Hurricane IRENE - Real threat! Time to prepare

Irene intensified this evening and is in rapid growth mode. Irene is likely to be a Category 3 or higher when she makes landfall. As of now, the SC/NC border looks like a close call for where she will come on shore. Then she will track through the Mid Atlantic, at least based on current model output! There will be some time to watch exact tracks, and areas in the Carolinas will be affected Thursday, then the central Mid Atlantic Friday, and then New England Saturday into Sunday.

This is a serious Hurricane. The Bahamas are likely to be seriously impacted. It is time to pray and prepare! This could be very bad! 

Stay tuned to media and weather outlets!

Another Hot and Steamy weekend ending in Severe - Tropical Threat looks South

We have a hot summer weekend on our hands with temps in the 90s. A chance of storms today and then a better chance tomorrow with a severe thunderstorm threat as well. Temps will drop to the 80s for Monday and stay there for the week. Southern VA and NC will see temps closer to and in the low 90s with a chance of an afternoon or evening thunderstorm. A return to storm possibilities returns area wide Thursday.

The Tropics are ACTIVE! Harvey is a strong and strengthening tropical storm that is about to come ashore at Belize. Then we have Incest 97L which is very strong and I suspect will get upgraded to a Depression today or tomorrow, and a Storm not too long after. Where the future Irene goes now appears a threat to the Gulf and MAYBE Florida. There is a trough later this week that could pick up her or her remnants and enhance rain along the East Coast. We will have to watch. Further out a few more lows are showing early signs of organization and will need to be watched.

All for now!

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Is there a Hurricane Threat on the East coast - Model data says - MAYBE

We are a week away from the scenario, but models are consistently showing the new Invest (area of interest that may become a tropical system) strengthening and possibly becoming a hurricane and ultimately threatening the US. Where? Well, my gut would say Carolinas southward! YES, anywhere is possible, and no hurricane at all is possible. This far out you pay attention to consistency in models but exact details are not clear. A heads up that this is tropical storm season and we are nearing the height of the season. But I can bet you, if the threat is real, or even unreal, you will hear a ton about it on news and radio outlets. I will start analysis if this looks to threaten the area.

All for now!

Some relief but Hot air reloads for later this week

As a front continues to press towards the area more chances of rain should occur today. This could include heavy showers and storms with locally flooding rains. Temps will be in the low and mid 90s for the most part.

Dryer air will visit, at least the northern half of the area the next 2 days. Temps may still be up in the low and mid 90s, but the lower humidity will be nice. Thursday and Friday mark the return of the heat. Temps will again climb to near 100 degrees Friday. Temps will drop a bit next weekend as a chance for storms enters the forecast, but low and mid 90s looks to persist for all this week.

Of note, this will likely end up the hottest July on record. The previous hottest July on record was just last year! So back to back very hot summers!

All for now!

Not quite as Hot. Rain chances higher

We will see a front approach the area today. This should assist in the
creation of some showers and storms. While still very hot, we will
have a bit of cooling and highs will likely just hit the mid 90s
today. Some storms could be severe and contain heavy rain, high winds,
and hail.

Temps really pull back tomorrow with highs only in the mid and upper
80s. Even a better chance of storms.

Highs will still be in the low an mid 90s this week. They will be less
humid highs until Thursday. A front will approach this weekend and
knock temps down again by next Sunday.

All for now!

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Hot! There is a better chance of thunderstorms

So the heat continues. The only help we have had is that rain and thunderstorms have given some cooler clouds.Scattered showers and storms will again be possible today. We could see some local severe and local flooding as well in the storms. The hot weather will persist tomorrow, but again, with some clouds and rain chances will cool the temps some.

The same situation Monday. So temps will be more in the low and mid 90s north and mid and upper 90s.

More later!

 

Not much time - HOT and staying that way

Just be careful. Stay cool indoors. You get the idea if you step outside. Air Quality and temperatures are bad.

This is the repeat record that will play today, tomorrow, Saturday and even into next week!

Not a lot more to say!

Relief will truly arrive and knock temps to normal the 25th into the 26th time frame!

All for now!

Hazy Hot and Humid as it gets in the Mid Atlantic! When will we get a break?

Already steamy out there and temps are to peak around 95 degrees or so with Heat Index values topping out between 100 to 105. Temps will cool to the mid an upper 70s with heat indexes staying in the 80s overnight. An excessive Heat Watch which will turn to a warning tomorrow afternoon and will last until Saturday evening. Temps will hit near 100 tomorrow, 100 to 104 Friday, and around 100 to 104 Saturday. Heat Index values will be in the 110 - 115 range at their max and only in the mid 80s at best for lows! Now that is nothing to take lightly. Heat kills and already has quite a bit due to this heat wave. Please stay indoors during the heat of the day, drink plenty of fluids, and make sure others are well cooled as well like the elderly and sick. Seems obvious but it is really important!

So when is the true break? Best that I can tell is somewhere towards mid week next week. Tuesday Highs will start coming down in the north to the upper 80s, but still mid an upper 90s in the south half of the region. Wednesday looks the same, but could be the breaking day where as next Thursday we see first real relief. Brutal week ahead! AC's will be cranking and electric bills soaring!

All for now!

RH Johnson HVAC can help in Northern VA - CALL HIM IMMEDIATELY if you have AC issues. http://rhjohnsonhvac.com

Hot with a chance of severe - then brutally hot

The Storms Prediction Center (SPC) has highlighted southern VA and NC for a slight risk for severe today. The biggest threat will be Hail and Damaging winds. Hot conditions in the low and mid 90s with high dewpoints will make it feel close to 100. Still a small storm chances tomorrow with continued heat. The high pressure dome causing the heat will settle into the area and temps will jump another 5 to 8 degrees making 100 possible Thursday, Friday, and Saturday. Some may see it Sunday as well. Temps will come down some due to storm threats Sunday and then a front may make it down by Tuesday which will knock temps back to normal. That is the way it looks now.

Tropical Storm Brett will accelerate NE and he peaked yesterday with winds around 65 mph then. He is down to about 50 mp this AM. Models pointing at another possible system early next week.

All for now!


 

Dangerous Heat on the way - Maybe Thunderstorm today, Tomorrow, Wednesday

The Heat returns today with most seeing a low to mid 90s reading. Areas in PA. NY, NJ, and even MD may see some strong to severe storms later today.

Tomorrow a weak front will move across the VA, MD, DC area and may spawn some more strong showers and storms. It will still be hot and steamy with highs in the low and mid 90s.

Wednesday through Saturday look brutal. Highs will top out around 100 most of these days with heat index values Thursday, Friday, and Saturday topping the 110 degree mark and even a few coastal areas may see 115 to 120 Heat index readings! OPPRESSIVE.

Storms could make a return next Sunday and may be the step down in temps towards normal next week. I will have to watch and see if this happens or not. The Long Range forecasts still show Much Above to Above normal temperature outlooks. I am seeing some signs of a more normal heat outlook, but not certain at this time.

Tropical Storm Brett is slowly strengthening and will move NE and then East out to sea. The Bahamas will see the most effects from the storm as well as some high surf off the SE Coast of the US.

All for now!

Keep thanking RH Johnson HVAC for getting me ready for the heat! http://rhjohnsonhvac.com

 

Here is comes! HOT WEATHER! 1 more day of ok!

I keep warning that it is coming and really is! A serious heat wave is on the way. Temps will jump above 90 tomorrow and be there at least through next weekend! Temps will start approaching 100+ Thursday through Sunday. I am not seeing a break in the heat the following week wither.

So I am not kidding that it is time to get your AC fixed if it is not. Drink plenty of fluids, Just be prepared!

Monday could feature strong to severe storms helping to break the heat a bit, but really no relief.

I mentioned that the tropics were not active and then, an invest was named and a circulation. It currently has a 20% chance of development but may have a better chance in a day or so. It is east of FL. I will watch.

All for now!

I do still recommend R.H. Johnson HVAC if you need help with the AC! http://rhjohnsonhvac.com

2 more days and then a serious heat wave!

So, we are on the brink of another heat wave but have had some amazing days and will have a few more good days before it arrives. Heat will REALLY be bad this time. Much worse than last for the VA, MD, PA, NJ, DE area. Please make preparations now to get ready for serious heat. Heat Index and even actual temps will be at or above 100 from Wednesday on for Many!

Not much else to report!

Tropics look quiet. Maybe something to watch middle part of next week.

All for now!

Of note - I am going to promote R.H. Johnson Heating and Air Conditioning as he is highly recommended by a good friend. http://rhjohnsonhvac.com/ Get your AC fixed now! He is helping me tomorrow!

What a relief - Building heat says it will not be too long of one

We have to enjoy the next several days of lower heat and humidity! I really am thankful we have it! It will not be long before we will see the sweltering heat in the central part of the nation come east and rival the heat we just had. That will be in full effect, probably by next Wednesday. We will, in the meantime, have a nice set of days with highs in the 80s and lower temps! Enjoy!

Just plain HOT! AND Dangerous!

The temps will soar to near 100 degrees. The humidity will combine with the heat to send heat indexes into the 110s! This is NOT a day to stay outdoors. Get into cooling centers or help others to do so! A late day shower or storm MAY break the heat and with all the moist atmosphere around, some severe is possible.

The temps will still top out in the 90s tomorrow, but the humidity will definitely be less and going down through the day. The week into the weekend promises a great relief with highs headed back to the mid 80s and dewpoints being much lower.

Hang in there and stay cool!

All for now!

Heat is coming, then somewhat nice!

After a somewhat less hot weekend. A return to the muggies is coming,
poor air quality, and temps approaching 100 Tuesday. Storms will
hopefully interrupt the heat Tuesday, especially up in the north but
the temps and humidity should make it feel like 100 even if the temps
do not make it.

North: Temps will cool to much better an tolerable levels after a
frontal passage Tuesday. Mid 80s will be the rule into the weekend
from what I can tell.

Southern half of VA -. Similar, but the front does not clear until
Wednesday and one more day of temps around 90. Then Thursday and
Friday have temps in the mid 80s. Upper 80s by next weekend.

Further South in NC: Temps to 100 possible Tuesday and Wednesday with
storms Wednesday bringing Cooler mid and upper 80s into the weekend.

All for now.

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Nice day with higher heat and humidity on the way!

The weekend has been awesome weather wise. It will end in the 80s for most today. Temps will start to rise with higher humidities tomorrow. Temps will soar into the 90s and stay there for Central and south VA and all of NC.

Storms chances will increase tomorrow, and last at least through Thursday. Isolated severe is always possible.

In the tropics a system that emerges in the Bay of Campache may be able to achieve tropical depression status before it could help drench parts of drought stricken Texas. Not so sure it can develop too much.

All for now!

Some storms for Father's Day

Happy Father's day! My dad passed this year, but I have to say that it is my dad that fostered my love for weather! Listening to storms roll in on the back of our screened porch in Richmond is an awesome memory! Happy Father's day dad! We will have some storms today. The Storm Prediction Center has half the lower part of the state under a slight risk for severe. This will need to be monitored. Scattered storms today.

Things will heat up tomorrow until Thursday. A strong front should be coming into the area Thursday and Friday which will need to be monitored for Severe. This will cool temps from the low and mid 90s all week to low and mid 80s Friday into Saturday.

All for now.

HOT weather continues

Life became hectic again so updates slowed. Sorry all. Temps continue
WAY above normal, but I see a break coming and, this time, that break
may last a week or so. Until then expect heat and hunidity with
afternoon showers and storms today, Saturday, and Sunday. Storms may
be severe so we will need to stay alert. Highs in the low and mid 90s
today, upper 80s north to mid 90s south Saturday and Sunday. Highs
will drop to around 80 North to the upper 80s south Monday as cooler
air settles in for a while. The Monday forecast should repeat through
Thursday of next week with drier air and high 80 to 85 north and 85 to
90 south.

All for now.

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Lower humidities and cooler north - slipping south tomorrow!

A front came through and dew points are dropping and temps feel
Comfortable, especially up here in Northern VA! Temps will drop into
the 40s and 50s for many tonight! That is news worth celebrating after
record highs and stifling humidities. Temps will be in the mid 80s
north but still 90 to 95 south half of VA and into NC.
Tomorrow highs will be 80 to 85 north and central areas, while NC
still sees upper 80s.

Mid 80s return north with mid and upper 80s central and around 90 south.

90s south and mid and upper 80s north on Sunday. That trend looks to
hold until Wednesday of next week.

All for now.

Of note: Tropics have an area of interest in the southwestern
Caribbean sea. Slow development is possible for this system.

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Strong to severe weather with heat!

So we will see temps again in the 90 to 95 degree range with strong to
severe storms later this afternoon. Temps will come down quite a bit
tomorrow but we will really notice the lower humidity. Temps will be
85 to 90. Temps in the 80 to 85 degree range for Friday and Saturday
looks nice. Highs will jump to upper 80s to low 90s Sunday with
another chance of storms.

Stay cool and stay alert for possible Severe.

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