09/01/2004 Thoughts on Frances

First things first. I continue to revamp www.midatlanticweather.com .. It is becoming a little overwhelming with links so soon you will see a new navigation menu! Also, the iFraming and linking should get better! Please check it out! Next.. Where will Frances go... A lot of interest in this storm due to its size and intensity. This storm is huge! Much bigger than Charley or Andrew in Areal coverage.. She is on the size of Floyd or Hugo. This one will devastate a larger portion of Florida than Charley so point blank.. the East coast of Florida needs to board up and get ready to head for higher ground! I have been asked where and why I think the storm will land where I think it will! 1. The Bermuda High is strong. the National Hurricane Center keeps noting that Frances is moving around the High and that it will weaken. If it weakens at all, Northern Florida is in for it! But now, I think Frances will likely hit Between Miami and Vero Beach (seriously thinking at about Ft. Lauderdale to West Palm Beach).. Don't take my word for it, just wanted to say it! Please stay on guarded watch ALL of FL EAST COAST! Note.. a large portion of Florida's east coast will likely see a Hurricane watch at 11:00 PM EDT 2. I do not see s slowing mechanism in front of Frances. that slowing is vital for a more northerly turn. 3. She is still far South, so I just keep having a hard time with the turn. Long term.. if she hits Southern FL I am betting she re-emerges in the Gulf.. if so, Alabama, Mississippi, and the Florida Panhandle seem the best threat for another landfall. She will not be in the "Glory" she is now, but COULD re strengthen and wow, the amount of money for her will be an unbelievable (Right now insurance companies already predict close to 20 billion dollars in losses! Remember, Charley and Andrew were smaller so the widespread damage will be amazing!) Will she affect us? Hard to say. I feel she may go west of the Appalachians, and though we could see some storms on Monday, we may not get too much.... I am just pondering, but will try and pin down more later. All for now! ===== Jimmy Chaplin of Mid Atlantic Weather. http://www.midatlanticweather.com * Get the Washington DC Weatherbook! Beautiful photos, great weather history! http://www.weatherbook.com *Live near Purcellville in Loudoun, VA? Need catering?Want great deli food and ICE CREAM?Call on my good friend Ian at Sweet T's! New Store just opened! http://www.sweetts.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New and Improved Yahoo! Mail - 100MB free storage! http://promotions.yahoo.com/new_mail