Tuesday, June 19, 2007

Severe weather possible today

A strong cold front will enter the region later today. The clash between the hot steamy air and this front which will bring a break in humidity and heat could produce severe storms including hail and high winds. There is a slight chance that a storm could have a tornado.
 
Please stay tuned to radio and news outlets fro watches and/or warnings.

 
Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid Atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3



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Sunday, June 17, 2007

Hot weather returns and STAYS! Heavy Storms possible Tuesday!

HAPPY HOT FATHER'S DAY!
The heat had been on a break last week but has returned and appears to be staying for the foreseeable future. Mid week we should get a break from the humid conditions but highs in the 85 to 90 range will remain and low 90's very common through Tuesday! Tuesday may also feature some severe! We will have to wait and see!
 
 
Long term a full country heat wave will be coming! Bad news and an energy drain!
 
Tropics could start to show a more active pattern in about a week and a half.
 
All for now!
 
 

Wednesday, June 13, 2007

Severe Weather Again possible today

As spokes of energy come off a large Low off the east coast, another round of strong to severe storms is possible today. High Winds, Hail, and an isolated tornado are all possible.
 
Please stay alert to watches and/or warnings by local news and weather outlets.
 
All for now!

 
Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid Atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3



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Tuesday, June 12, 2007

Scattered Storms today. Some Severe. Storms tomorrow and then nicer conditions

There is a good Chance of scattered storms today. Like yesterday there could be severe storms. Yesterday Central and southern Virginia saw numerous reports of High winds and some hail. I suspect more will be present today. Highs in the 80s today will lower to the 70s across the north the next few days. Warm weather will make its return starting Sunday into Monday.
 
All for now!
 
Jimmy

Sunday, June 10, 2007

Not too hot of a week thanks to a Gale Center! Could it become tropical?

Well, a very Hot last Friday has turned to a much better temperature regime! The forecast will remain all week in the low 80s! Some easterly components to the winds will keep moisture around and this could mean afternoon and early evening showers and storms. This is especially true east of the mountains and near the coastal areas. As the low drifts southward and maintains close proximity to the Gulf Stream a sub-tropical low could form. We will see!

Other possibilities in the Tropics exist as well.

All for now!

Jimmy

Sunday, June 03, 2007

Barry aided rains will come in at 1- 2 inches at most

The speed of the system is so fast that an inch to 2 inches at most will be the most we see, though some higher amounts are possible from a few thunderstorms.

Much cooler today with highs only in the 70 to 75 degree range at best.

Again, the week will start pretty nice and then the Hazy Hot and Humid conditions will come back by next weekend! A few storms will be possible Monday and then again by next weekend.

All for now!


Saturday, June 02, 2007

Barry to mean rainy Sunday Night! Needed and welcome! Then a Cool down!

Very warm and muggy conditions will start to break tomorrow as Barry brings needed and some heavy rains to areas along and east of the I-95 corridor. Areas of Eastern Carolinas could see amounts up to 5" and In eastern Virginia 2-4"! The I-95 corridor will see 1-3" and areas along the foothills .5 - 1.5". Amounts will vary based on some thunderstorms which could also be severe with isolated tornadoes, especially coastal areas! 
 
The Low from Barry will merge with a low in the Midwest area and then pump cooler air from Canada! This will NOT be long lived and a return to Hot and Humid conditions will make there return.. more stagnant air is not too far away! 
 
There could be more tropical activity to watch in the Caribbean as well!
 
Busy times!
  

Friday, June 01, 2007

First Day of Hurricane Season! First Tropical Storm of the Season! Barry!

Andrea was Sub Tropical so this is the first real Warm Core Tropical Storm of the Season. Great for FL and GA Drought Releif!
 
Please Go Here for the Latest
 
 
More to Come!
 

Monday, May 28, 2007

Severe Weather possible again today!

Sorry for the miss yesterday for the strong line of storms that fired across northern VA and MD. Today a repeat performance is possible but storms may reach further south. Look out for strong to severe storms this afternoon some of which could contain hail.

Jimmy

 
Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
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Saturday, May 26, 2007

FITTING WEATHER FOR MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND!

90s! They hit with Hazy,Hot, and Humid air!  It is summer and the pool will be refreshing! Chances of thunderstorms, some with really heavy rains, will be possible through teh weekend with a better chance Monday. Tuesday looks dry and a bit cooler.

Long term is up in the air! Some thoughts would say we stay dry and normal, others say really wet and cooler!

Well, all for now!

Jimmy

Wednesday, May 16, 2007

Severe Storms This Afternoon

Strong storms will likely fire this afternoon in advance of a strong cold front. The biggest threat will be high winds. Hail and an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out. Stay tuned to news and weather outlets for watches and/or warnings!

All for now!

 
Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
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Saturday, May 12, 2007

True heat on Tuesday with highs approaching or into the 90s! Today we have scattered storms some of which could become strong. Mother's Day looks beautiful in the north, but breezy as the front makes its way south. North Carolina should still see some storms possible. What will be interesting is the Sunday nigh lows will be in the 30's in mountain regions and the north, but we turn quickly warmer with areas into the 90s Tuesday especially in th south and the Coastal Plain. A front should pass through the region Wednesday and knock highs back down to the 70s. What happened to Andrea? Well she appears to be redeveloping and in a lower shear environment and warmer waters she just may be able to do it!

Wednesday, May 02, 2007

5/2 Severe Storms Possible in the South today

Areas South of a Fredericksburg to Charlottesville through North Carolina will run the risk of some stronger storms this afternoon. The biggest threat will be high winds although some storms could contain hail during peak heating hours.

Convection should be more moderate north of this region.

All for now!

 
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Friday, April 27, 2007

Severe Storms Possible this afternoon

Once the rain from this morning passes by there is a chance that the sun will be able to break through and heat areas. These areas where the heating occurs will become increasingly unstable. A strong cold front will eventually pass through the area and could spawn strong to severe storms especially in the eastern parts of the region. Please stay tuned to media and weather outlets for watches and or warnings.

All for now!
 
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Tuesday, April 24, 2007

Nice Weather will end as rain chances increase.Severe Possible Friday!

April Showers on the way!
Spring Showers will be numerous starting later today and tonight and continuing through Friday. Today there is a chance of Showers and Thunderstorms. Highs will come down after today but still be warm for this afternoon. Tomorrow and Thursday highs will be only in the low 60s north and mid an upper 60s to mid 70s south due to the persistent clouds and rain chances. More thunderstorm threats will continue for the southern portion of the Mid Atlantic. As th powerful front that is providing the front running rain finally arrives Friday, numerous showers and thunderstorms could also become severe due to the strong dynamics available. The Severe Storms Prediction Center has outlined parts of the region for the potential of severe storms. See this link: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/cgi-bin/weather/hw3.cgi?forecast=probday&day=3&type=swo&alt=plot_prob&config=spcmaps,png&hwvusename=probday3_swo&spline=3

The weekend will not be as warm as last, but it looks seasonal temperature wise and it appears that the rain will clear or finish clearing by early Saturday!

All for now!


Tuesday, April 17, 2007

Warmth on the Horizon

It is starting to look like we will warm! Long range models are looking rather warm and drier for the next week time frame. Until then, we slowly climb out of the system that has been plaguing us with colder air the last 2 weeks slowly moves away. This starts with an Upper level low slowly moving over the region Thursday causing some rain showers. Temperatures stay in the 5 to 10 degree below normal range until then. Friday looks like the best day for sun to really return and I am hopeful that the weekend sees temp normal and maybe finishing above normal!

If all goes as it appears, next week will be above normal with temperatures and 80 or above could be possible. See the long range forecast from the NWS here: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/cgi-bin/weather/hw3.cgi?config=&forecast=pass&pass=outlook&outlook=1&type=temp

All for now!

One last note: My thoughts and prayers are with those affected by the awful situation at Virginia Tech.

Monday, April 16, 2007

Storm Winding Down

The storm has started weakening rapidly. This has diminished winds and the pull down of colder air. The snow forecast is cancelled and the Wind Adisory will end at Midnight.
 
All for now!
 

Snow Showers acrross Northern Regions looking likely!

After sunset, as precipitation continues to wrap back around the large low pressure, a mixture of rain and snow showers will turn to snow showers in the Northern areas (Northern Third of Virginia and Maryland). Some showers may be briefly heavy!
 
Stay alert to as snow showers will cause detereorating visibilities at times with high winds it could be rough driving!!
 
High Wind warning stays in effect until 2 am. I am expecting either a continuation or a wind Advisory until tomorrow morning.
 
Jimmy
 

Forecast Discussion: Windy Conditions will persist for the next 24 Hours. Today will be the worst part of it

the Nor'easter has really wound up strong as of this morning! The pressure is as low as a Hurricane and winds have gusted that high along the coast of New England! High Wind warnings or Advisories continue through today and there will be many power outages.

As the week progresses a slow climb in temperatures is expected with near to slightly Normal temps possible this weekend. This time of year always makes me nervous when a nice forecast arises for a weekend! We have had many weekend spoilers this spring and so it would not surprise me to see another! RIGHT NOW though it looks pretty decent!

So, after the next 24 hours of winds a somewhat sunny and slowly milder forecast arises.

All for now!

Sunday, April 15, 2007

Severe Weather and Heavy rains followed by high winds tomorrow!

Heavy rains will continue, but become less widespread. Southeastern VA is under a Tornado watch! Please stay tuned to local weather outlets for warnings ! Many flood warnings have been issued!

High winds will visit us tomorrow!

Friday, April 13, 2007

Nor'easter on tap for Sunday Into Monday. Heavy Rains, Winds, Mountain snow, coastal floods and very low tides!

The most important note here is that this is a big system and the rains and high winds will likely be the concern around most of the Mid Atlantic.
Highlights:

1. Areas from the Virginia border and southward could see severe thunderstorms with some tornadoes possible later Saturday and early Sunday.
2.Very heavy rain for the Piedmont of Virginia up the 95 corridor with areas receiving 1-3" in Lower Virginia up to 3"+ amounts in Northeastern Virginia and Eastern Maryland up through Pennsylvania
3. Winds will become more and more of an issue Sunday as the Low gets very strong just off the Delmarva area. This will mean power outages and some structural damage possible.
4. Snows will really start to impact the Mountains Later Sunday into Monday with areas seeing 4-8" with isolated higher elevations seeing 12"+. The other factor here will be the high winds (Wind Warning Criteria likely) causing almost blizzard like conditions and tree damage.
5. Coastal Flooding may be somewhat limited, but Bay side flooding is possible as the storm continues high NW winds for a long period of time. this could also mean very low tides with teh offshore winds!

This storm will bring a blizzard to Interior Northern Pennsylvania up through the Middle of New York and New England! Expect travel issues Sunday and Monday from grounded planes due to high winds and snow!

There is a slight possibility that colder air could eventually wrap into the system and cause a brief change to or mix with snow in the Piedmont of Virginia as well. NO accumulations expected.

All for now!

Thursday, April 12, 2007

Major Spring Storm to affect area with very heavy rains, high winds, coastal flooding, Snow?

A very serious storm system appears to about to take an aim on the Mid Atlantic. Starting tomorrow conditions will all start to come together for a action packed weekend of weather!

The threats:
1. Heavy Rains/Flooding: Would not be surprised to see 3 to 6" of RAIN especially east of I -95
2. Heavy winds: Friday will be breezy and cool. Saturday will see an increase in winds as the storm begins taking shape. Sunday and Monday will be raw and windy with Coastal flooding a real possibility
3. Coastal Flooding: A prolonged time of heavy rains and winds will cause beach erosion and and flooding.  Please stay tuned to  news and radio outlets for your region
4. Severe Storms: The Best threat here would be far Southeastern Virginia and North Carolina. It is a threat though that should be monitored!
5. SNOW? Yes, I would especially be concerned in teh higher elevations, but, if dynamics really become strong, and they very well could, a switch over to all snow could occur for the immediate piedmont up to the 95 corridor before ending!

This is a serious storm and many watches and warnings will be coming out the next few days. Please heed news/radio/and weather outlets for the potential dangerous conditions this weekend!

All for now!

 

Tuesday, April 10, 2007

Unrelenting Colder than Normal temps continue!

Summary: We had some great early warm weather a week ago, but things have turned much much colder (as we all know) and it does not really look to go back above normal for at least another week, if not a week and a half! In the meantime, a potent storm will ride up west of the Appalachian mountains. Heavy rain and some wind will likely accompany! This will be tomorrow afternoon into the evening. We dry out and look to go to a closer to normal (though still below) through the weekend with yet more rains possible both Saturday and Sunday. Next week doe not look as cold as this one started off being, but highs remaining between 5 and 10 degrees below normal does seem to be the way things will play out!

Not the fun Spring forecast by any means!

All for now!



Thursday, April 05, 2007

4/5 DC/MD/VA SNOW ALERT

First time in the last 4 years I am issuing a SNOW alert in April! CRAZY!!!!! This one is an odd one where areas east of 95 from Richmond up to Baltimore. The place that really could get some accumulations....YES.. Accumulations, would really be the eastern Shore! It sounds crazy but areas could see a dusting to as much as 3 inches! Areas along the I-95 would see a potential dusting. This would happen tomorrow night!

All for now!

 
Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid Atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3




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Tuesday, April 03, 2007

4/4/07 Severe weather possible tomorrow!

A strong cold front will come through tomorrow and turn us back to winter through the weekend! The strong front could easily bring strong winds and hail with it!

YES.. there is a possibility of snow showers Saturday! Do not be surprised in northern VA/ MD and higher elevations! Temps will be COLD Saturday!


 
Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid Atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3




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Monday, March 19, 2007

Weather WILL Warm... Yes I may have Spring Fever Friday!

As I told my boss today, this "Friday LOOKS GOOD" for golf as temps should make it into the 70s up north and even 80s in the south.

First a Pesky front this evening will come through and cause some showers. In New England this could be their last shot at a snow. Temperatures will again be almost the same as they were today for Tomorrow. Then Wednesday a little Dip below norms (5-10 degrees)... But do not fret as temps will jump above Normal Thursday and then Friday Saturday and Sunday *COULD* be beautiful..

FLIES in the ointment for Spring!  A beautiful weekend forecast this far out and this early in Spring always has me concerned. I mean, the forecast models look decent, but the Ocean's colder air and the dreaded Back Door Cold front always concerns me! This occurs when wind comes off the ocean and causes clouds and colder weather east of the mountains! I am not saying this will happen this weekend, but ALWAYS be on guard this time of year for it to mess up a sunny and warm forecast!

All for now!

Jimmy

Weather WILL Warm... Yes I may have Spring Fever Friday!

As I told my boss today, this "Friday LOOKS GOOD" for golf as temps should make it into the 70s up north and even 80s in the south.

First a Pesky front this evening will come through and cause some showers. In New England this could be their last shot at a snow. Temperatures will again be almost the same as they were today for Tomorrow. Then Wednesday a little Dip below norms (5-10 degrees)... But do not fret as temps will jump above Normal Thursday and then Friday Saturday and Sunday *COULD* be beautiful..

FLIES in the ointment for Spring!  A beautiful weekend forecast this far out and this early in Spring always has me concerned. I mean, the forecast models look decent, but the Ocean's colder air and the dreaded Back Door Cold front always concerns me! This occurs when wind comes off the ocean and causes clouds and colder weather east of the mountains! I am not saying this will happen this weekend, but ALWAYS be on guard this time of year for it to mess up a sunny and warm forecast!

All for now!

Jimmy

Sunday, March 18, 2007

Weather slowly turning to warmth

The weather should remain pretty chilly through mid week. A front will provide a chance of showers Monday. Milder and above normal temperatures by the end of the week!!
 
SUMMARY: Kind of wild March we are having. The total I had on Friday night was around and inch, and, for the most part my forecast was pretty valid. The higher elevations definitely had more than my original thoughts! We start with another front coming through Monday. temperatures will be about normal for the region. Wednesday appears to dip a little in temps and then a warm up as we head towards the weekend although showers could visit us next Saturday.
 
As we head into Spring Severe Weather Alerts should take over and no more winter weather alerts! The Spring will likely be active for the Middle part of the country and not as much in the east. If the current forecasted and developing La Nina pattern develops a dry summer may be on tap as time wears on!
 
All for now!
 
Jimmy
 

Weather slowly turning to warmth

The weather should remain pretty chilly through mid week. A front will provide a chance of showers Monday. Milder and above normal temperatures by the end of the week!!
 
SUMMARY: Kind of wild March we are having. The total I had on Friday night was around and inch, and, for the most part my forecast was pretty valid. The higher elevations definitely had more than my original thoughts! We start with another front coming through Monday. temperatures will be about normal for the region. Wednesday appears to dip a little in temps and then a warm up as we head towards the weekend although showers could visit us next Saturday.
 
As we head into Spring Severe Weather Alerts should take over and no more winter weather alerts! The Spring will likely be active for the Middle part of the country and not as much in the east. If the current forecasted and developing La Nina pattern develops a dry summer may be on tap as time wears on!
 
All for now!
 
Jimmy
 

Thursday, March 15, 2007

3/15 DC/MD/VA Accumulating Snows are Possible

Accumulating Snows are Possible
 
Accumulating Snows are possible in Areas West of Washington DC up to Baltimore tomorrow night. Areas could see 1-4" with higher totals in the higher elevations. 
 
This will come after a very heavy rainfall and warm ground temperatures should offset some of the total potentials!
 
This could change, but it may actually become a snowier forecast than a less snowy one!
 
All for now!
 
 
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Mid atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3



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Tuesday, March 06, 2007

WInter Weather Alert: 1-3" more likely

After reviewing forecasting models this morning I have lowered my totals to a general 1-3" in the area immediate and just to the west and north of the Washington DC, to Baltimore Maryland line. Some areas may see up to 4", but the general rule will be 1-2 inches with isolated 3 inch amounts. It still will be snowing during the morning commute and the ground has really cooled due to temps in the teens and lower 20s last night. Trace amount north of Charlottesville to Fredericksburg up to the DC metro area
 
Stay tuned!

 
Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3



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Monday, March 05, 2007

Winter Weather Alert! Winter is not over! 2-4" snows Possible Wednesday!

A moderate snow of 2-4 inches is possible accross Maryland and Far Northern Virginia on Wednesday! 1-3" is possible North of Fredericksburg up to Washington DC. In th DC area 2-4" is possible and maybe up to 3-5" for Maryland. Snow will fall during the Wednesday Morning commute!
 
Things could change so stay tuned!
 
I thought winter was about done too! Go figure!

 
Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
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Saturday, March 03, 2007


COLDER WEATHER WILL SLOWLY GIVE WAY TO A WARMER ZONAL PATTERN. THIS WILL BE IT FOR WINTER 2006 - 2007

Summary: So.. this is how it ends. Many in Central Virginia and eastward never really had a snow this year.. Northern VA finished below normal, but had some late action that helped it not be so bad. Colder start to the week will end milder. This time, as things get warmer the truly cold air retreats and the pattern goes through a major shift! 60s and some 70s could visit as soon as next weekend in teh south. 50s to lower 60s in the north!

http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

Did You Know? I send this update out semi regularly via email! To get it send and email to midatlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I also send a Severe Weather Alert when we need it. To get it mid-atlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I am considering a tropical only list as well.

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Forecast text and graphics from National Weather Service. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.

Friday, March 02, 2007

Severe Weather still possible Southeastern VA

I have been behind the ball here, but the NWS has posted a Tornado Watch for Southeastern VA and Eastern North Carolina through 11am! There is a line of convection down that way too! Please stay alert to radio and news outlets!

 
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Wednesday, February 28, 2007


Very heavy rains with some thunder! Some flooding possible!

Summary: Spring storms will blanket the middle of the country and the south while a triple point low rains like crazy washing winter snow and ice away! Tomorrow rain will overspread the area and tomorrow night be heavy at times with thunder in the mix!

Current amounts range from 1-2" but i feel there may be 3-4" totals in parts of the region. No snow this time! Temperatures Friday will be "warmish" with many 60s and upper 50s. Colder air will come back for several days and then maybe a true warm up towards next weekend!

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum. http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

Did You Know? I send this update out semi regularly via email! To get it send and email to midatlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I also send a Severe Weather Alert when we need it. To get it mid-atlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I am considering a tropical only list as well.

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Forecast text and graphics from National Weather Service. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.

Tuesday, February 27, 2007


MILDER WEATHER THIS WEEK WITH A GOOD CHANCE OF RAIN. SIGNS OF A COLDER PERIOD AND EVEN MORE SNOW CHANCES NEXT WEEK.

Summary: Milder air this week with even a severe thereat NC and Southern VA. Temps in the 50s with 60s in NC. Next weeke could turn colder according to some models or really get mild. Which Model will win?

http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

Did You Know? I send this update out semi regularly via email! To get it send and email to midatlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I also send a Severe Weather Alert when we need it. To get it mid-atlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I am considering a tropical only list as well.

NEED a Great Host! Try Vodahost ! Their plan you cannot beat!!! 24000 MB of space, unlimited domains, unlimited email accounts, unlimited MySqL! HOW MUCH? $7.95 a month!!http://www.vodahost.com/partner/idevaffiliate.php?id=4524

Forecast text and graphics from National Weather Service. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.

Sunday, February 25, 2007

Snowfall ended and now just rain..some freezing rain. Quite the Surprise! Sorry I did not update today, but, quite honestly, I went out and played! Exciting winter event with the most snow in the region this winter! I mentioned in a post in the forum that there could be heavier snow up Maryland, well, it came south and many in Virginia saw some good snow! I measured a little over 5" on the deck before the rain. Reports up to 10" in higher elevations! Exciting! So it was a miss, but an enjoyable one for me and beats Ice any day! There is the "Potential" for more mixture later this week, but right now, I would not bet on it!

Saturday, February 24, 2007

DC/MD/VA Icy Mess on Sunday

DC/MD/VA Icy Mess on Sunday

Sleet and Freezing Rain event for the areas of Harrisonburg to just west of Leesburg up to north of Baltimore. Northern Maryland west of 95 closer to the Frederick Maryland area could see a burst of heavy snow before a mix. 1-3" of slop 20 miles either side of the line discussed, but the heavy snow areas could see 2-4" with isolated 6"

A mix is possible all the way down to Richmond and west to Roanoke with areas just east of teh Mountains seeing the most whereas most areas will see a switch to plain rain along the I-95 corridor . Draw a line from Roanoke up to Charlottesville and straight up to Dulles Airport to BWI and areas east of this should see a change over early enough to be a nuisance. The Immediate valleys of the Apps up to Charlottesville will see enough for storm warning criteria.

All I have for now!

 
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Friday, February 23, 2007

SLEETY/ICY MESS for Northern VA up through Marylyand and PA snows

Sorry I have been delayed on posting.. it does appear that a Moderate Icing event will unfold Early Sunday morning. A mixture of first snow, then sleet and freezing rain will visit the region again. There is a possibility of moderate icing! Much about this storm could change and there are hints at some colder air at start which could mean some real snow, but right now, sleet and freezing rain look to be the main precip type. The main locations again will be 20 miles either side of a line from just north of Charlottesville to just west of Leesburg, northeast up to Baltimore County in Maryland stretching up to Philadelphia. Snow is possible North of these areas in Maryland, but especially Pennsylvania. 
 
Much more to be considered and more details tomorrow!
 
Again, this is for Sunday, though freezing drizzle could be occurring Sunday night into Monday morning.
 
All for now!

 
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Saturday, February 17, 2007


SERIOUS COLD DAYS ARE ALMOST A MEMORY AS WE HEAD TOWARDS WHAT APPEARS TO BE MILDER PATTERN BY THE MIDDLE AND LATE PART OF THE WEEK. SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE COMMON TODAY. THE MOUNTAINS COULD SEE A GOOD SHOT OF SNOW WEDNESDAY. THEN MILDER 50S MAYBE EVEN A 60 DEGREE READING TOWARDS THE END OF THE WEEK.

Summary: The serious cold days look limited now. we have made it through the deepest part of winter when we usually get our biggest snow. We missed teh big snows from the last storm, but New England was hammered with as much as 30" of snow! A dying clipper will traverse the area and re-establish slightly colder conditions through Monday and then a then upwards on temperatures. There COULD be a mix of rain and snow Wednesday Night and/or Thursday, but odds favor rain except in the Mountains. After this, teh pattern changes set up up for milder, above normal temperatures!

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum (up to 122 members!). http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

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Forecast text and graphics from National Weather Service. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.

Monday, February 12, 2007

Final call: I HOPE I AM WRONG AND THERE IS MORE SNOW! At this point radar watching and Nowcasting

2/12 ICY MESS ON TAP! SNOW AMOUNTS REDUCED


SIGNIFICANT ICE STORM POSSIBLE

Well, with models and an imperfect science it is hard to get forecasting right! Here we go with what appears to be a major Icing Event the majority of which looks like it will be Tuesday Night into Wednesday. For tonight into tomorrow light snow with a general 1-4" accumulation could occur from a Roanoke to Charlttesville to Fredericksburg to Baltimore line and areas 20 miles south and east of that line. Some mixing with rain is likely at onset. Tuesday would be a light snow changing to sleet and even rain for Roanoke to Fredericksburg to south and east of Baltimore. Areas from Charlottesville to Washington DC to Baltimore will see a changeover to sleet and then Freezing rain Tuesday evening as heavier precipitation takes hold. Right now the distinct possibility exists for as much as 3/4" to even 1" of ice! The issue will be.. is it sleet or freezing rain. The further north and west may split totals between sleet and freezing rain, but 20 miles either side of and north of the Charlottesville to Washington DC to Baltimore areas could see a significant Ice Storm!

Please stay tuned to Media and Weather Outlets.

Sorry, no time to draw out thoughts this morning on a map.

BTW.. thing ** COULD ** change as we are still a ways away from the main storm system. I will be watching trends and reporting on them especially in the Forum.

All for now!


 
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Sunday, February 11, 2007

OK. My First Guess. What I would say.. VERY concerned about a major ice storm in the Piedmont of Virginia and Maryland and SE PA. MUCH UNCERTAINTY except I do think the mix will cut down on snow totals in many areas. If it stays snow.. 12" would b possible in areas N and W of the big cities

2/11 HEAVY WINTER STORM TUESDAY


HEAVY SNOW STORM WITH POSSIBLE ICING

Things are lining up for a major Winter Storm. Especially  north of Fredericksburg . Areas could see up to a foot and some places more especially in Maryland. MANY factors could change who get the biggest snows and even ice storm possibilities. Best Chances seem to be Washington, DC to Charlottesville and north as well as up to Baltimore and North. Ice could really become an issue in the transition area.

This one is a serious one. Please stay tuned to radio and news outlets.

More to come!


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Saturday, February 10, 2007

LARGE SNOWSTORM FOR MOST OF THE AREA TUESDAY! WE ARE IN STORM ALERT MODE! Places COULD see 10 - 20" and near blizzard condition!! Ice probable in many areas near southern piedmont! This is not clear yet.. Much more to come!

Tuesday, February 06, 2007

2/6 Light Snow event tonight will ALL stick!

Light Snow Tonight!
 
A light snow event tonight will drop a 1-3" swath of snow mainly cutting across the central part of Virginia. Light snow will quickly stick to all surfaces though as the ground and roads are so cold. Areas draw a line horizontal from Roanoke to Richmond and then from Charlottesville to Fredericksburg and the areas between and along those lines have the best chance of the 3" totals. Areas north of that line will see totals back off to 1" in Northern VA and a dusting in Maryland, and south will quickly drop to just a dusting.
 
Despite this, the very cold ground could make tomorrow morning the worst winter weather commute we have had this winter! Be careful!
 

 
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Thursday, February 01, 2007

2/1 Winter Weather Threat: Canceled!

MAYBE some pockets in SW Va and western Piedmont south of Charottesville but by and large just spotty showers, some snow, some sleet. This one was not too big (at least up in VA) but was for western NC and SC!
 
Sorry all! Yes, there is another storm possible in about 1 week! we will see! The real story, VERY COLD next week!

 
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2/1 DC/MD/VA Winter Weather Alert

2 waves of precipitation, Snow to a mix, but maybe a good amount of snow for Higher elevations in SW VA
 
North of Roanoke in the Mountains towards SW VA and Northeast up to just SW of Charlottesville could see the most snow with 3-6" shot.
 
Areas along I-95 to 30 miles east, 1-2" then a mix. Precip amounts could approach Winter Storm warning of .25" along I-95 and west up to about Ashland.
 
1-3" of Snow north of here along I-95 up to Baltimore and ares 20 miles either side of I-95. Again, a mix tomorrow night.
 
1-4" west of the I-95 area from Western Loudoun and Frederick Count MD above down to Charlottesville. Closer to 4" in the southern areas of that region, less towards the MD/VA Border.
 
Models are split tonight! Thus the larger ranges. This one has some surprise potential especially looking at the large snow sheild on Radar.
 
Tweaking likely tomorrow, but light snow may overspread most of the area by morning in the south and by noon, Nortehrn VA and by 3pm in Maryland.
 
All for now!
 
 
 
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Wednesday, January 31, 2007

1/31/2007 DC/MD/VA Winter Weather Alert

Sloppy Thursday Night Winter weather will pose problems for many.

A storm system will bring snow over the area Thursday but the system will also bring warmer air in over top the cold air that is in place. This warm air will turn most areas from the mountains east over to a mix of sleet and freezing rain. On the latest model runs the precipitation amounts have backed off somewhat so it is possible the ice will not b major up further north, but the North Carolina Piedmont to the mounts into southwestern Virginia up to about Charlottesville and eastward towards the western Suburbs of Richmond could see ice up to the .25" needed for major issues. The ground is cold too so this time the ice will cause serious driving problems. Ice could reach that much up in areas north of these so all motorists will need to be using caution, but a 1-3" snow may precede the ice as well.

More to Come as things hopefully clear up on the forecast models!

 
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Sunday, January 28, 2007


So cold arrives, a few snow shots have visited, a few more on the way, but a big storm this week may be a mix to rain, or snow to rain scenario as the NAO is not sticking negative. Another serious COLD shot appears likely to follow the big storm and could be the coldest of the season

Summary: Thanks Wasted cold air! That is my thoughts of the cold that brings no snow. I like cold for winter, but i like snow to be with it and we just cannot get a good storm to form with the colder air in place. So, finally we see a good storm on the horizon, and the pattern changes enough to allow the colder air to retreat! So if we get winter weather, it will likely be a snow or mix to rain scenario! A lot could change in the next several days, but this is not looking classic big snows like it appeared the last couple days. I will hold off on a total cancel, but lower the likelihood to like 40% chance of a big storm.

After this, a cold shot (potentially the coldest of the season) will likely visit from next weekend into early next week.

As far as tonight into tomorrow, it has some potential to surprise a few folks with more than what would appear likely, but pinpointing who and whether or not this will really happen will be really tough to pinpoint.

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum (up to 97 members!). http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

Did You Know? I send this update out semi regularly via email! To get it send and email to midatlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I also send a Severe Weather Alert when we need it. To get it mid-atlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I am considering a tropical only list as well.

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Forecast text and graphics from National Weather Service. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.

1/28 Mid Atlantic Weather Alert: Isolated accumulations

Scattered Snowshowers this afternoon. Chance of a little accumulation possible in the western Mountains and Far northastern Maryland as well as eastern PA and NJ could see isolated accumulating snows in the 1-3" category.  Pinpointing exactly where is very difficult as it will be on a meso scale level. Elsewhere in areas north of Fredericksburg to a Charlottesville in Virginia and all through Maryland may say enough to dust some grassy areas. The system gives me a bit of concern that a few areas could be surprised by more snow than thought so check radars later today!
 
Late next week Storm looking less likely! Pattern will relax just enough to have a mix or snow to rain scenario based on current model readings!
 
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Friday, January 26, 2007

Concern... but not definite snow possibility for Sunday/Monday

SOME CONCERN: I have some concern of a Sunday Snow shaping up for eastern regions! Cold will also return and maybe a big storm next week. Enjoy a Saturday reprieve from the cold!
 
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Monday, January 22, 2007


SERIOUS COLD SHOT COULD BE ON THE HORIZON. HARD TO SEE ANY STORMS WITH SUCH COLD AIR, BUT THERE ARE HINTS THAT THERE IS SOMETHING THAT COULD HAPPEN

Summary: Really tired here, but I want people to know that the cold shot seen on the latest Model Runs are downright impressive with highs coming next week in the lower to mid 20s if this verifies. Single Digit numbers possible at night in some locations. There are signs that there could be a system at some point in the next 7-10 days, but right now, the cold is overwhelming the snow chances!

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum (up to 96 members!). http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

Did You Know? I send this update out semi regularly via email! To get it send and email to midatlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I also send a Severe Weather Alert when we need it. To get it mid-atlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I am considering a tropical only list as well.

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Forecast text and graphics from National Weather Service. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.

Saturday, January 20, 2007

Snow will Visit Region with 1-3" and mixes as well. 1-3" will fall from a n area north Charlottesville to Fredericksburg line and South of a Frederick county to Baltimore county line. Then a mix will occur from Richmond Southwest to the areas just east of the North Carolina Mountains. It would appear that .10 to .25" of ice is possible, the heaviest in Valleys and areas just east of the Mountains (Up to 40 miles east of Mountains in the Piedmont.) This is not a huge event, but ice would be an issue for travel. Precip will start later in the morning in the SW and late in the day for the northern parts. Snow will end as freezing drizzle. Of note, when these storms are ideal some places get some heavier precip so isolated 4-5" totals on snow would not surprise me! Later next week, POTENTIAL, Really is there for a good snow for parts of the region! I will keep you posted. No time to do a map tonight, MAY have one tomorrow Morning!!!!

Thursday, January 18, 2007

1/18/2007 Winter Weather Alert

Light accumulations of a Mixture of Precip
 
Light Snow, Sleet, and Rain and Freezing Rain will all visit the Regions, but mainly the North Carolina and Southern Virginia regions. The mixture could cause some icing troubles, especially this morning in North Carlina and Southern Virginia as only a small coating of ice could cause havoc. Please stay alert and tuned in to Local News and Radio outlets for updates on your regions weather.
 
There is a possibility of a more significant storm on Sunday Night and again North Carolina and Southern Virginia could be the more problematic spots based on current model read out. This could significantly change between now and Sunday Evening.
 
Stay Alert!
 
All for now!
 
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Wednesday, January 17, 2007

Will it snow tomorrow night? Honestly, I am not that psyched about the chances. This is not a classic snow situation, but some precip does look likely in the east, and yes, sleet and some snow flakes are not out of the question. I think the NWS in Northern Virginia was very bullish and way overdone. I do not see 1-2" tomorrow night. Maybe a dusting if we get the temps to cool after sunset and precip is left. That being said Northeast, towards Baltimore.. a dusting seems possible. SUNDAY is a different story all together. That now has an increasingly good look for a decent snowfall and wintry weather event! Things may change, but this is how I see things today!

Tuesday, January 16, 2007


Here comes the colder air... FINALLY! When will it snow? Do not be surprised to see sleet and snow mixed with rain far east Thursday night. Maybe a more significant system Monday.. will it stay snow?

Summary: Crazy winter has been so warm, but a turn to colder is happening today as an arctic front has pushed through. Temps will fall and tomorrow highs will be in the 30s to lower 40s. But this is not a sticking colder than normal pattern, just seasonal so we moderate to the 40s the rest of the week into the weekend. A storm system will approach from the south Monday and precip very well could begin as snow or a mix. Will it stay wintry? Right now, odds are against it. The upper pattern is not allowing cold to be forced to stick around, so it will get scoured out unless a block appears that I do not see. Now after this system, there are ** SIGNS ** of a possible negative NAO which would be the first time since October! We will see as this has been advertised before. Seasonal cold looks like it will remain at least.

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum (up to 93 members!). http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

Did You Know? I send this update out semi regularly via email! To get it send and email to midatlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I also send a Severe Weather Alert when we need it. To get it mid-atlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I am considering a tropical only list as well.

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Forecast text and graphics from National Weather Service. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.

Saturday, January 13, 2007


Warm and moist weekend is going to turn into a cold and drier pattern. Maybe a nwo in a week?

Summary: Showery weekend with mild conditions. A front will pass through later Monday and temperatures next week will struggl to get out of the 30s and lower 40s. The cold will overwhelm teh country and pretty much dry it out! In about 8 days there AMY be a major east coast storm which will need to be watched.

Did you happen to see the LA hills got snow! Crazy that areas so far south in the west got snow! Not a lot else to share so All for Now!

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum (up to 91 members!). http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

Did You Know? I send this update out semi regularly via email! To get it send and email to midatlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I also send a Severe Weather Alert when we need it. To get it mid-atlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I am considering a tropical only list as well.

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Forecast text and graphics from National Weather Service. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.

Thursday, January 11, 2007


Not a lot of time, but wanted to say a few things. Warming up, rain to much colder! Will it be Dry?

Summary: It will be rather mil this weekend with scattered showers as a strong southerly flow is present. Once a very potent, and possibly thunderstorm producing front makes it through here Monday we will be in the colder pattern for next week and possibly beyond. The concern for winter weather is the lack of atmospheric blocking, or basically anything that could help a system to get organized and move north with snow! So we could go from way above normal temps and precip to below normal and dry!

That being said, models are not the best at pattern change time so we could be seeing something appear on the global models in the next few days that they are missing now!

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum (just surpassed 90 members!). http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

Did You Know? I send this update out semi regularly via email! To get it send and email to midatlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I also send a Severe Weather Alert when we need it. To get it mid-atlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I am considering a tropical only list as well.

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Forecast text and graphics from National Weather Service. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.

Tuesday, January 09, 2007


Colder air is coming, but another short warm up is likely and then even a chance of yet more heavy rains and even thunder

Summary: Just been waiting for a major pattern change and the process has begun! Now it is a matter of time. I have had a lot of promise for next week's possibilities of snow after the first larger storm system comes through here Monday - Tuesday. This will usher in the colder January air that we have seriously lacked! Now once established, we have to see if we can get a storm. Models have backed off a lot on prospects for this, but support still gives me a sense that we could see something appear before too long!

Tomorrow will be a lot colder than we have had in a while as highs struggle up to the low and mid 40s. Warmer conditions with a lot of clouds this weekend and then a good chance of rain into early next week!

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum (approaching 90 members!). http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

Did You Know? I send this update out semi regularly via email! To get it send and email to midatlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I also send a Severe Weather Alert when we need it. To get it mid-atlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I am considering a tropical only list as well.

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Forecast text and graphics from National Weather Service. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.

Snow Showers Very Possible Today!

Snow Showeres becoming more likely today!
A burst of snow shower activity may accompany a vigorous wave of energy this afternoon! Do not be surprised to see rain and snow showers (Moe likely snow in the north and in higher elevations) this afternoon! It will turn breezy as well!
 
This week there has been a pattern shift and that shift could lead to the first significant snow and ice events starting next week! I will keep you posted!
 
All for now!
 
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Saturday, January 06, 2007

Record warmth! Coming to an end! Colder air is coming and I am thinking first SNOW threat of 2007 around the 15th - 17th I enjoyed the warmth, but I am upset that winter is not winter! On top of that! I got a new weather station today! I am excited to use it and I want to measure SNOW! Anyways, heavy rains tomorrow night will pose some flooding threats and even possible thunderstorms. Far SE VA could get into severe weather again! I saw tornado warnings! Tomorrow we could see some spin in the atmosphere as well in the south, but winds would b the likely cause. This does seem to be the beginnings of changes. There are some indices switching in a more winter type set up. Winter Weather could visit as soon as the 15th! We will see. All for now!

Thursday, December 07, 2006

12/7 First Snow Flakes not out of the Question today

Just wanted to give people a heads up that this afternoon and evening may bring with it some snow showers, especially the further north you are. The western Slopes of the Mountains will see their first significant snows (3-6") and the higher Blue Ridge could see an inch or so.. the areas east of the mountains may also see their first few flakes. Longer term after a quick very cold shot tonight and tomorrow, a warmer/milder trend appears to be coming during next week!

All for now!

 
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Saturday, December 02, 2006


Colder air has arrived. Not quite as dramatic for immediate region but it was quite the snow depositor! My hopes of some snow have faded for the next week. Cold pattern holds a bit and then will break down! BTW.. Topped 70,000 all time hits today on Mid Atlantic Weather today! Thanks all!

Summary: Not a lot of time today. I just wanted to say we will get colder Monday and Tuesday, stay seasonably or slightly below through the end of the week and then the pattern appears to "Mild Up" to at or slightly above normal for a bit. Still need to keep an eye on the system close to the coast Monday. A cold rain at bets for far eastern spots, could see a quick mix in with sleet/snow... but nothing really.. at least that is the way I see it now. The other storm hope has all but disappeared!

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum. http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

Did You Know? I send this update out semi regularly via email! To get it send and email to midatlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I also send a Severe Weather Alert when we need it. To get it mid-atlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I am considering a tropical only list as well.

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Forecast text and graphics from National Weather Service. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.

Friday, December 01, 2006

12/1 High Risk of severe weather Today

A very dynamic weather day is on tap which will include a brief period of Showers and Thunderstorms which will contain very gusty winds. The Winds will be topping 60 mph. There is also the threat for Isolated Tornadoes. A High Wind Warning is also in effect for just regular high winds exceeding 50 mph in gusts.
 
Please Stay Alert today as the risk of severe is higher than normal and we will already be dealing with just high winds in general.
 
All for now!

 
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