this wet) could affect us again later in the week. Seasonably cool should be the rule with temps

Tropics: Another Tropical system could be in the progress of forming off the FL coast. Will be watching.

Forecast text and graphics from National Weather Service. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.

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Wednesday, October 05, 2005

10/5 DC/MD/VA Weather Outlook

Rain in the Forecast! Maybe quite a bit too, but a lot depends on how slow the front pushes through! Much cooler temps for the weekend and a general dry pattern returning with temps near normal next week!

Summary: Tropical Storm Tammy formed this morning and will play an important role in the weather the next few days. A strong front that is causing a serious winter storm for the upper Plains States and Canada will be approaching and slowly moving through the area. The remnants of Tammy should get entrained into the front and the low pressure will ride up the coast. This could really do some work on the rain deficits as the rain amounts MAY approach 3”+ in parts of the Eastern areas (East of I–95). The concern is that the front is too far east to get most of the area really wet. The best bet for good rains would be right along the coast. After the storm goes by cooler drier area should come through this weekend. Long term we look to drier and remaining seasonally cool.

Tropics: Tropical Storm Tammy was born this morning just east of Florida. Watching a few things out there, but tropics are not too busy beyond this system.

Forecast text and graphics from National Weather Service. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.

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Monday, October 03, 2005

DC/MD/VA Weather outlook

Big changes in appear to be coming. Strong low could ride up the east coast later this week bring rain (FINALLY) and much cooler temps for the weekend!

Summary: Dry conditions continue with deficits running as high as 4+ inches. We are likely to see a break in this coming Wednesday through Friday as well as a turn to much cooler weather for the weekend. Temps Saturday may only be in the 50s for some and mid 60s for many.

Tropics: Tropics are getting busy again. Tropical Storm Stan will likely be a Hurricane before hitting Mexico. Then a tropical system off the east coast could be the system that links with a strong front coming towards us this Thursday. The linkage of that Low (maybe a tropical Storm) will then bring the Low up the east coast. Cold high to the north will cause quite a windy pattern and also funnel some truly chilly air into the region for Saturday! Kind of nice to have some interesting weather.

Forecast text and graphics from National Weather Service. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.

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Tuesday, September 27, 2005

9/27 DC/MD/VA Weather Outlook

Still really dry. Last evening's rain did not do anything to our drought. Another chance of rain showers Early Thursday and then a cold shot before a warm up! Tropics grow quiet, but for how long?

Summary: dry conditions continue. I have updated the drought page a bit: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/drought . Another chance of rain possibly early Thursday and then a really cool day Friday. This will be brief but temps in the 30’s for the mountains and 40’s west of the I-95 corridor is significant. Do not get used to it as we climb in temps and have 90 degrees within range next week for many areas. Concern for the drought continuing.

Tropics: Finally a bit calmer. I only say a bit as the Caribbean has a disturbance that poses some threat of strengthening.

Forecast text and graphics from National Weather Service. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.

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Thursday, September 22, 2005

9/22 DC/MD/VA Weather Outlook

Still really dry. Slight chance of storms tomorrow, cooler Saturday, then warming back up. Rita is truly Historic! May see first true cold intrusion next week.

Summary: dry conditions continue. This is getting rough as it is the time of year to plant grass! The deficit link: http://cirrus.dnr.state.sc.us/images/30dPDeptSERCC.png A cooler Saturday is on tap, but then warming back to above normal. Areas could see 90 degrees tomorrow! There are hints at the first real cool intrusion of air next week!

Tropics: Rita reached her Historical Status last night as she became the 3^rd strongest Atlantic hurricane on record. She is a massive storm and her track on models has really shifted north this morning. I am concerned that this may be a bit, if not a lot, overdone. The good news is that a storm rarely can stay Category 5 long so HOPEFULLY the system will weaken some before a landfall, but she will still be a Cat 3 or 4 at landfall. There are also signs that she will have some shearing that could weaken her a bit. No need to belabor the point, this will do devastating things where she hits. http://hurricane.methaz.org/hurapak/AAL182005_impact.png . Also, she could potentially stall after moving a bit inland. Needless to say there is a lot of uncertainty on her track: Latest models http://hurricane.methaz.org/hurapak/AAL182005_perf.html Just start praying for her victims. She is beautiful though: A high resolution Satellite from yesterday: http://rapidfire.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/gallery/?2005264-0921/Rita.A2005264.1610.1km.jpg A log through the advisories and pictures can be found here. Interesting: http://www.usawx.com/thejourney134.htm

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum. Our community has grown to 22 members. Please join those who have so we can get good feedback and regional coverage. http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

Forecast text and graphics from National Weather Service. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.

This outlook was brought to you by A Cleaner Carpet Co! Water Damage? Entertaining? Pet issues? Allergy problems? Check out what makes their carpet cleaning, cleaner than others! http://www.acleanercarpetco.com Residential and Commercial! (Oriental Rug Cleaning also available) (703) 772 - 5157

And by K&H Lawn Service. Lawn care and Landscaping with excellence. Serving No.VA http://www.kandhlawnservice.com or call (703) 849 - 0713

Great School in Northern Virginia. http://www.ambleside.org

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Wednesday, September 21, 2005

Rita will likely be the strongest Atlantic Storm in History!

Rita is the 3rd strongest Hurricane! I think it may make it to #1.. This is truly Historic!

7 PM CDT WED SEP 21 2005

CORRECTED PRESSURE CONVERSION TO 26.52 INCHES

...CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE RITA CONTINUING TO DEEPEN...
...NOW THE THIRD MOST INTENSE HURRICANE IN THE ATLANTIC BASIN
ON RECORD...

A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR GULF OF MEXICO COAST FROM PORT
MANSFIELD TEXAS TO CAMERON LOUISIANA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR EAST OF CAMERON TO GRAND
ISLE LOUISIANA AND FROM SOUTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BROWNSVILLE.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
NORTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE
WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF DANGEROUS HURRICANE RITA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 7 PM CDT...0000Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.8 WEST OR ABOUT 580 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS AND ABOUT 680 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST
OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS.

RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 165 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RITA
IS A POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES.

THE PRESSURE HAS BEEN FALLING RAPIDLY DURING THE DAY AND THE LATEST
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 898 MB...26.52 INCHES. THIS MAKES
RITA THE THIRD MOST INTENSE HURRICANE IN TERMS OF PRESSURE IN THE
ATLANTIC BASIN.

TIDES ARE CURRENTLY RUNNING NEAR NORMAL ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI AND
LOUISIANA COASTS IN THE AREAS AFFECTED BY KATRINA. TIDES IN THOSE
AREAS WILL INCREASE UP TO 3 TO 4 FEET OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH
LARGE WAVES ON TOP AND RESIDENTS THERE COULD EXPERIENCE FLOODING.

REPEATING THE 7 PM CDT POSITION...24.5 N... 86.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...165 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...898 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 10 PM CDT.

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9/21 DC/MD/VA Weather Outlook

Dry weather and beautiful days continue, but we are now really in need of rain. Rita hits Category 4 status this morning. May see first true cold intrusion next week.

Summary: Now we are really in need of rain as many areas are 3”+ deficits. Last 30 days deficit can be found here: http://cirrus.dnr.state.sc.us/images/30dPDeptSERCC.png Warm weather continues though Friday and then a slight cool down. There are hints at the first real cool intrusion of air next week!

Tropics: Rita will be yet another historic storm as she heads towards category 5 status. The good news is that a storm rarely can stay Category 5 long so HOPEFULLY the system will weaken some before a landfall, but she will still be a Cat 3 or 4 at landfall. No need to belabor the point, this will do devastating things where she hits. http://hurricane.methaz.org/hurapak/AAL182005_impact.png . Needless to say there is a lot of uncertainty on her track: Latest models http://hurricane.methaz.org/hurapak/AAL182005_perf.html Just start praying for her victims

Forecast text and graphics from National Weather Service. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.

And by K&H Lawn Service. Lawn care and Landscaping with excellence. Serving No.VA http://www.kandhlawnservice.com/ or call (703) 849 - 0713

Been working on http://www.ambleside.org web site so I have been a bit inconsistent on posts. Hope to get better here!

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Tuesday, September 20, 2005

DC/MD/VA Severe Weather Alert

Severe Weather Possible this Afternoon

With A cold front swinging through this afternoon isolated strong to severe storms could accompany the front. The biggest threat would be strong winds.

Stay tuned to News and weather outlets for watches and or warnings.

All for now.

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Wednesday, September 07, 2005

9/7 Dc/MD/VA Weather Outlook

Dry weather and beautiful days continues. Triple Tropical Storms are out in the Atlantic.. Can you tell we are near peak of the season? Concern on Track of Tropical Storm Ophelia and a Gulf Threat.. but still too early to tell. Still see a chance of a return to warm weather next week.

Summary: I consider this the most beautiful time of year! I love fall and the change towards winter and snow is not too far away. We are really dry out there! Here is our 30 day departure from normal if you were wondering: http://cirrus.dnr.state.sc.us/images/30dPDeptSERCC.png There is a Chance of a shower MAYBE Friday.. but not likely

Tropics: This continues to be the Busiest tropical Storm seasons on record. Ophelia was named last night. The earliest “O” storm to date was September 16^th. Great history on early storms can be found here: http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=50190 . Concern is there that Ophelia will go across Florida and then pose a threat to the Gulf states again as at least a minimal hurricane. Still time to watch this one as she will be slow to move for a while. The question I have is will be start borrowing from next year’s storm list? Only 6 more storms to go and, and at this rate, I think we will do it! Historic season indeed!

Forecast text and graphics from National Weather Service. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.

And by K&H Lawn Service. Lawn care and Landscaping with excellence. Serving No.VA http://www.kandhlawnservice.com/ or call (703) 849 - 0713

Click here to donate to the Hurricane Katrina relief effort.

Sunday, September 04, 2005

9/5 DC/MD/VA Weather Outlook

Beautiful weather will be the rule the next 7 days. Unfortunately a turn to warmer air may be on the horizon. Concerns of a FL and then a Gulf Coast threat from what may become Nate.

Summary: I am enjoying going outside and having refreshing air after such a HOT summer. We could use some rains up here. Not seeing that chance this week. Long term it appears likely that the hotter weather will return. Nothing as bad as this summer, but still pretty hot for this time of year

Tropics: Concerns arise as a tropical disturbance is getting its act together east of Florida. This could turn into a depression and then a storm. It is moving very slow and forming slow so we have some time to watch it. I also have concerns over a Caribbean wave that is low enough in latitude to again cause concerns for the gulf. This has been a very rough year!

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum. Our community has grown to 22 members! Please join those who have so we can get good feedback and regional coverage. http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb/

Relief Agencies:

American Red Cross, http://www.redcross.org 800-HELP NOW (435-7669) English, 800-257-7575 Spanish.

Operation Blessing, http://www.ob.org 800-436-6348.

Salvation Army, http://www.salvationarmyusa.org 800-SAL-ARMY (725-2769).

America's Second Harvest, http://www.secondblessing.org 800-344-8070.

Adventist Community Services, http://www.adventist.communityservices.org 800-381-7171.

Christian Disaster Response, http://www.cdresponse.org 941-956-5183 or 941-551-9554.

Christian Reformed World Relief Committee, http://www.crwrc.org 800-848-5818.

Church World Service, http://www.churchworldservice.org 800-297-1516.

Convoy of Hope, http://www.convoyofhope.org 417-823-8998.

Lutheran Disaster Response, http://www.elca.org/disaster 800-638-3522.

Presbyterian Disaster Assistance, http://www.pcusa.org/pda/ 800-872-3283.

Southern Baptist Convention Disaster Relief, http://www.namb.net/site/c.9qKILUOzEpH/b.224451/k.7BDB/Disaster_Relief_Homepage.htm 800-462-8657, ext. 6440.

United Methodist Committee on Relief. http://gbgm-umc.org/umcor/ 800-554-8583

And by K&H Lawn Service. Lawn care and Landscaping with excellence. Serving No.VA http://www.kandhlawnservice.com/ or call (703) 849 - 0713

Click here to donate to the Hurricane Katrina relief effort.

Wednesday, August 31, 2005

8/31 DC/MD/VA Weather Outlook

Severe weather is possible today, but not as high of a threat as yesterday. Warm and dry conditions will be the rule for a while after today. A brief cool down and then more summer like weather possible next week.

Summary: First and foremost, Katrina will be the costliest hurricane for the United States ever. The tragedies unfolding in Louisiana and other Gulf Facing states is still just being realized and its true toll will take months to determine. Heartfelt condolences for anyone with family and friends down there. The systems did spawn some severe weather here in Northern Virginia and a tornado was reported in Faquier county which caused damage to homes. See http://www.midatlanticweather.com/cgi-bin/weather/hw3.cgi?forecast=stormreports&use_state=md&maplinks= for reported wind and weather damage. Today is a tough one to call. The criteria needed to produce more severe weather is very strong in the atmosphere but the trajectory of winds causes downsloping winds off the mountains and subsidence around the Tropical system should limit the overall convection That being said, a single thunderstorm cell would likely become a super cell (rotate) and could drop a tornado. With that RISK I will not drop my severe weather alert, but will emphasize ISOLATED. After the front moves through later today a drier period will ensue and temps will remain in the 80 to even as high as 90 through Saturday. A Brief cool down will follow but I see a chance of pretty warm summer like pattern developing again next week.

Tropics: There are a few systems in the Tropical Atlantic that could become tropical depressions and/or storms in the next day or so, but until next week when the Atlantic will have some changes to its upper level wind flow, the systems should be steered northward. We are 2 weeks from the usual peak of the tropical season for the Atlantic so we will likely have more to come. Unfortunately, this year seems to point to continued threats to the Gulf Coast and Florida with the trajectory of upper level features. We can all hope Katrina is the last of any big storms for this year.

Site News: A lot of new and updated links are now on the web site. I have a lot of new Tropical links to add and I will likely re-organize pages in the next few weeks. Look forward to expanding on the design. Ther could be some slight menu changing, but I find the site effective in communicating what I want so it will be more to make the site cleaner than to have radical changes!

All for now!

Forecast text and graphics from National Weather Service. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.

And by K&H Lawn Service. Lawn care and Landscaping with excellence. Serving No.VA http://www.kandhlawnservice.com/ or call (703) 849 - 0713

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