Tuesday, June 22, 2010

Hottest Spring on Record - more to come!

Spring sprung with a lot of heat! Richmond has had 21 days of 90 or
above, and DC is nearing 16. It is not hard to determine how hot the
summer will be. Very hot. The area is likely to see temps at or above
100 tomorrow for many and heat advisories and excessive heat warnings
have been issued. Hard to believe that a record snowy year is setting
hottest year as well!

The Atlantic is hot too! The Caribbean has an impressive tropical wave
and may spawn a tropical depression.

Air Quality has been bad and some areas have issues code red
(Richmond) tomorrow!

The theme of the summer will be played out the next 2 weeks. Many
tropical systems, heat waves, will be the headlines!

More to come!

--
Sent from my mobile device

The heat rolls on - AIr quality poor - Severe threat

Another HOT day today with highs reaching the low and mid 90s. There
is a chance of storms later today, especially across the North. Some
storms could be severe so the SPC has outlined the Northern Half of
VA, MD, Northern WV, DC, NJ, and PA for a Slight chance of Severe
weather.

Hotter conditions seem likely tomorrow and Thursday with Highs
reaching the mid and upper 90s. Thursday could see many reaching 100.
Also, the humidity is likely to increase.

News will be updated later highlighting the regions warmest Spring on
record. http://news.midatlanticweather.com

Tropics: Signs are pointing to a caribbean development in the next few
days. Long term models SCARE me with a hit in the Gulf

All for now!

--
Sent from my mobile device

Monday, June 21, 2010

Welcome Summer! Heat goes on!

And the heat continues today with highs 90 to 95 for most and not much in the chance of rain department. Tomorrow and Wednesday's heat could be worse with temps hitting the mid and upper 90s for many! Tomorrow afternoon and evening look to begin a breakdown in the drying "cap" on the atmosphere and a daily 30 - 40% chance of rain enters the picture. This rain chance should continue until the weekend when we will continue hot, but dry.

The tropics are a little busy. 92L is sticking together, though not very organized. It may have a chance to strengthen some when it emerges into the Gulf. Models are picking up on a possible development in the Caribbean in the next week. We will have to watch and see.

All for now.

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Sunday, June 20, 2010

Happy Father's Day! HOT!

The air quality is poor and it will feel like low 100s today as the
streak of 90s will persist! Highs Tuesday may hot 100 for some. A
stray storm cannot be ruled out, but Wednesday through Saturday could
hold some relieving showers and storms.

And Mid Atlantic Weather will continue to grow! Weather news stories
and News about Mid Atlantic Weather can now be found at
http://news.midatlanticweather.com

All for now!

Jimmy

--
Sent from my mobile device

Friday, June 18, 2010

Hot streak is coming

90 degree+ weather on the way to stay! Yesterday was nice - lower
humidity, a nice breeze, at least in Northern VA. Today will still be
less humid with temps in the north still in the 80s. Temps from
Central VA south will still be in the 90s. 90 and above temps will
also be felt by all, except the mountains and immediate coastal areas,
from Saturday to at least Thursday of next week. By Saturday
afternoon, Humidity will also return. Air Quality is also likely to
deteriorate.

Tropics have a potent wave over the Lesser Antilles, but I am not
expecting development at this time.

Just Lazy, Hazy and Crazy days of summer ahead!

--
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Thursday, June 17, 2010

Hot stretch

Areas of Northern VA and north will see the mid and upper 80s today
and tomorrow while central and Southern VA, and NC continue their
stretch of 90s.

90 or above will be the daily highs starting today Saturday through at
least Wednesday of next week. Low to mid 90s north, and mid and Upper
90s South with even a chance at 100 Sunday Central and Southern VA,
and more likely NC.

Tough weather time ahead!

All for now!

--
Sent from my mobile device

Tuesday, June 15, 2010

Cooler North - Showers and storms in South VA and NC - More rain and Severe Risk tomorrow

The Front that came through the northern areas yesterday has stalled to the south and will be a focus of heavy raining showers and storms in Southern VA and NC today. SW VA and a large part of Southern WV have flood watches posted. Warmer air and humidity will stream back north tomorrow and severe storms are possible tomorrow as a front comes through the region again.
Temps in the low and mid 80s north and upper 80s to 90 south today and tomorrow.
Temps will stay in the 80s north for Thursday and approach 90 Friday.
Widespread 90s will persist in the south.
90s will be the rule for the whole area all weekend, and mid 90s to the south!
A hot and humid weekend will be in store for all and more storm chances Sunday North.  
Longer term is showing signs of a serious heat wave towards the end of the month and start of July.

The Tropics remain interesting. The 92L system has pulsed stronger overnight and may be a Tropical Depression. Its fate will be strong wind shear which will likely pull it apart within the next 48 hours. Another wave on its heels is being watched as well. See http://tropicalweather.blogspot.com for information.

Mid Atlantic Weather continues to grow!
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Monday, June 14, 2010

Very Hot and Humid with Isolated storms - heat relief coming!

We will see another scorcher today with highs in the lower and mid 90s. Heat Index values will likely be at 100 or above this afternoon. A front will be coming through and this should trigger some thunderstorms but its trajectory and dynamics will make it somewhat limited.
Off and on shower chances will occur tomorrow and more widespread, needed rains will visit Wednesday.

All for now!

Please follow the Breaking Weather on Twitter at http://twitter.com/breakingmawx

All for now!

Mid Atlantic Weather continues to grow!
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Sunday, June 13, 2010

Heavy rains likely this afternoon

We will likely repeat temps today across the area and have the risk of
heavy showers and storms due to the moist air mass. Some storms could
reach severe levels.

More showers and storms tomorrow before a cool down for a few days.

More later!

--
Sent from my mobile device

Saturday, June 12, 2010

Mid Atlantic Weather continues to grow!

Mid Atlantic Weather continues to grow!
Twitter at http://twitter.com/midatlanticwx
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Mid Atlantic Tropical Weather http://tropicalweather.blogspot.com/

HOTTER and More HUMID tomorrow!

It is gonna be a scorcher as we head to the low and mid 90s tomorrow with very high humidity! Temps will feel like 100 or close to it! We will also see thunderstorms fire again and some could be severe.
Monday will repeat this all over again before a few days of break in oppressive heat, but do not get used to it! More heat will build by Thursday as we again approach the 90 to 95 degree mark.

This is likely the pattern for Summer too! High heat and Humidity will be a repeat performance week after week with little respites between.

There is quite an interesting feature out in the Middle Atlantic as well and it may be the first tropical storm in a few days if it strengthens. Of note, middle and eastern Atlantic Tropical Storm formation most years is later in the season and the fall. This year temps are very warm so a tropical system could form out that far. This is the fear this year as well. The Atlantic is a very hot steam bath this year and will likely yield many storms. We can hope they stay at sea, though signs are there that this will be a bad year. I am serious when I ask for prayer this year as it could be very bad for many people.

All for now!

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Severe Weather possible this afternoon - Storms already marching East

Severe weather is possible with a system moving east through the area.

Some storms have popped severe weather. The Severe Storm Center has raised a Severe Thunderstorm Watch for a Large part of Eastern Virginia (just east of the Immediate Mountain Piedmont). A Severe Line of storms is marching east across the state! Please stay tuned to local News and Weather Outlets for Warnings.

All for now!

Jimmy

Friday, June 11, 2010

Hot and Steamy weather as well as heavy rains are coming

This weekend will really start heating up tomorrow with highs in the
upper 80s and low 90s. Heat index will also climb! A very heavy rain
tomorrow night seems possible and flash floods and heavy rains looks
to be on the way. Sunday and Monday will be miserable with high temps
90 to 95 and heat index values approaching and exceeding 100 degrees
both days.

Scattered showers and storms are also possible Sunday and Monday with
locally heavy rains. Cooler low and mid 80s will arrive Tuesday!

All for now!

Jimmy

--
Sent from my mobile device

Caroline Weather Center Forecast Update For Central VA (June 11)

http://www.carolineweathercenter.com/

Sunday, June 06, 2010

Caroline Weather Center Forecast Update For Central VA (June 6)

http://www.carolineweathercenter.com

Tornado Watches Posted for a large Part of PA, MD, Northern Half of VA, DE, NJ

Please stay very alert to the weather as a severe line of storms makes its way towards the region. Many storms are rotating which means they have the ability to produce a tornado. High winds and some hail is also possible! The line is coming into Western Maryland and NW VA now!

Please stay tuned to local news and weather outlets!

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Follow John Wheeler's tweets at
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Wednesday, June 02, 2010

Summer like weather remains - more storms tomorrow

Summer like conditions remain with highs around 90 today. Showers and
storms enter the area tomorrow and Friday. Temps in the mid and upper
80s those days.

Unsettled with a chance of storms through Sunday - highs remain in the
mid and upper 80s through Sunday.

--
Sent from my mobile device

Caroline Weather Center Forecast Update For Central VA (June 2)

http://www.carolineweathercenter.com/

Monday, May 31, 2010

Hot days of summer make it great POOL weather! Watch for storms!

Again, than you Vets! Hot conditions continue today with highs within a few degrees either side of 90 this afternoon. Showers and storms should fire up this afternoon but be scattered.
Tomorrow looks like a very good chance of showers and storms, some could be severe - temps will be in the 80s.
Upper 80s to around 90 again Wednesday with sunny skies.
Thursday will be back up to the 90 degree mark or more -
Friday looks to have the chance of storms return with highs still around 90.
Saturday may still hold a chance of storms but highs will be around the 80 to 85 degree mark north, still near 90 south.
Sunday looks nice with highs in the 80s and sunny.

All for now!

Jimmy

Caroline Weather Center Forecast Update For Central VA (May 31)

http://www.carolineweathercenter.com/

Sunday, May 30, 2010

Thank you Vets! Summer conditions to continue

With an increased chance of showers and storms tomorrow and Tuesday.
Temps will still be withing a few degrees of 90 Monday but 80s will be
the rule for Tuesday. Temps will rise a bit Wednesday and Thursday and
another chance of rain Friday into Saturday.

Enjoy your memorial day!

Thank you troops both living and dead! Freedom did not come free and
you are the reason we live in the best country in the world!

--
Sent from my mobile device

Caroline Weather Center Forecast For Central VA (May 30)

http://www.carolineweathercenter.com/

Thursday, May 27, 2010

Friday, May 21, 2010

Caroline Weather Center Forecast Update For Central Virginia (May 21)

http://www.carolineweathercenter.com/

Week and Rains a little more pronounced - Nice warm/Hot day today!

We will have another warm to hot day today! Temps will climb to the mid and even upper 80s. Tomorrow, clouds will increase and showers and storms are expected to form by afternoon! Temps will be mild in the 70s. Rain chances will continue Sunday with more 70s.

Next week is shaping up dry and nice - yep, just in time to go back to work!

Tropics show a little interest, but nothing of real note! Season is 9 days away!

All for now!

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Follow John Wheeler's tweets at
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Thursday, May 20, 2010

Caroline Weather Center Forecast For Central VA (May 20)

http://www.carolineweathercenter.com

Warmer today - Weekend looking will have a risk of rain. Could be very HOT if you lived elsewhere - try 130 degrees!

So we are sunny region wide and temps will respond. Widespread 80s. This looks to continue tomorrow, Unfortunately as the system approached from the west over the weekend, moisture will also stream north and give us a chance of showers and storm by Saturday, increasing chances from west to east. I am not thinking it will be a wash out, but something to monitor.

A hot place on the planet now is Jacobabad, Pakistan! Highs there will be around 130 degrees through the weekend! WOW!
http://www.accuweather.com/en-us/ASI/PK/PK008/Jacobabad/Forecast.aspx

Hope you have enjoyed getting notified of Caroline County weather. I will likely expand posters to the site to get even more information on weather in the Mid Atlantic. If interested in contributing, let me know!

All for now!

Mobile at http://www.mawx.net (under construction)
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Other Contributors to Mid Atlantic Weather:

Caroline Weather -http://www.carolineweathercenter.com
Follow John Wheeler's tweets at
http://twitter.com/JohnWheelerWX
Facebook at:
http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=100000993377805


Wednesday, May 19, 2010

Warmer sun is a coming

After dreary weather we are finally goinh to get some sunshine! Highs
tomorrow should be 80 to 85. Saturday looks clear, but a shower or
storm may hit from the west. Sunday has a bit of a better chance. Nice
weather looks to be around most of next week!

--
Sent from my mobile device

Caroline Weather Center Forecast Update (May 19)

http://www.carolineweathercenter.com

---
Weather Forecast for Central Virginia...

Warmer Weather to return - Showers this weekend but Seasonal

After one more day of clouds, they will begin to break up today in the south. Temps will climb to the upper 60s and some 70s. Tomorrow will be a lot warmer with highs in the upper 70s and even some 80s with sunnier skies.This will also be the case Friday. This weekend will not be the best as cloudy skies will again invade the region and a risk of showers and thunderstorms will also enter the outlook. Highs will be in the upper 60s to upper 70s for most the region.

You will notice that John Wheeler of Caroline Weather (http://www.carolineweathercenter.com) has begun alerting Mid Atlantic Weather when he posts. If you have a site and keep it clean and up to date, Mid Atlantic Weather could also include you and your outlooks. Please email me!

I also am trying to be much more regular and will provide more one off information bits on Twitter at http://www.twitter.com/midatlanticwx and on my facebook page at http://www.facebook.com/midatlanticweather !

All for now!

Catch me here on:

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Sunday, May 02, 2010

Tornado Watch possible Northern Va and MD

Please stay tuned to radio and news outlets.
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0466.html

--
Sent from my mobile device

Severe Storm threat to increase - especially tonight - Hail, Winds, and isolated tornadoes

Today will be hot and increasingly unstable. Storms will start to form, but more to the west, later today. Storms will have a lot of rain, winds, and hail. With the way that these storms are, it is possible that tornadoes could form as well. The chances of a tornado are not great, but a bit higher than what we normally see.

The storms will really hit the area more overnight and into Monday morning. Please stay alert for watches and warnings that could come up as soon as this afternoon to the west.

All for now! 

Saturday, May 01, 2010

Severe Threat Sunday - Strong storms, Hail, Winds, and Tornadoes are possible

The Severe Threat will increase Sunday - Storms with the potential of hail and high winds as well as tornadoes will start to affect the Western area and spread east. This will be something to stay on top of tomorrow! Storms are currently dumping flooding rains (in excess of 12 inches in some places) in Tennessee. Tornadoes are breaking out all over Arkansas. I am watching the videos o storm chasers on http://severestudios.com.

Stay alert tomorrow!


Thursday, April 29, 2010

Hot Days are in the future

This weekend is a serious warm up! The temps will rise will see upper 80s and Lower 90s.

There will also be an increase in a chance of thunderstorms this weekend and into Monday. Severe weather may again visit Sunday into Monday.

get ready for a swing from cold to Hot!

Jimmy

Monday, April 26, 2010

Cloudy day with numerous showers and storms!

The showers and storms last night were more isolated than thought. Some did hot severe criteria with hail and high winds. There was also the threat of flash flooding from some of the storms. Today will see a generally cloudy day with showers and afternoon storms likely. There is a chance some could become severe, but far less a chance than yesterday.

Clouds will depart tomorrow with cool 60s to around 70 for many. Warming to mid 60s to mid 70s Wednesday, and 70s area wide Thursday. The Weekend could be quite warm with mid 70s to even mid 80s possible.

The Storm in Mississippi that caused the Tornado now has the rating of an EF-4 and a path that was AT LEAST 97 miles long! Bad news for many! Yazoo, MS had 350 homes destroyed and 10 deaths. Thoughts and prayers are with all that were affected.

All for now.

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Sunday, April 25, 2010

Severe Weather Threat will increase through teh day!

We have the likelihood that severe weather and storms will develop this afternoon in the region. Hail and High winds will be the main threat with isolated tornadoes very possible. Please stay tuned to news and media outlets for watches and or warnings as the day progresses!

 
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Saturday, April 24, 2010

Cool North, Rains on the Increase - Thunder with possible severe on the way

The day will see an increase in moisture and rain showers. As more unstable air moves in storms in south ad southwest will increase. The risk of Severe weather does visit the area tomorrow as the combination of heating and a low pressure forms over the region. High winds will be the main threat, but hail and isolated tornadoes also appear possible.

Temps today will be quite in the range. The north will see highs in the 50s and the south in the 70s. Tomorrow, the north will see 60s and the south could hit 80!

Rain showers will continue through Tuesday and temps will be seasonal Monday and Tuesday.

All for now!


Friday, April 23, 2010

SEVERE THREAT SUNDAY - Sunny Friday - Rain increased chances Saturday and Sunday

Enjoy today as we head to a chance of rain Saturday and Sunday. Rain chances will increase and begin in the Southwest and move Northeast. Severe weather may be an issue in the Southwest part of the area starting tomorrow late afternoon and evening. Storm chances will then increase areas east of the Blue Ridge Sunday. Hail, high winds, and isolated tornadoes will be something to deal with in this time. Stay tuned to radio and news outlets for watches and warnings starting tomorrow and into Sunday.

All for now!

Sunday, April 11, 2010

Beautiful Sunday

Easy forecast for today! Beautiful. A cool down visits Tuesday but the
rest of the week we will see highs in the mid and upper 60s north and
low to mid 70s south. Rain chances in the north return Friday into
Saturday!

All for now.

--
Sent from my mobile device

Wednesday, April 07, 2010

What a sizzler! More heat today - lessening tomorrow with Showers and Potentially Severe Storms - Cooler Weekend

All kinds of records broken for heat yesterday. Record heat 2 months after a record snow is just wild. The heat will continue today with highs in the upper 80s and lower 90s for a lot of people. Tomorrow a strong cold front will pass through and drop temperatures for Friday to mid 50s to Mid 60s. The Upper 50s to upper 60s will return on Sunday and back into Upper 60s and low and mid 70s for Sunday.

Of note, with stronger dynamics there is the possibility for Severe Storms tomorrow afternoon and evening. The Severe Storms Prediction center has outlined us for a Slight Chance of severe.

All for now!

Tuesday, April 06, 2010

Record heat possible

Temps will soar to 90 or above for many. Crazy summer like pattern
will break doen Thursday.

--
Sent from my mobile device

Saturday, April 03, 2010

The weather is beautiful! rain chances return Thursday!

The weather is so nice! It looks like a beautiful Easter with highs in the mid and upper 70s to lower 80s! Sunny skies! Pollen will the be the min factor. Pollen.com has Nova at 109 High rating on Pollen out of a possible 12. It is very High! Temps will cool by about 4 to 5 degrees. Sunny skies continue Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday!  Temps will again warm closer to 80 in the north and low ad mid 80s in the south through Wednesday. Cooler air returns Thursday into Friday with the risk of showers. Cooler weather with Mid 60s to mid 70s by Next Saturday. Rain may really return next Sunday.

Have a great Easter!


Monday, March 29, 2010

Wet start. Warm end to the week.

Wet start to the week. Heavy rains last night will give way to far
less rain today, but showers and cool temperatures will remain.
Showers are still possible tomorrow until we begin the warm up! Upper
70s and low to mid 80s are possible this coming weekend.

All for now.

--
Sent from my mobile device

Friday, March 12, 2010

Flooding likely for rivers! A lot of rain on the way!

If you have been reading the headlines the heavy rain event that has been forecast for days is now starting to truly take shape. A strong low will bring copious amounts of water to the region and rain will pick up and become heavy tonight through a lot of tomorrow.The question is how much rain. I was fairly certain a 3 to 5 inch rain was in the works, but I am thinking 1 to 3inches, more like the 2 to 3 is more likely with isolated higher amounts in the north. We will see. I am now thinking north of the area up into Southern New England may see the bulls eye. No matter what, the moist ground, melting snow pack will contribute to flooding! Also, of note, the winds will be high enough to bring down trees so power outages will be an issue. Drizzly sunny with a gradual clearing Monday will round out the short range!

All for now!


Tuesday, March 09, 2010

Flooding rains becoming a real possibility Thursday through Saturday

Not much time (as usual) but flooding rains appear likely this coming Friday and Saturday as a slow moving, very powerful system comes though. Rain could be in the 3 to 5 inches range. Snow pack from the mountains will melt to exacerbate a potentially severe flooding episode!

Please stay alert! Floods kill more people than all other types of weather events!

More to come!

Monday, March 08, 2010

Warmer - Spring DOWNPOURS likely later this week

Well, after a very high precipitation winter, later this week we look to get potentially flooding rains! We will need to watch the situation as we get closer to the event, but several inches of rain could occur starting Thursday and into Friday. The weekend looks showery. Until Wednesday upper 50s to even a possible 70 and above reading is possible in the area. 50s North, 60s to near 70 south!

Enjoy the weather while it is sunshine!

All for now!


Saturday, March 06, 2010

Beautiful weekend on tap! Temps to jump to 60+ for most Monday

4 weeks ago we were starting the big dig out from Snowmaggedon! I finally posted about 100 pictures to the Mid Atlantic Facebook page! http://fb.mawx.net should get you there!

We have a beautiful day on tap with widespread 50s for us all! Tomorrow some will see 60+ temps and then Monday most folks outside of the Mountains will see temps hit 60 or above.

By Wednesday we could see rain on and off last up to, and maybe into next weekend. So get out and enjoy the nice weekend!

Longer term, we could again see a cool down and parts of the region may still deal with some snow before the month is over!

All I have for now!

Look for Mid Atlantic Weather to expand a bit soon and gear up for Spring!

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Wednesday, March 03, 2010

AND NOW WHAT!?

After an amazing winter (about 82 inches in my back yard!) we are stating spring! First I want to say that this was just an an awesome winter! I look back at photos (which I will get on line) and I do not even remember! It was a month ago now that the prospects for a seriously enormous storm started to really seem like a sure thing! just amazing!

Meteorological Spring starts on March 1st! The last 24 hours were a bit tricky. Spring storms are tough and the right elements did not pan out for a widespread accumulating snow! Please know that meteorology is not an exact science! It is so hard to predict! This year was a bit easier than many when the big storms were coming! Why? Well the conditions were easy to see and well modeled. I may take some time to document each event, as a reminder and a way to look back in later years and just be in awe!

This Spring will be tough to get warm and remain somewhat wet. The El Nino pattern that caused our incredible storms is not gone yet! The colder high latitude blocking which was also a key has retreated and broken down. It may exert itself again briefly. 2 storms may affect us.. one in about a week and another a few days later. One note, it is possible some snow could occur with the second system and some cooler air after the first storm.

All for now!

 

Monday, March 01, 2010

Snow will more likely be an issue for Southeastern VA, NC, SC, and GA

The trends are there that this storm will not make it up the coast that far. There are many variables as to why:
1. The Low Pressure of New England is strengthening. If it had/would not have and if it moves out, the issue will be removed
2. The system DOES phase, but not until the system is past the East Coast. This will cause the Low to miss the possibility of coming up the coast
3. What precip falls will fall into marginally cold air which means melting and not all snow except maybe overnight.

All that to be said, this year we have tended to end up with some accumulating snow from southern systems, but this looks just too far south.

Today we head to 50 or above for the area. Tomorrow with clouds, 40s look likely into Wednesday. Then we see a gradual warming after Thursday.

By next Sunday and Monday temps will again be in the 50s and areas could see 60s in a bout a week that have not seen them for a long while.

All for now!

Saturday, February 27, 2010

SNOW ALARMS sound - Chances of snow increasing!

Latest trends do point to snow Tuesday into Wednesday.. How big, not sure. ALL of VA and Most of central and Eastern MD and and Western Half of NC and SC! This will be a big storm - Historic in the south and major for north looks possible!

BIG STORM ON THE WAY??!

Yes next week looks interesting! You will see snow forecasts get more bullish on the storm. This MIGHT not make it huge up in Nova and Maryland but central and sw va down into NC and maybe even SC could see some snow! West SC and NE GA will! WILD WINTER IS AT IT AGAIN!!!

Thursday, February 25, 2010

Sorry for the DIRE snow prediction - I really missed bad on this one!

The outcome was much drier than I had thought! Trends were showing this yesterday and I should have completely abandoned the idea! I am sorry to all!


Wednesday, February 24, 2010

Thinking Wind is the bigger threat and Not snow

Models just keep lessening amounts. Could see that reverse later so
stay tuned as models are not always right! 40 to 60 mph winds are
possible Thursday into Friday.

--
Sent from my mobile device

NOON Thoughts

As of now my first Call:
DC - 2- 5" - Blizzard conditions MAY be met

VA:
Dulles - 2 - 4" - Blizzard conditions MAY be met
Leesburg - 1-3" - Blizzard conditions MAY be met
Fairfax - 2 - 5" North half of county/ 1-3" south! - Blizzard conditions MAY be met
Arlington - 2 - 5" - Blizzard conditions MAY be met
Richmond - 2" on grass


MD:
Baltimore - 5 - 9" - Blizzard
Bel Air - 6 - 10" - Blizzard
Columbia - 4 - 8" Blizzard

I will update LATE this evening and may have a map!

All for now!

Tuesday, February 23, 2010

BLIZZARD conditions to be met for a large part of Maryland an a little of Northern Virginia! - First Guesses on some points!

Latest Models show main threat for larger snows stay Northeast in Maryland. Could see a 1-3 inch snow in Loudoun - maybe 3 to 5" in DC - Baltimore looks like a 5 to 10 inch system to me. Still bears serious watching as the models have shifted back an forth quite a bit! Winds will howl Thursday with snow in the air! Winter is not done!

Also, light snows possible all the way down in Richmond and along coastal plains of VA as the storm passes by - General 1 - 3" possible, mainly on grass

3" puts DC at snowiest February on record!

As of now my first Guess:
DC - 3- 5" - Blizzard conditions

VA:
Dulles - 2 - 4" - Blizzard conditions
Leesburg - 1-3" - Near or Blizzard conditions
Fairfax - 3 - 5" North half of county/ 1-3" south! - Blizzard
Arlington - 3 - 5" - Blizzard
Richmond - 2" on grass


MD:
Baltimore - 6 - 10" - Blizzard
Bel Air - 7 - 12" - Blizzard
Columbia - 4 - 8" Blizzard

All the time I have for now! These are first GUESSES! This will be a tough one.

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Winter Storm Watches Posted for NOVA and MD!

More later!

--
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BLIZZARD CONCERNS GROWING!

Models are trending more snowy Thursday.

This will be a Blizzard! More to come!


Monday, February 22, 2010

Rain today - Rain tapering overnight and some clearing - Some snow "Possible" later this week - A final big one?

Not much timer. Rain is on schedule today - This will not be a wash out of all snow.

Thursday is interesting as the whole region could see a bit of light snow activity but it could be more prominent south, if temps are cold enough. I do not see a serious threat for us. That system goes to the Northeast and becomes a HUGE system with a blizzard and feet of snow for parts of New England. Should keep us breezy and cool.

Next week a system *COULD* come up from the south and be quite the snow maker. This is all dependent on how the end of the week works out with the current system.

Sorry for the quick posts, but that is all I have for now!


Sunday, February 21, 2010

Not an easy forecast week on tap - Mild/Seasonal day ahead!

First of all, today will be downright mild and nice. It is the influence of a late Feb sun and we hit near normal temps area wide! melting is in full effect! Tomorrow we will see rain, but tomorrow night into Tuesday there is a chance that we could see a mix of precipitation back over to snow. I am not expecting accumulations. Tuesday into Wednesday looks cloudy to becoming sunny.I am not exactly certain what is going to happen Thursday. There is likely to be some storminess around and this could mean a bit of snow. There are some hints at a bigger system that could affect us that day. This is dependent on a storm that could form along the NC coast. I am not too convinced of it now. What I am convinced of is that temps will head back below normal this week. There also is a threat of a bigger system the first couple days of March and that one *COULD* be rather significant.

All for now!

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Thursday, February 18, 2010

To snow or not to snow? OHH it is not easy!

So, I have been very busy with life and that makes it very tough to be on line and updating! I AM SORRY!

What in the world to do with Monday's system.

I am LESS impressed with it! It has been flipping back and forth between a snow to rain, barely much, rain, and, at one point, even a snowy system on models.

What does this say?
Well, in most years, I would conclude, if it is so hard to get  snow storm on a model, it will not happen! But, this year we have some things that have helped it be a snowier outcome! My conclusion, It will likely be some snow, possibly significant, but probably not an ALL snow system! Now, this is NORTHERN Virginia and Maryland that I think *COULD* have significant snow. Some areas will see a snow to start, and then a turn over to rain.

How much?
I am very concerned about the amount of rain! IF we get a lot, flooding and house leaks will be something serious we will have to deal with! I DO expect this will be the case! Flood watches and warnings will end up being posted!

Could it be all snow?!
POSSIBLY, but i would point only to the Northern 1/3rd of VA and Western 2/3rds of Maryland as the possible snow area!

What is next?!
A little colder conditions set up next week for us, but a real Arctic invasion may be in store for the nation. THIS MAY set up a bigger snow storm later next week, but, ironically, a lot depends on the outcome of Monday's system!

So I have a lot of questions remaining. I would suspect that in the next 24 hours I will have a better grasp of this. What i do know is that something is likely Monday!


All for now!


Tuesday, February 16, 2010

Big storm on the Horizon?

Signs are starting to point to a large snow storm next Monday!
Pattern says it is right, Models now just starting to see a potential
big storm. Yes, snow will be a big factor in the storm. Where? This
now looks in the major category (10+ inches)

--
Sent from my mobile device

Monday, February 15, 2010

Small amounts of snow today - Cold start - Cool week - Long term - Maybe another big storm?

Not a lot of time to write this morning. The Alberta clipper sill doe best in the Mountains where 3 to 6 inches of snow will initially fall. More snow will continue west of the ridges where 6 to 12" of snow should accumulate. For areas East of I-95 and South of Fredericksburg to Roanoke, rain will ultimately be the systems output and this will mean a trace to maybe an inch. Along I-95 north and west will see a longer period of snow and the Immediate Piedmont could see 1 to possibly 3 inches of snow.

This week will remain in the mid 30s to mid 40s for the most part. This weekend looks clear at this point, but the pattern is still there so I will watch for possible storminess. If not this weekend in the not too distant future it appears another snow system could affect us.

All for now!

 

Wednesday, February 10, 2010

ALL TIME SEASONAL SNOWFALL RECORDS FALL!

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
300 PM EST WED FEB 10 2010

...PRELIMINARY ALL-TIME SEASONAL SNOWFALL RECORDS SET AT THE
THREE MAJOR CLIMATE SITES IN THE BALTIMORE-WASHINGTON AREA...

AS OF 2 PM TODAY...WITH THE 9.8 INCH TWO-DAY SNOWFALL TOTAL MEASURED
AT RONALD REAGAN WASHINGTON NATIONAL AIRPORT...THE SEASONAL SNOWFALL
TOTAL IN WASHINGTON DC STANDS AT 54.9 INCHES. THIS WOULD BREAK THE
PREVIOUS ALL-TIME SEASONAL SNOWFALL RECORD FOR WASHINGTON DC OF 54.4
INCHES SET IN THE WINTER OF 1898-99. OFFICIAL SNOWFALL RECORDS FOR
WASHINGTON DC DATE BACK 126 YEARS TO 1884.

AS OF 1 PM TODAY...WITH THE 11.9 INCH TWO-DAY SNOWFALL TOTAL
MEASURED AT BALTIMORE/WASHINGTON INTERNATIONAL THURGOOD MARSHALL
AIRPORT...THE SEASONAL SNOWFALL TOTAL IN BALTIMORE STANDS AT 72.3
INCHES. THIS WOULD BREAK THE PREVIOUS ALL-TIME SEASONAL SNOWFALL
RECORD FOR BALTIMORE OF 62.5 INCHES SET IN THE WINTER OF 1995-96.
OFFICIAL SNOWFALL RECORDS FOR BALTIMORE DATE BACK 118 YEARS TO 1893.

FINALLY...AS OF YESTERDAY...THIS YEARS SEASONAL SNOWFALL TOTAL AT
DULLES INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT STOOD AT 63.5 INCHES. THIS WOULD BREAK
THE PREVIOUS SEASONAL SNOWFALL RECORD OF 61.9 INCHES SET IN 1995-96.
AS OF 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON...THE TWO-DAY SNOWFALL TOTAL AT DULLES IS
8.5 INCHES...WHICH WOULD MAKE THIS YEARS SEASONAL SNOWFALL TOTAL
72.0 INCHES. OFFICIAL SNOWFALL RECORDS FOR DULLES DATE BACK 48 YEARS
TO 1962.

THESE PRELIMINARY STORM TOTALS ARE AS OF THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
10 FEB 2010...AND WILL BE UPDATED AFTER THE CURRENT SNOW HAS ENDED.

AS WITH ANY MAJOR CLIMATE RECORD ACHIEVEMENT...THESE PRELIMINARY
RECORDS WILL BE QUALITY CONTROLLED BY NOAA`S NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA
CENTER OVER THE NEXT FEW MONTHS.

$$

KLEIN/ZUBRICK/LEE

Tuesday, February 09, 2010

Snow is on the way!

Sorry for the lack of an alert! If you have been checking http://www.midatlanticweather.com I did put put a map early this morning! The snow will start today and for areas of Northern Virginia, Central and Eastern Maryland, and Eastern PA it will be heavier overnight. I do anticipate some mixing issues at some point in this storm for areas of DC, Charlottesville, possibly even Baltimore and south and east.The further south and east, the more the mixing. I put the DC region at 4 to 8" because of this. DC could be higher if  more snow than I anticipate comes from the coastal.

Quick thoughts on totals (within 2 inches either side of the number):
Dulles - 7
Leesburg - 10
DC - 8
Baltimore - 14
Fredericksburg - 3
Charlottesville - 3 (maybe up to 5)
Towson - 16
York PA - 16
Frederick MD - 11
Front Royal - 11

One other important ingredient of this storm will be the strong winds. Winds will increase towards teh end of teh storm and make for considerable blowing an drifting. Be safe!

All for now!

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More sleet will mean less snow - less sleet - more snow! Tough call!

Monday, February 08, 2010

latest from NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE!!!!

Posted A minute ago

Issued by The National Weather Service
Baltimore/Washington, MD
3:04 pm EST, Mon., Feb. 8, 2010

.... WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* PRECIPITATION TYPE... SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS... 10 TO 20 INCHES.

* TIMING... MID-AFTERNOON TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

* TEMPERATURES... TEMPERATURES NEAR FREEZING AT THE ONSET TUESDAY AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP INTO THE UPPER 20S TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

* WINDS... LIGHT SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS TUESDAY BECOMING NORTHWESTERLY 15 TO 25 MPH WEDNESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THE COMBINATION OF SNOW AND STRONG WINDS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS.

get ready :)


LUKE

Initial Tuesday thoughts

Northern VA (east of the Mountains) DC *Could* see 3 to 5 inches.
Eastern, and especially Northeastern Maryland to see the most and I am
thinking 5 to 9 inches there. Preliminary thoughts. We will have ice
concerns Valleys and immediate Piedmont all the way to NC.

All for now.

--
Sent from my mobile device

Sunday, February 07, 2010

Winter Storm Watches posted

I will look into the new model runs this evening for a read on what we are about to see! I see frozen precipitation. I am just not sure how much yet. My first thoughts are for 4 to 8 inches with possibly more. I suspect a mixing of snow at some point with sleet and we have ice to worry about in the I - 95 corridor. This type of system is not a typical Mid Atlantic snow producer. That being said, this is nothing but a typical year for snow storms.

Winter Storm watches have been posted due to the impact on our region!

What an amazing year! 70 inches of snow so far in my back yard!

All for now!

 

WOW! WOW! WOW! What an amazing snow storm! I hate to say more is probably on the way for some!

I measured roughly 28 inches of snow. The airport ( a few miles from here) measured 32 inches. I am probably low due to the compaction factor as I did not get an official measurement (bad weather man!), but I know in the back we have about 31 inches on the ground! So what next?

Do not hate the messenger, but Northern Virginia is starting to look under the gun for a snow, to sleet, back to snow event starting Tuesday. As of now this could be another significant winter storm with snow exceeding 4" in many places already buried under a ridiculous amount of snow. A return to much colder temps also looks possible. This could mean 2 things - the snow track is further south, but the snow is not going anywhere fast!  Of note I will be watching a southern system for next weekend as well, but I THINK this will go far enough south to spare the region.

This is all I have for now.
 

Thursday, February 04, 2010

I am SHOCKED at my map - But this looks HUGE!
Within 4 inches too LOW or to HIGH! 0m my points -
Points -
Baltimore - 23
Dulles - 25
Washington DC - 25
Manassas - 26
Charlottesville - 27
Dover - 28
Annapolis - 29
Woodbridge - 28
Stafford - 24
Charlottesville - 27
Richmond - 10 - sleet in the middle - Storm Sandwich
Lycnchburg - 15 - some sleet
Roanoke 15 inches - Sleety
Williamsburg - 12 - A lot sleet in the middle
Petersburg - 5 - Dry Slot

Clarification on Big Snow possibilities

The last post was based on this morning's early run of the models. It is not considered to have the same weight as the noon or late evening runs of these models, but they may have picked up something that needs to be considered.  We will look to see if this holds true at noon as well and update as necessary. Ironically, although I think it may be overdone, it *COULD* be under done! We will have to wait and see!

MAJOR WINTER STORM COMING!!!!

A MAJOR WINTER STORM IS ON THE WAY. THIS STORM IS PROJECTED BY THE HPC CENTER TO RIVAL THE FEB 11TH STORM OF 1983 WHICH DUMPED NEARLY 2 FT OF SNOW ON MID ATLANTIC. THERE WILL BE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. BLOWING, DRIFTING, AND NEARLY 2-2.50 INCHES OF LIQUID PRECIP, WHICH WHITH A STANDARD 10:1 RATIO MEANS ABOUT 15-25 INCHES LOCALLY 30 INCHES.

MORE TO COME

***LUKE ***

Wednesday, February 03, 2010

Map! First Guess:
DC - 16"
Dulles - 20"
Charlottesville - 20"
Fredericksburg - 15"(Some sleet)
Richmond - 7" with a lot of sleet
Roanoke - 8" - Sleet and freezing rain too
Frederick Maryland -20"
Baltimore - 22"
Bowie - 22"
Annapolis - 22"
Dover 22"
I also have concern that NC will see a serious/severe ice storm in some of the valleys. ALSO, flooding in Southeastern VA and a lot of North carolina that has snow pack is possible!
Serious situation!

HISTORIC EAST COAST SNOWSTORM ON THE WAY!

I am trying to get a grip on this, but we are in for a SERIOUS CRIPPLING SNOW for parts of the region. Areas now appear to be headed of 2 feet of snow or more in Northern Virginia, Maryland, and Delaware. This is serious!!!! A State of Emergency has been issued and, just like people get ready for Hurricanes, you need to take this seriously! We will see extremely heavy snow from Friday night through Noon Saturday for the Northern Virginia.

I am working on a map for this!

More to come!

Tuesday, February 02, 2010

Major East Coast Snow could be a possible Historical East Coast Snow

First off, this season has been so surprising. Tonight's storm will drop (in my back yard) nearly 6" or possibly more! This is a 40"+ season already, and we are heading for a lot more. Tonight's snows will have dumped 3 to 5 inches in a lot of Northwest Vorginia and 2 to 4" in the northern half of Virgina and Marland is receiving 2 to 4 inches! Heavy snow fell here for about 3 hours!

Friday into Saturday looks great for a snow lover like me! Snow amounts in the northern part of Virginia, Central and Western Maryland, and on up into New Jersey could see totals approach 20 inches. This is especially true west of I-95. South and east of a Charlottesville, Dulles, Baltimore line will very likely see a mix of sleet and even rain further east. This will then all end as snow for most places.

This will be a very big storm.. heavy precipitation is also likely. People under a lot of snow that end up with rain may see some flooding rains! If you have a lot of snow, please be certain you have cleared drains so that run off does not back up against your house. Coastal flooding also looks likely in this one due to the duration.

When will this thing arrive. It will start Friday - mid to late day and overspread the region. This has shown some speed fluctuation so we will have to see what comes of this!

I am not trying to over worry folks, but another storm looks possible next week, and, this one could affect us mid week. This will be something to watch and could be big. After this I am seeing the possibility of a serious cold set up for a bit!

What a winter! ALL for now!
 
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Winter storm warnings posted

Please be aware that the storm tonight has been up to 3 to 6 inches!!

--
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Happy Ground Hog day - Snow on the way! Bit more snow tan first thought for some!

Areas along I -95 from Fredericksburg north into southern Maryland could see 1 to 2 inches of snow with a mix of rain at first.
Areas west of I-95 - 15 miles east of a line from Charlottesville to Dulles and westward to the mountains and beyond could see  2 to as much as 4" of snow. The higher amounts likely immediate  Piedmont and mountains.

Areas south on I -95 a mix of sleet and rain will occur, but Southwestern VA and western NC will see a mix of sleet, snow, and freezing rain. Please be careful!

The Weekend system is setting up as a northwestern 2/3rds of the state. Due to a bit of warmer conditions I would set this more in line with the totals from the December 19th storm for these areas. Along I - 95 from Fredericksburg and going down to Richmond will see a mixing scenario. It is possible that the mixing will go west of this, but the snow totals will be impressive.

This will again likely be a MAJOR storm and some areas could again approach 20" or more of snow!

Please stay alert today as the snow moves in for the evening rush up north.

All I have for now

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Winter weather alert in track - maybe a bit more than expected

Areas along I -95 from Fredericksburg north into southern Maryland could see 1 to 2 inches of snow with a mix of rain at first.
Areas west of I-95 - 15 miles east of a line from Charlottesville to Dulles and westward to the mountains and beyond could see  2 to as much as 4" of snow. The higher amounts likely immediate  Piedmont and mountains.

Areas south on I -95 a mix of sleet and rain will occur, but Southwestern VA and western NC will see a mix of sleet, snow, and freezing rain. Please be careful!

The Weekend system is setting up as a northwestern 2/3rds of the state. Due to a bit of warmer conditions I would set this more in line with the totals from the December 19th storm for these areas. Along I - 95 from Fredericksburg and going down to Richmond will see a mixing scenario. It is possible that the mixing will go west of this, but the snow totals will be impressive.

This will again likely be a MAJOR storm and some areas could again approach 20" or more of snow!

Please stay alert today as the snow moves in for the evening rush up north.

All I have for now!
 

Monday, February 01, 2010

Winter weather alert for Snow and a mix

Winter weather alert for Snow and a mix.

There will be a period of wintry weather starting as early as tomorrow morning for areas of Southwestern VA and Western NC. Down there there will mainly be a mix of sleet, freezing rain, and some snow is possible as you head north. As the system moves through snow will also break out through the state. Along I-95 this will be a mix and then end as some snow. The Piedmont from Roanoke to Charlottesville and up to Dulles airport and inch or two of snow may occur!

This weekend's storm looks very impressive. So much so, I am just trying to raise awareness. I am concerned of 2 things!
1. We will see the biggest snows of the season! Areas that saw up to 2 feet on December 19th, may see a storm that is BIGGER than this!
2. A mix along and east of I-95 which will cause a big decrease in snow amounts!

Please be alert of the snow tomorrow and be expecting winter weather this weekend!

All for now!


 
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UPDATE ON WEEKEND STORM

Could be the largest of the winter for some!! Stay tuned!

WEEKEND STORM

there is a possibility of a little disturbance coming through on tues - wed. but that wont be much maybe a dusting, but the weekend storm has the POTENTIAL to be a biggie, still 4 days out so stay tuned , models are kinda in agree ment but track is still needing to be fine tuned of course. stay tuned!!

*** luke***

Tuesday threat for snow/mix increasing - Big Storm this weekend leaves some questions

It is cold up here in northern Virginia this morning! I am waking up to 7 degrees! BRRRR.

Tomorrow and tomorrow night. The amount of precipitation is a bit questionable but some areas could see 2 to 4 inches and we also have a freezing rain threat along the Piedmont of North Carolina and southern Virginia. Please stay tuned on this.

Seasonably cold temps will remain the rest of the week as I watch what will happen this weekend. I am not exactly sure honestly. I am trying to get a handle on what the models are saying. We honestly could see snow, snow to rain, a mix to rain, or a miss of the east coast (unlikely for the whole region)

This is about all I have time for now. I may have to raise a snow alert late today for tomorrow!

All for now!

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