Potential Winter Storm Mid Week

Sending a quick outlook on the potential storm this Wednesday. The storm will be very marginal in temperature along I-95 which will make this a somewhat difficult forecast. There are many factors with this storm that make it not an Ideal (for snow lovers) track for a lot of snow.

 

1. No Real blocking up north to hold cold air.

2. Storm comes in to departing colder air - the Arctic blast is moving away

3. A more wound up storm will flood the area with warm air

4. A weaker storm may end up with a light snow event.

 

What I do believe:

1. I-81 corridor of VA will see snow.'

2. The immediate Piedmont of the mountains could see the most snow.

3. Areas about 30 miles east of the immediate Piedmont could be the location where snow to a mix and then back to snow will occur.. ironically the higher precip amounts could offset the amounts due to mixing.

4. East of I-95 will see rain with some mixing at the end of the event.

 

There is a lot of time to monitor. Areas up north of VA and NC will also see a lot of snow and Southern New England may again be in the heavy snow!

 

A lot to watch so please check back as we get closer. Planning on a map by tomorrow late.

 

All for now!

 

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Snow kind of fizzled - VERY COLD and the Next week challenge

First off the weather system overnight did not do what was forecasted by many. The "jump" of energy to the coast took too long and warmer air remained keeping temps above freezing. So nothing at all accumulated! A miss by most all people reading models.

But we are at the warmest part of the day as temps will fall and winds will increase causing a blustery day with highs falling to 30 or below areas east of the mountains, and teens to single digits west by nightfall. Add blustery winds, and you bet there are wind chill advisories!

Cold weekend will mean highs pretty much in the mid to upper 20s for both days.

An odd set up of a system is looking likely early next week, and despite cold air this weekend, a snow to mix to even rain event is looking possible. Ironically, on this system, the weaker it is, the more likely snow will fall for most of the event. As of now, the low really is strong and this may be an Appalachian mountains big snow with a lot of mix and rains east of there. A lot to ponder.

All for now!

Snow on the way - very cold - another snow possible!

The weather today will be much cooler than yesterday. I was surprised by the highs reaching into the 50s for many. Today will see some breezy conditions with highs upper 30s (North) to mid 40s (South).

Tonight, snow will be likely through the area but areas south of Fredericksburg are likely to see mixing with rain. Accumulations will be in the trace to 1"  from the I-66 corridor up to the MD/VA Line - 1 to 2 inches for Maryland but approaching 2- 4 for the PA/MD border counties. 2-4 inches for south half of PA, NJ, and all of WV with some higher amounts to 5". NJ could see the south half with 2-4" and the north 4 to 6". WV, MD, and PA mountains will see 4 to 6".

Tomorrow will be cold and windy with highs in the 20s in the north and 30s south.

The weekend will continue cold with highs upper 20s to mid 30s for the region. Night time lows will be in the teens for most and single digits possible north and mountains.

We will be watching a snow threat early next week but temps may warm and cause some mixing or even rain for some.

More to come!

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All for now!

SNOW ALERT - Small Event

It does appear a period of snow will occur tomorrow night for the northern third of VA. For areas along the VA and MD border 1 to as much as 2 inches seems possible. In MD, 1 to 3 inches with the lesser towards southern areas. For the southern half of PA it appears that 2 - 5 inches could occur. A slight bit more possible in NJ with 3 to as much as 6 inches in isolated locations.

 

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All for now!

 

 

Dense fog - then clearing - small snow event on the way for North regions

We have a lot of dense fog this morning all across the region. Rain showers across the south will slowly move out and the sun will break through later today. Temps in the north will climb to the upper 30s while the south is going to be quite mild today with temps topping out in the low and mid 50s!

Cool enough air and a low will track through the region tomorrow night. A swath of snow covering areas of Virginia north of Fredericksburg and all of Maryland looks likely. 1 to 3 inches appears possible with the least amounts in the south part of that region and closer to 3 along the PA/MD border. Even heavier snow across PA, NJ, and DE with 2 to 4 inches and then along the Northeast areas seeing 3 -6 or even 4-8 near New York and Southern New England with areas possibly seeing up to 10 inches up there.

All for now!

Yes - 2 snow chances in the medium to long term

I am hoping to update late tonight, but initial thoughts are a 1 to 4
inch range Thursday night into Friday. More north and less south and
the Northern third of VA, MD will see this. More will occur up
northeast in NJ, and East PA.

Another storm threat Monday night into Tuesday.

All for now!

--
Sent from my mobile device

Updates - Some sleet mix tonight - Rain South/Snow North on Friday but not big.

Just a quick update to note that tonight we will see mainly rain showers with some sleet and maybe a few flakes towards the end of some of the precipitation in the north. Rain showers for the most part.

Friday looks like some rain in the southern half of Virginia, mix possible across the middle part of the state and snow northern VA and MD.


More later!

Icy Morning! Pictures!

Icy mess

Be extremely careful. Temps in N VA and MD will not be as warm today
as expected. Mid 30s seem more likely. More snow MAY fall tonight. I
will assess a bit later this morning. BE VERY careful out there!

--
Sent from my mobile device

Mixed precip to cause some issues - Modest & cold rain on the way

Today rain mixed with sleet will overspread the area, and this will turn to light snow and sleet in Northern Virginia and Western Maryland. There is a chance that a dusting to an inch of snow and sleet occurs before several hours of light freezing rain. When the heavier rainfall comes the temperatures are likely to rise and the region will go over to a moderate to heavy rain for a while.

There could be a return to some snow tomorrow night as some more moisture comes over the region, but all in all, the biggest impact appears to be between 7pm this evening and 3am tomorrow morning.

Areas affected - Mainly west of I-95 north of Fredericksburg. The Immediate Piedmont of VA from Roanoke up to Leesburg VA and west could see ice and areas of Northern VA west of I-15 could see the worst of it with ice into the morning rush.

Longer term we will have to watch this weekend as now models have done some changing with the system,

If I did not say it before, the weather this week will be very hard to pinpoint.

All for now!

Latest information says Tomorrow is mainly a rain event

Many areas will see some sleet at the very beginning of Monday night and Tuesday event, but this now appears to be a rain storm for the most part.

This will be a good soaking rain with half and inch plus amounts for the I-95corridor and east.

Areas of far NW Virginia and MD will see more ice.

All for now.

Wintry week ahead - Mix, cold, snow!

Today is the easiest day of the week to forecast. Colder air is in the region so highs, mainly in the mid 30s north, mid 40's south.

Tomorrow, moisture will overspread the area and snow showers and sleet showers will occur towards evening. Highs will be in the 30s to low 40s.

Tomorrow night is the true challenge.
Many areas west of I-95 in VA up into MD will see a period of sleet and freezing rain. Areas of the immediate Piedmont of the mountains COULD reach ice storm warning potential, but that depends on precip amounts. It may just not precip enough for a significant enough amount of ice.

Rain is a good bet elsewhere and a cold one at that. If certain models are true, quite a bit of rain could fall for areas east of I-95.

As of now models are all over the place and none are consistent with themselves. Confidence in the forecast is extremely low so I will hold off after tomorrow night.

Of note, it looks to get very cold by next weekend and there may be a more serious snow threat by then as well.

More this afternoon!

All for now!

Ice mix looking likely Monday into Tuesday

Exact locations will be west of I-95 and especially up towards the DC and Western Maryland area! Snow/Sleet/and Freezing rain will need to be considered.

First alert. Another LATER tonight

Concern growing about a period of Snow/Sleet/Ice Monday Night

Support is starting to show that an icing threat will occur on Monday night. A high to the north and northeast of the region will supply enough cold air through a Cold Air Damming situation that could result in a mixture of snow and sleet and freezing rain before rain becomes the precipitation type on Tuesday.

There is a threat of another snow system next weekend.

All for now!

Little snow in Northern VA this AM - Flurries/sprinkles tomorrow - Some mix Monday?

Just a quick update that there are some snow showers in Northern VA this morning. This will quickly end. Tomorrow could have some snow or rain showers during the day with mostly cloudy skies. Some models are now showing mixing Monday for some of the region. If this continues to show up, I will post an update later this morning!

All for now!

Cold to start to lessen - RAIN on the way - then cold/dry?

Sorry for the later day post today. Weather was cold and breezy! The cold is going to lessen as the weekend continues and a storm begins to go west of the Appalachians.We will still see highs in the upper 30s to low 40s tomorrow. Saturday continues about the same but more clouds and a few snow showers are possible in the north. Another colder day Sunday after the passage of a front and then Monday poses some challenges.

Monday, as warm moist air overrides colder air at the surface some mixed precip is possible in the Valleys and the immediate Piedmont. As of now, this looks fairly light, but I suspect we will have some issues as we get closer to the event as the cold air damming will set up and is always hard for models to get right. Most of the coastal plains will see a potential for some sleet mixing at onset and then a cold rain. It is even possible a more substantial rain will occur Tuesday and some flooding concerns if this melts some snow pack. We will see.

After this system, cold looks to come back and the pattern also looks dry.

All for now!

So what is next - cold and windy then milder and rain threats.

This storm did fairly well up north, whereas I should have expanded my 0 to 2 inch areas a bit north and knocked an inch off things in MD - I was closer in some places and very poor across most of 95 from DC to Richmond where no real accumulations existed.

Now we will see a cold spell as the storm has cranked up off the NE coast. Cold dry winds will make it feel like teens and low 20s today and single digits tonight!

Temps will stay in the 30s to around 40 until Saturday and then especially Sunday into early next week when 40 to even 50 degree+ temps will be common. Another complex system will deliver precipitation Monday and Tuesday. It looks like rain, but may have some mixed precipitation at the start. The system *COULD* wind up producing a lot of rain for some if models are correct and could ultimately have a wintry ending in northwestern regions, but details will get pinned down as we get closer. Next week we could also see temps maintain their 40 degree+ trends though a day after the storm may be colder.

I was hoping for 200+ tweeters by the end of the storm yesterday and I am up to 199 as of this morning! Join me at http://twitter.com/midatlanticwx


All for now!

Some Pictures of the snow in Sterling VA!

Northern VA and Maryland ended up with snow!

Realized I failed to post my last call map to the Blog!

Wintry mix and snow, but likely not a lot in VA. Northeast to see a lot more!

The storm systems that will converge off the DelMarVa today will be transferring energy over Virginia and not causing the best in organized precipitation. With that in mind, do not be surprised to see area really only see flurries and snow showers while some may see some accumulating snow. As the system finally gets going the Northeast Maryland, Delaware, and New Jersey will see snow increase and this in turn cause more snow in that region. For Virginia, 1 to perhaps 2" snows looks more likely and even less along the Piedmont.
Is it possible there could be more snow - Maybe in Central Northern VA and MD IF the storm energizes sooner or the upper air support happens to be a bit more moisture rich than it looks like it would be.

Please refer to my late posted snow map: https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEieWmjNw9Xz_2IK103DViAtHuqlEYaozu6GlDBRFijWE-fbymuBEuHo1TEJ8VNUWhn08s74-HP2F0GjZpD5pq3emGnvShekXgLLH4a2vL1wsE5oTLYNHh3WK4JghlYUN0iVLlMErA/s320/January11Snow.png

New Jersey up into the Northeast will get a serious system with some seeing a foot and a half of snow!

After the storm winds up, cold winds will come in and make Wednesday blustery as well as cause mountain up-slope (west facing side of mountains) snows, Then a cold week will remain with highs 30s for north half and low to mid 40s south.

The next storm system could visit around Monday of next week and it is unclear exactly what this system will do. It may be wintry mix type or just rain. This may also signal a brief warm up as well. The dynamics are still in question and the signal is not super strong for a winter storm, but there are some indicators that something could occur.

All for now.

January 11th Snow Map:

This is the best I can do this morning. Some confirmation of my ideas will be verified or disproven by this evening! I will do an updated map later!

FIRST attempt at a larger area! We will see!

Winter Weather Alert - SNOW and MIX

What has been an absolutely wild system will go through changes the next 24 hours and will leave some with very little snow due to the way that this system will evolve.

SOUTHERN REGIONS:
Already seeing snow break out of the North Carolina and South Carolina Piedmont. Areas of the mountains and immediate Piedmont will see 4 to 8" of snow and some ice, but that will not be more than about .1 to .15 of an inch. Warmer air will influence areas of the Piedmont itself and after 2 to 4 inches of snow, sleet and then freezing rain will be in the offing and ice will accumulate to nearly .25 to as much as .5" in some spots. This is true for North Carolina and South Carolina!
Of note, the total snow amounts for the mountains could approach 10 to 12"

Middle Atlantic - VA, Bordering NC counties of VA
Snow will break out later today in the southern part of the region. Areas in the Mountains will see 3 to 6" of snow and some sleet is possible. Snow in areas east, but a general 2-3 inches will fall as this region will not get the heavier precipitation that areas south will see. VA itself will be an area of lighter accumulations. The Piedmont will see 1 to 3 inches. Areas along and east of I -95 through Fredericksburg and down to the NC/VA border will likely see ice as well, but not a large amount. Snow in the western part of the Piedmont north of a Richmond to Roanoke line will likely only see 1 to 2 inch snow amounts. That will carry all the way up to the Piedmont of Maryland as well. From Fredericksburg north to DC along I-95 and 20 miles either side a more solid 2 to 3 inches of snow seems likely. Then North of DC and eastern counties will see a slight bit higher possible with 2 to 4" likely and some seeing closer to 5" as you approach Baltimore.
The coastal plains, from the coast to about 40 miles inland will see 1 - 2" of snow and then a mix and even rain.

North regions. East PA, NJ, DE
A more substantial 4 to 8 inches looks likely with some mixing issues along the coast. Even further north, up toward northern NJ 6 to 10 " totals look likely and 12"+ amounts not totally far fetched.

May be all the time I have for this today. NC, SC situation is on its way - late this evening I will update the VA and Northward thoughts.

Follow ongoing daily thoughts at http://twitter.com/midatlanticwx
For reports on Snow and other things that are more real time - http://twitter.com/breakingmawx

All for now!

Jimmy
http://www.midatlanticweather.com
 

SNOW ALERT MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

Southern areas - Monday and Tuesday
Central areas - Tuesday into Wednesday
North areas - Tuesday into Wednesday

South: NC,SC, Southwest VA
We have serious Ice Storm concerns for SC, GA, and NC Piedmont. They are likely to see snow change to a sleet and freezing rain situation. The mountains will see a 6"+ system. 1-3 inches in the Piedmont before the changeover. The impacts will start Monday into Monday night.

Middle Atlantic- VA, MD
Snow will break out over all the area EARLY Tuesday and last all day and into Wednesday. Snow will change to sleet/rain along coast. For now, SE VA looks like 1-3 inches - Along I-95 20 miles either side looks like 3-6 inches and then west of this 3-5" (3 the further west you are) Amounts will increase towards Eastern Maryland

Upper Mid Atlantic - Eastern PA, DE, NJ
Significant system with widespread 4 - 8 inches. NJ and Northern Eastern PA looks like 6 to 10 inches.

All a first guess at this point.

More to come!

Snow winding down - Snow LIKELY Tuesday!

Last night I wrote that there could be some surprises in the snow. I was surprised to see parts of Central VA getting 2"+ amounts - they were hit and miss bands and even this morning there was a brief flare up of snow. The system is now moving on except for NJ which made it to storm level with places seeing 3 to 6+ inches!

Cold breezy weather today with 30s. Tomorrow looks sunny but cool.

The snow threat for Tuesday continues and now looks like a decent system up the 95 corridor! Snow will start in the deep south and then up the coast from what I am seeing. Snow totals will likely be in a general 2 to 4 inches and then areas along 95 may see even more as the low heads north.

A lot of details to consider.

Updates later.

Snow showers through area tonight

Dusting to an inch No VA, MD, DE. Northeast MD, far east PA, NJ, DE
need to pay attention to possible several inches. Could be some
surprise snow tonight so updates later!

--
Sent from my mobile device

UPDATE - Snow chances up for Tuesday based on models

Based on models the chances of Tuesday snow event coming together and are stronger. Western NC  and SC Mountains looks like a potential big hit at this point. Most of VA may see a moderate even as well as Northern NC.

Just a look based on models.

All for now!

Little snow for area tonight. Tuesday threat looking better

A clipper system will move through the area tonight and will have some
snow showers and maybe a period of light snow for the region. Snow
showers will be possible into tomorrow mid day. Cold air settles in
the region with some more snow showers possible Saturday. The real
even appears to be Monday night into Tuesday as a southern storm could
bring a significant to even heavy snow to the region. My confidence is
growing for the event, but I am cautious as there are many variables
to consider.

Thoughts on 12z model runs to come later this morning on
http://forum.midatlanticweather.com, Twitter at
http://twitter.com/midatlanticwx

Few other notes. The system tonight and tomorrow sets up a Norlun
feature over NY, MA, CT, North NJ, and Northeastern PA. Interesting!

Long range (about a week from now) looks very cold!

All for now.

--
Sent from my mobile device

SNOW ALERT - Northern VA, MD - Nuisance snow

Reason for this alert is to remind all to prepare for a potential longer commute Friday as a band of snow may drop a dusting up to an inch in Northern and MD.

Eastern PA, NJ, and up in NY, CT, MA could see a lot of snow a a Norlun (http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/00/model_l.shtml )

An early heads up to a significant winter storm possible Tuesday of next week for a LARGE portion of the area!

All for now!

BIG SNOW STORM Appears possible Tuesday!

Models keep coming into agreement. Issue may be that Northwestern VA does not get too much snow. Interior VA near and east of 95 do very well on the 12z model runs! Northern Nc does well too. We will see.

Weather on track

I do not have much to add! Temps mid 40s to low 50s today. Dry cold front later today will knock temps back down to the 30s to mid 40s tomorrow. A small disturbance could cause some light snow Thursday and/or Friday with temps remaining the 30s to low 40s. Temps colder this weekend with strong winds which will send wind chills to single digits and teens. Snow storm still possible from the 10th to the 13th with true cold to follow!

All for now!

Pod Cast posted to Mid Atlantic Weather .NET

Highlighting Cold air on the way and a couple chances of snow.

http://www.midatlanticweather.net

VERY COLD temps coming - Snow threats exist!

After we had this brief warm up temps are cooling down and then getting really cold. We will see some snow possibly Thursday, but we will see colder air really start pouring into the region then. There could be a threat around the 11th for a snow storm, and this would again be a bigger threat for areas SOUTH of 40 N latitude as the colder air will suppress systems. Then the mother load of brutally cold air will arrive and we will see highs only in the 20s and for many regions! The cold at night will be very impressive.

After what I thought would be a very mild January and February, it looks like it will get really cold and I am not sure we will see warmer conditions.

All for now!

Jimmy

Rain ending - cooling down week - snow chances return

Rain will end today. Temps in the 40s. Temps will be in the 40 to 45 degree range until Thursday. Moisture will come in and light snow is possible by Thursday and into Friday. Temps will be cold next weekend. Bigger snow chances look to return about mid month.

Bit rushed. Pod Cast later at http://midatlanticweather.net

All for now!

Jimmy

Mild and showers today. Seasonal returns Monday - Colder by Friday

Showers and rain will overspread the area today. Highs will again be in the 50s for the most part today. Rain overnight will persist in the eastern areas into the morning. Highs tomorrow will mainly be in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Then cooler air by Monday with highs in the 40s.

Temps a little below normal will continue all week with highs in the 40s and then even colder by Friday with 30s north and low 40s south.

What happens next weekend is a bit up in the air. There appears to be the possibility of a snow storm somewhere in the region. When and where exactly is still up in the air. There is a concern that southern VA and NC may again see the snow and Northern regions may not.

All for now!

Cold start - milder day - Mild weekend with showers - seasonal early next week

After a very cold start we will have a much milder day with highs in the low to mid 50s possible. No winds will make it feel much warmer after the cold spell we just came out of.

Tomorrow again will see mild 50s through the region and even a few 60 degree temps cannot be ruled out. The same will go true Saturday as highs will be even milder in the mid 50s to mid 60s for some. Clouds and a chance of rain will also come in to the picture later Saturday into Sunday.

Just a note that a wave of low pressure could form on the front that moves through Sunday. This could enhance rainfall and also provide an opportunity for rain to change to snow especially up north. This is just a possibility at this point and not quite the forecast.

Next week we will see temps seasonal to slightly below. Towards the end of the week we may have a system to watch for potential wintry mix.

All for now!

Quick note about Mid Atlantic Weather:
1. I reached 200,000 visitors to the site since inception in 2002.
2. I have many links to fix, update, remove
3. I will mainly have my site information on there soon. The rest of the links will be removed or updated.

Thanks for your visits these last 8 years!

Just a long term note

It really does appear that a much colder pattern will again establish itself mid January! This is flying in the face of my ideas of a milder month!

Also - a threat for wintry weather should also occur sometime between the 3rd and the 7th. This may be a bigger threat in PA than VA and MD.

All for now!

Quick updates

Forecast on target for 40stoday. Low 50s to near 60 tomorrow. And Mid 50s to low 60s possible Friday and Saturday. Rain chances increase Saturday late into Sunday and more 40s in line for early next week. Very long term a return to colder air does look likely with a return to a stormy pattern.

Sorry for the quick update!

All for now.

Much warmer today than thought

Trends will continue this week. Again, a peek in the long term is showing seasonal temps after a warm up Friday and Saturday. The Jan 7th event is looking more like a cold rain, but it is VERY far off as of now! So we will see!

More later!

Cold air to take a break - showers in the forecast - Long Term

We have another breezy and cold day today with highs pretty much in the 30s and breezy winds continuing. Winds will subside and the temps for the week will slowly get warmer. highs will be in the 40 to 50 degree range by Thursday and mid 40s to mid 50s for New Year's eve. New Years day could see highs in the 50s to near 60 for parts of the area. Cooler air will come back early next week, but not the cold pattern that we have had, just seasonal temps!

As far as a wintry threat, there could be something to watch around the 7th of January. Cooler temps could return towards the middle of the month, but climatology says that a La Nina could mean a milder January. It is hard to know for certain at this point. My winter outlook was to have a milder January and February.

All for now!

The storm that could not hit Northern VA, DC, Central MD, and South Central PA. This storm blanketed all major I-95 cities with at least some snow from Georgia to Maine! It missed a small area! Where? Check the image!

You have to admit, that is an odd looking map! Southeastern PA did get some more so the whole is even smaller. What a storm it has been! The "Boxing Day Blizzard" will be a historical storm as totals quickly mounted to upwards of 2 feet in many places in less than 15 hours! That is impressive. Winds gusting to near 70 MPH! For a while the Mid Atlantic looked like it MAY be in for the storm but models flipped back and forth with this region as they began to lock on the Northeast as the place to truly unleash its' fury! 

What is left for the Mid Atlantic? Wind now. But not to downplay that this was a significant and historic storm for parts of VA, NC, SC, and GA as well. SE VA ended up with as much as 14 inches of snow and Blizzard conditions for the Eastern Shore. It was a great system! 

Why couldn't the models figure this out so that Meteorologists were playing flip flopping craziness as the models would shift east and then back west. This was not fun for anyone! ME TOO! And, as the map shows, I just felt that the Northern VA, MD, and PA areas WOULD end up with snow. Ironically, the models hinted that this would not be the case. So I was wrong. 

Where do we go from here. A cold 36 hours to go and then a slow, and then dramatic mild up for this weekend as temps soar into the 50s and even a few 60s maybe. Rain showers are in the forecast for the weekend! LONG term we should see temps come back down and we may see some more wintry threats in early 2011 - that first week in fact could pose 2 threats!

All for now!

Terrible Forecast by me!

Storm was east of I-95  from Richmond to Philadelphia - Snow will be 1-2 inches 10 miles either side of 95 from Fredericksburg to Baltimore. Further east and along the Eastern Shore - 4 to 8" with some up to 10 and 12"

The storm will start to back fill in the Northern VA, DC, and Baltimore areas and a strip of another 1- 3" area may develop somewhere 20 miles west of the DC Metro area - not certain but I am seeing this start to occur.

Last Friday I had a hunch this would be the case - I should have been much more cautious!

Eastern PA, NJ, NY, CT, and Eastern ME will all see a serious storm!

Sorry again. My lack of updates were due to family obligations. I am really sorry for the false alarms! I will be MUCH more cautious next time!

All for now!

Jimmy

Snow occurring, but less than thought and further east

At this point it looks further east, but it still is developing. 1 to 3 inches already in SE VA. It has been struggling to build north and west.

I would lower totals from earlier by 2 to 4 inches in the west and along I-95, especially north of I-95.

All for now.

A few Select Location First Guesses!

Snow today will be light and not the main event. Snow will increase in intensity as the night goes on. With winds, Blizzard conditions could be met east of I-95 and maybe west!

All initial thoughts - The models are trending bigger and bigger - things are getting interesting.

Baltimore - 11"
Dulles - 8"
DC - 9"
Charlottesville - 7"
Richmond - 12"
Norfolk - 11"
Newport News - 13" Blizzard possible
Emporia - 11"
Eastern Shore - 14" Blizzard possible
DE - 14 - 18" Blizzard possible

More to come - If models continue to trend these will be way under done!

All for now!

SNOW ALERT!

Not enough time to get into details. Area likely to see a moderate to heavy snow, especially east of I-95!

Watches up for many!

More later!

Snow threat still minimal

There was bad data in the models this morning that tainted the output. I will keep watching. Not expecting much of anything north of Roanoke to Richmond to Wallops Island. Light snow below this. Eastern VA, Eastern NC, Interior SC and even GA could see the dusting to 2 inches in spots.

All for now!

OF Course noon models show possible significant snow again for parts of region!

Stay tuned! Updates later this afternoon!

Snow alert! Southern Half of VA, Most of NC, Interior SC, GA!

The storm system that was originally looking like a huge hit for the region will still output some snow for parts of the area. The southern 2/3rds of VA will likely see a period of snow with some accumulations possible. As of now I am thinking 1 to 2 inches with areas seeing 3 inches. SW VA in higher elevations may see 2 to 4". The far eastern part of NC and VA may also see some enhanced snow due to some energizing of the system as it hits the ocean.

Light Snow seems possible for SC and GA as well with some 1 to 2" totals!

Still a lot to watch as a lot of energy is trying to get itself together over the region. The outcome could be snow showers for the Northern Third of VA and MD.

NC may really see some 2 to 4" snows based on the energy. This is especially true for eastern NC.

All for now!

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Snow still looks possible, not major

There will be a system and there will be snow in the area. Snow looks heavier along the coast.

This is subject to change and it could come back as a bigger snow.

Still a lot to watch.

All for now!

Again - Snow threat decreases - One more model later today - Update around 3pm

I should learn in a La Nina weather pattern year to be very cautious with storm phasing. The truth is, the phasing is very hard to accomplish. It also means a high amount of uncertainty up to the event.

Jimmy

MAJOR snow threat reduced!

Models backed off on Major snow last night. Before changing the areas
for heavier snow I will await noon model updates.

--
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SNOW STORM POTENTIAL IS HIGH

A continued look at the models shows the potential for a SERIOUS snow storm that would blanket the interior GA, Interior SC, Most of NC, VA, MD, Eastern PA, NJ, and Eastern New England! This is a HUGE system with the possibility of historic output of snow. Exact track is difficult to pin down, but it is time to prepare alternate travel plans and get some extra Turkey and Stuffing ready!

At this point I would bet on a significant snow storm that could turn into a Blizzard for Eastern VA, Eastern MD, and Eastern NC. That is right! A Blizzard for the Mid Atlantic!

The impacts for the southern areas will begin Saturday, and snow will reach the Mid Atlantic Late Saturday or overnight Saturday into Sunday.

Much more will be figured out in the next 24 Hours as the storm system that will cause the snow storm has not even come on shore on the west coast. That will make a huge difference.

What that does mean is - we STILL may see shifts in the forecast track and that could actually mean more snow or less. Also, the intensity of the system could be different than what I am seeing now!

All for now!

HISTORIC CHRISTMAS SNOW LOOKING MORE LIKELY

I am giving a heads up that the Christmas snow storm will be a likely event. I am not certain of all the details but the potential does exist for parts of the region to see in excess of 8" of snow and some could see a foot or more if some of the models come out to be true. There is also a possibility that blizzard conditions could stretch from parts of Maryland to New York. This could also be a long stretch of snow lasting from Saturday afternoon until early Monday morning.

A LOT of details still need to be considered and we are just dealing with forecast models at this point so the actual event could be drastically different (more or less snow could occur!)

I will update tomorrow morning on the latest!

All for now!

Jimmy

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Continued Cold - Snow chances are increasing for this weekend!

As we continue in a cold pattern we will see a pretty sunny week. A clipper will come through the region tomorrow and could touch off some flurries in the area. Late this week there appears to be the best chance of snow so far this winter. I believe that there will be snow. I am starting to see the possibility of a major system. I do not want to bite off on it yet, but we need to be prepared.

Just a heads up for longer term. Temps may moderate a little but more chances of snow could also exist. I suspect that January will end up milder than normal.

All for now.

Snow on the way. I am unable to be thorough due to medical issues in my family.

--
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Quick Morning Update

A few pockets of freezing rain did occur. Be careful! Rain showers will persist today. Snow will then pick up tonight in the mountains and then snow showers could hit the area through tomorrow morning rush. I am concerned about local snow issues tomorrow morning. Do not be surprised to see some snow showers.

VERY COLD winds and air Monday and Tuesday. Snow chances return by Thursday for Northern NC and Southern 2/3rds of VA.

Going to be an interesting week!

All for now!

Very busy next 36 hours with a variety of prec

The situation is still a little unsettled. There are pockets of freezing temps that will be around overnight. These pockets will see some freezing rain. Areas along and west of the mountains will see a variety of precip. Sleet, freezing rain and snow. The entire area will see rain tomorrow morning with a mix and change to snow coming back quickly as the arctic front moves eastward. Eventually areas east of the mountains could see a period of snow tomorrow evening. A trace to an inch may occur east of the mountains up to the I-95 corridor. Usually dry air really starts to dry up any post frontal precipitation so this should be a rather brief period of precip.

We have a cold week ahead, especially early. Areas will be the 20s and lower 30s with high winds with low wind chills. Areas will see below zero wind chills overnight Monday into Tuesday. The temps will relax a bit on Wednesday and Thursday. We will need to watch a southern system which could throw enough moisture this way for a wintery mix and snow event. We will have to watch this closely. This would be significant.

All for now! Possible alerts as we get more reading on the system for the next 36 hours.

Jimmy

Milder few days - Rain - Then Arctic blast - LONG TERM???

We will reach the low and mid 40s today and mid and upper 40s tomorrow in areas east of the mountains. Highs will be in the 40s Sunday as rain falls across the region. Saturday night, as the precip begins, pockets of areas could be at the freezing mark so some freezing rain is possible. As Sunday progresses an arctic front will pass through and rain will change to snow in the mountains and even east of the mountains later in the day. Sunday night could have some snow showers and actually may have some slick travel as rapid freezing may occur. Blustery and cold repeat of last week will occur Monday through Wednesday, but this time temps will be about 10 degrees colder. Tuesday morning wind chills will likely be single digits and below zero! Winds subside, but chilly conditions remain.

Long term? Well, I am no meteorologist, but I read a lot from them. The Pattern Christmas week COULD lead to a white Christmas! YES, could! Ironically, a few other changes and we could reverse the pattern we are in and be mild! So we have 2 different looking long term possibilities. As of now, I am favoring the possibility of a snow storm that will make it a white one for Christmas time. But it is WAY early!

All for now!

Just a quick Update - Rain Sunday - Sharp cool down to follow

I just wanted to state that I am now settled that Sunday will be a rain event. I am now trying to determine how much. I suspect a fairly good period of rain and then the front will come through. Temps will start to crash and it is possible a period of Post Frontal snow could occur, but I would suspect it to be brief.

Temps will be darn cold through Wednesday with highs in the 20s for the most part and very windy conditions. Brutal.

If something changes I will let you know!

It is cold - milder weekend with rain on the way.

Temps will remain cold and winds will remain strong through tomorrow. Highs will be in the 30s area wide and wind chills in the teens and 20s. We will stay cold tomorrow and Thursday with highs in the 30s. Highs warm to the 40s Friday through Sunday setting the stage for a rain storm, not winter storm, Sunday. That system may still have a quick change to snow at the end as much colder air filters in behind it. Monday's temps will be the low to mid 30s and Tuesday we will likely see the coldest temps of the season so far.

The Lake effect snows still continue in full effect and appear that they will start to subside tomorrow morning. Skiers will continue to rejoice with tons of snow pack. The Lake Effect will again be prolific starting Sunday night next week and at least through Tuesday.


All for now!

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December 6th Outlook Podcast available

Let me know what you think!

http://midatlanticweather.net/

WINDY, Dry and cold - possible storm next weekend!

Quite the impressive swath of snow for SW VA and west NC. Some of the higher elevations picked up 5 and 6 inches of snow! Check out Snow Totals at http://forum.midatlanticweather.com/index.php?topic=1721.0

That storm will explode off the east coast and the curl up to Maine. That storm will make it WINDY the through Tuesday. Temps will also stay very cold so wind chills at night will be very cold!

Temps all week now look colder. Highs around 40 in the south and 30s in the north and west.

Next weekend is showing some potential for a storm, but the track is going to make it tough. We may see a start as wintry weather and a changeover, all wintry weather, an icy situation. My thoughts at this point is that we have to watch this all week. Last week we had a storm forecasted that did happen but was smaller than first forecasted. I suspect a storm will form, and track will bring us a mix and then rain.

Stay warm!

All for now!

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Quite a bit of snow falling!

A lot of advisories and even winter storm warnings in higher elevations of SW VA. 1 to inches of snow seems probable along the NC/VA border and up to an inch all the way to the shore of VA and NC. 30 miles either side of th border looks to be the sweet spot. A dusting now looks likely all the way to Richmond area!

 

Flurries are possible through much of VA and NC. Nice little wave here too with some bands of moderate snow at times.

 

WAY late on this! Here was my podcast from this morning!

http://midatlanticweather.net/?attachment_id=941

 

All for now!

 

Jimmy

 

 

 

Snow flurries possible - cold and feeling colder!

This is winter! Feels like it and acting like it. This year's dominating force will be the La Nina episode which reminds me of 2 things! Cold and desert like for precipitation. I also expect that December may end up as the coldest month of the winter season. We will see hints of winter storms, but models will not handle the pattern well and that is what happened with what I thought could be the first storm of the winter season. The Lion turned into a lamb as a clipper system now looks like it will scoot even south of VA making flurries and light snow showers possible in NC. That storm will get its act together once in the ocean and do nothing but bring very cold winds to the region. Highs will struggle out of the 30s most of next week with wind chills in the 20s! Find the scarf and hats!

So daily
- 40s region wide today and even some flurries scattered across central VA.
- Saturday will see high mid 30s to mid 40s with increasing clouds. Showers and snow showers possible in the SW portion of VA and western NC,
- Saturday night will feature scattered snow showers across the central regions of VA and north half of NC from the mountains to the coast!
- Sunday - blustery and cold! Highs likely in the 30s for most, upper 30s south, mid 30s north

Next week - Cold 30s to continue - possibly a few disturbance causing some snow showers.

Long term, if the models are seeing correctly, we could have an ice/snow threat next weekend.

Mid Atlantic Weather GROWING!

I am on the verge of launching yet another part of the Mid Atlantic Weather network of sights. This will include video and podcasts. This is exciting, but I will tell ya, I am a 1 man team, so do not think it will be spectacular! It will be as amateur as it gets! More to come on this.

All for now!

Jimmy

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Very crazy weather morning!

High Winds, Tornado Watch, Flash Flood warnings for many locations. The winds will continue as teh rain ends around midday for most I-95 and west and by this evening near the bay.

Please stay tuned to news and radio outlets as this weather is dangerous!

Also, plan for a LONG commute!

All for now!

Rain and a lot of it! Then cold! Snow?!

Rain is starting to overspread the area. There will be even more widespread coverage later today. Flood watches are up as we have a chance for some real heavy rain overnight. Totals will come to 2 to 3 inches! Tonight, as dynamics start to come through, severe storms with gusty winds look likely to scatter through the region, but be somewhat isolated. Windy conditions will also accompany this system so expect some power issues. Rain will taper off for most by about noon tomorrow but the gusty winds will start dropping temps for what will end up a very cold stretch.

Cold is the word! Temps will pretty much remain in the 40s through the weekend south, and 30s may be the high temps for the northern region straight to Monday! Cold 20s north and low 30s south for low temps. Winter cold!

What will happen Sunday or early next week. There does seem to good potential of a system that will either be Sunday or within a few days of Sunday. As usual, models are struggling and jumping around on which system will be the main feature and cause the snow and rain. Some analysis shows that there would be a rain component to the system for many if it happens one way, and much less rain if it were to occur another. A few factors are being watched and I am a little less certain today on what the outcome will be!

All for now!

Jimmy

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Heavy rains and possible severe followed by Winter cold and SNOW threats!

We have a big storm system that will be coming through in the next 2 days. We have the tranquil cool day of today, and then a serious storm will begin taking aim on the region. Rains will overspread the area and become steady by the end of the day tomorrow. Dynamics will be strong with this system which will mean windy, rainy, and even some strong to Severe storms will be possible tomorrow night into Wednesday. Rain will also accumulate up to 2 to as much as 3 inches in some of the higher elevations where the mountains will assist in squeezing out more moisture.

Temps - 40s to low 50s today
Tuesday and Wednesday - mid 50s to mid 60s

The weather will then calm down for a bit and remain cold with highs mainly in the 40s and lows in the 20s north and low 30s south. We get our first potential light snow event Sunday, but I would consider this a minor event other than it being the first threat of the season.

Snow Potential does exist for a week from now and could occur Tuesday or Wednesday of that week. It is way off, but the first hint at a real pattern possibility.

Very long term we will likely see a return to milder temps sometime around or after the 15th.

All for now!

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Cold night and cool day - Rain Tuesday

The day will be cool, but no wind and pretty skies will great the day. Highs upper 40s to mid 50s Cool weather will continue into tomorrow with highs in the 40s and mid 50s again. Tuesday will bring a good shot of rain. Highs will be in the 50s that day. As unstable air mixes in, weather could become severe overnight Tuesday which will need to be watched, but is not forecasted as of now. Cool weather will again pour in for the rest of the week with highs 40s to low 50s.

All for now!

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Some Wintry Weather for Burbs! #mawinterwx

Appears that there will be some sleet and pockets of freezing rain in Northwestern VA, Western MD. NWS has a Winter Weather Advisory up!

Turkey Day rain and cooler air through weekend

After yesterday's really mild weather, today we cool down to highs in the 50 north to 60 south range. Increasing clouds later today will lead to rainy skies for Thanksgiving. Today's travels should be good along the east coast, but the upper Midwest will see snows and ice, while the OK, TX, AR area could see severe! Please be careful no matter what!
Thursday looks cool with mid 40s to mid 50s and rainy skies.
After Friday early showers temps will be a bit warmer with mid 50s north and mid 60s south.Air will really cool Saturday and Sunday with Highs in the 40s north and low to mid 50s south.

What is happening with Mid Atlantic Weather!
I have created 2 twitter newspapers that are fun! they are located at http://paper.li/midatlanticwx and http://paper.li/breakingmawx

I will work harder on launching the photos area. This was kind of on hold for a bit, but will be a focus. http://photos.midatlanticweather.com will likely launch in a week!

The mobile weather sites that I have include http://mawx.net and http://mawx.us . I need o get these a bit more feature rich.

Need to expand on my links for sites that I use for getting information, but MANY links will be removed as I move to a Word Press template. This will make the site easier to read and stop the overdone and outdated information.

All forecast related information will remain. I will need to see how to wrap it in. I have an idea!

All for now!

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Mild today - cold for end or week. Warm up coming next week.

Very mild, if not warm day on tap with temps in the id 60s to mid 70s region wide. A front will approach the area and this will trigger showers this afternoon. Temps will be much cooler tomorrow. Highs in the north near 50 and in the south near 60. Temps will be similar Thursday with some rain possible late. Rain overnight Thursday and in to Friday until at least mid day. Temps much cooler with highs mid 40s to mid 50s. 40s to near 50 will be the rule of the weekend with the coldest night lows we have seen. Temps will then rebound next week and temps will again be near or above 60 by Tuesday from what I am seeing.

All for now!

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Mild start, cool/cold end of week!

We start the week with a lot of foggy mild air. Highs will range through the 60s today with plenty of moisture keeping the temps feeling mild as well. Tomorrow could see temps climb to 70 or even the mid 70s south! A chance of showers and even a stray storm south will signal a change as a front crosses the region. Highs Wednesday will be in the 50s with a few 60s south. Again, temps will bump to the upper 50s and low 60s Thanksgiving day with some rain in the forecast. Then a much cooler air mass will give us the coldest air yet this year Friday and Saturday. Highs this weekend will range through the 40s and nights in the 20s!

Longer term is very difficult to pin down. There could be a remaining amount of colder air and even a chance that a part of the region, other than the mountains, could see a touch or wintry weather. This would be in the December 3rd to 6th time frame with plenty of room for uncertainty!

All for now!
 

WINDY after a bumpy night!

Temperatures will be mild today with highs stretching from the low and mid 60s north and close to 70 in the south. The story will be the howling winds, especially the higher terrain and the northern regions. Wind advisories are posted for many!

I do not want to forget that last night's severe weather was wild and took me by surprise. If you happen to be on my twitter account I did do quite a bit of blasting about it. Sorry for no heads up otherwise.

Winds will subside tonight with temps falling into the 30s for many north and west, 40s for the south. Much cooler tomorrow with increasing clouds and some showers as a secondary system quickly move through the area. This system will ultimately provide snowy ridges to the western facing mountain's higher elevations. Temps will be in the low to mid 50s north and west, and around 60 south. Temps obviously colder in the mountains!

Much cooler for Friday with many seeing highs in the 40s to around 50 north, and around 60 for the south. Add a few degrees for Saturday and a few more for Sunday along with sunshine and you have the weekend.

Early next week we will see mild conditions and temps will approach the mid 60s north and low and mid 70s south. Later next week we could see a good cold shot of air, the coldest so far this season, just in time for the Holiday and to get you in the mood for the Christmas season.

As for me, been busy with a very sick child (including a 3 day stay at the hospital) and hoping for a slow down as we head into the Turkey day season!

Looking forward to the wintry weather sometime soon!

All for now!

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Cool nights and mild days

Sunny and dry will be the rule this week. Breezy today and tomorrow
will make it feek a bit cooler. Highs will hit around 60 in the north
and in the mid and upper 60s south. The first chance of rain appears
to be next Sunday.

--
Sent from my mobile device

Colder - some rains - mountain snow

Colder air is spilling into the region and will turn rain to snow in
the higher elevations that are west facing. Rains east of the
mountains will become very scattere later this morning. A passing
shower is possible later today, but sunshine will also break through.
Temps will be in the 50s east of mountains, and 30s and 40s for the
mountains. Higher elevations could see as much as 5 inches in VA and
WV mountains, above 6 inches far westerb MD highest elevations.
Cold Saturday with breezy conditions and highs mainly in the 40s, 30s
mountains. Temps start trending towards normal Sunday with 40s and
50s, lower 50s to lower 60s Monday, upper 50s to mid 60s Tuesday, and
then upper 60 to near 70 Wednesday.

After the next 24 hours we look to dry out!

All for now.

--
Sent from my mobile device

Cool week - Rain Wednesday through Thursday - Cold next Weekend

A frosty start will set the pace for a colder than normal day with highs struggling into the low 50s north and upper 50s south. Even more widespread frost and freezing tonight as temps will dip to the 20s in the north and in the mountains, and low 30s elsewhere. Tomorrow will be about 5 degrees warmer than today. Temps hold steady for Wednesday with night temps in the 30s to about 40 and highs mid and upper 50s. Rain will also start to advance and will overspread the region by Wednesday night. Thursday will be WET! How wet depends on the eventual track of a Low that will develop along the east coast and ride up as a Nor'easter. That storm could drop 1 to 2 inches of rain for most and even more along the coastal region. That will need to be watched. Colder air will be pulled in behind it and Highs may struggle to reach 50 in the north by Friday and/or Saturday. Lows will dip into the 20s for many and we will officially end the growing season if not tonight.

Tomas in the tropics has weakened. He will likely regain hurricane strength but has some work to do to get there.

All for now!

Happy Halloween with nice weather - True cold possible next weekend!

Today's weather looks really nice! Highs will range from the low 60s to the low 70s for many with plenty of sun. Tonight will again see temps dip to below freezing for many along and west of 95 and that will likely be the case tomorrow night as well. Monday looks very chilly, with highs reaching only the lower 50s in the north and low 60s for the south. Cloudier conditions will begin Wednesday as a serious storm system begins to take shape over the east. As of now this storm will likely stay west of the region or come right through it. We may see some heavy rains based on some predictions or just showers Wednesday through Thursday night. That storm will bring in very cold, polar origin air and, if the growing season had not ended for some, it will likely end it for all by next weekend as night time lows plummet to the 20s for many. Highs could only be in the 40s for the north Friday and Saturday.
Some warming air would likely follow this.

Tomas has strengthened to 100mph winds. He has slowed and may even weaken a bit before restrengthening. Long term he looks to bend north and hit Hispaniola after a few days of slow west, southwest, and the northward movement. He will need to be watched for possible phase potential along the east coast with the trough that is about to set up.

All for now!

Beautiful Cool Days - Almost cold Monday! Could there be a storm?

Coolest air of the season has settled and will get reinforced Monday. Sunny cool days and cold nights will be the rule with daytime highs in the 50s North to Low to mid 60s south, except Tomorrow when highs could reach the low 70s in the South. Temps will cool to the around 50 for highs in the north Monday and around 60 in the south. Mid 50s to low 60s appears to then be the rule the rest of the week. There is a chance that the East Coast could see a Nor'easter which would further reinforce the colder air and cause windy weather later this week. If this were to materialize, the first accumulating snows could occur in a larger region of the up slope areas of West Virginia and into New England, including flakes possible in lower elevations at the end of the storm for the north.

The Tropics are super active for so late in the year. We have Shary, a hurricane,  and Tomas, a hurricane as of 11am today and is forecast to slow and become a Category 3 hurricane in the next 5 days. Shary is headed out to sea after a brush with Bermuda, but Tomas is an interesting one. As of now he is just a Caribbean system, but he could eventually phase with a front and that could mean heavy rains for parts of the east, but that is a while yet before it would be possible.

All for now!


 

Record Low in Plains still causing severe - Sunnier and then cooler weather

The system in the Northern Plains and now Southern Canada has broken records for lowest pressure in the Continental US. The pressure hit 956 mb which is as strong as a Category 3 Hurricane! We are seeing some of this energy translate into severe storms and winds this morning. The front is slowing so Eastern VA, MD, DE, Eastern PA, and Eastern NC remain in a volatile area so more isolated tornadoes could form. The system will slowly pull out today and so North and west could see sun but the Eastern and Southeastern areas may continue in the showers and storms. Temps are already 7 to 10 degrees above normal at 7am for most locations! Highs will be 70s for North and west to even low 80s in the south! Sunnier skies tomorrow and continued mild with temps in the 70s again. MUCH cooler Friday with many staying in the 50s and some low 60s south. The weekend remains cool with 60s for most, but, as of now, Halloween looks dry!

Stay tuned to News and Weather outlets as tornado watches remain in Southeastern VA.

All for now!

Upper plains "Hurricane" like low to bring storms/severe

There is a powerful low pressure that is heating through Minnesota that has a pressure comparable to hurricanes. Thus many states have high wind warnings and wind advisories. Also, the system is spawning a huge line of severe weather capable of tornadoes! 10 states have tornado watches and many Severe Storm warnings are posted.. We are east of that system so very warm air is coming into the region. Southern areas will see low to mid 80s for highs today and tomorrow! As the storm's cold front approaches overnight, showers and storms will become numerous and there may be some severe weather as well as strong winds will be possible in some of them. You can see the severe risks today in the Midwest and the region is under a slight risk for severe storms for the overnight. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html. Tomorrow the focus will be for the eastern areas as the front continues eastward. This will need to be watched as there is a huge amount of energy and how it translates to storminess will be wind and severe weather.The main risk will be high winds, but there is a tornado risk as well.

The system will move east and allow precipitation to wind down in the afternoon tomorrow and more unseasonably warm air will remain. Thursday will see a step down in temps, but still slightly above normal temperatures with variably cloudy skies. Friday will be much cooler with temps a bit below normal. Friday night it is likely we will see another risk for frost in areas.

Please stay tuned to radio and news outlets this evening and then potentially into the night. Severe weather overnight is dangerous as many are asleep and unaware of the storms coming.

All for now!

Warm start of the week with showers

Woke up this Monday with temps close to their Normal highs! Temps will
climb to the mid 70s for many. Showers and some thunderstorms will
cross the region. The skies will remain cloudy tomorrow with temps
again in the 70s. Wednesday will see an increase in rain chances with
highs approaching or in to the low 80s. A transition day Thursday with
highs in the low and mid 70s north and upper 70s south, and then
cooler Friday with highs 60 to 65 North and upper 60s south.

Preliminary Halloween thoughts. Highs mid and upper f0s north, upper
60s to low 70s south. Rain chances look low.

All for now.

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2010 - 2011 Winter Outlook

As of now, I am going to go for a very normal temperature but it will be normal based on some warmer and cooler months. I think we start cooler and end warmer to equal out. Snow will be near normal in the north and below normal south. For NC and Southern VA, the winter will be mild and not that snowy, but I expect some icy times. In the Northern regions of VA and MD, mixed bags will be common. I suspect many storms will start as snow and end as rain due to overrunning and storms heading west of the Mountains. We will likely see 2 to 3 snow storms. Nothing like last year! PA will see normal to just above normal snow and normal temps.

I do expect leading into winter that we will see a couple storms that will crush the rest of the drought concerns. Later in the winter, NC and SC may see the dry weather return.

We will see how this goes!

Perfect weather day! Highs in the 70s, light winds, and Sunshine!

It is going to be beautiful today! Get out and enjoy! Chances of rain return Monday Night. Seasonably cool this week with highs about 5 degrees below normal. Cooler Tuesday with rain chances and then Saturday with highs in the upper 50s and low 60s that day!

Winter Weather forecast out look with slowly be posted this week. I will highlight it in my posts. How accurate am I? Well, not all that great! I will explain my thoughts on winter at least and then we will see!

One thing to note, it will NOT be as snowy as last year!

Jimmy

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Nice and sunny today with breezes. Temps will be seasonal within a few degrees

Sunny weather to persist today with winds from the departing Nor'easter that caused snow for the first time up in Northern New England and New York. Nicer weather tomorrow and near normal. Nice week on tap with near seasonal temps.

What a storm! Cool Blow Dryer for today - Cool and dry to continue north -Some showers south Monday

Some serious record breaking rains the last few days. The heat in the ocean was tapped and seriously reversed the drought in many locations in 1 shot! That is what happens when heat is out of balance - it tries to balance. It would have been better to have been smaller storms over longer periods of time. Today, as cooler air starts to overtake the area winds will be breezy and peaking in the 30s at times. It will become mostly sunny and nice by afternoon. The cooler air will be felt tomorrow with highs in the 60s and lower 70s and then MUCH cooler as a dry front crosses the region and brings in the coolest air of the season. Highs Sunday for many will be in the 50s in the north to mid 60s at best elsewhere. Night time temps will be in the 40s, but cooler mountain areas MAY flirt with upper 30s for the first time this season!

Temps in the mid 60s to lower 70s to continue into next week. The front moving through Sunday will get stuck in the south so rain showers could start Monday for the Southern half of VA down into NC Monday through Wednesday Morning. That front may also have a low come up the coast Wednesday and with that the rain will stop south, but may increase north on Wednesday into Thursday.

Enjoy drying out the next few days!

All for now!