Saturday, March 05, 2005

3/5 DC/MD/VA Weather Outlook

The best winter pattern I have seen in years is about to set up. Potential for any system to become a more important system than forecast. Today we have convective precipitation that will end up being snow this afternoon! Nothing too much in accumulation, but, yes, there could be some thunder snows out there! The next chance of Precip Monday night and Tuesday may end as snow but first, a serious warm up expected Sunday and Monday!

Summary:

This is a very busy pattern. Multiple systems rotating around a southward displaced Polar Vortex. This will likely yield a storm at some point, but pinpointing the systems or systems tat will do this may prove difficult. Today, as precip forms it will be convective in nature which could mean thundersnows in a few locations. Warmer conditions tomorrow and then Monday. Monday’s highs could hit the mid 60s north and mid 70s south! Then a cold front comes through Monday night and Tuesday with a good shot of rain that may end as some snow. Colder pattern in place and a Southern Storm will likely affect the area and has the chance to spread heavy precip to the region which could easily be snow, especially North and western portions of the region. We will turn even colder and another storm could affect the region Saturday with yet more snow! Needless to say this will be an incredibly busy week! The forecast will likely be adjusted almost daily it may look different!

Today: SW:45-55 SE:45-55 N: 35-45

Scattered showers and some snow showers, with more widespread snow showers in the north. Some could be quite heavy.

Sunday: SW: 50-60 SE: 50-60 N: 45-55

Pretty nice day with close to climatological norms on temperatures

Monday: SW: 65-75 SE: 65-75 N: 55-65

Very nice day with warmer temperatures. Increasing clouds with a chance of rain that night.

Tuesday: SW: 45-55 SE: 45-55 N: 40-50 (temps could fall)

Rain possibly changing to snow especially in the north.

Wednesday: SW: 40-50 SE: 40-50 N: 35-45

Cool with partly cloudy skies. Some increase in clouds late in the day possible

Thursday: SW: 35-45 SE: 35-45 N: 30-40

Rain, Snow, and a mix possible. Snow may be heavy where it falls

Friday: SW: 30-40 SE: 30-40 N: 25-35

Precipitation ending and cold.

Long Term:

This pattern could end up producing another winter storm next weekend. It is very active and I expect lot of variability!

All for now!

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