Cool day - some showers - Saturday Rain -More seasonable through the weekend

Cool air aloft will aid in producing showers today that are a result of warming sunshine and an upper level disturbance. Nothing too long and, if you get a shower, the temps will cool rapidly and then likely rebound. Temps generally in the 60s north and low 70s south. Coldest night so fr this season expected tonight. Mountain regions west of the Blue Ridge could see their first frost. Temps in the 30s out there, while low and mid 40s for many, some southern and coastal regions will see lower 50s.

On more cool day with highs again 60s to around 70 Thursday.

Temps warm to the mid and upper 70s Friday with increasing clouds in the afternoon. Friday night and Saturday look wet, maybe a few thunderstorms as well. Temps about the same Saturday and even into early next week as drying conditions set in Sunday and last until at least Tuesday.

Tropics still quiet for now and September was extremely quiet! There are hints in models that conditions may present some chances for a storm forming next week.

All for now.

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Cool day- breezy - Cool air lasts through Friday - Wet Saturday

Very cool this morning with lows in the 50s. Temps will be in the upper 60s and lower 70s today. Breezy with winds gusting into the 30s this afternoon.
Temps will be about 5 degrees cooler tomorrow with highs in the mid and upper 60s at best. Night time lows will be in the 30s in the mountains and 40s for most everyone else. Temps will get a bit warmer Thursday and be similar to today and then 70s Friday. A front and low pressure will then move through the area Saturday and bring more rain to the region for Saturday.

Tropics remain quiet for now but signals are there for another potential system some time next week.

All for now

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Cooler air on the way - breezy!

Nice and cool autumn morning! Highs today will reach the lower and
middle 80s south and around 80 north. A cold front will also pass
through and cause scattered showers and storms. Some storms could have
gusty winds. Temps will then really cool down. Highs in the north will
be 65 to 70 through Friday and temps in the south will be 70 to 75.
Lows will be cool! Low to mid 40s north tonight and mid and upper 40s
the rest of the week. 50 to 55 for the south. Things look dry after
today for the rest of the week.

Of note, today and tomorrow will ber very breezy!

All for now.

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Rain ends for a day - more tomorrow and then dry the rest of the week

Rain has ended and clearing should commence and today will end sunny with highs in the 70s and lower 80s.

Tomorrow a front will come through and some showers and maybe some thunderstorms. Temps will again be in the 70s and low and mid 80s.

Cooler air will come in after the front and send temps down about 5 to degrees and much cooler air will come tomorrow.

Drier conditions will continue through the rest of the week.

Temps will continue to be in the upper 60s and the mid 70s.

Tropics have calmed again and nothing on the horizon.

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All for  now!

Heavy rains tonight - Gradual Clearing tomorrow - especially west - more rains Monday - Some thoughts on winter!

Rains have been heavy which is bad for SW VA and Western NC as some flooding has kicked up again. Rains will start to decrease, but will be slow to do some. Some rains will continue to be heavy at times for the eastern region in the morning and some thunderstorms will also be possible east of I-95.

Monday, a front will come through and drop temps from the 70s North and Low to mid 80s south (which we will see tomorrow and the next day) to just 60s north and low and mid 70s south. The Upper 60s and low to mid 70s should then persist with drier days through Friday!

What of winter?
I said I would start to look at factors that could help predict the upcoming winter and the first is too early to tell. The snow pack.. We will need to watch this up until about Thanksgiving before I get a sense of the possible tell tale on the snow and cold for the region.

As of now, the forecasts I have seen are calling for a warmer than normal winter and below normal snow. I think it is a bit early to make the call but there are some hints that I am noticing on why. The biggest is the lack of a moderate El Nino which looked like it may make its presence known.. predictions have slackened on it so that too is something to note.

Other things that will help include SSTs and also the patterns we see this fall. I have been a bit encouraged by seeing the precip and some cold intrusions along the Eastern seaboard (being the snow lover I am) but nothing is totally there on a pattern yet.

All for now!!

Quite a bit of rain this morning - cooler 60s and low 70s - some clearing then more rain tomorrow

A front has progressed through a lot of the area and is along the VA/NC border this morning. A plume of moisture overrode the front and resulted in widespread showers throughout the state of VA. These should decrease as the day goes on due to drier air works into the region from the north. An organized area of Low pressure will come through the region tomorrow and bring a good soaking rain, especially across central VA and NC. Areas could see 1 to 2 inches of rain from the storm.

The Low lifts away Sunday so things will slowly dry out until another system pushes through Monday afternoon with a few more showers. Drier weather will then return.

Temps will likely be cooler than first thought with 60s to near 70 north, in the low and mid 70s south.

Tomorrow will be very cool with 60s (low 60s north around 70 south) tomorrow.

Temps will be in the 70s Sunday and Monday and a little cooler (upper 60s to lower 70s) Tuesday. A warmer Wednesday with highs back in the mid and upper 70s.

 

Warm day ahead of fall weekend

Tomorrow will see clouds increasing again but temps remaining in the
70s for most. Rain chances will be on the increase over time from west
and the south. Rain will be present in WV and NC and SW VA. It will
eventually over spread the whole region Saturday into Sunday.

Cool 60s to low 70s Saturday should warm again starting Sunday and
early next week.

All for now!

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HAPPY FALL everyone

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Another nice day for Many - SW VA and NC sit in clouds/showers

It is going to be pretty nice for most of VA today, but clouds will be on the increase in clouds and SW VA and Western NC is seeing showers.
Clouds continue to increase area wide and showers will be slowly increasing in coverage tomorrow. Shower chances then stick around all week even a chance of some Thunder Wednesday and Thursday. Highs will actually warm towards middle week and be around 80 or even the lower 80s.

Of note, a system in the middle of the Atlantic does have some organization and could form into a tropical system the next several days.

All for now.

Nice weather for Virginia, the south is staying cloudy! More rain chances return Monday

Today began a clearing for most of Virginia and down to the North Carolina border. North Carolina will stay cloudy with rain chances straight through the weekend and into next week. Temps will be in the 70s and even some 60s where clouds are thick and rain occurs.

There is now something to watch in the Atlantic again as a tropical wave becomes a bit better organized.

Not a lot more to say! I am working on some additional updates to the web site this weekend and will keep you updated.

All for now!

Light rain and drizzle next 48 hours - Weekend looking better for Virginia!

70s with increased chances of rain through the day. After a concern of a locking wet period we now look like Northern regions could just experience rain today, tomorrow and part of Friday but the trend is now there for a dry yet cooler weekend for most of Virginia.  So we should see showers today, especially in the north and more widespread this afternoon, tonight, and tomorrow. Friday should see a decrease in coverage and a less chance of rain in the north, but areas further south and into North Carolina could end up with rain showers straight through the weekend and into early next week.

The weekend looks cool with highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s. More widespread rain chances should increase again Monday.

Jimmy

A day more of sun with 80s - rain on the way

Another beautiful day today before we get a "Back door"cold front to slide off the ocean and over the area which will knock the warm 80s today to the 70s tomorrow with rain chances increasing throughout the day Wednesday and becoming likely Tomorrow night and Thursday. The rain chances will diminish some Friday and more on Saturday which could mean a drier end of the weekend.Temps will stay in the 70s.

The tropics look benign now though some forecast models hint at possible activity in the next 3 to 4 days.

Nice warm 2 days - rain to return

The weather will be very nice today and tomorrow! Mid 80s will be the
rule. Unfortunately a "back door" cold front will move into the area
tomorrow night and will bring cooler 70s with rain chances the rest of
the week, even Saturday at this point!

Tropics have settled down as Fred showed a burst of activity yesterday
that has died out.

Not much more to report for a Monday!

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Nice day - Now Rain possible Wednesday- and beyond??

Nice seasonal 80s today as we head into a week of less clouds and nicer weather after the pesky low has finally departed. The next chance of precip will be Wednesday as yet another similar situation starts Wednesday due to a High over the Northeast and a potential interaction of a cut off low. The end of the week is an unwritten story due to the uncertainty of the ways that the systems will affect the area. I am not optimistic.So, enjoy the warmer days before we may enter another cloudy and cool period.

All for now!
 
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Nicer weather on the way! Many saw it today! More tomorrow!

The weather stayed cool, breezy in the north today, and even showery in Maryland. Temps stay in the 60s and lower 70s. Many other areas broke into sunshine and much nice temperatures. This better weather should overspread the whole area and it will be nice until Friday when rain could return.

Of note, Fred has dissipated and the tropics are now calm again.

This last slow moving Nor'easter was a pain to deal with. I thought it would rain many days in Northern Virginia and it did not. Rain did hit the eastern shore and the Outer banks and Eastern North Carolina had a ton of rain as well. I am sorry to those in that region as this was significant!

All for now!

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Cloudy and cool for areas of Northern VA and MD - Clearing south

Where clouds persist today temps will only be around 70 to 75. If the sun is out, expect low 80s in your area. 80 to 85 degrees looks likely tomorrow and a drying trend with temps in the 80 to 85 degrees range. The drying looks to stay most of the week.

All for now!

Cool and Wet North and Eastern areas - nice west and south

Quite a bit of rain falling along the coast and in Northern Virginia and Maryland. This will continue today and slowly subside over the next 24 hours becoming less later today. I do suspect some local flooding is occurring along the Delmarva and that may be an issue.

The Low slowly departs on Saturday and will leave drier air finally and a warmer.

Areas not seeing rain, will likely see sun today and highs around 80 (Along Mountains and Southern areas). Cool 60s for others.

A dry an seasonal forecast for the early part of the week.

All for now.
 

Wet forecast will subside Saturday! Fred could be a major Hurricane soon

Cool and damp! Highs 70s to around 80 in some places. Rain chances will not be great until later today, tonight, and tomorrow.
This is a bit tricky of a forecast. Mountain areas up to I-95 will not see a great amount of rain. The Eastern shore and coastal regions could see very heavy rains especially later today and tomorrow.Thunder on the coast could very easily be possible. The Easterly flow will increase over the next 24 hours. Areas to the west of the Low off the coast will see a good chance of rain and some heavy later today. As the Low moves westward and the High in New England strengthens more rains are forecast to push west. Rains in Northern VA and Maryland could get heavy tomorrow as well.

I would suspect flood watches o\along the coast and possible further inland tomorrow.

The system will slowly lift out and slow drying will occur Starting Friday and finally truly arriving Saturday.

Fred is up to 105 mile per hour winds. Looks like he will head to sea. All for now!
 

Fred was born last night - Rainy day - Cool

Highs will be in the 70s today with quite a bit of showers.All this is due to the low coming up the East Coast and High pressure to the North East spreading rains inland. Showery weather will persist through Thursday and even into Friday. Today will be more uniform rains east of the mountains and somewhat heavy on the coast. Today will be the best chance of rain for the week as the low off the east coast will shift Northeastward and more out to sea. Persistent easterly winds will not let the chance of showers stop however all week!

Fred was named late last night and is packing winds at 50 mph. He has re-formed further south than his original thought to be center but he will likely curve into colder waters in the next few days. He could easily be at Hurricane strength by tonight or tomorrow morning.

All for now!

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London weather - Fred looking more likely

Rain chances will continue to increase area wide, but especially along the coastal plain east of I-95. This is in response to a trough to the west and a slow moving low off the Carolina coast. Rain chances will be somewhat less after today and tonight, but persist all week. Temps will pretty much be in the mid 70s to some low 80s.

The Tropical disturbance off the African coast has been upgraded to likely to develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 48 hours. He still looks very healthy. The system will likely curve north as all models show and be a "Fish Storm" as they are referred as.

All for now!