Cold start - milder day - Mild weekend with showers - seasonal early next week

After a very cold start we will have a much milder day with highs in the low to mid 50s possible. No winds will make it feel much warmer after the cold spell we just came out of.

Tomorrow again will see mild 50s through the region and even a few 60 degree temps cannot be ruled out. The same will go true Saturday as highs will be even milder in the mid 50s to mid 60s for some. Clouds and a chance of rain will also come in to the picture later Saturday into Sunday.

Just a note that a wave of low pressure could form on the front that moves through Sunday. This could enhance rainfall and also provide an opportunity for rain to change to snow especially up north. This is just a possibility at this point and not quite the forecast.

Next week we will see temps seasonal to slightly below. Towards the end of the week we may have a system to watch for potential wintry mix.

All for now!

Quick note about Mid Atlantic Weather:
1. I reached 200,000 visitors to the site since inception in 2002.
2. I have many links to fix, update, remove
3. I will mainly have my site information on there soon. The rest of the links will be removed or updated.

Thanks for your visits these last 8 years!

Just a long term note

It really does appear that a much colder pattern will again establish itself mid January! This is flying in the face of my ideas of a milder month!

Also - a threat for wintry weather should also occur sometime between the 3rd and the 7th. This may be a bigger threat in PA than VA and MD.

All for now!

Quick updates

Forecast on target for 40stoday. Low 50s to near 60 tomorrow. And Mid 50s to low 60s possible Friday and Saturday. Rain chances increase Saturday late into Sunday and more 40s in line for early next week. Very long term a return to colder air does look likely with a return to a stormy pattern.

Sorry for the quick update!

All for now.

Much warmer today than thought

Trends will continue this week. Again, a peek in the long term is showing seasonal temps after a warm up Friday and Saturday. The Jan 7th event is looking more like a cold rain, but it is VERY far off as of now! So we will see!

More later!

Cold air to take a break - showers in the forecast - Long Term

We have another breezy and cold day today with highs pretty much in the 30s and breezy winds continuing. Winds will subside and the temps for the week will slowly get warmer. highs will be in the 40 to 50 degree range by Thursday and mid 40s to mid 50s for New Year's eve. New Years day could see highs in the 50s to near 60 for parts of the area. Cooler air will come back early next week, but not the cold pattern that we have had, just seasonal temps!

As far as a wintry threat, there could be something to watch around the 7th of January. Cooler temps could return towards the middle of the month, but climatology says that a La Nina could mean a milder January. It is hard to know for certain at this point. My winter outlook was to have a milder January and February.

All for now!

The storm that could not hit Northern VA, DC, Central MD, and South Central PA. This storm blanketed all major I-95 cities with at least some snow from Georgia to Maine! It missed a small area! Where? Check the image!

You have to admit, that is an odd looking map! Southeastern PA did get some more so the whole is even smaller. What a storm it has been! The "Boxing Day Blizzard" will be a historical storm as totals quickly mounted to upwards of 2 feet in many places in less than 15 hours! That is impressive. Winds gusting to near 70 MPH! For a while the Mid Atlantic looked like it MAY be in for the storm but models flipped back and forth with this region as they began to lock on the Northeast as the place to truly unleash its' fury! 

What is left for the Mid Atlantic? Wind now. But not to downplay that this was a significant and historic storm for parts of VA, NC, SC, and GA as well. SE VA ended up with as much as 14 inches of snow and Blizzard conditions for the Eastern Shore. It was a great system! 

Why couldn't the models figure this out so that Meteorologists were playing flip flopping craziness as the models would shift east and then back west. This was not fun for anyone! ME TOO! And, as the map shows, I just felt that the Northern VA, MD, and PA areas WOULD end up with snow. Ironically, the models hinted that this would not be the case. So I was wrong. 

Where do we go from here. A cold 36 hours to go and then a slow, and then dramatic mild up for this weekend as temps soar into the 50s and even a few 60s maybe. Rain showers are in the forecast for the weekend! LONG term we should see temps come back down and we may see some more wintry threats in early 2011 - that first week in fact could pose 2 threats!

All for now!

Terrible Forecast by me!

Storm was east of I-95  from Richmond to Philadelphia - Snow will be 1-2 inches 10 miles either side of 95 from Fredericksburg to Baltimore. Further east and along the Eastern Shore - 4 to 8" with some up to 10 and 12"

The storm will start to back fill in the Northern VA, DC, and Baltimore areas and a strip of another 1- 3" area may develop somewhere 20 miles west of the DC Metro area - not certain but I am seeing this start to occur.

Last Friday I had a hunch this would be the case - I should have been much more cautious!

Eastern PA, NJ, NY, CT, and Eastern ME will all see a serious storm!

Sorry again. My lack of updates were due to family obligations. I am really sorry for the false alarms! I will be MUCH more cautious next time!

All for now!

Jimmy

Snow occurring, but less than thought and further east

At this point it looks further east, but it still is developing. 1 to 3 inches already in SE VA. It has been struggling to build north and west.

I would lower totals from earlier by 2 to 4 inches in the west and along I-95, especially north of I-95.

All for now.

A few Select Location First Guesses!

Snow today will be light and not the main event. Snow will increase in intensity as the night goes on. With winds, Blizzard conditions could be met east of I-95 and maybe west!

All initial thoughts - The models are trending bigger and bigger - things are getting interesting.

Baltimore - 11"
Dulles - 8"
DC - 9"
Charlottesville - 7"
Richmond - 12"
Norfolk - 11"
Newport News - 13" Blizzard possible
Emporia - 11"
Eastern Shore - 14" Blizzard possible
DE - 14 - 18" Blizzard possible

More to come - If models continue to trend these will be way under done!

All for now!

SNOW ALERT!

Not enough time to get into details. Area likely to see a moderate to heavy snow, especially east of I-95!

Watches up for many!

More later!

Snow threat still minimal

There was bad data in the models this morning that tainted the output. I will keep watching. Not expecting much of anything north of Roanoke to Richmond to Wallops Island. Light snow below this. Eastern VA, Eastern NC, Interior SC and even GA could see the dusting to 2 inches in spots.

All for now!

OF Course noon models show possible significant snow again for parts of region!

Stay tuned! Updates later this afternoon!

Snow alert! Southern Half of VA, Most of NC, Interior SC, GA!

The storm system that was originally looking like a huge hit for the region will still output some snow for parts of the area. The southern 2/3rds of VA will likely see a period of snow with some accumulations possible. As of now I am thinking 1 to 2 inches with areas seeing 3 inches. SW VA in higher elevations may see 2 to 4". The far eastern part of NC and VA may also see some enhanced snow due to some energizing of the system as it hits the ocean.

Light Snow seems possible for SC and GA as well with some 1 to 2" totals!

Still a lot to watch as a lot of energy is trying to get itself together over the region. The outcome could be snow showers for the Northern Third of VA and MD.

NC may really see some 2 to 4" snows based on the energy. This is especially true for eastern NC.

All for now!

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Snow still looks possible, not major

There will be a system and there will be snow in the area. Snow looks heavier along the coast.

This is subject to change and it could come back as a bigger snow.

Still a lot to watch.

All for now!

Again - Snow threat decreases - One more model later today - Update around 3pm

I should learn in a La Nina weather pattern year to be very cautious with storm phasing. The truth is, the phasing is very hard to accomplish. It also means a high amount of uncertainty up to the event.

Jimmy

MAJOR snow threat reduced!

Models backed off on Major snow last night. Before changing the areas
for heavier snow I will await noon model updates.

--
Sent from my mobile device

SNOW STORM POTENTIAL IS HIGH

A continued look at the models shows the potential for a SERIOUS snow storm that would blanket the interior GA, Interior SC, Most of NC, VA, MD, Eastern PA, NJ, and Eastern New England! This is a HUGE system with the possibility of historic output of snow. Exact track is difficult to pin down, but it is time to prepare alternate travel plans and get some extra Turkey and Stuffing ready!

At this point I would bet on a significant snow storm that could turn into a Blizzard for Eastern VA, Eastern MD, and Eastern NC. That is right! A Blizzard for the Mid Atlantic!

The impacts for the southern areas will begin Saturday, and snow will reach the Mid Atlantic Late Saturday or overnight Saturday into Sunday.

Much more will be figured out in the next 24 Hours as the storm system that will cause the snow storm has not even come on shore on the west coast. That will make a huge difference.

What that does mean is - we STILL may see shifts in the forecast track and that could actually mean more snow or less. Also, the intensity of the system could be different than what I am seeing now!

All for now!

HISTORIC CHRISTMAS SNOW LOOKING MORE LIKELY

I am giving a heads up that the Christmas snow storm will be a likely event. I am not certain of all the details but the potential does exist for parts of the region to see in excess of 8" of snow and some could see a foot or more if some of the models come out to be true. There is also a possibility that blizzard conditions could stretch from parts of Maryland to New York. This could also be a long stretch of snow lasting from Saturday afternoon until early Monday morning.

A LOT of details still need to be considered and we are just dealing with forecast models at this point so the actual event could be drastically different (more or less snow could occur!)

I will update tomorrow morning on the latest!

All for now!

Jimmy

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Continued Cold - Snow chances are increasing for this weekend!

As we continue in a cold pattern we will see a pretty sunny week. A clipper will come through the region tomorrow and could touch off some flurries in the area. Late this week there appears to be the best chance of snow so far this winter. I believe that there will be snow. I am starting to see the possibility of a major system. I do not want to bite off on it yet, but we need to be prepared.

Just a heads up for longer term. Temps may moderate a little but more chances of snow could also exist. I suspect that January will end up milder than normal.

All for now.

Snow on the way. I am unable to be thorough due to medical issues in my family.

--
Sent from my mobile device

Quick Morning Update

A few pockets of freezing rain did occur. Be careful! Rain showers will persist today. Snow will then pick up tonight in the mountains and then snow showers could hit the area through tomorrow morning rush. I am concerned about local snow issues tomorrow morning. Do not be surprised to see some snow showers.

VERY COLD winds and air Monday and Tuesday. Snow chances return by Thursday for Northern NC and Southern 2/3rds of VA.

Going to be an interesting week!

All for now!

Very busy next 36 hours with a variety of prec

The situation is still a little unsettled. There are pockets of freezing temps that will be around overnight. These pockets will see some freezing rain. Areas along and west of the mountains will see a variety of precip. Sleet, freezing rain and snow. The entire area will see rain tomorrow morning with a mix and change to snow coming back quickly as the arctic front moves eastward. Eventually areas east of the mountains could see a period of snow tomorrow evening. A trace to an inch may occur east of the mountains up to the I-95 corridor. Usually dry air really starts to dry up any post frontal precipitation so this should be a rather brief period of precip.

We have a cold week ahead, especially early. Areas will be the 20s and lower 30s with high winds with low wind chills. Areas will see below zero wind chills overnight Monday into Tuesday. The temps will relax a bit on Wednesday and Thursday. We will need to watch a southern system which could throw enough moisture this way for a wintery mix and snow event. We will have to watch this closely. This would be significant.

All for now! Possible alerts as we get more reading on the system for the next 36 hours.

Jimmy

Milder few days - Rain - Then Arctic blast - LONG TERM???

We will reach the low and mid 40s today and mid and upper 40s tomorrow in areas east of the mountains. Highs will be in the 40s Sunday as rain falls across the region. Saturday night, as the precip begins, pockets of areas could be at the freezing mark so some freezing rain is possible. As Sunday progresses an arctic front will pass through and rain will change to snow in the mountains and even east of the mountains later in the day. Sunday night could have some snow showers and actually may have some slick travel as rapid freezing may occur. Blustery and cold repeat of last week will occur Monday through Wednesday, but this time temps will be about 10 degrees colder. Tuesday morning wind chills will likely be single digits and below zero! Winds subside, but chilly conditions remain.

Long term? Well, I am no meteorologist, but I read a lot from them. The Pattern Christmas week COULD lead to a white Christmas! YES, could! Ironically, a few other changes and we could reverse the pattern we are in and be mild! So we have 2 different looking long term possibilities. As of now, I am favoring the possibility of a snow storm that will make it a white one for Christmas time. But it is WAY early!

All for now!

Just a quick Update - Rain Sunday - Sharp cool down to follow

I just wanted to state that I am now settled that Sunday will be a rain event. I am now trying to determine how much. I suspect a fairly good period of rain and then the front will come through. Temps will start to crash and it is possible a period of Post Frontal snow could occur, but I would suspect it to be brief.

Temps will be darn cold through Wednesday with highs in the 20s for the most part and very windy conditions. Brutal.

If something changes I will let you know!

It is cold - milder weekend with rain on the way.

Temps will remain cold and winds will remain strong through tomorrow. Highs will be in the 30s area wide and wind chills in the teens and 20s. We will stay cold tomorrow and Thursday with highs in the 30s. Highs warm to the 40s Friday through Sunday setting the stage for a rain storm, not winter storm, Sunday. That system may still have a quick change to snow at the end as much colder air filters in behind it. Monday's temps will be the low to mid 30s and Tuesday we will likely see the coldest temps of the season so far.

The Lake effect snows still continue in full effect and appear that they will start to subside tomorrow morning. Skiers will continue to rejoice with tons of snow pack. The Lake Effect will again be prolific starting Sunday night next week and at least through Tuesday.


All for now!

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December 6th Outlook Podcast available

Let me know what you think!

http://midatlanticweather.net/

WINDY, Dry and cold - possible storm next weekend!

Quite the impressive swath of snow for SW VA and west NC. Some of the higher elevations picked up 5 and 6 inches of snow! Check out Snow Totals at http://forum.midatlanticweather.com/index.php?topic=1721.0

That storm will explode off the east coast and the curl up to Maine. That storm will make it WINDY the through Tuesday. Temps will also stay very cold so wind chills at night will be very cold!

Temps all week now look colder. Highs around 40 in the south and 30s in the north and west.

Next weekend is showing some potential for a storm, but the track is going to make it tough. We may see a start as wintry weather and a changeover, all wintry weather, an icy situation. My thoughts at this point is that we have to watch this all week. Last week we had a storm forecasted that did happen but was smaller than first forecasted. I suspect a storm will form, and track will bring us a mix and then rain.

Stay warm!

All for now!

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Quite a bit of snow falling!

A lot of advisories and even winter storm warnings in higher elevations of SW VA. 1 to inches of snow seems probable along the NC/VA border and up to an inch all the way to the shore of VA and NC. 30 miles either side of th border looks to be the sweet spot. A dusting now looks likely all the way to Richmond area!

 

Flurries are possible through much of VA and NC. Nice little wave here too with some bands of moderate snow at times.

 

WAY late on this! Here was my podcast from this morning!

http://midatlanticweather.net/?attachment_id=941

 

All for now!

 

Jimmy

 

 

 

Snow flurries possible - cold and feeling colder!

This is winter! Feels like it and acting like it. This year's dominating force will be the La Nina episode which reminds me of 2 things! Cold and desert like for precipitation. I also expect that December may end up as the coldest month of the winter season. We will see hints of winter storms, but models will not handle the pattern well and that is what happened with what I thought could be the first storm of the winter season. The Lion turned into a lamb as a clipper system now looks like it will scoot even south of VA making flurries and light snow showers possible in NC. That storm will get its act together once in the ocean and do nothing but bring very cold winds to the region. Highs will struggle out of the 30s most of next week with wind chills in the 20s! Find the scarf and hats!

So daily
- 40s region wide today and even some flurries scattered across central VA.
- Saturday will see high mid 30s to mid 40s with increasing clouds. Showers and snow showers possible in the SW portion of VA and western NC,
- Saturday night will feature scattered snow showers across the central regions of VA and north half of NC from the mountains to the coast!
- Sunday - blustery and cold! Highs likely in the 30s for most, upper 30s south, mid 30s north

Next week - Cold 30s to continue - possibly a few disturbance causing some snow showers.

Long term, if the models are seeing correctly, we could have an ice/snow threat next weekend.

Mid Atlantic Weather GROWING!

I am on the verge of launching yet another part of the Mid Atlantic Weather network of sights. This will include video and podcasts. This is exciting, but I will tell ya, I am a 1 man team, so do not think it will be spectacular! It will be as amateur as it gets! More to come on this.

All for now!

Jimmy

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Very crazy weather morning!

High Winds, Tornado Watch, Flash Flood warnings for many locations. The winds will continue as teh rain ends around midday for most I-95 and west and by this evening near the bay.

Please stay tuned to news and radio outlets as this weather is dangerous!

Also, plan for a LONG commute!

All for now!

Rain and a lot of it! Then cold! Snow?!

Rain is starting to overspread the area. There will be even more widespread coverage later today. Flood watches are up as we have a chance for some real heavy rain overnight. Totals will come to 2 to 3 inches! Tonight, as dynamics start to come through, severe storms with gusty winds look likely to scatter through the region, but be somewhat isolated. Windy conditions will also accompany this system so expect some power issues. Rain will taper off for most by about noon tomorrow but the gusty winds will start dropping temps for what will end up a very cold stretch.

Cold is the word! Temps will pretty much remain in the 40s through the weekend south, and 30s may be the high temps for the northern region straight to Monday! Cold 20s north and low 30s south for low temps. Winter cold!

What will happen Sunday or early next week. There does seem to good potential of a system that will either be Sunday or within a few days of Sunday. As usual, models are struggling and jumping around on which system will be the main feature and cause the snow and rain. Some analysis shows that there would be a rain component to the system for many if it happens one way, and much less rain if it were to occur another. A few factors are being watched and I am a little less certain today on what the outcome will be!

All for now!

Jimmy

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Heavy rains and possible severe followed by Winter cold and SNOW threats!

We have a big storm system that will be coming through in the next 2 days. We have the tranquil cool day of today, and then a serious storm will begin taking aim on the region. Rains will overspread the area and become steady by the end of the day tomorrow. Dynamics will be strong with this system which will mean windy, rainy, and even some strong to Severe storms will be possible tomorrow night into Wednesday. Rain will also accumulate up to 2 to as much as 3 inches in some of the higher elevations where the mountains will assist in squeezing out more moisture.

Temps - 40s to low 50s today
Tuesday and Wednesday - mid 50s to mid 60s

The weather will then calm down for a bit and remain cold with highs mainly in the 40s and lows in the 20s north and low 30s south. We get our first potential light snow event Sunday, but I would consider this a minor event other than it being the first threat of the season.

Snow Potential does exist for a week from now and could occur Tuesday or Wednesday of that week. It is way off, but the first hint at a real pattern possibility.

Very long term we will likely see a return to milder temps sometime around or after the 15th.

All for now!

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Cold night and cool day - Rain Tuesday

The day will be cool, but no wind and pretty skies will great the day. Highs upper 40s to mid 50s Cool weather will continue into tomorrow with highs in the 40s and mid 50s again. Tuesday will bring a good shot of rain. Highs will be in the 50s that day. As unstable air mixes in, weather could become severe overnight Tuesday which will need to be watched, but is not forecasted as of now. Cool weather will again pour in for the rest of the week with highs 40s to low 50s.

All for now!

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Some Wintry Weather for Burbs! #mawinterwx

Appears that there will be some sleet and pockets of freezing rain in Northwestern VA, Western MD. NWS has a Winter Weather Advisory up!

Turkey Day rain and cooler air through weekend

After yesterday's really mild weather, today we cool down to highs in the 50 north to 60 south range. Increasing clouds later today will lead to rainy skies for Thanksgiving. Today's travels should be good along the east coast, but the upper Midwest will see snows and ice, while the OK, TX, AR area could see severe! Please be careful no matter what!
Thursday looks cool with mid 40s to mid 50s and rainy skies.
After Friday early showers temps will be a bit warmer with mid 50s north and mid 60s south.Air will really cool Saturday and Sunday with Highs in the 40s north and low to mid 50s south.

What is happening with Mid Atlantic Weather!
I have created 2 twitter newspapers that are fun! they are located at http://paper.li/midatlanticwx and http://paper.li/breakingmawx

I will work harder on launching the photos area. This was kind of on hold for a bit, but will be a focus. http://photos.midatlanticweather.com will likely launch in a week!

The mobile weather sites that I have include http://mawx.net and http://mawx.us . I need o get these a bit more feature rich.

Need to expand on my links for sites that I use for getting information, but MANY links will be removed as I move to a Word Press template. This will make the site easier to read and stop the overdone and outdated information.

All forecast related information will remain. I will need to see how to wrap it in. I have an idea!

All for now!

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Mild today - cold for end or week. Warm up coming next week.

Very mild, if not warm day on tap with temps in the id 60s to mid 70s region wide. A front will approach the area and this will trigger showers this afternoon. Temps will be much cooler tomorrow. Highs in the north near 50 and in the south near 60. Temps will be similar Thursday with some rain possible late. Rain overnight Thursday and in to Friday until at least mid day. Temps much cooler with highs mid 40s to mid 50s. 40s to near 50 will be the rule of the weekend with the coldest night lows we have seen. Temps will then rebound next week and temps will again be near or above 60 by Tuesday from what I am seeing.

All for now!

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Mild start, cool/cold end of week!

We start the week with a lot of foggy mild air. Highs will range through the 60s today with plenty of moisture keeping the temps feeling mild as well. Tomorrow could see temps climb to 70 or even the mid 70s south! A chance of showers and even a stray storm south will signal a change as a front crosses the region. Highs Wednesday will be in the 50s with a few 60s south. Again, temps will bump to the upper 50s and low 60s Thanksgiving day with some rain in the forecast. Then a much cooler air mass will give us the coldest air yet this year Friday and Saturday. Highs this weekend will range through the 40s and nights in the 20s!

Longer term is very difficult to pin down. There could be a remaining amount of colder air and even a chance that a part of the region, other than the mountains, could see a touch or wintry weather. This would be in the December 3rd to 6th time frame with plenty of room for uncertainty!

All for now!
 

WINDY after a bumpy night!

Temperatures will be mild today with highs stretching from the low and mid 60s north and close to 70 in the south. The story will be the howling winds, especially the higher terrain and the northern regions. Wind advisories are posted for many!

I do not want to forget that last night's severe weather was wild and took me by surprise. If you happen to be on my twitter account I did do quite a bit of blasting about it. Sorry for no heads up otherwise.

Winds will subside tonight with temps falling into the 30s for many north and west, 40s for the south. Much cooler tomorrow with increasing clouds and some showers as a secondary system quickly move through the area. This system will ultimately provide snowy ridges to the western facing mountain's higher elevations. Temps will be in the low to mid 50s north and west, and around 60 south. Temps obviously colder in the mountains!

Much cooler for Friday with many seeing highs in the 40s to around 50 north, and around 60 for the south. Add a few degrees for Saturday and a few more for Sunday along with sunshine and you have the weekend.

Early next week we will see mild conditions and temps will approach the mid 60s north and low and mid 70s south. Later next week we could see a good cold shot of air, the coldest so far this season, just in time for the Holiday and to get you in the mood for the Christmas season.

As for me, been busy with a very sick child (including a 3 day stay at the hospital) and hoping for a slow down as we head into the Turkey day season!

Looking forward to the wintry weather sometime soon!

All for now!

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Cool nights and mild days

Sunny and dry will be the rule this week. Breezy today and tomorrow
will make it feek a bit cooler. Highs will hit around 60 in the north
and in the mid and upper 60s south. The first chance of rain appears
to be next Sunday.

--
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Colder - some rains - mountain snow

Colder air is spilling into the region and will turn rain to snow in
the higher elevations that are west facing. Rains east of the
mountains will become very scattere later this morning. A passing
shower is possible later today, but sunshine will also break through.
Temps will be in the 50s east of mountains, and 30s and 40s for the
mountains. Higher elevations could see as much as 5 inches in VA and
WV mountains, above 6 inches far westerb MD highest elevations.
Cold Saturday with breezy conditions and highs mainly in the 40s, 30s
mountains. Temps start trending towards normal Sunday with 40s and
50s, lower 50s to lower 60s Monday, upper 50s to mid 60s Tuesday, and
then upper 60 to near 70 Wednesday.

After the next 24 hours we look to dry out!

All for now.

--
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Cool week - Rain Wednesday through Thursday - Cold next Weekend

A frosty start will set the pace for a colder than normal day with highs struggling into the low 50s north and upper 50s south. Even more widespread frost and freezing tonight as temps will dip to the 20s in the north and in the mountains, and low 30s elsewhere. Tomorrow will be about 5 degrees warmer than today. Temps hold steady for Wednesday with night temps in the 30s to about 40 and highs mid and upper 50s. Rain will also start to advance and will overspread the region by Wednesday night. Thursday will be WET! How wet depends on the eventual track of a Low that will develop along the east coast and ride up as a Nor'easter. That storm could drop 1 to 2 inches of rain for most and even more along the coastal region. That will need to be watched. Colder air will be pulled in behind it and Highs may struggle to reach 50 in the north by Friday and/or Saturday. Lows will dip into the 20s for many and we will officially end the growing season if not tonight.

Tomas in the tropics has weakened. He will likely regain hurricane strength but has some work to do to get there.

All for now!

Happy Halloween with nice weather - True cold possible next weekend!

Today's weather looks really nice! Highs will range from the low 60s to the low 70s for many with plenty of sun. Tonight will again see temps dip to below freezing for many along and west of 95 and that will likely be the case tomorrow night as well. Monday looks very chilly, with highs reaching only the lower 50s in the north and low 60s for the south. Cloudier conditions will begin Wednesday as a serious storm system begins to take shape over the east. As of now this storm will likely stay west of the region or come right through it. We may see some heavy rains based on some predictions or just showers Wednesday through Thursday night. That storm will bring in very cold, polar origin air and, if the growing season had not ended for some, it will likely end it for all by next weekend as night time lows plummet to the 20s for many. Highs could only be in the 40s for the north Friday and Saturday.
Some warming air would likely follow this.

Tomas has strengthened to 100mph winds. He has slowed and may even weaken a bit before restrengthening. Long term he looks to bend north and hit Hispaniola after a few days of slow west, southwest, and the northward movement. He will need to be watched for possible phase potential along the east coast with the trough that is about to set up.

All for now!

Beautiful Cool Days - Almost cold Monday! Could there be a storm?

Coolest air of the season has settled and will get reinforced Monday. Sunny cool days and cold nights will be the rule with daytime highs in the 50s North to Low to mid 60s south, except Tomorrow when highs could reach the low 70s in the South. Temps will cool to the around 50 for highs in the north Monday and around 60 in the south. Mid 50s to low 60s appears to then be the rule the rest of the week. There is a chance that the East Coast could see a Nor'easter which would further reinforce the colder air and cause windy weather later this week. If this were to materialize, the first accumulating snows could occur in a larger region of the up slope areas of West Virginia and into New England, including flakes possible in lower elevations at the end of the storm for the north.

The Tropics are super active for so late in the year. We have Shary, a hurricane,  and Tomas, a hurricane as of 11am today and is forecast to slow and become a Category 3 hurricane in the next 5 days. Shary is headed out to sea after a brush with Bermuda, but Tomas is an interesting one. As of now he is just a Caribbean system, but he could eventually phase with a front and that could mean heavy rains for parts of the east, but that is a while yet before it would be possible.

All for now!


 

Record Low in Plains still causing severe - Sunnier and then cooler weather

The system in the Northern Plains and now Southern Canada has broken records for lowest pressure in the Continental US. The pressure hit 956 mb which is as strong as a Category 3 Hurricane! We are seeing some of this energy translate into severe storms and winds this morning. The front is slowing so Eastern VA, MD, DE, Eastern PA, and Eastern NC remain in a volatile area so more isolated tornadoes could form. The system will slowly pull out today and so North and west could see sun but the Eastern and Southeastern areas may continue in the showers and storms. Temps are already 7 to 10 degrees above normal at 7am for most locations! Highs will be 70s for North and west to even low 80s in the south! Sunnier skies tomorrow and continued mild with temps in the 70s again. MUCH cooler Friday with many staying in the 50s and some low 60s south. The weekend remains cool with 60s for most, but, as of now, Halloween looks dry!

Stay tuned to News and Weather outlets as tornado watches remain in Southeastern VA.

All for now!

Upper plains "Hurricane" like low to bring storms/severe

There is a powerful low pressure that is heating through Minnesota that has a pressure comparable to hurricanes. Thus many states have high wind warnings and wind advisories. Also, the system is spawning a huge line of severe weather capable of tornadoes! 10 states have tornado watches and many Severe Storm warnings are posted.. We are east of that system so very warm air is coming into the region. Southern areas will see low to mid 80s for highs today and tomorrow! As the storm's cold front approaches overnight, showers and storms will become numerous and there may be some severe weather as well as strong winds will be possible in some of them. You can see the severe risks today in the Midwest and the region is under a slight risk for severe storms for the overnight. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html. Tomorrow the focus will be for the eastern areas as the front continues eastward. This will need to be watched as there is a huge amount of energy and how it translates to storminess will be wind and severe weather.The main risk will be high winds, but there is a tornado risk as well.

The system will move east and allow precipitation to wind down in the afternoon tomorrow and more unseasonably warm air will remain. Thursday will see a step down in temps, but still slightly above normal temperatures with variably cloudy skies. Friday will be much cooler with temps a bit below normal. Friday night it is likely we will see another risk for frost in areas.

Please stay tuned to radio and news outlets this evening and then potentially into the night. Severe weather overnight is dangerous as many are asleep and unaware of the storms coming.

All for now!

Warm start of the week with showers

Woke up this Monday with temps close to their Normal highs! Temps will
climb to the mid 70s for many. Showers and some thunderstorms will
cross the region. The skies will remain cloudy tomorrow with temps
again in the 70s. Wednesday will see an increase in rain chances with
highs approaching or in to the low 80s. A transition day Thursday with
highs in the low and mid 70s north and upper 70s south, and then
cooler Friday with highs 60 to 65 North and upper 60s south.

Preliminary Halloween thoughts. Highs mid and upper f0s north, upper
60s to low 70s south. Rain chances look low.

All for now.

--
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2010 - 2011 Winter Outlook

As of now, I am going to go for a very normal temperature but it will be normal based on some warmer and cooler months. I think we start cooler and end warmer to equal out. Snow will be near normal in the north and below normal south. For NC and Southern VA, the winter will be mild and not that snowy, but I expect some icy times. In the Northern regions of VA and MD, mixed bags will be common. I suspect many storms will start as snow and end as rain due to overrunning and storms heading west of the Mountains. We will likely see 2 to 3 snow storms. Nothing like last year! PA will see normal to just above normal snow and normal temps.

I do expect leading into winter that we will see a couple storms that will crush the rest of the drought concerns. Later in the winter, NC and SC may see the dry weather return.

We will see how this goes!

Perfect weather day! Highs in the 70s, light winds, and Sunshine!

It is going to be beautiful today! Get out and enjoy! Chances of rain return Monday Night. Seasonably cool this week with highs about 5 degrees below normal. Cooler Tuesday with rain chances and then Saturday with highs in the upper 50s and low 60s that day!

Winter Weather forecast out look with slowly be posted this week. I will highlight it in my posts. How accurate am I? Well, not all that great! I will explain my thoughts on winter at least and then we will see!

One thing to note, it will NOT be as snowy as last year!

Jimmy

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Nice and sunny today with breezes. Temps will be seasonal within a few degrees

Sunny weather to persist today with winds from the departing Nor'easter that caused snow for the first time up in Northern New England and New York. Nicer weather tomorrow and near normal. Nice week on tap with near seasonal temps.

What a storm! Cool Blow Dryer for today - Cool and dry to continue north -Some showers south Monday

Some serious record breaking rains the last few days. The heat in the ocean was tapped and seriously reversed the drought in many locations in 1 shot! That is what happens when heat is out of balance - it tries to balance. It would have been better to have been smaller storms over longer periods of time. Today, as cooler air starts to overtake the area winds will be breezy and peaking in the 30s at times. It will become mostly sunny and nice by afternoon. The cooler air will be felt tomorrow with highs in the 60s and lower 70s and then MUCH cooler as a dry front crosses the region and brings in the coolest air of the season. Highs Sunday for many will be in the 50s in the north to mid 60s at best elsewhere. Night time temps will be in the 40s, but cooler mountain areas MAY flirt with upper 30s for the first time this season!

Temps in the mid 60s to lower 70s to continue into next week. The front moving through Sunday will get stuck in the south so rain showers could start Monday for the Southern half of VA down into NC Monday through Wednesday Morning. That front may also have a low come up the coast Wednesday and with that the rain will stop south, but may increase north on Wednesday into Thursday.

Enjoy drying out the next few days!

All for now!

HEAVY RAINS, SEVERE WEATHER!

Repeat from earlier this week as the same issues are there!

THE RAIN!
Tonight and tomorrow we will see a lot of rains. We have the potential region wide to see 2 to 4 inches of rain. There will be bigger rains in Eastern VA, Eastern NC, and Eastern SC. The concerns there are for 4 to 6" of rain with isolated 8 to 12" amounts. There are multiple flash flood watches and warnings  which will be replaced by more in parts! Please stay tuned to local media and weather outlets! NO MATTER HOW MANY TIMES I SAY IT, PEOPLE WILL DO IT! DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH WATER!!!! IT CAN KILL! IT TAKES ONE STUPID DECISION TO CHANGE THE WORLD WITH YOU NOT THERE!n

SEVERE!!!
Severe is definitely possible - Tornado watches are up for eastern SC, NC, and SE VA. This will need to be monitored.

MUCH COOLER!!!
Much cooler air by end of the weekend and early next week. Highs may be the 50s by Monday for parts of the region!

A LOT TO MONITOR!!!!!!


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Heavy Rains, high winds, severe - then cooler

Today we will see an increase in clouds and rain overspread the region from the south. Rain will increase tonight and become heavy at times. Rainfall rates on a saturated ground will make for a high potential that flash flooding could occur so Flood Watches are up now, and warnings will likely be put up for locations by tomorrow morning.

As noted before, flooding rains do kill people so please do not drive through standing water!

Tomorrow will bring more turbulence so localized severe weather could affect the area including the potential for short lived tornadoes.

This will be another time to stay tuned to weather and news outlets for severe watches and warnings!

Friday will see a return to sunny conditions and highs in the upper 60s to lower 70s. This weekend into early next week looks cool with highs in the mid 60s to low 70s and nighttime lows in the 40s and lower 50s.


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Rain ends for today - more on the way - cool weekend!

Quickly - rain will diminish this morning and come to an end. Highs will be in the low and mid 80s. Another system with tropical connections will come through Wednesday night and Thursday - more heavy rains and floods possible as well as winds. The weekend looks cool with 60s during the day and 40s at night! All I have time for as battery is about to die!

Here comes the rain! X2?! SEVERE AND FLOODS POSSIBLE/LIKELY! THE RAIN!

THE RAIN!
The next 2 days we will see a lot of rains. We have the potential region wide to see 2 to 4 inches of rain. There will be bigger rains in SW VA, Western NC, and NW GA. The concerns there are for 4 to 6" of rain with isolated 8" amounts. There are multiple flash flood watches up which will be replaced by warnings in parts! Please stay tuned to local media and weather outlets! NO MATTER HOW MANY TIMES I SAY IT, PEOPLE WILL DO IT! DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH WATER!!!! IT CAN KILL! IT TAKES ONE STUPID DECISION TO CHANGE THE WORLD WITH YOU NOT THERE!

OK, what is coming up next? Well we have unanimous support for a tropical/nor'easter system to come on in Thursday time frame. Now this will be bad news. Again a half foot or more of rain could fall for parts of the region! This will have a wind and severe component too! Please be in tune with the weather this week!

SEVERE!!!
With such a dynamic system we have the opportunity to see severe storms tomorrow and tomorrow night and even Tuesday in the region. Strong winds and even tornadoes are possible! This will need to be watched and again, you need to stay tuned to news and radio outlets, ESPECIALLY OVERNIGHT! That makes it hard to stay alert when it is overnight!

MUCH COOLER!!!
Yes, it is much cooler and will pretty much stay that way except Tuesday, when we could see some warmer air punch in the region and make the temps jump to the mid and upper 80s! That may also be problematic for severe weather. 70s will otherwise dominate.

A LOT TO MONITOR!!!!!!


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HOT - The beginning of the drought reversal coming!

Record heat today with highs soaring the mid and even upper 90s! This is the 66th 90+ degree day for the DC Metro area! It will be breezy as well making the fire danger elevated this afternoon. A dry front crosses the region tonight and cooler air begins filtering into the region. The front will hang up and a low pressure system will develop in the south and ride up and west of the Appalachians early next week. With tropical moisture and good inflow from the Atlantic and the Gulf, this looks like a good bet for some heavier rain totals in the inches (preliminary thoughts of 1.5 to 4 inches) for parts of the region.

Of note, with such a hot ocean off the east coast and in the Gulf, and it becoming fall, this usually spells a reversal to the drought. I have seen it before as the contrast between the cooler air from Canada and the warmth of the ocean spells many east coast soaking rains as things try to meet equilibrium. So expect the drought to be erased in the next few months based on what I know. The next system is a foretelling of what we will likely see.

Temps tomorrow will be in the 80s and in the low and middle 70s starting Sunday and continuing Monday and Tuesday. Rain chances increase from south to north during Sunday and could hit the Northern areas by early Sunday night whereas rains will begin Sunday morning in the southern regions.

Matthew was born yesterday and is headed for the Central American coast. He will curve and could re-emerge and restrengthen and ultimately be the fuel for next weeks soakers in the east coast. Lisa continues a weak storm way out in the Atlantic.

Weather is getting a bit more interesting! Expect more frequent updates.

Stay cool! All for now!

HOT!

Just plain hot today and tomorrow - Low to mid 90s with humidity. Maybe an isolated storm - possibly one being strong but not as widespread as yesterday. Cooler air Saturday and especially Sunday. Showers possible early next week with still cooler air!

Hot days return - last day of Summer - isolated storm possibly severe

The heat has returned for 3 days and it will feel like summer the last day of summer. If we hit another 3 day stretch of 90s that will be yet another heat wave we experienced on such a hot year! There is the possibility that some isolated storms could fire this afternoon, though they are more likely in the higher elevations. Due to some dynamics they could be severe with high winds. We will have to watch - but not a drought buster!

Cooler air will arrive this weekend with a high in the 60s possible Sunday for the north and the mountains and 70s elsewhere. Showers and some storms could also visit, which, even though they hit on a weekend, would be welcome! Saturday will have highs in the mid 70s to lower 80s and also have chances of showers and storms.

Tropical storm Lisa is churning way out in the Atlantic. A Caribbean low should be watched for development.

All for now!

Dry days continue - Temps in the Mid and Upper 80s

Dry day on tap with highs in the mid to upper 80s today. 90 degrees and above looks possible Wednesday through Friday before some cooler air this weekend. An isolated storm possible tomorrow and tomorrow night, but best chances for rain (not great chances) returns Saturday.

All for now.

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Cooler today - heating up mid to late week

A mainly dry front crossed the region overnight. Cooler and drier air
coming through and keeping temps in the upper 70s to lower 80s today.
Much warmer air will bring another round of 90 degree weather
Wednesday through Friday. The next rain chances now do not appear
until next weekend. The drought continues to worsen!

--
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Sunny weather - need rain, maybe some

Another bright and beautiful dry fall day. Temps in the mid and upper
80s. Temps will stay in the 80s for most the week, but some low 90s
not out of the question for southern VA and NC, especially mid week.
There *MAY* be some severe storms Wednesday to contend with. A chance
of rain Wednesday and Thursday looks possible.

All for now!

--
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Seasonal Temps but in NEED of RAIN!

We are on drought watch as we are truly dry. I am not seeing any rain on the horizon either after the showers on Thursday. This is not good and we are truly in a drought. The week looks dry with highs in the 80s for most, with a few 90s possible Sunday and Monday. This is unfortunate. Parts of the region are now in Extreme drought - http://www.drought.unl.edu/dm/DM_northeast.htm and many are in a Severe Drought -http://www.drought.unl.edu/dm/DM_southeast.htm - So it is time to start doing voluntary water restrictions until we can get more rain.

In the tropics we have been very busy! Igor is the one that is left and threatens Bermuda - it will be 24+ hours of tropical Storm force winds. The size of Igor mean that he will likely bring 30+ foot waves to Bermuda.

All for now!

Dry air and much cooler - need rain!

So the dry air is racing in with gusty winds and cooler temps! Tomorrow's highs will be in the 60s for the mountains, 70s North, and low and mid 80s south. The cooler air will hang with us as temps stay in the 70s and low and mid 80s through the weekend. Sunday will bring a chance of a needed shower or storm. Next week some warming will occur and places in the south will approach 90 while north will see mid 80s.Cooler 80s and 70s will come back mid next week!

With cooler air coming and the need for your lawn to have the best nutrients, it is time to Aerate! My buddy runs The Aeration Corps in NOVA and I strongly recommend him!
http://www.theaerationcorps.com/ They have a special going. Shoot, spread the word!

Hot few days, then cooler

Going to go to 90 or above today for most of the region. Sunny skies
and a breeze with low humidity make this quite the fire threat. That
threat will increase tomorrow with even drier conditions and wind. We
will see a cool down Thursday and Friday with highs of the 70s in the
north and mountains. Rain chances arrive this weekend (and are very
needed) with highs back in the low to mid 80s north and mid and upper
80 South.

All for now

--
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Updates on impact

North Carolina Coastal: Expecting High Winds, coastal flooding, and serious rains. Impacts will be felt from late tomorrow into Friday morning. Winds will likely be 30 to 50 mph and some gusts to hurricane strength.

Virginia Coast: Impacts felt from 3am through Friday - Winds 25 to 45 with higher gusts to 60 mph. Some rain, coastal Flooding likely.

Ocean City MD: Impacts felt Friday 6am through later evening  - Winds 25 to 40 with higher gusts to 55 mph. Some rain, coastal Flooding likely.

That is my current thinking. CLOSE CALL - if it goes west of this, it will be very bad news for NC.

More later.

ALARMS RAISED - HURRICANE FORCE WINDS BECOMING LIKELY FOR OUTER BANKS

Definite shift in some models on Noon runs has prompted Hurricane warnings to fly and raised alarms that the NC Outer Banks and Far Eastern VA could see some hurricane force winds and some flooding is definitely coming to the area. Please stay alert! Heed Local state and emergency management for your area. Do not trust hobbyists on what will happen, nor take a chance with Life and Property! Earl is not something to take lightly.

I will try and do small posts as I hear or see things!

Jimmy

Where will Earl go - CLOSE to the coast, but I THINK he will miss it

It looks very likely we will see the First Category 5 storm since Ike in 2007. Earl looks beautiful on satellite images and he is just strengthening and strengthening. This is a serious storm and will cause an impact from the Carolina Coast up to New England. I do think that the coast of North Carolina COULD see Hurricane force conditions and may see a serious Storm Surge and wave action. Now he looks to come close and then curve to the right of the shore.

THIS IS A SERIOUS STORM. THE NHC WARNS OF A 200 TO 300 MILE MARGIN FOR ERROR ON A 5 DAY PREDICTION. HE IS ALREADY FURTHER WEST THAN FIRST THOUGHT. THIS SHOULD RAISE CONCERN BUT NOT PANIC. REVIEW YOUR HURRICANE PREPAREDNESS PLANS JUST A AS A PRECAUTION. ARRANGEMENTS SHOULD BEGIN IF YOU OWN PROPERTY ALONG THE OUTER BANKS. AGAIN, PRECAUTIONARY PLANS.

All for now.

Heat again and dry - watching Earl

This week will be hot again! Temps will be mid and upper 90s with a
chance at 100 Tuesday and Wednesday. Cooler air arrives for Labor day
weekend. Earl is strengthening and could be a very close call or a hit
for the East coast. I suspect a close call and not a hit. Watch out
though. Surf is going to be high again. Also, I am thinking he may
Peak at Cat 4 with the way he is starting to look. Now, on his heels
is what should be Fiona. She may make it to the US.

All for now! Stay cool!

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COOL! Wow! Locally heavy rains - showers and highs in the 70s!

Now we feel like Fall! Today will be cloudy and cool with showers and maybe isolated storms in the southern regions. Some storms and persistent rains have caused floods in southern VA and parts of NC. Be careful. Highs will be in the 70s for most with some lower 80s south. Such a relief after this summer. Clouds will slowly clear tomorrow with highs staying in the upper 70s to mid 80s for the most part. Then 80s rule until Sunday into Monday when temps will approach 90 for a while into next week. Rain chances diminish slowly the next 24 hours.

5 Years ago today TD12 strengthened into Katrina. What a crazy year that was! For now, Daniele has been very healthy looking out in the mid Atlantic, she kind of went through a restructuring cycle the last several hours, but still looks on track to make it to Major status by tomorrow. On her heals is another system that could become a Tropical Depression today and a storm in the next day or so. His name would be Earle.

Enjoy the cooler weather! After a summer of such heat, it is nice, even if cloudy, to get a break and give AC's a break too!

All for now!

Stage being set for a cooler week next week

The next 48 hours will be a time of unsettled conditions with
scattered showers and storms. Some could be severe Sunday afternoon.
Rain chances diminish after Monday and the rest of the week Highs will
be in the 80 to 85 range in the north and mid 80s south! So much nicer
than it has been!

Tropics will likely see a new storm by Monday but it looks like a fish
storm to me!

All for now!

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Rains are here and some are soaking and flooding!

Please be careful and expect a long commute in the Washington and Northern VA areas due to flooded roads and heavy rainfall.

The rain will likely let up for a while later this morning and another round for the Northern VA and Maryland area later this afternoon. Areas of heavy rain and showers and storms will be common area wide today, especially east of the Mountains. Localized flooding is an obvious issue.

Rain chances will end starting overnight and end last along the coast tomorrow mid day.

Friday looks dry.

Another set of showers and storms are possible this weekend.

All for now!

Another Hot day - Rains in the South moving North for tomorrow! Some heavy!

We will see hot conditions continue with highs around 90 north and in the low and mid 90s south. Humidity north will be much better, but south will still have a sauna with high humidity values. Rain chances will remain for the southern VA, NC folks today and then rain chances pick up state wide as a low pressure moves towards the region. There will be an area of heavy rains and rain totals have the potential to be 2 to 3 inches in parts of the region. Today into tomorrow rain amounts could be as much as an inch in the south central part of Virginia (http://bit.ly/c71SnM). This is the potential for tomorrow:http://bit.ly/dxWFyO - There could be some localized flooding with these amounts.Temps tomorrow will be the the upper 70s to mid 80s with so much moisture.

Unsettled conditions will last into Thursday, and then again this weekend. Temps will stay hot with highs around 90 north and in the mid 90s south.

A cooler and dry Monday does look possible.

The remnants of TD5 were not really able to regenerate. The tropics have a few other flare ups, but not much more at this time.

All for now!

A hot and steamy day in store with the potential of Severe!

So we will be hot today! I had said it would be cooler, and, in some ways, yes it is! But for today we have very humid conditions and a front approaching. This should set the stage for an afternoon of heavy showers and storms some of which could be Severe. The Severe Prediction Center has outlined the area for the possibility of Severe storms with high winds the real threat. Rain chances will continue over southern VA and NC tomorrow and then a good chance of some soaking rains Wednesday as the cold front coming through moves back north. See the current day 3 precipitation potential here http://bit.ly/9L7Lp2 .

The week will remain warm to hot with highs upper 80s to low 90s area wide, except Wednesday with the rain. Rain chances return by Friday and highs come down to 85 to 90 degrees by then.

The tropics look interesting as the remnants of Tropical Depression 5 return to the Gulf and are already coming to life. The Hurricane center already has it at a medium risk of developing into a cyclone and it does look like it will. How strong before it poses the threat to the Louisiana coast is hard to say. The Gulf waters are around 90 degrees so it is pulling from a majorly Hot and humid area which makes it very explosive in possibilities

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Correction on tropics

I was not thinking clearly! The remnants of Tropical Depression 5 is
the one that could re-emerge and re-strengthen.

Sorry about that!

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MUCH cooler! Some Coastal flooding possible! Weather will remain the the mid and upper 80s!

It feels so much better. The winds are easterly and much cooler. Some showers are possible and a chance of thunderstorms most every day as the air remains moist.

The tropics, despite being busier, have failed to produce another storm since Colin. Colin is a bit interesting as it COULD re-emerge into the Gulf and could re-strengthen! We will see. Nothing else is really out there at this time.

Not much else to talk about! After a week of severe storms and heavy localized rains, this is much calmer.

Jimmy

Here is comes again! HOT! HOT! HOT!!!

Yes, we are heading into another week of 90s. The summer of heat and humidity is returning! We will see 90s - with temps again feeling like 100 to 105!
Also, there is a chance again of 100 degrees Tuesday!
I want to say, I LOVE winter and hate hot weather. This weather stinks to me!

There are some showers and storms possible starting Thursday.

The Tropics are very active, and fortunate that no system has gotten too strong. There is a disturbance off of Florida, Tropical Depression Colin almost on top of Bermuda and could restrengthen, and then a strong wave half way between Africa and the Caribbean that may become a tropical depression in the next few days.

What does the winter look like. According to Accu weather it should be close to normal. Nothing like last year!

All for now!

Rain is coming - will make its way over the area the next 24 hours

Today we will remain much cooler than we have seen most of the summer. Clouds will be on the increase and rains will fall in SW Va and start to overspread the area slowly during the next 24 hours. Sunday will be a showery day with rain and some thunderstorms. Rains will be welcome as much of the area remains gripped in a moderate drought with a few in sever conditions. See http://www.drought.unl.edu/dm/monitor.html for more information. Virginia is not expecting that much rain. See QPF prediction http://bit.ly/c71SnM .

Heat will return next week with highs in the 90 to 95 degree level. After the rains and storms pass through the next 24 to 36 hours the next chance at some thunderstorms will be Tuesday Wednesday, and Thursday but this will be the typical summer time risk of storms and nothing too organized.

The tropics have a couple areas of interest and they could develop. Next system would be names Colin.

I am hoping to be more active on posting as work and life get in better alignment!

All for now!

Very Hot today! Severe possible! Relief coming

The temperature will cook again today. Temps around 100 with heat index values still between 105 and 110!
Severe storms are a definite possibility as a front that promises lower humidity and about 10 degrees cooler! That is going to be such a welcome relief! Please stay safe today from the heat and also keep tuned in for possible severe storm watches and warnings!

More later!

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Do I really need to tell you what the weather is?

I mean, it is hot! Hottest day of the year! BUT, I bet you figured this out on your own! Just be careful today! This heat is a killer and will likely do it today! Do not put yourself in that situation!

A Front will approach and cross the area tomorrow and tomorrow night. I will say though, that this will not limit the heat as much as you would hope! There is a risk of strong and severe storms as the front moves through. We will *COOL* to the 90 to 95 degree range by Monday. Not really cool, but we will also see less humidity. Next week temps will be in the 90 to 95. After Sunday's storms, another set of storms will be Wednesday.

Bonnie is pretty much fizzled out. The system has just collapsed. This is nothing compared to the serious rainfall up in Chicago with 4 to 6 inches of rain. That was after Wisconsin was slammed yesterday with 4 to 7 inches of rain.

Also of note, a tornado warning was issued for New York City yesterday with a storm that moved through. The Northeast Quadrant caught some great videos and posted them as well as was on YouTube and was interviewed on the Weather Channel this morning. Way to go!

All for now!

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Heat is relentless and hotter! Bonnie!

Everyone is talking about it! We are all feeling it! Hot temps in the
100 to 105 range today and tomorrow. With the humidity we could see
heat index values hit the 110 t 115 range tomorrow! The hottest days
we have had yet. Sunday will bring some showers and storms knockibg
the temps back a bit.

Temps Monday through Wednesday next week will just be in the upper 80s
north while central and southern areas still remain within a few
degree of 95. After Sunday the next chance of rain will be next
Thursday. I do wonder if the remnants and moisture will fuel some more
chances of rain next week. We will see.

Bonnie is moving rapidly to the NW and will strike Floriday later
today. Winds remain near 40 mph. Bonnie may become a depression over
FL and then restrebgthen in the Gulf before maybe hitting Louisiana as
a strong tropical storm, or, at most, a minimal hurricane.

We will see! Stay cool!

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