3/3 DC/MD/VA Weather Outlook

Monday’s storm has combined with the upper Midwest low and carved out a blocking cold pattern for the Northeast. A clipper system will affect us this weekend, a rain (maybe some mix) system Monday/Tuesday and then we have another chance of a more significant winter system next Thursday/Friday

Summary:

Average highs are around 50 for most of us now, and we will not be there for the next 7-10 days! The new blocking cold vortex that formed from our Monday System and the Midwest low will lock us into a northwesterly flow, bring cold, but a quick flow pattern. It is that reason that I am not thinking we will see a big snow storm until a relaxing of the block occurs point. I have busted bad in so many areas this year, but the thoughts in my winter weather outlook were that we would be at or slightly below normal on snow. If you looked at Virginia you would be shocked by some odd phenomena! First the far Southeast had a HUGE snowstorm the day after Christmas which knocked them above climatological normals on snow. The Southwestern part of the state was helped greatly by this recent storm. Enough snows have fallen in Northern Virginia and Maryland to bring them to striking range for normal. BUT.. the central part of the state is very much lacking snow.

The next system for us to deal with will be a fast moving clipper this Saturday. Some data suggests there could be some light to moderate snows in the North if this occurs at night, and mainly out west in the higher elevations. I think we will see some light snow in the north, not much, if any sticking, and cold winds Saturday, with showers possibly mixed with snow in most areas. Monday into Tuesday another system affects the region and this looks warm (and even possibly seasonal) enough for rain, but re enforces the cold so that we go back below normal. There is asomething else being hinted at for next Thursday to Friday that may give some of the area a good shot at wintry weather. This time of year is so hard to create snow, but definitely possible! After this storm exits, a very cold outbreak will occur and, compared top the normal temperatures for this time of the year, it will be the coldest outbreak of the year. As that cold pattern breaks somewhere down the line another storm with some winter weather may still be possible. So an active end to the winter where storms could bump many areas to normal snowfall.

Thanks to all who posted to the Forum. Our community has grown to 10 members. Great observations and feedback by many during this last storm. Please join those who have so we can get good feedback and regional coverage. http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb/

Forecast:

Today: SW: 35-45 SE: 35-45 N: 30-40

Contiued breezy early and cold

Friday: SW: 45-55 SE: 45-55 N: 40-50

Partly Cloudy

Saturday: SW: 50-60 SE: 50-60 N: 35-45

Some snow in the North and the Mountains. Some rain/snow mixed in the morning other parts with showers possible. Breezy

Sunday: SW: 55-65 SE: 55-65 N: 45-55

Milder and partly cloudy

Monday: SW: 60-70 SE: 60-70 N: 50-60

Milder and partly cloudy

Tuesday: SW: 50-60 SE: 50-60 N: 45-55

Rain possible. Slight chance that the precip may start off mixed in the mountains.

Wednesday: SW: 40-50 SE: 40-50 N: 30-40

Clearing and colder

Long Term:

As noted above, there is a chance of a rain and snow/winter storm next Thursday and/or Friday. I will keep a watch!

All for now!