Wednesday, February 16, 2005

2/16 DC/MD/VA Weather Outlook

Changes to colder today, but long term we may be cool, but snow threats are seriously diminished!

Summary:

Thunderstorms possible this afternoon as we have a transition day to a cooler pattern. Cooler is not colder and the early signs of possible winter weather have really faded for me the last 36 hours. Looks like the features that would lock a cold and snowy pattern in over us were just model output! A cold rain, with some snow in the north, is possible Sunday Night into Monday, but the huge winter storm threat, for now, has gone! As a matter of fact, the scenario for the rest of the month has really shifted so chances of a snowstorm of significant size are pretty much out of the picture, so now it is time to look for signs of spring. One noted sign is the development of a heat ridge off the US east coast. Another is the possible rumble of thunder this afternoon as the front comes through.

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Forecast:

Today: SW: 60-70 SE: 60-70 N: 50-60

Front will cross the region with even the chances of a thunderstorm. Temps should fall and could even see wet snow in the system in the higher elevations tonight.

Thursday: SW: 40-50 SE: 40-50 N: 40-50

Expecting some breezy conditions with much cooler temperatures.

Friday: SW: 40-50 SE: 40-50 N: 35-45

Cold

Saturday: SW: 40-50 SE: 40-50 N: 40-50

Cool. Increasing cloudiness.

Sunday: SW: 40-50 SE: 40-50 N: 35-45

Cold. Precipitation (Snow/Rain/Sleet something) possible. Rain more likely in the south, mix or even snow north. Likely not arriving until Night Time hours

Monday: SW: 40-50 SE: 40-50 N: 35-45

Cold. Rain and precipitation (Snow/Rain/Sleet something) changing to rain and drizzle by afternoon.

Tuesday: SW: 40-50 SE: 40-50 N: 40-50

Cool with Partly Cloudy Skies

Long Term:

There is another system to watch next week, though its outcome is likely rain. I will continue to monitor conditions, but the current trend favors less cold over time.

All for Now!

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