Saturday, February 27, 2010
SNOW ALARMS sound - Chances of snow increasing!
BIG STORM ON THE WAY??!
Thursday, February 25, 2010
Sorry for the DIRE snow prediction - I really missed bad on this one!
Wednesday, February 24, 2010
Thinking Wind is the bigger threat and Not snow
stay tuned as models are not always right! 40 to 60 mph winds are
possible Thursday into Friday.
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Sent from my mobile device
NOON Thoughts
DC - 2- 5" - Blizzard conditions MAY be met
VA:
Dulles - 2 - 4" - Blizzard conditions MAY be met
Leesburg - 1-3" - Blizzard conditions MAY be met
Fairfax - 2 - 5" North half of county/ 1-3" south! - Blizzard conditions MAY be met
Arlington - 2 - 5" - Blizzard conditions MAY be met
Richmond - 2" on grass
MD:
Baltimore - 5 - 9" - Blizzard
Bel Air - 6 - 10" - Blizzard
Columbia - 4 - 8" Blizzard
I will update LATE this evening and may have a map!
All for now!
Tuesday, February 23, 2010
BLIZZARD conditions to be met for a large part of Maryland an a little of Northern Virginia! - First Guesses on some points!
Also, light snows possible all the way down in Richmond and along coastal plains of VA as the storm passes by - General 1 - 3" possible, mainly on grass
3" puts DC at snowiest February on record!
As of now my first Guess:
DC - 3- 5" - Blizzard conditions
VA:
Dulles - 2 - 4" - Blizzard conditions
Leesburg - 1-3" - Near or Blizzard conditions
Fairfax - 3 - 5" North half of county/ 1-3" south! - Blizzard
Arlington - 3 - 5" - Blizzard
Richmond - 2" on grass
MD:
Baltimore - 6 - 10" - Blizzard
Bel Air - 7 - 12" - Blizzard
Columbia - 4 - 8" Blizzard
All the time I have for now! These are first GUESSES! This will be a tough one.
Blogger at http://midatlanticweather.blogspot.com
BLIZZARD CONCERNS GROWING!
This will be a Blizzard! More to come!
Monday, February 22, 2010
Rain today - Rain tapering overnight and some clearing - Some snow "Possible" later this week - A final big one?
Thursday is interesting as the whole region could see a bit of light snow activity but it could be more prominent south, if temps are cold enough. I do not see a serious threat for us. That system goes to the Northeast and becomes a HUGE system with a blizzard and feet of snow for parts of New England. Should keep us breezy and cool.
Next week a system *COULD* come up from the south and be quite the snow maker. This is all dependent on how the end of the week works out with the current system.
Sorry for the quick posts, but that is all I have for now!
Sunday, February 21, 2010
Not an easy forecast week on tap - Mild/Seasonal day ahead!
All for now!
Blogger at http://midatlanticweather.blogspot.com
Thursday, February 18, 2010
To snow or not to snow? OHH it is not easy!
What in the world to do with Monday's system.
I am LESS impressed with it! It has been flipping back and forth between a snow to rain, barely much, rain, and, at one point, even a snowy system on models.
What does this say?
Well, in most years, I would conclude, if it is so hard to get snow storm on a model, it will not happen! But, this year we have some things that have helped it be a snowier outcome! My conclusion, It will likely be some snow, possibly significant, but probably not an ALL snow system! Now, this is NORTHERN Virginia and Maryland that I think *COULD* have significant snow. Some areas will see a snow to start, and then a turn over to rain.
How much?
I am very concerned about the amount of rain! IF we get a lot, flooding and house leaks will be something serious we will have to deal with! I DO expect this will be the case! Flood watches and warnings will end up being posted!
Could it be all snow?!
POSSIBLY, but i would point only to the Northern 1/3rd of VA and Western 2/3rds of Maryland as the possible snow area!
What is next?!
A little colder conditions set up next week for us, but a real Arctic invasion may be in store for the nation. THIS MAY set up a bigger snow storm later next week, but, ironically, a lot depends on the outcome of Monday's system!
So I have a lot of questions remaining. I would suspect that in the next 24 hours I will have a better grasp of this. What i do know is that something is likely Monday!
All for now!
Tuesday, February 16, 2010
Big storm on the Horizon?
Pattern says it is right, Models now just starting to see a potential
big storm. Yes, snow will be a big factor in the storm. Where? This
now looks in the major category (10+ inches)
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Sent from my mobile device
Monday, February 15, 2010
Small amounts of snow today - Cold start - Cool week - Long term - Maybe another big storm?
This week will remain in the mid 30s to mid 40s for the most part. This weekend looks clear at this point, but the pattern is still there so I will watch for possible storminess. If not this weekend in the not too distant future it appears another snow system could affect us.
All for now!
Wednesday, February 10, 2010
ALL TIME SEASONAL SNOWFALL RECORDS FALL!
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
300 PM EST WED FEB 10 2010
...PRELIMINARY ALL-TIME SEASONAL SNOWFALL RECORDS SET AT THE
THREE MAJOR CLIMATE SITES IN THE BALTIMORE-WASHINGTON AREA...
AS OF 2 PM TODAY...WITH THE 9.8 INCH TWO-DAY SNOWFALL TOTAL MEASURED
AT RONALD REAGAN WASHINGTON NATIONAL AIRPORT...THE SEASONAL SNOWFALL
TOTAL IN WASHINGTON DC STANDS AT 54.9 INCHES. THIS WOULD BREAK THE
PREVIOUS ALL-TIME SEASONAL SNOWFALL RECORD FOR WASHINGTON DC OF 54.4
INCHES SET IN THE WINTER OF 1898-99. OFFICIAL SNOWFALL RECORDS FOR
WASHINGTON DC DATE BACK 126 YEARS TO 1884.
AS OF 1 PM TODAY...WITH THE 11.9 INCH TWO-DAY SNOWFALL TOTAL
MEASURED AT BALTIMORE/WASHINGTON INTERNATIONAL THURGOOD MARSHALL
AIRPORT...THE SEASONAL SNOWFALL TOTAL IN BALTIMORE STANDS AT 72.3
INCHES. THIS WOULD BREAK THE PREVIOUS ALL-TIME SEASONAL SNOWFALL
RECORD FOR BALTIMORE OF 62.5 INCHES SET IN THE WINTER OF 1995-96.
OFFICIAL SNOWFALL RECORDS FOR BALTIMORE DATE BACK 118 YEARS TO 1893.
FINALLY...AS OF YESTERDAY...THIS YEARS SEASONAL SNOWFALL TOTAL AT
DULLES INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT STOOD AT 63.5 INCHES. THIS WOULD BREAK
THE PREVIOUS SEASONAL SNOWFALL RECORD OF 61.9 INCHES SET IN 1995-96.
AS OF 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON...THE TWO-DAY SNOWFALL TOTAL AT DULLES IS
8.5 INCHES...WHICH WOULD MAKE THIS YEARS SEASONAL SNOWFALL TOTAL
72.0 INCHES. OFFICIAL SNOWFALL RECORDS FOR DULLES DATE BACK 48 YEARS
TO 1962.
THESE PRELIMINARY STORM TOTALS ARE AS OF THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
10 FEB 2010...AND WILL BE UPDATED AFTER THE CURRENT SNOW HAS ENDED.
AS WITH ANY MAJOR CLIMATE RECORD ACHIEVEMENT...THESE PRELIMINARY
RECORDS WILL BE QUALITY CONTROLLED BY NOAA`S NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA
CENTER OVER THE NEXT FEW MONTHS.
$$
KLEIN/ZUBRICK/LEE
Tuesday, February 09, 2010
Snow is on the way!
Quick thoughts on totals (within 2 inches either side of the number):
Dulles - 7
Leesburg - 10
DC - 8
Baltimore - 14
Fredericksburg - 3
Charlottesville - 3 (maybe up to 5)
Towson - 16
York PA - 16
Frederick MD - 11
Front Royal - 11
One other important ingredient of this storm will be the strong winds. Winds will increase towards teh end of teh storm and make for considerable blowing an drifting. Be safe!
All for now!
Blogger at http://midatlanticweather.blogspot.com
Monday, February 08, 2010
latest from NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE!!!!
Issued by The National Weather Service
Baltimore/Washington, MD
3:04 pm EST, Mon., Feb. 8, 2010
.... WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.
* PRECIPITATION TYPE... SNOW.
* ACCUMULATIONS... 10 TO 20 INCHES.
* TIMING... MID-AFTERNOON TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
* TEMPERATURES... TEMPERATURES NEAR FREEZING AT THE ONSET TUESDAY AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP INTO THE UPPER 20S TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.
* WINDS... LIGHT SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS TUESDAY BECOMING NORTHWESTERLY 15 TO 25 MPH WEDNESDAY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THE COMBINATION OF SNOW AND STRONG WINDS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS.
get ready :)
LUKE
Initial Tuesday thoughts
Eastern, and especially Northeastern Maryland to see the most and I am
thinking 5 to 9 inches there. Preliminary thoughts. We will have ice
concerns Valleys and immediate Piedmont all the way to NC.
All for now.
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Sent from my mobile device
Sunday, February 07, 2010
Winter Storm Watches posted
Winter Storm watches have been posted due to the impact on our region!
What an amazing year! 70 inches of snow so far in my back yard!
All for now!
WOW! WOW! WOW! What an amazing snow storm! I hate to say more is probably on the way for some!
Do not hate the messenger, but Northern Virginia is starting to look under the gun for a snow, to sleet, back to snow event starting Tuesday. As of now this could be another significant winter storm with snow exceeding 4" in many places already buried under a ridiculous amount of snow. A return to much colder temps also looks possible. This could mean 2 things - the snow track is further south, but the snow is not going anywhere fast! Of note I will be watching a southern system for next weekend as well, but I THINK this will go far enough south to spare the region.
This is all I have for now.
Thursday, February 04, 2010
Within 4 inches too LOW or to HIGH! 0m my points -
Points -
Baltimore - 23
Dulles - 25
Washington DC - 25
Manassas - 26
Charlottesville - 27
Dover - 28
Annapolis - 29
Woodbridge - 28
Stafford - 24
Charlottesville - 27
Richmond - 10 - sleet in the middle - Storm Sandwich
Lycnchburg - 15 - some sleet
Roanoke 15 inches - Sleety
Williamsburg - 12 - A lot sleet in the middle
Petersburg - 5 - Dry Slot
Clarification on Big Snow possibilities
MAJOR WINTER STORM COMING!!!!
MORE TO COME
***LUKE ***
Wednesday, February 03, 2010
DC - 16"
Dulles - 20"
Charlottesville - 20"
Fredericksburg - 15"(Some sleet)
Richmond - 7" with a lot of sleet
Roanoke - 8" - Sleet and freezing rain too
Frederick Maryland -20"
Baltimore - 22"
Bowie - 22"
Annapolis - 22"
Dover 22"
I also have concern that NC will see a serious/severe ice storm in some of the valleys. ALSO, flooding in Southeastern VA and a lot of North carolina that has snow pack is possible!
Serious situation!
HISTORIC EAST COAST SNOWSTORM ON THE WAY!
I am working on a map for this!
More to come!
Tuesday, February 02, 2010
Major East Coast Snow could be a possible Historical East Coast Snow
Friday into Saturday looks great for a snow lover like me! Snow amounts in the northern part of Virginia, Central and Western Maryland, and on up into New Jersey could see totals approach 20 inches. This is especially true west of I-95. South and east of a Charlottesville, Dulles, Baltimore line will very likely see a mix of sleet and even rain further east. This will then all end as snow for most places.
This will be a very big storm.. heavy precipitation is also likely. People under a lot of snow that end up with rain may see some flooding rains! If you have a lot of snow, please be certain you have cleared drains so that run off does not back up against your house. Coastal flooding also looks likely in this one due to the duration.
When will this thing arrive. It will start Friday - mid to late day and overspread the region. This has shown some speed fluctuation so we will have to see what comes of this!
I am not trying to over worry folks, but another storm looks possible next week, and, this one could affect us mid week. This will be something to watch and could be big. After this I am seeing the possibility of a serious cold set up for a bit!
What a winter! ALL for now!
Blogger at http://midatlanticweather.blogspot.com
Winter storm warnings posted
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Sent from my mobile device
Happy Ground Hog day - Snow on the way! Bit more snow tan first thought for some!
Areas west of I-95 - 15 miles east of a line from Charlottesville to Dulles and westward to the mountains and beyond could see 2 to as much as 4" of snow. The higher amounts likely immediate Piedmont and mountains.
Areas south on I -95 a mix of sleet and rain will occur, but Southwestern VA and western NC will see a mix of sleet, snow, and freezing rain. Please be careful!
The Weekend system is setting up as a northwestern 2/3rds of the state. Due to a bit of warmer conditions I would set this more in line with the totals from the December 19th storm for these areas. Along I - 95 from Fredericksburg and going down to Richmond will see a mixing scenario. It is possible that the mixing will go west of this, but the snow totals will be impressive.
This will again likely be a MAJOR storm and some areas could again approach 20" or more of snow!
Please stay alert today as the snow moves in for the evening rush up north.
All I have for now
Blogger at http://midatlanticweather.blogspot.com
Winter weather alert in track - maybe a bit more than expected
Areas west of I-95 - 15 miles east of a line from Charlottesville to Dulles and westward to the mountains and beyond could see 2 to as much as 4" of snow. The higher amounts likely immediate Piedmont and mountains.
Areas south on I -95 a mix of sleet and rain will occur, but Southwestern VA and western NC will see a mix of sleet, snow, and freezing rain. Please be careful!
The Weekend system is setting up as a northwestern 2/3rds of the state. Due to a bit of warmer conditions I would set this more in line with the totals from the December 19th storm for these areas. Along I - 95 from Fredericksburg and going down to Richmond will see a mixing scenario. It is possible that the mixing will go west of this, but the snow totals will be impressive.
This will again likely be a MAJOR storm and some areas could again approach 20" or more of snow!
Please stay alert today as the snow moves in for the evening rush up north.
All I have for now!
Monday, February 01, 2010
Winter weather alert for Snow and a mix
There will be a period of wintry weather starting as early as tomorrow morning for areas of Southwestern VA and Western NC. Down there there will mainly be a mix of sleet, freezing rain, and some snow is possible as you head north. As the system moves through snow will also break out through the state. Along I-95 this will be a mix and then end as some snow. The Piedmont from Roanoke to Charlottesville and up to Dulles airport and inch or two of snow may occur!
This weekend's storm looks very impressive. So much so, I am just trying to raise awareness. I am concerned of 2 things!
1. We will see the biggest snows of the season! Areas that saw up to 2 feet on December 19th, may see a storm that is BIGGER than this!
2. A mix along and east of I-95 which will cause a big decrease in snow amounts!
Please be alert of the snow tomorrow and be expecting winter weather this weekend!
All for now!
Blogger at http://midatlanticweather.blogspot.com
WEEKEND STORM
*** luke***
Tuesday threat for snow/mix increasing - Big Storm this weekend leaves some questions
Tomorrow and tomorrow night. The amount of precipitation is a bit questionable but some areas could see 2 to 4 inches and we also have a freezing rain threat along the Piedmont of North Carolina and southern Virginia. Please stay tuned on this.
Seasonably cold temps will remain the rest of the week as I watch what will happen this weekend. I am not exactly sure honestly. I am trying to get a handle on what the models are saying. We honestly could see snow, snow to rain, a mix to rain, or a miss of the east coast (unlikely for the whole region)
This is about all I have time for now. I may have to raise a snow alert late today for tomorrow!
All for now!