Irene made landfall at about 7:30 AM - She is kicking in a lot of heavy rain and severe weather now for VA, MD, and NC. She has kicked precipitation way west! I suspect Flood Watched on and east of I-95 to become Flood Warnings. Tornado watches all along the coast with many rotating thunderstorms capable of tornadoes, and winds along the coast to cause extensive damage. Expect Flood watches to extend to to about 35 miles west of I-95 if trends continue.
The threat moves up the coast all day!
Stay alert! Be careful! Do NOT try and drive through flooded roadways! Do NOT put yourself in harms way!
All for now!
Saturday, August 27, 2011
Friday, August 26, 2011
Quick Update
Storm looks like it will come in a bit west of forecast tracks in NC, and also appears to be getting a bit better organized in the last our or so. Southwest side looks ragged, but it ay be re-organizing. I will keep watching and update sometime this afternoon.
Thoughts still look the same to me. Will try and pinpoint more later tonight.
All for now!
Thoughts still look the same to me. Will try and pinpoint more later tonight.
All for now!
Irene temporarily weaker - Do not let it fool you! More later!
The below still looks good. I will try and get more specific later today!
NC - Friday/Saturday - Major Impact - Serious situation for Outer Banks and eastern part of the state. Please heed evacuation requests. A category 2 or 3 hurricane is serious and has not been something that has been experienced in a long while - Outer Banks should not be occupied when she comes through!
VA - Saturday/Sunday - Eastern VA will feel the effects of the storm especially from the coast to about 50 miles inland. Again, heed evacuation requests. Eastern Shore especially vulnerable
Maryland - Saturday/Sunday - Serious impacts along coast to about 50 miles inland. Eastern Shore is the most vulnerable.
Delaware - Saturday/Sunday - All of Delaware to be effected. The coast is obviously the most vulnerable
Pennsylvania - Sunday/Monday - Mainly eastern areas and this will be wind and rain.
NJ - Sunday/Monday - Major impacts, especially along the coast. High winds and heavy rains likely.
As a reminder - it is Aeration and seeding season and my friend runs The Aeration Corps. Check them out - http://www.theaerationcorps.com/
NC - Friday/Saturday - Major Impact - Serious situation for Outer Banks and eastern part of the state. Please heed evacuation requests. A category 2 or 3 hurricane is serious and has not been something that has been experienced in a long while - Outer Banks should not be occupied when she comes through!
VA - Saturday/Sunday - Eastern VA will feel the effects of the storm especially from the coast to about 50 miles inland. Again, heed evacuation requests. Eastern Shore especially vulnerable
Maryland - Saturday/Sunday - Serious impacts along coast to about 50 miles inland. Eastern Shore is the most vulnerable.
Delaware - Saturday/Sunday - All of Delaware to be effected. The coast is obviously the most vulnerable
Pennsylvania - Sunday/Monday - Mainly eastern areas and this will be wind and rain.
NJ - Sunday/Monday - Major impacts, especially along the coast. High winds and heavy rains likely.
--------------------------------
Irene strengthening and headed North
Current outlook from yesterday holds! Watch out coast and inland about
50 miles for VA and NC.
50 miles for VA and NC.
Will update more in the AM!
--
Sent from my mobile device
Thursday, August 25, 2011
Severe weather today. Irene to be weekend spoiler!
Today will be hot. The storm complex in the Midwest is headed this way
and showers and storms, especially Northern VA, DC, MD, PA, and NJ,
could be here before noon. Storms may also be severe and the Storm
Prediction center has northern VA and up into the Northeast in a
slight risk for severe today.
and showers and storms, especially Northern VA, DC, MD, PA, and NJ,
could be here before noon. Storms may also be severe and the Storm
Prediction center has northern VA and up into the Northeast in a
slight risk for severe today.
Hurricane Irene is serious threat, and models have shifted enough to
make me worried. Eastern half of VA, NC, MD,PA, NC - all of NJ and DE
should start to seriously prepare! Power outages and storm damage are
a good possibility! Prepare now and heed all evacuation requests!
More to come!
Do not forget that it is aeration and seeding season! My good friend
at The Aeration Corps can help out! http://theaerationcorps.com
--
Sent from my mobile device
Wednesday, August 24, 2011
Irene Now a category 3 (MAJOR) Hurricane - I-95 and east has highest threat
Irene has made it to a Category 3 Hurricane, 115 mph winds, which is MAJOR on the Saffir Simpson Scale (http://chps.sam.usace.army.mil/USHESdata/saffirscale.htm)
NC - Friday/Saturday - Major Impact - Serious situation for Outer Banks and eastern part of the state. Please heed evacuation requests. Likely to be more widespread tomorrow morning. A category 2 or 3 hurricane is serious and has not been something that has been experienced in a long while - MAKE PREPARATIONS TODAY AND EVACUATE. Outer Banks should not be occupied when she comes through!
VA - Saturday/Sunday - Eastern VA will feel the effects of the storm especially from the coast to about 50 miles inland. Again, heed evacuation requests. Eastern Shore especially vulnerable
Maryland - Saturday/Sunday - Serious impacts along coast to about 50 miles inland. Eastern Shore is the most vulnerable.
Delaware - Saturday/Sunday - All of Delaware to be effected. The coast is obviously the most vulnerable
Pennsylvania - Sunday/Monday - Mainly eastern areas and this will be wind and rain.
NJ - Sunday/Monday - Major impacts, especially along the coast. High winds and heavy rains likely.
NC - Friday/Saturday - Major Impact - Serious situation for Outer Banks and eastern part of the state. Please heed evacuation requests. Likely to be more widespread tomorrow morning. A category 2 or 3 hurricane is serious and has not been something that has been experienced in a long while - MAKE PREPARATIONS TODAY AND EVACUATE. Outer Banks should not be occupied when she comes through!
VA - Saturday/Sunday - Eastern VA will feel the effects of the storm especially from the coast to about 50 miles inland. Again, heed evacuation requests. Eastern Shore especially vulnerable
Maryland - Saturday/Sunday - Serious impacts along coast to about 50 miles inland. Eastern Shore is the most vulnerable.
Delaware - Saturday/Sunday - All of Delaware to be effected. The coast is obviously the most vulnerable
Pennsylvania - Sunday/Monday - Mainly eastern areas and this will be wind and rain.
NJ - Sunday/Monday - Major impacts, especially along the coast. High winds and heavy rains likely.
--------------------------------
As a reminder - it is Aeration and seeding season and my friend runs The Aeration Corps. Check them out - http://www.theaerationcorps.com/
Tuesday, August 23, 2011
Updates on Timing: Irene! I was way off!
Still looking like Irene will be a serious threat to the area, especially east of I-95 and for the coast as She will be a Hurricane as she come through.
Irene is likely to be a Category 3 or higher when she makes landfall. As of now, the SC/NC border looks like a close call for where she will come on shore, but more likely Southeastern NC based on latest model trends. Then she will track through the Mid Atlantic, at least based on current model output! There will be some time to watch exact tracks, and areas in the Carolinas will be affected Friday into Saturday, then the central Mid Atlantic Saturday into Sunday, and then New England Sunday into Monday.
Irene is likely to be a LARGE hurricane as well. This means her affects will be felt west of the center.
Irene is likely to be a Category 3 or higher when she makes landfall. As of now, the SC/NC border looks like a close call for where she will come on shore, but more likely Southeastern NC based on latest model trends. Then she will track through the Mid Atlantic, at least based on current model output! There will be some time to watch exact tracks, and areas in the Carolinas will be affected Friday into Saturday, then the central Mid Atlantic Saturday into Sunday, and then New England Sunday into Monday.
Irene is likely to be a LARGE hurricane as well. This means her affects will be felt west of the center.
This is a serious Hurricane. The Bahamas are likely to be seriously impacted. It is time to pray and prepare! This could be very bad!
Stay tuned to media and weather outlets!
Monday, August 22, 2011
Hurricane IRENE - Real threat! Time to prepare
Irene intensified this evening and is in rapid growth mode. Irene is likely to be a Category 3 or higher when she makes landfall. As of now, the SC/NC border looks like a close call for where she will come on shore. Then she will track through the Mid Atlantic, at least based on current model output! There will be some time to watch exact tracks, and areas in the Carolinas will be affected Thursday, then the central Mid Atlantic Friday, and then New England Saturday into Sunday.
This is a serious Hurricane. The Bahamas are likely to be seriously impacted. It is time to pray and prepare! This could be very bad!
Stay tuned to media and weather outlets!
Saturday, August 20, 2011
Another Hot and Steamy weekend ending in Severe - Tropical Threat looks South
We have a hot summer weekend on our hands with temps in the 90s. A chance of storms today and then a better chance tomorrow with a severe thunderstorm threat as well. Temps will drop to the 80s for Monday and stay there for the week. Southern VA and NC will see temps closer to and in the low 90s with a chance of an afternoon or evening thunderstorm. A return to storm possibilities returns area wide Thursday.
The Tropics are ACTIVE! Harvey is a strong and strengthening tropical storm that is about to come ashore at Belize. Then we have Incest 97L which is very strong and I suspect will get upgraded to a Depression today or tomorrow, and a Storm not too long after. Where the future Irene goes now appears a threat to the Gulf and MAYBE Florida. There is a trough later this week that could pick up her or her remnants and enhance rain along the East Coast. We will have to watch. Further out a few more lows are showing early signs of organization and will need to be watched.
All for now!
HAVE TO SHARE! Aeration season is upon us as well as time to plant grass! YES, FALL is the best time to get the lawn re-seeded and aeration helps the soil get the nutrients needed for a great Lawn. Serving Northern VA, Aeration Corps is run by a very good friend of mine! Mention you heard about it on Mid Atlantic Weather! The Aeration Corps! http://www.theaerationcorps.com/ (also able to handle Landscape needs)
The Tropics are ACTIVE! Harvey is a strong and strengthening tropical storm that is about to come ashore at Belize. Then we have Incest 97L which is very strong and I suspect will get upgraded to a Depression today or tomorrow, and a Storm not too long after. Where the future Irene goes now appears a threat to the Gulf and MAYBE Florida. There is a trough later this week that could pick up her or her remnants and enhance rain along the East Coast. We will have to watch. Further out a few more lows are showing early signs of organization and will need to be watched.
All for now!
HAVE TO SHARE! Aeration season is upon us as well as time to plant grass! YES, FALL is the best time to get the lawn re-seeded and aeration helps the soil get the nutrients needed for a great Lawn. Serving Northern VA, Aeration Corps is run by a very good friend of mine! Mention you heard about it on Mid Atlantic Weather! The Aeration Corps! http://www.theaerationcorps.com/ (also able to handle Landscape needs)
Thursday, August 18, 2011
Is there a Hurricane Threat on the East coast - Model data says - MAYBE
We are a week away from the scenario, but models are consistently showing the new Invest (area of interest that may become a tropical system) strengthening and possibly becoming a hurricane and ultimately threatening the US. Where? Well, my gut would say Carolinas southward! YES, anywhere is possible, and no hurricane at all is possible. This far out you pay attention to consistency in models but exact details are not clear. A heads up that this is tropical storm season and we are nearing the height of the season. But I can bet you, if the threat is real, or even unreal, you will hear a ton about it on news and radio outlets. I will start analysis if this looks to threaten the area.
All for now!
All for now!
Monday, July 25, 2011
Some relief but Hot air reloads for later this week
As a front continues to press towards the area more chances of rain should occur today. This could include heavy showers and storms with locally flooding rains. Temps will be in the low and mid 90s for the most part.
Dryer air will visit, at least the northern half of the area the next 2 days. Temps may still be up in the low and mid 90s, but the lower humidity will be nice. Thursday and Friday mark the return of the heat. Temps will again climb to near 100 degrees Friday. Temps will drop a bit next weekend as a chance for storms enters the forecast, but low and mid 90s looks to persist for all this week.
Of note, this will likely end up the hottest July on record. The previous hottest July on record was just last year! So back to back very hot summers!
All for now!
Dryer air will visit, at least the northern half of the area the next 2 days. Temps may still be up in the low and mid 90s, but the lower humidity will be nice. Thursday and Friday mark the return of the heat. Temps will again climb to near 100 degrees Friday. Temps will drop a bit next weekend as a chance for storms enters the forecast, but low and mid 90s looks to persist for all this week.
Of note, this will likely end up the hottest July on record. The previous hottest July on record was just last year! So back to back very hot summers!
All for now!
Sunday, July 24, 2011
Not quite as Hot. Rain chances higher
We will see a front approach the area today. This should assist in the
creation of some showers and storms. While still very hot, we will
have a bit of cooling and highs will likely just hit the mid 90s
today. Some storms could be severe and contain heavy rain, high winds,
and hail.
creation of some showers and storms. While still very hot, we will
have a bit of cooling and highs will likely just hit the mid 90s
today. Some storms could be severe and contain heavy rain, high winds,
and hail.
Temps really pull back tomorrow with highs only in the mid and upper
80s. Even a better chance of storms.
Highs will still be in the low an mid 90s this week. They will be less
humid highs until Thursday. A front will approach this weekend and
knock temps down again by next Sunday.
All for now!
--
Sent from my mobile device
Saturday, July 23, 2011
Hot! There is a better chance of thunderstorms
So the heat continues. The only help we have had is that rain and thunderstorms have given some cooler clouds.Scattered showers and storms will again be possible today. We could see some local severe and local flooding as well in the storms. The hot weather will persist tomorrow, but again, with some clouds and rain chances will cool the temps some.
The same situation Monday. So temps will be more in the low and mid 90s north and mid and upper 90s.
More later!
The same situation Monday. So temps will be more in the low and mid 90s north and mid and upper 90s.
More later!
Thursday, July 21, 2011
Not much time - HOT and staying that way
Just be careful. Stay cool indoors. You get the idea if you step outside. Air Quality and temperatures are bad.
This is the repeat record that will play today, tomorrow, Saturday and even into next week!
Not a lot more to say!
Relief will truly arrive and knock temps to normal the 25th into the 26th time frame!
All for now!
This is the repeat record that will play today, tomorrow, Saturday and even into next week!
Not a lot more to say!
Relief will truly arrive and knock temps to normal the 25th into the 26th time frame!
All for now!
Wednesday, July 20, 2011
Hazy Hot and Humid as it gets in the Mid Atlantic! When will we get a break?
Already steamy out there and temps are to peak around 95 degrees or so with Heat Index values topping out between 100 to 105. Temps will cool to the mid an upper 70s with heat indexes staying in the 80s overnight. An excessive Heat Watch which will turn to a warning tomorrow afternoon and will last until Saturday evening. Temps will hit near 100 tomorrow, 100 to 104 Friday, and around 100 to 104 Saturday. Heat Index values will be in the 110 - 115 range at their max and only in the mid 80s at best for lows! Now that is nothing to take lightly. Heat kills and already has quite a bit due to this heat wave. Please stay indoors during the heat of the day, drink plenty of fluids, and make sure others are well cooled as well like the elderly and sick. Seems obvious but it is really important!
So when is the true break? Best that I can tell is somewhere towards mid week next week. Tuesday Highs will start coming down in the north to the upper 80s, but still mid an upper 90s in the south half of the region. Wednesday looks the same, but could be the breaking day where as next Thursday we see first real relief. Brutal week ahead! AC's will be cranking and electric bills soaring!
All for now!
RH Johnson HVAC can help in Northern VA - CALL HIM IMMEDIATELY if you have AC issues. http://rhjohnsonhvac.com
So when is the true break? Best that I can tell is somewhere towards mid week next week. Tuesday Highs will start coming down in the north to the upper 80s, but still mid an upper 90s in the south half of the region. Wednesday looks the same, but could be the breaking day where as next Thursday we see first real relief. Brutal week ahead! AC's will be cranking and electric bills soaring!
All for now!
RH Johnson HVAC can help in Northern VA - CALL HIM IMMEDIATELY if you have AC issues. http://rhjohnsonhvac.com
Tuesday, July 19, 2011
Hot with a chance of severe - then brutally hot
The Storms Prediction Center (SPC) has highlighted southern VA and NC for a slight risk for severe today. The biggest threat will be Hail and Damaging winds. Hot conditions in the low and mid 90s with high dewpoints will make it feel close to 100. Still a small storm chances tomorrow with continued heat. The high pressure dome causing the heat will settle into the area and temps will jump another 5 to 8 degrees making 100 possible Thursday, Friday, and Saturday. Some may see it Sunday as well. Temps will come down some due to storm threats Sunday and then a front may make it down by Tuesday which will knock temps back to normal. That is the way it looks now.
Tropical Storm Brett will accelerate NE and he peaked yesterday with winds around 65 mph then. He is down to about 50 mp this AM. Models pointing at another possible system early next week.
All for now!
Tropical Storm Brett will accelerate NE and he peaked yesterday with winds around 65 mph then. He is down to about 50 mp this AM. Models pointing at another possible system early next week.
All for now!
Monday, July 18, 2011
Dangerous Heat on the way - Maybe Thunderstorm today, Tomorrow, Wednesday
The Heat returns today with most seeing a low to mid 90s reading. Areas in PA. NY, NJ, and even MD may see some strong to severe storms later today.
Tomorrow a weak front will move across the VA, MD, DC area and may spawn some more strong showers and storms. It will still be hot and steamy with highs in the low and mid 90s.
Wednesday through Saturday look brutal. Highs will top out around 100 most of these days with heat index values Thursday, Friday, and Saturday topping the 110 degree mark and even a few coastal areas may see 115 to 120 Heat index readings! OPPRESSIVE.
Storms could make a return next Sunday and may be the step down in temps towards normal next week. I will have to watch and see if this happens or not. The Long Range forecasts still show Much Above to Above normal temperature outlooks. I am seeing some signs of a more normal heat outlook, but not certain at this time.
Tropical Storm Brett is slowly strengthening and will move NE and then East out to sea. The Bahamas will see the most effects from the storm as well as some high surf off the SE Coast of the US.
All for now!
Keep thanking RH Johnson HVAC for getting me ready for the heat! http://rhjohnsonhvac.com
Tomorrow a weak front will move across the VA, MD, DC area and may spawn some more strong showers and storms. It will still be hot and steamy with highs in the low and mid 90s.
Wednesday through Saturday look brutal. Highs will top out around 100 most of these days with heat index values Thursday, Friday, and Saturday topping the 110 degree mark and even a few coastal areas may see 115 to 120 Heat index readings! OPPRESSIVE.
Storms could make a return next Sunday and may be the step down in temps towards normal next week. I will have to watch and see if this happens or not. The Long Range forecasts still show Much Above to Above normal temperature outlooks. I am seeing some signs of a more normal heat outlook, but not certain at this time.
Tropical Storm Brett is slowly strengthening and will move NE and then East out to sea. The Bahamas will see the most effects from the storm as well as some high surf off the SE Coast of the US.
All for now!
Keep thanking RH Johnson HVAC for getting me ready for the heat! http://rhjohnsonhvac.com
Sunday, July 17, 2011
Here is comes! HOT WEATHER! 1 more day of ok!
I keep warning that it is coming and really is! A serious heat wave is on the way. Temps will jump above 90 tomorrow and be there at least through next weekend! Temps will start approaching 100+ Thursday through Sunday. I am not seeing a break in the heat the following week wither.
So I am not kidding that it is time to get your AC fixed if it is not. Drink plenty of fluids, Just be prepared!
Monday could feature strong to severe storms helping to break the heat a bit, but really no relief.
I mentioned that the tropics were not active and then, an invest was named and a circulation. It currently has a 20% chance of development but may have a better chance in a day or so. It is east of FL. I will watch.
All for now!
I do still recommend R.H. Johnson HVAC if you need help with the AC! http://rhjohnsonhvac.com
Saturday, July 16, 2011
2 more days and then a serious heat wave!
So, we are on the brink of another heat wave but have had some amazing days and will have a few more good days before it arrives. Heat will REALLY be bad this time. Much worse than last for the VA, MD, PA, NJ, DE area. Please make preparations now to get ready for serious heat. Heat Index and even actual temps will be at or above 100 from Wednesday on for Many!
Not much else to report!
Tropics look quiet. Maybe something to watch middle part of next week.
All for now!
Of note - I am going to promote R.H. Johnson Heating and Air Conditioning as he is highly recommended by a good friend. http://rhjohnsonhvac.com/ Get your AC fixed now! He is helping me tomorrow!
Thursday, July 14, 2011
What a relief - Building heat says it will not be too long of one
We have to enjoy the next several days of lower heat and humidity! I really am thankful we have it! It will not be long before we will see the sweltering heat in the central part of the nation come east and rival the heat we just had. That will be in full effect, probably by next Wednesday. We will, in the meantime, have a nice set of days with highs in the 80s and lower temps! Enjoy!
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