Wednesday, February 22, 2006

2/22 Some Areas of heavy/moderate snow and accumlations

Snow is falling rather moderately to sometimes heavy north and western regions! Reports in the far west and slightly elevated areas have 3-5". There appears to be a chance that grassy areas could have 1-2" where it is snowing moderately now!
 
When snow is moderate and heavy, slushy to snow covered roads have been reported! Stay safe. I can see the western edge of the precipitation on radar advancing eastward so things will likely end between 10 and 11 am.

 
Great School in Northern Virginia. http://www.ambleside.org

Tuesday, February 21, 2006

2/21 Increased Risk for Light Snow Tomorrow

There is an increased risk of light snow in the morning tomorrow as a southern weather disturbance passes through the area. The increased risk will be for areas where precip begins before sunrise. The reason for increasing the risk is the colder temperatures that are already in place as the area is under ideal radiational cooling. Best risk of light accumulations would be Virginia west of a Charlottesville to Roanoke line. I am not expecting more that a dusting to an inch in these areas, but roads could be cold making commutes rough. For the rest of the area, the risk is there that precip could start before dawn. If it does, allow extra time as small events like these are usually the roughest commutes! Once the sun is up, temps appear to rise to start melting and even could transition precip to rain in areas. IF precip begins before sunrise, the rise in temps could be slower.
 
Be careful!
 
Of note, we will have the coldest air of the season Sunday and Monday followed by a continues cooler than normal period. In the 7-10 day period there are signals of a potential significant winter storm!
 
All for now!
 
Great School in Northern Virginia. http://www.ambleside.org

Saturday, February 18, 2006

2/18 Light Snow possible today

Already snowing in Southwestern VA and western NC. Expect up to an inch in most spots. In Southwestern 1-3" with isolated 4" amounts higher elevations seems possible. Best accumulations will be on car tops and grassy areas!
 
Snow chances best from Charlottesville to Fredericksburg to Salisbury and south. Best chance of Accumlations, 30 miles either side of a Dublin to Roanoke to Richmond line.
 
up to an inch possible.
 
1-3" Southwestern VA where snow started around sunrise!
 
All for now!
 
Great School in Northern Virginia. http://www.ambleside.org

Friday, February 10, 2006

2/11 2/12 Final Call

2/11 2/12 Final Call
 
Hagerstown: 4-8”
Frederick, MD: 4-8”
Montgomery, MD: 5-9”
Baltimore: 6-10”
D.C: 6-10” (Maybe some sleet/rain at start)
Dulles: 4-8” (Maybe some sleet)
Fredericksburg: 6-10” (Maybe some sleet)
Salisbury: 1-3” then Rain
Richmond: 3-6” (Mixing with rain and sleet)
Williamsburg 1-3” (Mixing with sleet and rain)
Emporia: Mix then rain
VA Beach: Rain (Sorry stormy!  sad )
Martinsburg: 3-6” (Some Sleet)
Roanoke: 3-6”
Charlottesville: 4-8”
Leesburg: 4-8”
 
Heaviest snow arrives morning far SW
Late Morning Southwest
1-4 PM Richmod and Fredericksburg
5-8 PM DC and Baltmore
 
 
 
or
 
 
 
Great School in Northern Virginia. http://www.ambleside.org

2/10 SIGNIFICANT SNOWSTORM CONTINUES ON TRACK FOR THIS WEEKEND

SIGNIFICANT SNOWSTORM CONTINUES ON TRACK FOR THIS WEEKEND

 

What: All models are showing what should become a significant snow storm for the mid Atlantic Region this weekend.

 

When: Starting overnight Friday in the southwestern regions and spreading over the northern areas by late afternoon Saturday

 

How Much: Well, ranges in precip come in between 3-6” (Further South and west) and  4-8” (Further North and even east).. Some areas **COULD** see amounts in the 10” range.

Where:

I-95 areas and about 40 miles either side of it may be the jackpot areas until you get midway between Richmond and Fredericksburg, where you should pull the rain/snow line back west to western North Carolina.

Southeastern Virginia, from Just west of Richmond to Danville and the areas east should see a mix and the closer to the coast a changeover to rain. (Like Williamsburg to the Eastern Shore and Lower Southern Maryland)

 

This will be fine tuned… and I hope a map later tonight.

 

Amount Highlights:

Hagerstown: 3-6”

Frederick, MD: 3-6”

Montgomery, MD: 3-6”

Baltimore: 4-8”

D.C: 3-6” (Maybe some sleet/rain at start)

Dulles: 3-6” (Maybe some sleet)

Fredericksburg: 3-6” (Maybe some sleet)

Salisbury: 1-2” then Rain

Richmond: 1-2” (Mixing with rain and sleet)

Williamsburg 1-2” (Mixing with sleet and rain)

Emporia: Trace then rain

VA Beach: Few flakes then rain

Martinsburg: 3-6” (Some Sleet)

Roanoke: 3-6”

Charlottesville: 3-6”

Leesburg: 3-6”

 

Hopefully this gives you some idea of my thoughts!

 

 

Concerns:

  1. System bombing out and timing will make all the difference! I am thinking Maryland near Baltimore could be closer to 10”+ amounts
  2. The speed of movement is in question to an extent. Speed will make all the difference as well.
  3. A dry slot could develop in areas which will drop amounts
  4. time of day is not favorable for best accumulations.
  5. Any convective activity will up amounts in some regions… yes… Thundersnow!
  6. Still worried about a Southeastward shift in storm track. One of the latest models confirmed this concern.

 

All for now!

 www.midatlanticweather.com


 

Great School in Northern Virginia. http://www.ambleside.org

Thursday, February 09, 2006

SIGNIFICANT SNOWSTORM ON TRACK FOR THIS WEEKEND

SIGNIFICANT SNOWSTORM ON TRACK FOR THIS WEEKEND

 

What: All models are showing what should become a significant snow storm for the Mid Atlantic Region this weekend.

 

When: Starting overnight Friday in the southwestern regions and spreading over the northern areas by late afternoon Saturday

 

How Much: Well, ranges in precip come in between 3-5” for a large area with some higher spots likely seeing 4-8”. It does appear that there will be a sharp cut off on the western edge so the mountains and westward may really miss the heavier snows as well as the immediate piedmont areas of Western Maryland and Northern Virginia. Please note there could be some higher amounts within the jack pot areas as well. A lot to watch!

 

Where:

I-95 areas and about 30 miles either side of it may be the jackpot areas until you get just south of Richmond where you should pull the rain/snow line back west to western North Carolina.

Southeastern Virginia and the areas east of 30 miles or so east of I-95 should see a mix and the closer to the coast a changeover to rain.

Western and north of areas from Leesburg down to Charlottesville and then Southwestward towards Bristol could see a rapid drop off in snow amounts, but this is too detailed and could change

 

This will be fine tuned.

 

Concerns:

  1. True model Consensus is not there yet.
  2. Amounts will be hard to determine until the models handle some of the phasing of the systems better
  3. Could see a further north and west pull of warm air if the system gets stronger, thus putting I-95 corridor in jeopardy of a changeover
  4. There is also the possibility the storm stays further South and East which would limit Northern and Western area snows.. As noted, there could be a sharp cut off in snow to the west.

 

All for now!

 

Jimmy

http://www.midatlanticweather.com

 

Great School in Northern Virginia. http://www.ambleside.org

Wednesday, February 08, 2006

2/8 Winter Storm Is Possible This Weekend!

Latest Models and trends show a moderate risk for a significant snow storm this weekend. This is the first model run to have consensus on the system, and there are many questions concerning the storm! I will do an official alert later tonight or early tomorrow morning. For now you can read the eveolution of this system at http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/index.php?topic=1008.0
 
All for Now
 
Great School in Northern Virginia. http://www.ambleside.org

Wednesday, February 01, 2006

2/1 DC/MD/VA Quick Weather Outlook

To all who have asked if winter was coming back, the answer is YES... The pattern began its change in the last 24 hours that will mean a return to colder (not necessarily cold) conditions next week and at least 2 (maybe 3) risks of snow storms in the next 10 days ( February 7 and February 10) ... Possibly even this Saturday night, but that one is a long shot... 
 
Things are not set in stone, but a pattern change is in the works!
 
Great School in Northern Virginia. http://www.ambleside.org

2/1 Return To Winter

To all who have asked if winter was coming back, the answer is YES... The pattern began its change in the last 24 hours that will mean a return to colder (not necessarily cold) conditions next week and at least 2 (maybe 3) risks of snow storms in the next 10 days ( February 7 and February 10) ... Possibly even this Saturday night, but that one is a long shot... 
 
Things are not set in stone, but a pattern change is in the works!
 

Tuesday, January 24, 2006

1/24 DC/MD/VA Weather Outlook


yes, I have been bored by the weather! Sorry, as I have remained busy in life too! Weather takes a more normal turn the next couple of days, followed by a milder trend. Signs point to possibilities of wintry weather next week, but will it be cold enough?


Summary:  I am going to TRY and do better! I must admit the weather dictates a lot of the way I post. I am sorry as I am not as often to be a Fair Weather poster! The weather remains milder than normal for the most part, with January ready to finish 4 or more degrees above normal for a lot of people! That being said, some heavy snows will fall in the higher elevations of Western Virginia as an upslope snow event takes place. This would be western facing mountains, but a few flurries could make it over. This would be tonight into tomorrow. The culprit is a clipper system that will usher in normal temps and breezy conditions for the region.  As noted, we start to mild up this weekend and another system may affect us around Saturday with more rain. Just to be mentioned, there is a **POSSIBILITY** of a storm next week that could be wintry for parts of the region. The concern will be getting cold air here, but it is nice to see real potential on the models again!

 

   

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum. The community has grown to 41 members. http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

 

Did you know? I send this update out semi regularly via email! To get it send and email to midatlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I also send a Severe Weather Alert when we need it. To get it mid-atlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I am considering a tropical only list as well.

 

 

Forecast text and graphics from National Weather Service. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.


 
Great School in Northern Virginia. http://www.ambleside.org

Tuesday, January 17, 2006

1/17 DC/MD/VA Weather Outlook

WINDY RAINS,  COOLER BRIEFLY. WHEN WILL COLD COME BACK?


I have been busy again and thus the lack of writing here. Life seems to go faster when you get older and then things that bring you enjoy do not get the time they need to do it well. I will probably only post during bigger events, but boy did I miss last weekend. Looks like a repeat is about to happen, though the ending as snow is unlikely this time, thunderstorms will be a big player.

 

The chance does exist for gusty winds and even isolated tornadoes again as the dynamics will be strong, though maybe not as much thunder.

 

Winds will usher in colder temperatures again, but they are likely to head to normal in less than 24 hours!

 

What is the deal? Well, the NAO has gone positive (strongly), the Sea Surface Temperatures are not favorable for negative turns. The Arctic Oscillation showed signs of potential colder pattern flip near the end of the month… I think it will, but it is hard to tell. The warmer temps look to remain until the last few days. The storms every couple of days will likely continue, but there may be a chance of something next week… Tuesday time frame.. that may be worth watching!

 

Hopefully things will get interesting for snow lovers soon!

 

All for now!

 

 

 

 
Great School in Northern Virginia. http://www.ambleside.org

Thursday, January 12, 2006

1/10 DC/MD/VA Weather Outlook


Signs of a La Nina year really have been apparent in pattern, and now realized by the Climate Prediction Center. The winter could have some really cold snaps left in it, but dry.. more likely, not much weather for snow and usually paints to a dry lower plains! A big rain and winds storm on tap this weekend but milder temps will likely return next week.


Summary:  Wow is it warm. Kind of reminds me of last January which was warmer than this if you can believe it! The pattern is not showing signs of change, but a large wind and rain maker appears on its way for this weekend. I had real hopes this would be the pattern changer! It does not appear it will be! Canada gets colder and a strong Pacific jet just hinder our chances of a good colder weather pattern. Some encouragement is a Negative NAO possible in February based on the Climatology of La Nina patterns.

 

See this PPT on current La Nina conditions: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/anal...s-fcsts-web.ppt

 

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum. Our community has grown to 40 members and surpassed 8400 posts!. We have even added a Meteorologist (a friend of mine). Please join those who have so we can get good feedback and regional coverage. http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

 

Did you know? I send this update out semi regularly via email! To get it send and email to midatlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I also send a Severe Weather Alert when we need it. To get it mid-atlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com

 

Need a Hosting Solution? My host is incredible. Now offering 60 GB of storage and 300 GB of transfer a month, unlimited email addresses, ftp accounts, and unlimited number of domain names pointing to the same server,  I have found nothing better! Also, reliable as ever! http://www.vodahost.com?a_aid=0048a41a

 

Forecast thoughts are those of Mid Atlantic Weather and should never e used for official forecasts. Please rely on official forecasts by the National Weather Service or other agencies for life and property decisions. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.

 


 
Great School in Northern Virginia. http://www.ambleside.org

1/10 DC/MD/VA Weather Outlook

Signs of a La Nina year really have been apparent in pattern, and now realized by the Climate Prediction Center. The winter could have some really cold snaps left in it, but dry.. more likely, not much weather for snow and usually paints to a dry lower plains! A big rain and winds storm on tap this weekend but milder temps will likely return next week.


Summary:  Wow is it warm. Kind of reminds me of last January which was warmer than this if you can believe it! The pattern is not showing signs of change, but a large wind and rain maker appears on its way for this weekend. I had real hopes this would be the pattern changer! It does not appear it will be! Canada gets colder and a strong Pacific jet just hinder our chances of a good colder weather pattern. Some encouragement is a Negative NAO possible in February based on the Climatology of La Nina patterns.

 

See this PPT on current La Nina conditions: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/anal...s-fcsts-web.ppt

 

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum. Our community has grown to 40 members and surpassed 8400 posts!. We have even added a Meteorologist (a friend of mine). Please join those who have so we can get good feedback and regional coverage. http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

 

Did you know? I send this update out semi regularly via email! To get it send and email to midatlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I also send a Severe Weather Alert when we need it. To get it mid-atlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com

 

Need a Hosting Solution? My host is incredible. Now offering 60 GB of storage and 300 GB of transfer a month, unlimited email addresses, ftp accounts, and unlimited number of domain names pointing to the same server,  I have found nothing better! Also, reliable as ever! http://www.vodahost.com?a_aid=0048a41a

 

Forecast thoughts are those of Mid Atlantic Weather and should never e used for official forecasts. Please rely on official forecasts by the National Weather Service or other agencies for life and property decisions. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.

 


 
 
Great School in Northern Virginia. http://www.ambleside.org

Tuesday, January 10, 2006

1/10/2006 DC/MD/VA Weather Outlook

Signs of a La Nina year really have been apparent in pattern, and now realized by the Climate Prediction Center. The winter could have some really cold snaps left in it, but dry.. more likely, not much weather for snow and usually paints to a dry lower plains! A big rain and winds storm on tap this weekend but milder temps will likely return next week.


Summary: Wow is it warm. Kind of reminds me of last January which was warmer than this if you can believe it! The pattern is not showing signs of change, but a large wind and rain maker appears on its way for this weekend. I had real hopes this would be the pattern changer! It does not appear it will be! Canada gets colder and a strong Pacific jet just hinder our chances of a good colder weather pattern. Some encouragement is a Negative NAO possible in February based on the Climatology of La Nina patterns.

See this PPT on current La Nina conditions: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/anal...s-fcsts-web.ppt

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum. Our community has grown to 40 members and surpassed 8400 posts!. We have even added a Meteorologist (a friend of mine). Please join those who have so we can get good feedback and regional coverage. http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

Did you know? I send this update out semi regularly via email! To get it send and email to midatlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I also send a Severe Weather Alert when we need it. To get it mid-atlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com

Need a Hosting Solution? My host is incredible. Now offering 60 GB of storage and 300 GB of transfer a month, unlimited email addresses, ftp accounts, and unlimited number of domain names pointing to the same server, I have found nothing better! Also, reliable as ever! http://www.vodahost.com?a_aid=0048a41a

Forecast thoughts are those of Mid Atlantic Weather and should never e used for official forecasts. Please rely on official forecasts by the National Weather Service or other agencies for life and property decisions. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.

Wednesday, January 04, 2006

1/4 DC/MD/VA Weather Outlook

 

Mild weather will give way to colder temps this weekend. Things look to warm up again next week. A few weather memories and the Tropics too!

 

 

Outlook: Weather remains on the warmer than normal side until Friday when a polar front does make it through the area and send our readings to about or just below normal. Looking. This system bears some watching, as it will have the possibility of spinning some moisture towards the coast. It is ** Possible ** that the system could become more intense and cause some snow for the region, but, the models have been persistent in bringing the feature off shore. It does appear that the temps will moderate again next week with another chance of rain next Thursday timeframe.

 

Some interesting things weather wise: Tropical Storm Zeta is out in the Atlantic and is maintaining a strong Tropical Storm Status at 65 mph. The system will likely maintain strength and it could even strengthen. The system has defied forecasters as it was believed to fall apart very quickly, but has strengthened when it was believed it would weaken. If it becomes a Hurricane it will be the firstly ever to have formed in the Atlantic in January!

 

The reason for our mild weather has been the Pacific Jet that threatens to be a big player the rest of winter. In such a pattern it is hard to buck the jet stream dramatically for big storms. That being said, the storms that do show up can be very moist…and if the right combo occurs, good snows can occur. December was anomalous in its cold, but now I feel my winter forecast is in line with the pattern. December was a bust for me, but I think a milder than normal winter with short intrusions of cold air and a chance for above normal snows because of the moisture will be in the cards the rest of winter.. but I am no meteorologist.. and I hope it is colder than I think.

 

Remembering 1996 (10 years ago!), a warm week is suddenly plummeted to cold and a strong storm, forecast by many models on the Polar Jet, suddenly jumps to the Arctic Jet on American models about 36 hours before the event (The EURO was on it earlier) and we had a big snow! I lived in Oakton, VA and my roommate bet me it would not snow 18 inches or he would clean my car off the rest of the winter! He made good on the bet as we shoveled the 18 inches form my car! What an awesome event!

 

Well that is all for now!

 

 

Great School in Northern Virginia. http://www.ambleside.org/

 

 


 
Great School in Northern Virginia. http://www.ambleside.org

Saturday, December 31, 2005

Look at the weather:
 
Normal to above normal temps with rain chances continuing. We have just a few showers today. Pretty cool temps today, but seasonal.
 
Another chance of rain Monday after a Sunday of slightly above normal temps.
 
Then yet more rain chances Mid Week. There is a colder shot coming Friday and This coming weekend and there are a few things to watch, but I am not convinced of snow yet.
 
Honestly I am not sure the cooler/colder pattern will last. We will have to wait and see.
 


Great School in Northern Virginia. http://www.ambleside.org


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Wednesday, December 28, 2005

12/28 DC/MD/VA Weather Outlook

Quick Update, because it has been too long!
 
After a very cold Month, we did  big switch in temperatures right in time for Christmas. Thus a rainy Christmas and quite the quiet down on the web site. I am sorry! After one last that will keep me from posting, I hope to get back into the swing of things!\
 
Some quick thoughts:
Why did we warm? The Undercutting of the ridge on the west coast (+PNA) pattern broke down. This has allowed the Pacific jet to really crank and cause a succession of storms to hit the west coast ad transverse the country. These storms are energetic and mild as they bring Pacific air and not arctic air.
 
Another low comes through tonight and tomorrow and then more rain/showers are expected on Saturday.
 
When will it change? There re strong hints that the end of next week could bring changes and a return to wintry weather. It is so far out, but worth noting!
 
All for today! More to come starting Friday!


Great School in Northern Virginia. http://www.ambleside.org


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Thursday, December 15, 2005

12/15 Winter Weather Alert

Significant Icing likely for some. I-95 areas should be spared the worst

 
Cold air has really stuck well in many areas. Anyone east of the Mountains and in the Mountain valleys up to about 25 miles west of  I-95 from Baltimore to Fredericksburg and then 25 miles west of a line from Fredericksburg to Danville should see a significant Ice storm! Ice accrual will be .25 to .5”, which will be substantial enough for power outages and definitely driving problems. About 25 miles either side of that same line could see .15 to .20” of accrual. This will be hazardous as well, but also will be limited by a turnover to rain later today or this evening.
 
The Mountains from Hot Springs area northward should see a 3-6” snow with mixing of sleet a freezing rain as well. That snow will help offset some of the worst issues with the ice.
 
 
For many areas in the Southwestern Part of the state, the precipitation has already begun.
 
I expect the Northern areas will see precipitation by noon.
Precip will start as snow for most, and then mix over quickly to sleet and then Freezing rain.
 
Be Careful!
 
 


Great School in Northern Virginia. http://www.ambleside.org


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Wednesday, December 14, 2005

12/14 Winter Weather Alert: UPDATED

Winter Weather Event will likely cause problems in the Mountains, and with commutes
 
What?
A Mixture of Snow and Sleet as well as freezing rain will hamper the Morning commute tomorrow, but the extent of the frozen precip will be lessened as the storm system is expected to run more inland as it comes towards the area. Expect most areas to see a brief mix with a quick turnover to rain. This will not be as likely far western sections of Maryland
 
A very Heavy rain event tomorrow evening for areas that see ice outside of far western Mayland and Far western Virginia, this will likley melt it!
 
Where?
Most areas will see a quick shot of some sleet and snow quickly changing to rain and freezing rain. Freezing rain will persist in the mountainous areas especially the valleys, of Virginia and Maryland. Some higher elevation of far western areas will see snow (VA and MD) and then some Ice. Snow in central and Western Pennsylvania, though Far SW PA will see a mix and even rain for a while. This storm will not be a big icing event east of the mountains.
Some thoughts on amounts:
Western Maryland (Hagerstown) could see 2-4”.. then sleet and freezing rain.. west of and including this region could see a significant Ice Storm
 
Far Western Loudoun: 1-2” Snow then Sleet and Freezing rain and rain ..
Shenandoah valley, North of Hot Springs: 1-2” snow.. then ice and sleet.. to rain.. back to snow briefly
Coastal plains east of I-95 will see little mix to quick rain.
 
I-95 cities and west to immediate Piedmont, north of Fredericksburg could see a light coating
 
Cites west of a Fredericksburg to Lynchburg line could see some coating of ice early, then a mix over to rain.
 
 
When? Starting Thursday Early Morning South overspreading northern areas by Late Morning
 
Comments: This system has taken on much more of a warm look. The issue will be that a little precip will cause huge problems tomorrow as it is these minor events that can snarl traffic for hours!  The Ground, especially in Northern Virginia, is frozen and many stations are reporting road temps below freezing. Long and short.. not a big event, but a big headache is possible tomorrow morning depending on when the storm starts
 
As noted, I do not have time to update the mp, but it looks wrong now!
 
Of Note: Large potential Snow Storm early next week! Details are still being worked out!


Great School in Northern Virginia. http://www.ambleside.org


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Tuesday, December 13, 2005

12/13 DC/MD/VA Winter Weather Alert

What?
Significant Icing event. Moderate Icing event and Light Icing event
Some Accumulating Snows
 
Where?
Significant Icing: Immediate Piedmont: Maryland, Virginia, North Carolina
Major Icing: Immediate Piedmont to 35 miles west of I-95; Maryland, Virginia
North  Carolina : West Central NC
Light Icing: I-95 to about 35 miles west of  I-95: West Central NC
Snows: Higher elevations of Northern Virginia and Western Maryland. A large Part of Pennsylvania, West 40 miles west of I-95
 
When? Starting Thursday Early Morning South overspreading northern areas by Late Morning
 
Comments: Tough call in many ways. A lot of precip will fall over very shallow cold air. The Warm air appears to truly Surge over the area and warm areas close to or above freezing. There is a chance for significant rains as well. If things stay frozen, ice storm conditions could be reached by a lot more areas than what I am indicating on my first guess map. May issue a follow up call tomorrow night.. but my guess may be all the time I have to do.
 
 
Of Note: Large potential Snow Storm early next week!


Great School in Northern Virginia. http://www.ambleside.org


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