Summary: (This is expanded from this morning) VERY HOT TOMORROW! Highs will reach in the mid 90s with heat indexes up to 100 in many areas. Later afternoon thunderstoms will develop and some will be severe! More widespread convection Friday which will likely cause very heavy rains and seveer weather as well! Starting to see the flood threat this weekend growing. Concerned about Mountain enhancement! The front delivering the thunder will stall out and become a focus mechanism for several days of unsettled weather. As the inflow from the Gulf, and 2 from the Atlantic get cranking, we could see several inches of rain, especially Friday and Saturday.
Here is the current 2 & 3 day analysis of rain:
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Tropics: 1 wave off the Southeast coast shows some interest, but upper winds do not seem favorable at this time!
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Forecast text and graphics from National Weather Service. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.
Summary: Thunderstorms today did prompt a severe weather alert. Areas in Northern Virginia and some of Maryland did see some high winds and hail. See the new storm reports page at http://www.midatlanticweather.com/cgi-bin/weather/hw3.cgi?config=&forecast=spcstormreport&when=today&usemap=
Pretty hot temps tomorrow and the next day.. even hotter Thursday but an increase in thunderstorm activity, some of which could turn severe! There will be a continued unsettled pattern until Sunday and a gradual cool down in temps. Normal to maybe even slightly below normal temps may stick for a while after this! Also, there are some signs of increased rain chances!
\ By the way.. check out http://www.midatlanticweather.com if you have not in a while. Many updated links have improved speed and information available. The menu alone has over 250 links in it! Just added fire weather forecasts!
Tropics: 2 waves show some interest, but upper winds do not seem favorable at this time!
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Forecast text and graphics from National Weather Service. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.
Summary: The heat is back and humidity too! It had to eventually show up. As the Ridging in the east holds strong, so will dry weather. The good news for the plains states is that this will pump a lot of moisture to the drought areas of the Middle of the country! See Precip outlook by Clicking Here
Heat ridging makes the forecast in our neck of the woods easy. Temps in the 90s with lows 70s.. Real summer time weather! Check out the heat index forecast by Clicking Here
By the way.. check out http://www.midatlanticweather.com if you have not in a while. Many updated links have improved speed and information available. The menu alone has over 250 links in it!
Tropics: They have quieted down a bit. Check out the updated Tropical weather center off the main page! There will be a new site releasing soon devoted to as much tropical information as I possibly can fit into a page!
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Did You Know? I send this update out semi regularly via email! To get it send and email to midatlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I also send a Severe Weather Alert when we need it. To get it mid-atlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I am considering a tropical only list as well.
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Forecast text and graphics from National Weather Service. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.
Trying to get back into the swing of things here! Summer arrived almost on schedule. Hazy hot and humid conditions continue today through Thursday. A cooler Friday and a potentially nice weekend on tap. Tomorrow marks the beginning of Hurricane season. It looks to be another active year.
Summary: Man was that a great Memorial Day weekend. It got hot, but that is summer for ya and perfect line up with the pool opening! Temps will remain on the host side today! Humidity levels will creep up high enough to give heat indexes in the upper 90s for the first time this year! A slight chance of thunderstorms (normal for hot and humid days.) A better chance will come into play Thursday with showers possible even Friday. This weekend looks really great. I hope to have the tropical Weather center revamped over the next several days! Bear with me!
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Forecast thoughts are those of Mid Atlantic Weather and should never e used for official forecasts. Please rely on official forecasts by the National Weather Service or other agencies for life and property decisions. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.
Cool conditions may meet an end! It looks like warmer air arrives starting Thursday. A chance that the storm next weekend may bring some storminess. Questions on whether cooler air returns.
Summary: A blocking pattern will continue the cooler air for a while longer, and then a strong Pacific origin Low will traverse the country and warm us up (like they did all winter). This may break us down and keep us warmer or may be brief. If it is brief, the warm air should still come back by then end of the following week. Meanwhile, we have a chance of a few showers this morning followed by a sunnier day for most. Temps a bit below normal. Tuesday could hold some shower activity, which is desperately needed! This looks to be the driest March on record unless we get some serious reversals. See some of the drought issues by clicking on drought on the main site or seeing the new board over at the forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3
Looking at the long term for April.. if you compare to previous similar Aprils, after a similar March and a small La Nina type of pattern we should warm up!
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Cool conditions may meet an end! It looks like warmer air arrives starting Thursday. A chance that the storm next weekend may bring some storminess. Questions on whether cooler air returns.
Summary: A blocking pattern will continue the cooler air for a while longer, and then a strong Pacific origin Low will traverse the country and warm us up (like they did all winter). This may break us down and keep us warmer or may be brief. If it is brief, the warm air should still come back by then end of the following week. Meanwhile, we have a chance of a few showers this morning followed by a sunnier day for most. Temps a bit below normal. Tuesday could hold some shower activity, which is desperately needed! This looks to be the driest March on record unless we get some serious reversals. See some of the drought issues by clicking on drought on the main site or seeing the new board over at the forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3
Looking at the long term for April.. if you compare to previous similar Aprils, after a similar March and a small La Nina type of pattern we should warm up!
Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum. The community has grown to 44 members. http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/
Did you know? I send this update out semi regularly via email! To get it send and email to midatlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I also send a Severe Weather Alert when we need it. To get it mid-atlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I am considering a tropical only list as well.
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Colder than normal temps + a southern storm= SNOWSTORM POSSIBLE!
Summary: Wow! Here we go with another chance of snow! Anyone remember temps last weekend? That is right! Give the weather a week and things can chage. The Combining features. A strong 1040MB High (Impressive this time of year) in Canada and a southern storm. So many things work against accumulating snow in areas east of the mountains this time of year!
BUT.. there are exceptions to every situation! And this may be the exception! Right now, the most favored areas are higher elevations, especially north of Charlottesville. Higher elevations could see 3-6” and lower elevations 1-3”. Areas west of I-95 north of Fredericksburg to Charlottesville seem more likely to me than anywhere else to see snow (other than the mountains of course)
Longer term appears to remain below normal to near normal temps and continued dry.
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It has been a long while when I have done a general update. Nothing too exciting out there. Something to watch and then a real warm up possible as long as we do not get the dreaded Back Door cold front!
Summary: This winter is destined to end above normal temperatures overall and below normal on snow, unless Monday’s system comes to rescue this. At this point I am not too bullish on snow hopes. The system will need to dig a bit more and form closer to the coast. There are factors pointing against a good accumulation. First it is during the day. Second we are marginal on temps, and third we are not super cold before it comes. All that being said, it is the last chance and it could surprise me! If it is going to it needs to really start showing on models today. As far as longer term, it appears the West Coast will have a deep trough a a big storm will affect the
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Forecast thoughts are those of Mid Atlantic Weather and should never e used for official forecasts. Please rely on official forecasts by the National Weather Service or other agencies for life and property decisions. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.
)SIGNIFICANT SNOWSTORM CONTINUES ON TRACK FOR THIS WEEKEND
What: All models are showing what should become a significant snow storm for the mid Atlantic Region this weekend.
When: Starting overnight Friday in the southwestern regions and spreading over the northern areas by late afternoon Saturday
How Much: Well, ranges in precip come in between 3-6” (Further South and west) and 4-8” (Further North and even east).. Some areas **COULD** see amounts in the 10” range.
Where:
I-95 areas and about 40 miles either side of it may be the jackpot areas until you get midway between Richmond and Fredericksburg, where you should pull the rain/snow line back west to western North Carolina.
Southeastern Virginia, from Just west of
This will be fine tuned… and I hope a map later tonight.
Amount Highlights:
D.C: 3-6” (Maybe some sleet/rain at start)
Dulles: 3-6” (Maybe some sleet)
VA Beach: Few flakes then rain
Martinsburg: 3-6” (Some Sleet)
Leesburg: 3-6”
Hopefully this gives you some idea of my thoughts!
Concerns:
All for now!
SIGNIFICANT SNOWSTORM ON TRACK FOR THIS WEEKEND
What: All models are showing what should become a significant snow storm for the Mid Atlantic Region this weekend.
When: Starting overnight Friday in the southwestern regions and spreading over the northern areas by late afternoon Saturday
How Much: Well, ranges in precip come in between 3-5” for a large area with some higher spots likely seeing 4-8”. It does appear that there will be a sharp cut off on the western edge so the mountains and westward may really miss the heavier snows as well as the immediate piedmont areas of Western Maryland and
Where:
I-95 areas and about 30 miles either side of it may be the jackpot areas until you get just south of Richmond where you should pull the rain/snow line back west to western North Carolina.
Western and north of areas from Leesburg down to
This will be fine tuned.
Concerns:
All for now!
Jimmy
http://www.midatlanticweather.com
