Thursday, December 16, 2004

12/16 VA/MD/DC Weather Outlook

Snow chances still there, but really not looking like a big event for DC/MD/VA as the low will not be as far south as the American Model (GFS) is showing. NWS said that there was a chance of a blizzard in the Mid Atlantic! I am mentioning this, but trust me,  a clear picture will not be resolved until the GFS is much closer to the event. Not saying there is no chance, but my read on the situation is that we do not need to be too concerned at this time. The real effect will be an extremely cold and blustery Monday with potential flurries. Now, next week continues to bear watching as the Sunday storm sets up  the pattern for better chances of a system affecting us!

 

Summary:

A day back to Normal or above after a very cold morning! Cloudy skies Friday will push us back to just normal or slightly below, then normal for Saturday. Sunday will see increasing clouds, and some very light snow possible at night (western facing slopes will see some accumulations). Monday will feel the coldest of the season, and it could be! I would not be surprised to see many high in the low 30s!

 

Today: SW: 45-55 SE: 45-55 N: 45-55

Slight Moderation to normal temperatures. Some increasing cloudiness

 

Friday: SW: 45-55 SE: 45-55 N: 40-50

Cloudy.. temps a bit colder.

 

Saturday: SW: 45-55 SE: 40-50 N: 40-50

Partly cloudy and seasonal.

 

Sunday: SW: 40-50 SE: 40-50 N: 35-45

Increasing clouds. Light snow showers possible by days in out west and everywhere overnight, though more possible in the North. PLEASE STAY INFORMED AS THIS COULD CHANGE, ESPECIALLY NORTHEASTERN AREAS OF MARYLAND!

 

Monday: SW: 35-45 SE: 35-45 N: 28-35

Windy day! Wind chills in the teens in many areas as the New England Blizzard rages! Light snow showers possible especially in the North. PLEASE STAY INFORMED AS THIS COULD CHANGE, ESPECIALLY NORTHEASTERN AREAS OF MARYLAND!

 

Long Term:

The NAO appears to go negative and a 50/50 low sets and there is a storm that will possibly approach next Thursday! White Christmas????? Maybe! And maybe in places where you would not expect.. Southern Va?

 

Really quick: Importance of a 50/50 low from http://www.wxrisk.com at http://www.wxrisk.com/SECS/5050/50-50.htm

 

The NAO and its importance: http://www.geocities.com/donsutherland1/NAO.html

 

 

All for now!

 



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