Friday, April 27, 2007

Severe Storms Possible this afternoon

Once the rain from this morning passes by there is a chance that the sun will be able to break through and heat areas. These areas where the heating occurs will become increasingly unstable. A strong cold front will eventually pass through the area and could spawn strong to severe storms especially in the eastern parts of the region. Please stay tuned to media and weather outlets for watches and or warnings.

All for now!
 
Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid Atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3




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Tuesday, April 24, 2007

Nice Weather will end as rain chances increase.Severe Possible Friday!

April Showers on the way!
Spring Showers will be numerous starting later today and tonight and continuing through Friday. Today there is a chance of Showers and Thunderstorms. Highs will come down after today but still be warm for this afternoon. Tomorrow and Thursday highs will be only in the low 60s north and mid an upper 60s to mid 70s south due to the persistent clouds and rain chances. More thunderstorm threats will continue for the southern portion of the Mid Atlantic. As th powerful front that is providing the front running rain finally arrives Friday, numerous showers and thunderstorms could also become severe due to the strong dynamics available. The Severe Storms Prediction Center has outlined parts of the region for the potential of severe storms. See this link: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/cgi-bin/weather/hw3.cgi?forecast=probday&day=3&type=swo&alt=plot_prob&config=spcmaps,png&hwvusename=probday3_swo&spline=3

The weekend will not be as warm as last, but it looks seasonal temperature wise and it appears that the rain will clear or finish clearing by early Saturday!

All for now!


Tuesday, April 17, 2007

Warmth on the Horizon

It is starting to look like we will warm! Long range models are looking rather warm and drier for the next week time frame. Until then, we slowly climb out of the system that has been plaguing us with colder air the last 2 weeks slowly moves away. This starts with an Upper level low slowly moving over the region Thursday causing some rain showers. Temperatures stay in the 5 to 10 degree below normal range until then. Friday looks like the best day for sun to really return and I am hopeful that the weekend sees temp normal and maybe finishing above normal!

If all goes as it appears, next week will be above normal with temperatures and 80 or above could be possible. See the long range forecast from the NWS here: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/cgi-bin/weather/hw3.cgi?config=&forecast=pass&pass=outlook&outlook=1&type=temp

All for now!

One last note: My thoughts and prayers are with those affected by the awful situation at Virginia Tech.

Monday, April 16, 2007

Storm Winding Down

The storm has started weakening rapidly. This has diminished winds and the pull down of colder air. The snow forecast is cancelled and the Wind Adisory will end at Midnight.
 
All for now!
 

Snow Showers acrross Northern Regions looking likely!

After sunset, as precipitation continues to wrap back around the large low pressure, a mixture of rain and snow showers will turn to snow showers in the Northern areas (Northern Third of Virginia and Maryland). Some showers may be briefly heavy!
 
Stay alert to as snow showers will cause detereorating visibilities at times with high winds it could be rough driving!!
 
High Wind warning stays in effect until 2 am. I am expecting either a continuation or a wind Advisory until tomorrow morning.
 
Jimmy
 

Forecast Discussion: Windy Conditions will persist for the next 24 Hours. Today will be the worst part of it

the Nor'easter has really wound up strong as of this morning! The pressure is as low as a Hurricane and winds have gusted that high along the coast of New England! High Wind warnings or Advisories continue through today and there will be many power outages.

As the week progresses a slow climb in temperatures is expected with near to slightly Normal temps possible this weekend. This time of year always makes me nervous when a nice forecast arises for a weekend! We have had many weekend spoilers this spring and so it would not surprise me to see another! RIGHT NOW though it looks pretty decent!

So, after the next 24 hours of winds a somewhat sunny and slowly milder forecast arises.

All for now!

Sunday, April 15, 2007

Severe Weather and Heavy rains followed by high winds tomorrow!

Heavy rains will continue, but become less widespread. Southeastern VA is under a Tornado watch! Please stay tuned to local weather outlets for warnings ! Many flood warnings have been issued!

High winds will visit us tomorrow!

Friday, April 13, 2007

Nor'easter on tap for Sunday Into Monday. Heavy Rains, Winds, Mountain snow, coastal floods and very low tides!

The most important note here is that this is a big system and the rains and high winds will likely be the concern around most of the Mid Atlantic.
Highlights:

1. Areas from the Virginia border and southward could see severe thunderstorms with some tornadoes possible later Saturday and early Sunday.
2.Very heavy rain for the Piedmont of Virginia up the 95 corridor with areas receiving 1-3" in Lower Virginia up to 3"+ amounts in Northeastern Virginia and Eastern Maryland up through Pennsylvania
3. Winds will become more and more of an issue Sunday as the Low gets very strong just off the Delmarva area. This will mean power outages and some structural damage possible.
4. Snows will really start to impact the Mountains Later Sunday into Monday with areas seeing 4-8" with isolated higher elevations seeing 12"+. The other factor here will be the high winds (Wind Warning Criteria likely) causing almost blizzard like conditions and tree damage.
5. Coastal Flooding may be somewhat limited, but Bay side flooding is possible as the storm continues high NW winds for a long period of time. this could also mean very low tides with teh offshore winds!

This storm will bring a blizzard to Interior Northern Pennsylvania up through the Middle of New York and New England! Expect travel issues Sunday and Monday from grounded planes due to high winds and snow!

There is a slight possibility that colder air could eventually wrap into the system and cause a brief change to or mix with snow in the Piedmont of Virginia as well. NO accumulations expected.

All for now!

Thursday, April 12, 2007

Major Spring Storm to affect area with very heavy rains, high winds, coastal flooding, Snow?

A very serious storm system appears to about to take an aim on the Mid Atlantic. Starting tomorrow conditions will all start to come together for a action packed weekend of weather!

The threats:
1. Heavy Rains/Flooding: Would not be surprised to see 3 to 6" of RAIN especially east of I -95
2. Heavy winds: Friday will be breezy and cool. Saturday will see an increase in winds as the storm begins taking shape. Sunday and Monday will be raw and windy with Coastal flooding a real possibility
3. Coastal Flooding: A prolonged time of heavy rains and winds will cause beach erosion and and flooding.  Please stay tuned to  news and radio outlets for your region
4. Severe Storms: The Best threat here would be far Southeastern Virginia and North Carolina. It is a threat though that should be monitored!
5. SNOW? Yes, I would especially be concerned in teh higher elevations, but, if dynamics really become strong, and they very well could, a switch over to all snow could occur for the immediate piedmont up to the 95 corridor before ending!

This is a serious storm and many watches and warnings will be coming out the next few days. Please heed news/radio/and weather outlets for the potential dangerous conditions this weekend!

All for now!

 

Tuesday, April 10, 2007

Unrelenting Colder than Normal temps continue!

Summary: We had some great early warm weather a week ago, but things have turned much much colder (as we all know) and it does not really look to go back above normal for at least another week, if not a week and a half! In the meantime, a potent storm will ride up west of the Appalachian mountains. Heavy rain and some wind will likely accompany! This will be tomorrow afternoon into the evening. We dry out and look to go to a closer to normal (though still below) through the weekend with yet more rains possible both Saturday and Sunday. Next week doe not look as cold as this one started off being, but highs remaining between 5 and 10 degrees below normal does seem to be the way things will play out!

Not the fun Spring forecast by any means!

All for now!



Thursday, April 05, 2007

4/5 DC/MD/VA SNOW ALERT

First time in the last 4 years I am issuing a SNOW alert in April! CRAZY!!!!! This one is an odd one where areas east of 95 from Richmond up to Baltimore. The place that really could get some accumulations....YES.. Accumulations, would really be the eastern Shore! It sounds crazy but areas could see a dusting to as much as 3 inches! Areas along the I-95 would see a potential dusting. This would happen tomorrow night!

All for now!

 
Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid Atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3




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Tuesday, April 03, 2007

4/4/07 Severe weather possible tomorrow!

A strong cold front will come through tomorrow and turn us back to winter through the weekend! The strong front could easily bring strong winds and hail with it!

YES.. there is a possibility of snow showers Saturday! Do not be surprised in northern VA/ MD and higher elevations! Temps will be COLD Saturday!


 
Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid Atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3




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Monday, March 19, 2007

Weather WILL Warm... Yes I may have Spring Fever Friday!

As I told my boss today, this "Friday LOOKS GOOD" for golf as temps should make it into the 70s up north and even 80s in the south.

First a Pesky front this evening will come through and cause some showers. In New England this could be their last shot at a snow. Temperatures will again be almost the same as they were today for Tomorrow. Then Wednesday a little Dip below norms (5-10 degrees)... But do not fret as temps will jump above Normal Thursday and then Friday Saturday and Sunday *COULD* be beautiful..

FLIES in the ointment for Spring!  A beautiful weekend forecast this far out and this early in Spring always has me concerned. I mean, the forecast models look decent, but the Ocean's colder air and the dreaded Back Door Cold front always concerns me! This occurs when wind comes off the ocean and causes clouds and colder weather east of the mountains! I am not saying this will happen this weekend, but ALWAYS be on guard this time of year for it to mess up a sunny and warm forecast!

All for now!

Jimmy

Weather WILL Warm... Yes I may have Spring Fever Friday!

As I told my boss today, this "Friday LOOKS GOOD" for golf as temps should make it into the 70s up north and even 80s in the south.

First a Pesky front this evening will come through and cause some showers. In New England this could be their last shot at a snow. Temperatures will again be almost the same as they were today for Tomorrow. Then Wednesday a little Dip below norms (5-10 degrees)... But do not fret as temps will jump above Normal Thursday and then Friday Saturday and Sunday *COULD* be beautiful..

FLIES in the ointment for Spring!  A beautiful weekend forecast this far out and this early in Spring always has me concerned. I mean, the forecast models look decent, but the Ocean's colder air and the dreaded Back Door Cold front always concerns me! This occurs when wind comes off the ocean and causes clouds and colder weather east of the mountains! I am not saying this will happen this weekend, but ALWAYS be on guard this time of year for it to mess up a sunny and warm forecast!

All for now!

Jimmy

Sunday, March 18, 2007

Weather slowly turning to warmth

The weather should remain pretty chilly through mid week. A front will provide a chance of showers Monday. Milder and above normal temperatures by the end of the week!!
 
SUMMARY: Kind of wild March we are having. The total I had on Friday night was around and inch, and, for the most part my forecast was pretty valid. The higher elevations definitely had more than my original thoughts! We start with another front coming through Monday. temperatures will be about normal for the region. Wednesday appears to dip a little in temps and then a warm up as we head towards the weekend although showers could visit us next Saturday.
 
As we head into Spring Severe Weather Alerts should take over and no more winter weather alerts! The Spring will likely be active for the Middle part of the country and not as much in the east. If the current forecasted and developing La Nina pattern develops a dry summer may be on tap as time wears on!
 
All for now!
 
Jimmy
 

Weather slowly turning to warmth

The weather should remain pretty chilly through mid week. A front will provide a chance of showers Monday. Milder and above normal temperatures by the end of the week!!
 
SUMMARY: Kind of wild March we are having. The total I had on Friday night was around and inch, and, for the most part my forecast was pretty valid. The higher elevations definitely had more than my original thoughts! We start with another front coming through Monday. temperatures will be about normal for the region. Wednesday appears to dip a little in temps and then a warm up as we head towards the weekend although showers could visit us next Saturday.
 
As we head into Spring Severe Weather Alerts should take over and no more winter weather alerts! The Spring will likely be active for the Middle part of the country and not as much in the east. If the current forecasted and developing La Nina pattern develops a dry summer may be on tap as time wears on!
 
All for now!
 
Jimmy
 

Thursday, March 15, 2007

3/15 DC/MD/VA Accumulating Snows are Possible

Accumulating Snows are Possible
 
Accumulating Snows are possible in Areas West of Washington DC up to Baltimore tomorrow night. Areas could see 1-4" with higher totals in the higher elevations. 
 
This will come after a very heavy rainfall and warm ground temperatures should offset some of the total potentials!
 
This could change, but it may actually become a snowier forecast than a less snowy one!
 
All for now!
 
 
Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3



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Tuesday, March 06, 2007

WInter Weather Alert: 1-3" more likely

After reviewing forecasting models this morning I have lowered my totals to a general 1-3" in the area immediate and just to the west and north of the Washington DC, to Baltimore Maryland line. Some areas may see up to 4", but the general rule will be 1-2 inches with isolated 3 inch amounts. It still will be snowing during the morning commute and the ground has really cooled due to temps in the teens and lower 20s last night. Trace amount north of Charlottesville to Fredericksburg up to the DC metro area
 
Stay tuned!

 
Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3



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Monday, March 05, 2007

Winter Weather Alert! Winter is not over! 2-4" snows Possible Wednesday!

A moderate snow of 2-4 inches is possible accross Maryland and Far Northern Virginia on Wednesday! 1-3" is possible North of Fredericksburg up to Washington DC. In th DC area 2-4" is possible and maybe up to 3-5" for Maryland. Snow will fall during the Wednesday Morning commute!
 
Things could change so stay tuned!
 
I thought winter was about done too! Go figure!

 
Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid Atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3



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Saturday, March 03, 2007


COLDER WEATHER WILL SLOWLY GIVE WAY TO A WARMER ZONAL PATTERN. THIS WILL BE IT FOR WINTER 2006 - 2007

Summary: So.. this is how it ends. Many in Central Virginia and eastward never really had a snow this year.. Northern VA finished below normal, but had some late action that helped it not be so bad. Colder start to the week will end milder. This time, as things get warmer the truly cold air retreats and the pattern goes through a major shift! 60s and some 70s could visit as soon as next weekend in teh south. 50s to lower 60s in the north!

http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

Did You Know? I send this update out semi regularly via email! To get it send and email to midatlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I also send a Severe Weather Alert when we need it. To get it mid-atlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I am considering a tropical only list as well.

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Forecast text and graphics from National Weather Service. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.

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